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WSF 36-8-1 Sustainable Indicators by Manfred Vollmer, WSF

WSF indicators for Wadden Sea Region

New results and illustration of the Wadden Sea indicators

Manfred Vollmer Wadden Sea Forum e.V.

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

2008-2014 Indicator tool based on COWI

Esbjerg Fanø Tønder Varde

Dithmarschen 37 indicators Nordfriesland 17 Social 11 Economic Summarizing 37 sub- Summarizing the Summarzing the 17 9 Ecologic indicators to 17 main values from DE, DK, indicators values NL for the Wadden for the 3 pillars Each single and Sea Region = 3 values indicator calculates weighting the results = 37 results (one for each pillar) data = 17 results for each region = 37 * (4+14+3) Bremerhaven = 777 values Groningen Fryslan Kop van Noord-Holland Calculation was quite complicated

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

1 WSF 36-8-1 Sustainable Indicators by Manfred Vollmer, WSF

2016-2018 German Waddenbarometer WSF + University Kiel + Waddenacademy + University Tilburg

Desirable Stock X Long term goal Indicator 1 Indicator 2 Acceptable Short term goal

Alarming Indicator 3 Direct attention Indicator 5

Unacceptable Direct action Indicator 4

Esbjerg Fanø Tønder Varde step 1: Difficulties: Nordfriesland Status-quo analysis Collecting the data on Pinneberg of all german LAU2/NUTS-3 basis  Indicators are not Steinburg Wadden Sea Cuxhaven step 3: on the same base Stade municipalities step 2: Division of the values year Emden resp. counties The statistic values of by numbers of  Values are not Wilhelmshaven the indicators were indicators provided Aurich 77 indicators merged to a Friesland for the 3 pillars for each year Leer 31 Social point-system according Wesermarsch 25 Economic to norms  Defining norms Wittmund 21 Ecologic Yellow,green,orange,red Bremerhaven Groningen Fryslan Kop van Noord-Holland

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

2019 Wadden Sea Forum Indicators

Selection of 36 indicators available for all 21 regions (NL provinces, DE counties, DK municipalities)

• Living environment - Migration (per 1,000 inhabitants) • Health - Admissions to hospital (persons) • Living environment - Natural population (persons) • Health - Admissions to hospital % • Living environment - Natural population (18+) (persons) • Health - General Practitioners (per 100,000 inhabitants) • Living environment - Natural population (65+) (persons) • Health - Persons in need of care • Living environment - Natural population development • Labour - Aging of labour force % (per 1,000 inhabitants) • Labour - Employees with diploma % • Living environment- Price building land (Euro/m2) • Labour - Tertiary education (persons) • Economic participation - Disposable income in € per person • Labour -Unemployment(persons) (14+ years) • Labour -Unemployment% • Economic participation - Long-term unemployment % • Education - Youth unemployment (persons) • Economic participation - Social welfare benefits % • Education - Youth unemployment % • Tourism - Tourists (Number of overnight stays) • Education - Early school leavers without graduation • Tourism - Tourist stays (Number of overnight guests) • Education - Early school leavers without graduation % • Social participation - Turnout local elections • Education - Offer primary schools (% voters participation) (schools per 10,000 inhabitants) • Social participation - Turnout nationwide elections • Education - Offer secondary schools (% voters participation) (schools per 10,000 inhabitants) • Competitiveness - Business cancellation • Energy - Solar energy (KW) • Competitiveness - Business registration • Energy - Wind energy (KW) • Competitiveness - GDP in € per inhabitant • Safety - Intentional homicides • Safety - Residential burglaries • Safety - Robbery

