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Copernicus EU Copernicus EU Copernicus EU Space Europe Direct Is a Service to Help You Find Answers to Your Questions About the European Union C O P E R N I C U S Market report November 2016 Prepared by PwC for the European Commission Copernicus EU Copernicus EU Copernicus EU www.Copernicus.eu Space Europe Direct is a service to help you find answers to your questions about the European Union. Freephone number (*): 00 800 6 7 8 9 10 11 (*) The information given is free, as are most calls (though some operators, phone boxes or hotels may charge you). LEGAL NOTICE This document has been prepared for the European Commission by PwC as part of the “Study to examine the socio-economic benefits of Copernicus in the EU’. However it reflects the views only of the authors, and the Commission cannot be held responsible for any use which may be made of the information contained therein. More information on the European Union is available on the Internet (http://www.europa.eu). Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2016 ISBN 978-92-79-59009-2 DOI: 10.2873/827100 Catalogue number: ET-01-16-623-EN-N © European Union, 2016 Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged. Printed in Belgium C O P E R N I C U S Market report November 2016 Copernicus Market report | Issue 1, November 2016 | Prepared by PwC Table of contents 4 Contents Note: This Market Report summarizes the main findings from two studies, prepared by PwC for the European Commission and published in 2016: (1) The report on the Copernicus downstream sector and end user benefits, and (2) The report on the socio-economic impact of Copernicus. The interested reader will be able to find a wealth of additional details in these two studies. FOREWORD 5 STAKEHOLDERS 6 MAIN RESULTS AND KEY FINDINGS 7 EARTH OBSERVATION MARKET 11 COPERNICUS MARKET 18 COPERNICUS SECTORS 21 AGRICULTURE 21 FORESTRY 30 URBAN MONITORING 39 INSURANCE 48 OCEAN MONITORING 57 OIL & GAS 66 RENEWABLE ENERGIES 73 AIR QUALITY MANAGEMENT 82 ANNEXES 91 BETA METHODOLOGY 92 LIST OF ACRONYMS 93 ABOUT THE AUTHORS 94 Copernicus Market report | Issue 1, November 2016 | Prepared by PwC Foreword 5 Copernicus: Europe’s eyes on Earth If we are to respond to the challenges of sustainable consumption of natural resources, guarantee safety and security, and understand the causes and consequences of climate change, we need to better know the state and health of the environment. The Copernicus programme is a cornerstone of the European Union’s efforts to monitor the Earth and its diverse ecosystems, whilst ensuring that we are prepared and protected in the face of a natural or man-made disaster. But Copernicus can also drive economic growth, because it can act as a data source for applications and services. It is a symbol of European strategic cooperation in space research and industrial development. The images and data from a constellation of satellites and in-situ components are used by a wide range of economic sectors with applications in precision farming, civil protection and insurance, oil & gas exploration, meteorology or urban monitoring, to name just a few. Sales of data, value added Elżbieta Bieńkowska services and applications related to Earth Observation, are undergoing a remarkable growth with an European Commissioner average annual rate of more than 13%. The close link between satellite images and the wider geo- for Internal Market, Industry, information products sector reinforces the strength of these downstream markets. The increasingly Entrepreneurship and SMEs central role of Big Data is leading to the downstream development of commercial activities. After consultation with a wide range of stakeholders, 8 selected economic sectors have been assessed for the current and future impact of Copernicus on their businesses. After only a year in operation of the first Sentinel satellite, Copernicus intermediate and end users are already seeing economic, social, environmental and strategic benefits to their activity. All expect this to continue in the years to come. As announced in the Space Strategy for Europe, over the coming years the Commission will set the conditions to build on these encouraging results by ensuring the continuity of the Copernicus programme, giving access to space data and continuing to foster innovation in the downstream sector. We are on the road to making Copernicus a great European success! Copernicus Market report | Issue 1, November 2016 | Prepared by PwC Earth Observation stakeholders consulted (interviews performed during the first semester of 2016) INSTITUTIONAL STAKEHOLDERS LARGE COMPANIES • Aerospace Valley • Group on Earth Observations • Airbus Defence and Space • GAF • Big Data Value Association (GEO) • Amazon Web Services (AWS) • Google (BDVA) • Hespul • Atos • Groupama • Centre National d'Etudes • Icube • Axa • Hatfield Consultants