Interim evaluation of Copernicus
Final Report
July 2017 Space
EUROPEAN COMMISSION Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (GROW) Directorate I – Space policy, Copernicus and Defence Unit I/2 – Copernicus
Contact: Oriana Grasso, policy officer E-mail: [email protected] BREY 09/219 European Commission B-1049 Brussels
EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Interim evaluation of Copernicus
Final report
Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs
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Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 20172016
PrintISBN 978-92ISBN-79 978-92-79-71618-8-71619-5 doi:10.2873/666679 ET-04-17-742-EN-C PDFdoi: 10.2873/373088ISBN 978-92-79-71619-5 doi:10.2873/373088 ET-04-17-742-EN-N
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Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs
Interim evaluation of Copernicus Final report
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1 INTRODUCTION ...... 10 1.1 Purpose of the evaluation ...... 10 1.2 Scope of the evaluation ...... 10 100 2 BACKGROUND OF THE INITIATIVE ...... 12 122 2.1 Service component ...... 15 155 2.2 Space component ...... 16 2.3 In-situ component ...... 17 2.4 Research ...... 18 3 EVALUATION QUESTIONS ...... 19 3.1 How effective has the Copernicus programme been? ...... 19 3.2 How efficient has the Copernicus programme been? ...... 19 3.3 How relevant is the Copernicus programme? ...... 19 3.4 How coherent is the EU intervention internally and with other (EU) actions? ...... 20 3.5 What is the EU added value of the intervention? ...... 20 4 METHODS ...... 21 4.1 Stakeholder consultation ...... 21 4.2 Stakeholder identification ...... 22 4.3 Limitations – robustness of findings ...... 24 5 IMPLEMENTATION STATE OF PLAY (RESULTS) ...... 28 5.1 Implementation state of play of the Copernicus service component ...... 28 5.2 Implementation state of play of the Copernicus space component ...... 44 5.3 Implementation state of play of the in-situ component ...... 48 5.4 International cooperation ...... 50 6 ANSWERS TO THE EVALUATION QUESTIONS ...... 52 6.1 Effectiveness ...... 52 6.2 Efficiency ...... 80 6.3 Relevance ...... 93 6.4 Coherence, complementarity and cooperation ...... 98 6.5 EU-Added value ...... 108 7 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ...... 109 7.1 Overall conclusions ...... 109 7.2 Assessment of key evaluation criteria ...... 109 7.3 Recommendations ...... 114 ANNEX 1 - SYNTHESIS REPORT ...... 118 ANNEX 2 - ABSTRACT ...... 120 ANNEX 3 - EXECUTIVE SUMMARY...... 122 ANNEX 4 - ASSESSMENT OF POSSIBLE INVOLVEMENT OF EXISTING EU AGENCIES ...... 127 ANNEX 5– ACRONYMS ...... 131 ANNEX 6 – BIBLIOGRAPHY ...... 135 ANNEX 7 - STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION ...... 155 ANNEX 8 - METHODS AND ANALYTICAL MODELS USED IN PREPARING THE EVALUATION/FITNESS CHECK ...... 183 ANNEX 9 - REFERENCE TABLE FOR THE DATA GATHERING PROCESS ...... 219
6
TABLE OF FIGURES TABLEFIGURE 1 OF- COPERNICUS FIGURES BUDGET ALLOCATION (2014-2020) ...... 14 FIGURE 2 - COPERNICUS PROGRAMME ORGANISATION ...... 144 FIGURE 1 - COPERNICUS BUDGET ALLOCATION (2014-2020) ...... 14 FIGURE 3 - STAKEHOLDERS CONSULTED ARE REPRESENTATIVE OF THE WHOLE VALUE FIGURECHAIN 2 - COPERNICUS ...... PROGRAMME...... ORGANISATION ...... 14 14 234 FIGURE 43 -- DISTRIBUTIONSTAKEHOLDERS OF CONSULT STAKEHOLDERSED ARE REPRESENTATIV CONSULTED ...... E OF THE WHOLE VALUE...... 24 CHAIN ...... 23 FIGURE 5 - FEEDBACK DISTRIBUTION ...... 24 FIGURE 4 - DISTRIBUTION OF STAKEHOLDERS CONSULTED ...... 24 FIGURE 6 - ENGAGEMENT RATE OF THE STAKEHOLDER CATEGORIES ...... 25 FIGURE 5 - FEEDBACK DISTRIBUTION ...... 24 FIGURE 7 - NUMBER OF SUB-INDICATORS PER THEMES ...... 26 FIGURE 6 - ENGAGEMENT RATE OF THE STAKEHOLDER CATEGORIES ...... 25 FIGURE 8 - CUMULATIVE COMMITMENTS BY THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION FOR THE FIGURESERVICE 7 - NUMBER COMPONENT OF SUB (M-INDICATORS€) ...... PER THEMES ...... 