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

2 WSF 36-8-1 Sustainable Indicators by Manfred Vollmer, WSF

Results, example 1

Rate of elderly persons (65+) Rate in % in % to the above/below respective country country average population in 2017 21,39 Dithmarschen 24,57 3,18 Nordfriesland 23,94 2,55 Pinneberg 22,09 0,70 Steinburg 22,63 1,24 Cuxhaven 25,02 3,62 Stade 21,22 -0,17 Emden 21,02 -0,37 Wilhelmshaven 26,19 4,80 Aurich 22,54 1,15 Friesland 25,82 4,43 Leer 21,11 -0,28 Wesermarsch 23,19 1,80 Wittmund 24,24 2,85 Bremerhaven 21,78 0,39 DENMARK 19,31 Esbjerg 19,87 0,57 Fano 32,99 13,69 Tonder 23,59 4,28 Varde 21,58 2,28

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

Living environment: natural development

Rate natural population Rate in ‰ development above/below country in ‰ to the respective average country population in 2017

GERMANY -1,78 Dithmarschen -5,31 -3,53 Nordfriesland -3,63 -1,85 Pinneberg -2,17 -0,39 Steinburg -3,72 -1,94 Cuxhaven -5,40 -3,62 Stade -1,21 0,57 Emden -2,94 -1,16 Wilhelmshaven -6,22 -4,44 Aurich -3,88 -2,10 Friesland -4,41 -2,63 Leer -2,21 -0,43 Wesermarsch -4,64 -2,86 Wittmund -4,99 -3,21 Bremerhaven -2,73 -0,94 DENMARK 1,41 Esbjerg 0,99 -0,42 Fano -7,64 -9,05 Tonder -3,34 -4,74 Varde -0,66 -2,06

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

3 WSF 36-8-1 Sustainable Indicators by Manfred Vollmer, WSF

Economic participation: Disposable income

Disposable income (14+ years) 2005 30000 Amount of income / inhabitants (for DK 1€=7,45DKK) 2006 2007 25000 2008 20000 2009 15000 2010 2011 10000

€ per person 2012 5000 2013 0 2014 2015 2016

Source: Regionaldatenbank Deutschland + Danmark Statistics

Disposable income (14+ years) € Rate in % Amount of income above/below above/below / inhabitant (for country levelcountry level DK 1€=7,45DKK) GERMANY 21919 Dithmarschen 21571 -348 -1,6 Nordfriesland 24384 2465 11,2 Pinneberg 24124 2205 10,1 Steinburg 21119 -800 -3,6 Cuxhaven 21012 -907 -4,1 Stade 21968 49 0,2 Emden 18593 -3326 -15,2 Wilhelmshaven 18047 -3872 -17,7 Aurich 19701 -2218 -10,1 Friesland 20242 -1677 -7,7 Leer 18614 -3305 -15,1 Wesermarsch 20760 -1159 -5,3 Wittmund 20270 -1649 -7,5 Bremerhaven 17741 -4178 -19,1 DENMARK 24554 Esbjerg 23562 -992 -4,0 Fano 26316 1761 7,2 Tonder 21411 -3143 -12,8 Varde 22721 -1833 -7,5

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

Economic participation: Long-term unemployment

Long-term unemployed Rate in % persons in % above/below in 2017 country average

GERMANY 5,72

Dithmarschen 2,34 -3,38

Nordfriesland 2,56 -3,16

Pinneberg 2,08 -3,64

Steinburg 2,66 -3,06

Cuxhaven 3,06 -2,66

Stade 2,59 -3,13

Emden 2,19 -3,53

Wilhelmshaven 3,95 -1,77

Aurich 3,00 -2,72

Friesland 1,78 -3,94

Leer 2,31 -3,41

Wesermarsch 3,40 -2,32

Wittmund 1,95 -3,77

Bremerhaven 4,72 -1,00

DENMARK 0,72

Esbjerg 0,62 -0,10

Fano 1,04 0,32

Tonder 0,53 -0,19

Varde 0,38 -0,34

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

4 WSF 36-8-1 Sustainable Indicators by Manfred Vollmer, WSF

Economic structure: Tourists/Guests

1.500.000 Tourists 2005 (numbers of overnight guests who arrived at tourist 2006 1.250.000 accommodation (excluding campsites) during the calendar year and took a guest bed for a temporary stay) 2007 1.000.000 2008 2009 750.000 2010 500.000 2011 Guests 2012 250.000 2013 0 2014 2015 Deutschland Regionaldatenbank Source: 2016

(until 2011: overnight stays in accommodation facilities with 9 or more sleeping places or on campgrounds with 3 and more parking spaces. 2017 (from 2012: overnight stays in accommodation facilities with 10 or more sleeping places or on campgrounds with 10 or more parking spaces.