Spatiales (CNES) • Institut Français de Recherche • C-Core • Orange • Daithi O’Murchu Marine pour l'Exploitation de la Mer • Collecte Localisation Satellites • Planet Labs Research Station (DOMMRC) (IFREMER) (CLS) • RHEA Group • Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- • Institut National de • CS Communication & Systèmes • RPS Energy und Raumfahrt (DLR) l'Environnement Industriel et • Deltares • Swiss Re • DTU Wind Energy des Risques (INERIS) • DigitalGlobe • Willis Re • ESA • International Space University • Elecnor Deimos • EU-Japan Centre for Industrial (ISU) • ESRI Cooperation • Joint Research Centre (JRC) 142 • Eurisy • Landsat program • European Association of • Marine Institute persons interviewed Remote Sensing Companies • MESA SADC (EARSC) • Netherlands Space Office (NSO) • European Centre for Medium- • Office National des Forêts Range Weather Forecasts (ONF) (ECMWF) • Plymouth Marine Laboratory • European Environment Agency (PLM) (EEA) • Satellite Applications Catapult 94 • Finnish Meteorological Institute • Umweltbundesamt (FMI) • University of Maryland different entities • Foundation for Research and • University of the West of Technology - Hellas England - Bristol • French ministry of Ecology, • US Geological Survey (USGS) Sustainable Development and • VTT Technical Re 104 Energy • Astrosat • Oasis Loss Modelling Framework • Global Forest Observations participants in the • BMT ARGOSS • Plume Labs Initiative (GFOI) • Cambridge Environmental • Predict Services • Global Forest Watch (GFW) Copernicus survey Research Consultants (CERC) • Reuniwatt • CloudEO • Rezatec • EFTAS • Science [&] Technology • Geosigweb • Sinergise • GeoVille • Tele-Rilevamento Europa (TRE) • GIM • TerraNIS • Gisat • VisioTerra • IsardSAT • VITO • AdviceGEO • i-Sea • Mercator Océan • Vizzuality • Building Radar • Nazka • Nelen & Schuurmans • Earth-i • Pixalytics • Noveltis • Gaia • Viridian Raven • Numtech • Geocento MICRO-COMPANIES SMEs Copernicus Market report | Issue 1, November 2016 | Prepared by PwC Main results TABLE OF CONTENTS 7 Overview of Copernicus programme benefits From 2008 up to 2020, the total investments in the Copernicus programme are forecasted to reach EUR 7.5 billion. Over the same period, this investment will generate a benefit of 13.5 billion (not counting non-monetary benefits). This economic value is generated through the added value created in the upstream space industry, the sales of Copernicus- based applications by downstream service suppliers and the exploitation of Copernicus-enabled products by end users in various economic sectors.. Cumulated impacts over 2008 - 2020 EUR 13.5 billion 12,450 job years supported Downstream and EUR 3.1 billion in the downstream and end EUR end users* 7.4 billion user markets Upstream and 15,580 jobs years supported Copernicus EUR 10.3 billion in the upstream Services Overall investment Cumulated in the programme economic benefits Examples of existing Copernicus benefits Yearly savings for Cost reduction of a € 60k 70% each construction 60% Higher accuracy for precision farming company using a analysis of the impact of service in Austria, work progress trans-boundaries thanks to Copernicus monitoring app pollutants on air quality 50% 5% Productivity gain Copernicus-based € 186M for fish farmers, by forecasts generate 50% Benefits of Copernicus monitoring toxic more benefits to solar on the insurance algal blooms energy producers than market in 2015 traditional forecasts * The Downstream and end user analysis includes only 8 value chains: Agriculture, Forestry, Urban Monitoring, Insurance, Ocean Monitoring, Oil & Gas, Renewable Energies and Air Quality. Estimates for end users were only calculated for Insurance, Oil&Gas and Urban Monitoring. The estimates of downstream and end user benefits should be seen as extremely conservative because they were calculated barely a year after the launch of the first Sentinel satellite. Benefits are likely to increase significantly as more Sentinels become operational and as users progressively discover the programme. In addition, the end user benefits (which are likely to be substantially larger than the downstream benefits) were only calculated for the commercial users in three value chains (Insurance, Oil&Gas and Urban Monitoring). Many user benefits are non-monetary in nature and extremely complex to quantify. The aim of this study was to have the most robust figures in order to show the existence of the phenomenon rather than providing an exact figure (to prevent overestimation of benefits). Copernicus Market report | Issue 1, November 2016 | Prepared by PwC TABLEMain OF resultsCONTENTS 8 Overview of intermediate users’ benefits (1/2) Intermediate users constitute the main link between Copernicus and the community of potential users of Copernicus-enabled products and services. Also designated
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