2629 FIGURE 98 - -SUMMARY CUMULATIVE STATUS COMMITMEN OF COPERNICUSTS BY THE LAND EUROPEAN MONITORING COMMISSION SERVICE ...... FOR THE 30 SERVICE COMPONENT (M€) ...... 29 FIGURE 10 - SUMMARY STATUS OF THE COPERNICUS EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FIGURESERVICE 9 - SUMMARY...... STATUS OF CO...... PERNICUS LAND MONITO...... RING SERVICE ...... 3530 FIGURE 1011 -- SUMMARYSUMMARY STATUSSTATUS OF OF TH THE ECOPERNICUS COPERNICUS EMERGEN MARINECY ENVIRONMENTMANAGEMENT SERVICEMONITORING...... SERVICE...... 3537 FIGURE 1211 - - SUMMARYSUMMARY STATUS STATUS OF OF TH ETH COPERNICUSE COPERNICUS ATMOSPH MARINEERE ENVIRONMENT MONITORING MONITORINGSERVICE...... SERVICE...... 3740 FIGURE 1312 - -SUMMARY SUMMARY STATUS STATUS OF THOFE THCOPERNICUSE COPERNICUS CLIMATE ATMOSPH CHANGEERE SERVICE MONITORING ...... 42 SERVICE...... 40 FIGURE 14 - SUMMARY STATUS OF COPERNICUS SECURITY SERVICE ...... 43 FIGURE 13 - SUMMARY STATUS OF THE COPERNICUS CLIMATE CHANGE SERVICE ...... 42 FIGURE 15 - PENETRATION RATE OF COPERNICUS COMPARED TO OTHER EARTH FIGUREOBSERVATION 14 - SUMMARY DATA STATUS SOURCES OF CO PERPERNICUS SECTOR, SECURITY 2014 – 2016 SERVICE (SOURCE: ...... PWC) ...... 5943 FIGURE 1615 - COPERNICUS- PENETRATION DATA RATE ACCE OFSS POINTSCOPERNICUS (SOURCE: COMPARED COPERNICUS TO OTHER EU) ...... EARTH 60 OBSERVATION DATA SOURCES PER SECTOR, 2014 – 2016 (SOURCE: PWC) ...... 59 FIGURE 17 - IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE OF THE COPERNICUS SERVICES AS OF FIGUREDECEMBER 16 - COPERNICUS 2016 (SOURC DATAE: ACCEEUROPEANSS POINTS COMMISSI (SOURCE:ON) ...... COPERNICUS EU) ...... 6960 FIGURE 1817 -- OVERVIEWIMPLEMENTATION OF THE SCHEDDEPLOYMENTULE OF SCHEDULE THE COPERNICUS FOR THE SERVICESFIRST BATCH AS OF SENTINELSDECEMBER 2016(SOURCE: (SOURC PWC;E: EUROPEANESA) ...... COMMISSION) ...... 7669 FIGURE 1819 -- OVERVIEWCUMULATIVE OF THECOMMITMEN DEPLOYMENTTS AND SCHEDULE PAYMENTS FOR FOR THE THE FIRST COPERNICUS BATCH OF SENTINELSSERVICES COMPONENT (SOURCE: P WC;(M€) ESA) ...... 7682 FIGURE 2019 -- DETAILCUMULATIVE OF EUROPEAN COMMITMEN COMMISSIONTS AND PAYMENTS CUMULATIVE FOR COMMITMENTS THE COPERNICUS PER COPERNICUSSERVICES COMPONENT SERVICES ((M€)M€) ...... 8382 FIGURE 2021 - DETAILCOMPARISON OF EUROPEAN OF INDUST COMMISSIONRIAL ACTIVITIES CUMULATIVE COMMITMENTS COMMITMENTS FORECASTS PER COPERNICUSAND ACTUAL FORSERVICES 2014 –(M€) 2016 ...... (SOURCE: ESA) ...... 8384 FIGURE 2221 - -COMPAR COMPARISONISON OF OF INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL COSTS ACTIVITIES FORECASTS COMM ANDITMENTS ACTUAL FORECASTS FOR 2014 AND– 2016 ACTUAL (SOURCE: FOR 2014ESA) ...... – 2016 (SOURCE: ESA)...... 8584 FIGURE 2223 -- COMPAROVERVIEWISON OF OF COMMITME INDUSTRIALNTS, C OSTSCOSTS FORECASTS AND PAYME ANDNTS A CTUALFOR THE FOR SPACE 2014 COMPONENT– 2016 (SOURCE: ...... ESA) ...... 8685 FIGURE 2324 - OVERVIEWEEA CUMULATIVE OF COMMITME COMMITMENTSNTS, COSTS AND ANDPAYMENTS PAYME NTSTO THE FOR INDUSTRIES THE SPACE COMPONENTFOR THE IN-SITU ...... COMPONENT OVER...... 2014 – 2016 (IN K€)...... (SOURCE: EEA) ...... 8687 FIGURE 2524 -- OVERVIEWEEA CUMULATIVE OF COPERNICUS COMMITMENTS OPEN DATAAND PAYMENTSPOLICY LEGAL TO THEBASIS INDUSTRIES (SOURCE: PWC)FOR THE ...... IN-SITU COMPONENT...... OVER 2014 – 2016 (IN...... K€) (SOURCE: EEA)...... 9587 FIGURE 2625 -- SUMMARYOVERVIEW OF OF NON COPERNICUS-SPACE RELATED OPEN DATAEU POL POLICYICIES IMPACTINGLEGAL BASIS COPE (SOURCE:RNICUS PWC)(SOURCE: ...... PWC) ...... 9596 FIGURE 2726 NUMBER- SUMMARY OF OFRESPONDENT NON-SPACE PER RELATED CATEG EUORY POL ...... ICIES IMPACTING COPE...... RNICUS 166 (SOURCE: PWC) ...... 96 FIGURE 28 NUMBER OF RESPONDENTS PER CATEGORY ...... 170 FIGURE 27 NUMBER OF RESPONDENT PER CATEGORY ...... 166 FIGURE 29 NUMBER OF RESPONDENTS USING COPERNICUS DATA PER SECTOR ...... 171 FIGURE 28 NUMBER OF RESPONDENTS PER CATEGORY ...... 170 FIGURE 30 NUMBER OF RESPONDENTS PER CATEGORY ...... 176 FIGURE 29 NUMBER OF RESPONDENTS USING COPERNICUS DATA PER SECTOR ...... 171 FIGURE 30 NUMBER OF RESPONDENTS PER CATE GORY...... 176