1.600.000 Dithmarschen Tourists Nordfriesland 1.400.000 (numbers of overnight guests) Pinneberg Steinburg 1.200.000 Cuxhaven Stade 1.000.000 Emden Wilhelmshaven 800.000 Aurich Friesland 600.000 Leer

Guests Wesermarsch 400.000 Wittmund Bremerhaven

200.000 Esbjerg Deutschland Source: Regionaldatenbank Fano 0 Tonder 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Varde

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

Competitiveness: Business registration

4.000 2005 3.500 Business registrations 2006 3.000 2007 2008 2.500 2009 2.000 2010 1.500 2011

businesses 2012 1.000 2013 500 2014 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: Regionaldatenbank Deutschland + Danmark Statistics

4.000 Dithmarschen Nordfriesland 3.500 Pinneberg Steinburg 3.000 Business registrations Cuxhaven Stade 2.500 Emden Wilhelmshaven 2.000 Aurich Friesland 1.500 Leer Wesermarsch

businesses 1.000 Wittmund Bremerhaven 500 Esbjerg Fano 0 Tonder 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Varde Source: Regionaldatenbank Deutschland + Danmark Statistics Danmark Deutschland + Source: Regionaldatenbank

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

5 WSF 36-8-1 Sustainable Indicators by Manfred Vollmer, WSF

Competitiveness: GDP per inhabitant

80.000 2005 70.000 2006 60.000 GDP per capita 2016 2007 50.000 2008 40.000 2009 30.000 2010

€ / inhabitant 20.000 2011 10.000 2012 0 2013 2014 2015 2016

Source: Regionaldatenbank Deutschland + Danmark Statistics

€ Rate in % GDP per capita above/below above/below (€/inhabitant) country levelcountry level GERMANY 38180 Schleswig-Holsein 31294 Dithmarschen 31456 -6724 -17,6 Comparing counties Nordfriesland 35275 -2905 -7,6 Pinneberg 28051 -10129 -26,5 on country level Steinburg 31402 -6778 -17,8 Lower-Saxony 34812 Cuxhaven 21509 -16671 -43,7 Stade 30357 -7823 -20,5 Emden 70448 32268 84,5 Wilhelmshaven 38804 624 1,6 Aurich 25464 -12716 -33,3 Friesland 26109 -12071 -31,6 Leer 27338 -10842 -28,4 Wesermarsch 34866 -3314 -8,7 Wittmund 25043 -13137 -34,4 Bremerhaven 37802 -378 -1,0 DENMARK 49262 Region Syddanmark 44295 -4966 -10,1 Esbjerg Fano Tonder Varde

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

Health: Admissions to hospital

70.000 Admissions to hospital 2005 60.000 2006 50.000 2007 40.000 2008 2009 30.000 2010 20.000

patients 2011 10.000 2012 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Source: DRG Statistik + Danmark Statistics

Rate of admissions to hospital in % to Rate in % the respective above/below country population country average in 2017

GERMANY 22,83 Dithmarschen 22,73 -0,10 Nordfriesland 22,18 -0,65 Pinneberg 20,69 -2,14 Steinburg 23,09 0,26 Cuxhaven 22,92 0,09 Stade 21,53 -1,30 Emden 21,44 -1,39 Wilhelmshaven 28,12 5,29 Aurich 23,06 0,23 Friesland 25,09 2,26 Leer 23,10 0,27 Wesermarsch 24,48 1,65 Wittmund 24,91 2,08 Bremerhaven 24,51 1,68 DENMARK 23,54 Esbjerg 23,91 0,37 Fano 23,61 0,07 Tonder 24,96 1,42 Varde 21,77 -1,77

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

6 WSF 36-8-1 Sustainable Indicators by Manfred Vollmer, WSF

Health: Persons in need of care

Persons in need of care per 10,000 inhabitants 2009 700 600 2011 500 400 300 2013 persons 200 100 2015 0

2017 Source: INKARonline

Persons in need of care Rate Rate in % (per 10,000 inhabitants) above/below above/below to the respective country population country level country level in 2017 GERMANY 412,40 Dithmarschen 411,92 -0,48 -0,12 Nordfriesland 370,36 -42,05 -10,20 Pinneberg 358,57 -53,84 -13,05 Steinburg 446,31 33,91 8,22 Cuxhaven 494,04 81,64 19,80 Stade 427,81 15,41 3,74 Emden 491,43 79,03 19,16 Wilhelmshaven 567,51 155,11 37,61 Aurich 572,15 159,75 38,74 Friesland 514,47 102,07 24,75 Leer 527,39 114,98 27,88 Wesermarsch 510,66 98,26 23,83 Wittmund 606,37 193,97 47,03 Bremerhaven 507,32 94,91 23,01 DENMARK Esbjerg Fano Tonder Varde

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

Labour: Tertiary education

16 Employees with diploma % 2005 14 (employees with diploma / labour force ) 2006 12 2007 10 2008 2009 % 8 2010 6 2011 4 2012 2 2013 2014 0 2015 2016 2017

Source: Regionaldatenbank Deutschland + Danmark Statistics

16 GERMANY Employees with diploma % Schleswig-Holstein Dithmarschen 14 Nordfriesland Pinneberg 12 Steinburg Cuxhaven 10 Stade Emden Wilhelmshaven 8 Aurich % Friesland 6 Leer Wesermarsch Wittmund 4 Bremerhaven DENMARK 2 Region Syddanmark Esbjerg Fano 0 Tonder

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Varde + Statistics Danmark Deutschland Regionaldatenbank Source:

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

7 WSF 36-8-1 Sustainable Indicators by Manfred Vollmer, WSF

Labour: Unemployment

12 2005 Unemployment 2006 10 2007 (Unemployed / population *100) 8 2008 2009 6 % 2010 4 2011 2012 2 2013 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Regionaldatenbank Deutschland + Danmark Statistics

Rate Rate unemployment total above/below compared to population country in % in 2017 average GERMANY 3,06 Schleswig-Holstein 3,20 0,14 Dithmarschen 3,47 0,41 Nordfriesland 3,42 0,36 Pinneberg 2,75 -0,31 Steinburg 3,25 0,19 Lower Saxony 3,07 0,01 Cuxhaven 2,80 -0,26 Stade 3,04 -0,02 Emden 4,63 1,57 Wilhelmshaven 5,69 2,63 Aurich 3,65 0,59 Friesland 2,62 -0,44 Leer 3,08 0,02 Wesermarsch 3,63 0,57 Wittmund 3,16 0,10 Bremerhaven 6,78 3,72 DENMARK 2,00 Syddanmark 1,92 -0,08 Esbjerg 1,83 -0,18 Fano 2,00 0,00 Tonder 1,60 -0,40 Varde 1,32 -0,68

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

Education: Youth unemployment

2008 3,0 Youth unemployment (16‐24 years) (% of labour force) 2009 2,5 2010 2,0 % 2011 1,5 2012 1,0 2013 0,5 2014 0,0 2015 2016 2017

Source: Regionaldatenbank Deutschland + Danmark Statistics

Rate youth Rate unemployment above/below (16-24 years) compared country to labour force in % average in 2017

Comparing counties GERMANY 0,72 Schleswig-Holstein 1,01 0,29 on country level Dithmarschen 1,56 0,84 Nordfriesland 1,04 0,32 Pinneberg 0,86 0,14 Steinburg 1,43 0,71 Lower Saxony 0,89 0,17 Cuxhaven 1,28 0,56 Stade 1,13 0,41 Emden 0,82 0,11 Wilhelmshaven 1,30 0,58 Aurich 1,41 0,69 Friesland 0,88 0,16 Leer 1,33 0,61 Wesermarsch 1,15 0,43 Wittmund 1,14 0,42 Bremerhaven 1,54 0,82 DENMARK 0,37 Esbjerg 0,44 0,07 Fano 0,15 -0,22 Tonder 0,35 -0,02 Varde 0,31 -0,06

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

8 WSF 36-8-1 Sustainable Indicators by Manfred Vollmer, WSF

Education: Early school leavers without graduation

Rate of early school Rate in % leavers without above/below graduation in comparison federal state to graduate school average leavers in % in 2017

GERMANY 6,76 Schleswig-Holstein 8,28 Dithmarschen 9,39 1,11 Nordfriesland 7,86 -0,42 Pinneberg 7,40 -0,88 Steinburg 8,39 0,11 Lower Saxony 6,22 Cuxhaven 7,74 1,51 Stade 5,09 -1,13 Emden 9,54 3,32 Wilhelmshaven 4,16 -2,06 Aurich 8,81 2,59 Friesland 10,23 4,00 Leer 10,19 3,97 Wesermarsch 4,29 -1,93 Wittmund 6,20 -0,02 Bremerhaven 8,49 2,26 DENMARK 0,13 Syddanmark 0,11 Esbjerg 0,20 0,09 Fano 2,44 2,33 Tonder 0,23 0,13 Varde 0,20 0,10

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

Safety: Crime Scene

Rate of robbiers compared to the respective Rate in % times population in % in 2017 above/below enlargement / (robberies in county*country population*100)/(robberies in country*county population) country level times reduction

GERMANY 100,00

Schleswig-Holstein 100,22 0,22 1,00 Dithmarschen 79,85 -20,15 0,80

Nordfriesland 47,66 -52,34 0,48

Pinneberg 56,57 -43,43 0,57

Steinburg 76,10 -23,90 0,76

Lower Saxony 2058,18 1958,18 20,58 Cuxhaven 1619,06 1519,06 16,19

Stade 1896,92 1796,92 18,97

Emden 2501,42 2401,42 25,01

Wilhelmshaven 4314,43 4214,43 43,14

Aurich 1955,56 1855,56 19,56 Friesland 2141,75 2041,75 21,42

Leer 1955,21 1855,21 19,55

Wesermarsch 1783,48 1683,48 17,83

Wittmund 2028,54 1928,54 20,29 Bremerhaven 328,08 228,08 3,28

DENMARK 100,00

Syddanmark 67,75 -32,25 0,68

Esbjerg 77,85 -22,15 0,78

Fano 0,00 0 0 Tonder 38,57 -61,43 0,39

Varde 34,76 -65,24 0,35

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

9 WSF 36-8-1 Sustainable Indicators by Manfred Vollmer, WSF

Safety: Crime Scene

Rate of intentional homicides compared to the Rate in % times respective population in % in 2017 above/below enlargement / (homicides county*country population*100)/(homicides country*county population) country level times reduction

GERMANY 100,00 Schleswig-Holstein 80,69 -19,31 0,8 Dithmarschen 182,55 82,55 1,8 Nordfriesland 21,03 -78,97 0,2 Pinneberg 111,31 11,31 1,1 Steinburg 132,21 32,21 1,3 Lower Saxony 209,35 109,35 2,1 Cuxhaven 122,97 22,97 1,2 Stade 224,09 124,09 2,2 Emden 137,54 37,54 1,4 Wilhelmshaven 136,80 36,80 1,4 Aurich 91,61 -8,39 0,9 Friesland 211,97 111,97 2,1 Leer 61,80 -38,20 0,6 Wesermarsch 234,56 134,56 2,3 Wittmund 122,69 22,69 1,2 Bremerhaven 0,00 0 0,0 DENMARK 100,00 Syddanmark 87,95 -12,05 0,9 Esbjerg 184,53 84,53 1,8 Fano 0,00 0 0,0 Tonder 0,00 0 0,0 Varde 212,84 112,84 2,1

18-19 November 2019 Results Sustainability Indicator German and Danish Wadden Sea Region - WSF 36 plenary meeting

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