Power and the People a Politico Poll, Sponsored by Qualcomm July 19, 2010

POWER AND THE PEOPLE A POLITICO POLL, SPONSORED BY QUALCOMM JULY 19, 2010

METHODOLOGY

On July 9-14, Penn Schoen Berland surveyed 1,011 people in the U.S. with a representative distribution of Americans and 227 Washington D.C. Elites. Margin of error is 3.1% and 6.53% respectively.

POLITICO Baseline

In general, do you believe that things in the country are headed in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Right direction 27 49 51 7 21 26 28 Wrong track 61 45 33 90 64 64 59 Don't know 12 6 16 3 15 10 13

In general, do you believe that the economy nationwide is headed in the right direction or is it off on the wrong track? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Right direction 24 44 44 7 18 25 23 Wrong track 65 46 40 90 69 66 65 Don't know 11 10 16 3 13 9 13

How much do you feel the current economic downturn has affected you? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female More than most Americans 27 6 28 28 25 29 25 Less than most Americans 24 74 26 25 20 26 22

Do you believe the U.S. effort in Afghanistan will succeed? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Yes 22 15 23 26 18 28 17 No 48 49 52 41 50 47 48 Don’t know 30 36 25 34 32 25 35

Do you think the political system in Washington D.C. is broken? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Yes, it is broken 72 64 62 87 69 75 70 No, it is not broken 15 31 25 9 10 15 15 Don’t know 13 5 13 4 20 10 15

Which is closest to your Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female views? I don’t know what the Tea Party Movement is well 31 11 35 29 31 24 38 enough to say The Tea Party Movement is a fad - it will go away soon 26 68 39 17 22 28 25 enough The Tea Party Movement will become a viable third 24 11 10 38 24 27 20 party in American politics Don’t Know 19 10 16 16 23 20 17

How important do you Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female think each of the following Imp / Imp / Imp / Imp / Imp / Imp / Imp / issues is in the United Very Not Very Not Very Not Very Not Very Not Very Not Very Not States? imp imp imp imp imp imp imp imp imp imp imp imp imp imp Economy / jobs 87 97/2 86 99/1 89 99/0 86 97/2 85 94/4 86 96/3 87 97/1

Education 67 93/7 59 93/7 73 97/4 57 88/11 70 92/6 62 92/8 71 92/6

Healthcare 65 90/8 64 91/8 74 97/2 54 85/15 68 90/8 60 91/9 71 91/8

Social Security 65 91/7 41 89/11 65 95/5 66 92/7 66 89/10 62 90/9 68 93/5

Balancing the budget 65 91/8 55 85/14 58 91/9 69 93/6 68 88/9 60 89/10 69 92/7

Ethics in government 64 88/10 49 85/15 61 90/8 72 90/8 61 84/12 64 88/11 65 89/8

Family values 62 84/14 23 54/43 55 79/19 69 90/10 62 81/15 59 81/17 64 85/12

Energy 60 90/9 56 90/9 67 93/5 52 89/10 60 86/11 59 91/8 60 88/9 Homeland security / War on 58 87/10 46 88/12 51 85/13 70 94/5 54 84/11 58 86/11 58 89/8 terror Immigration 53 82/16 36 80/19 45 81/18 64 88/12 51 78/18 55 83/15 51 81/16

Taxes 53 88/10 37 81/18 47 91/9 59 91/10 55 84/14 51 86/15 55 90/8

Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan 45 77/21 45 87/12 45 72/25 50 87/12 38 68/27 44 77/22 45 76/21 Nuclear weapons 34 70/24 24 71/29 38 74/23 32 72/25 32 65/26 35 69/29 33 72/21 proliferation Climate change 31 63/35 33 72/28 42 80/18 17 42/56 31 64/32 28 58/40 33 67/30

What do you think is the most important issue facing the country today? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Economy / jobs 48 52 51 44 49 48 48 Healthcare 7 5 11 5 4 5 8 Ethics in government 7 3 2 11 8 6 7 Balancing the budget 7 15 6 7 7 8 6 Immigration 5 2 2 10 5 6 5 Wars in Iraq and 4 6 5 3 4 3 5 Afghanistan Homeland security / War on 4 4 4 6 4 4 5 terror Education 3 2 4 1 4 2 4 Family values 3 0 2 5 3 3 3 Energy 2 1 3 2 1 2 2 Social Security 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 Climate Change 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 Nuclear weapons 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 proliferation Taxes 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 Other 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 Don’t know 2 2 1 0 5 2 3

Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Fav / Fav / Fav / Fav / Fav / Fav / Fav / Overall, how favorable Unfav / Unfav / Unfav / Unfav / Unfav / Unfav / Unfav / are you towards the Very Not fam Very Not fam Very Not fam Very Not fam Very Not fam Very Not fam Very Not fam following people? fav + DK fav + DK fav + DK fav + DK fav + DK fav + DK fav + DK Barack Obama 25 48/47/5 36 66/34/0 48 84/15/2 4 16/83/2 22 42/47/10 22 44/51/5 28 52/44/5 Hillary Clinton 20 49/45/6 34 74/25/1 38 77/20/3 4 22/76/2 16 44/42/13 17 45/51/4 23 52/41/7 Sarah Palin 14 39/53/8 3 16/82/2 5 16/80/3 30 72/24/3 8 30/52/18 17 43/50/7 12 35/56/9 George W. Bush 14 38/54/7 7 24/74/1 6 14/84/4 29 73/25/2 8 31/53/15 12 42/52/7 16 35/57/8 John McCain 13 43/48/10 6 39/60/1 5 22/69/9 27 73/25/2 7 35/47/17 12 45/47/7 13 40/48/12 Mike Huckabee 11 36/29/34 3 26/63/13 1 18/42/39 26 63/15/22 6 28/29/42 11 40/33/27 10 31/26/43 Joe Biden 10 37/49/13 21 58/40/2 20 65/26/10 3 17/75/8 7 26/50/24 9 34/55/12 11 39/45/16 Mitt Romney 9 30/35/34 4 32/60/8 5 15/51/35 19 52/22/26 5 25/32/43 12 37/39/24 7 24/32/44 Nancy Pelosi 5 23/52/25 12 45/52/3 10 40/35/25 0 7/75/18 5 21/49/31 5 22/60/19 6 25/46/30 U.S. Congress 5 25/64/11 3 29/69/1 7 37/54/9 4 17/76/7 3 20/63/17 4 20/71/8 5 29/57/14 John Boehner 4 16/21/63 1 17/55/28 2 9/28/62 8 27/12/61 3 13/22/66 6 21/26/54 3 12/17/72 Harry Reid 3 15/34/51 5 38/53/10 6 21/21/58 2 10/47/43 1 15/36/50 5 18/44/38 1 12/24/62 Tim Pawlenty 3 12/18/69 2 17/34/50 2 12/19/68 7 16/15/69 1 9/22/69 5 16/21/63 2 10/16/74 Hayley Barbour 3 11/19/70 3 20/35/45 2 9/21/70 7 16/16/69 2 10/20/70 6 15/23/62 1 8/15/76 Tim Kaine 2 10/16/73 12 52/30/18 4 14/14/72 1 5/19/77 1 11/17/72 2 11/19/69 2 8/14/78 Mitch McConnell 2 13/23/64 2 21/53/27 3 10/26/65 4 23/19/59 0 8/24/67 3 17/29/55 2 11/17/72 Michael Steele 1 11/29/59 0 11/74/15 2 9/33/58 2 17/26/57 1 10/29/62 2 15/37/48 1 9/22/69

© 2009 PENN SCHOEN AND BERLAND ASSOCIATES LLC. 4 If the elections for Congress were held today, which party’s candidate would you vote for in your congressional district? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female The Democratic Party’s 32 53 73 3 15 28 35 Candidate The Republican Party’s 31 26 2 78 16 35 26 Candidate The Independent Party’s 9 6 7 5 16 12 6 Candidate Would not vote 7 0 4 2 16 6 8 Other 3 5 1 4 4 3 3 Don’t know 19 10 13 10 33 16 21

If Barack Obama runs for re-election in 2012, in general, are you more likely to vote for President Obama or for the Republican Party’s candidate for president? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female The Republican Candidate 42 28 7 89 33 45 38 Barack Obama 37 56 76 6 26 35 39 Other 4 2 2 1 8 4 3 Don’t know 18 14 16 4 33 15 20

If the 2012 Presidential election were held today, who would you be more likely to vote for? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Barack Obama 48 73 86 12 41 45 50 Sarah Palin 36 17 9 71 31 39 33 Don’t know 16 10 5 17 28 15 17

If the 2012 Presidential election were held today, who would you be more likely to vote for? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Barack Obama 39 63 77 9 28 39 40 Mitt Romney 35 26 7 66 34 42 29 Don’t know 26 11 15 25 37 20 31

If the 2012 Presidential election were held today, who would you be more likely to vote for? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Barack Obama 39 60 74 9 31 39 39 Tim Pawlenty 21 19 6 42 16 24 18 Don’t know 40 22 20 49 53 38 43

If the 2012 Presidential election were held today, who would you be more likely to vote for? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Barack Obama 39 65 76 9 31 39 40 Mike Huckabee 35 23 9 68 31 39 32 Don’t know 25 12 15 23 38 22 29

If the 2012 Presidential election were held today, who would you be more likely to vote for? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Barack Obama 39 60 74 9 30 39 39 Haley Barbour 21 19 6 40 18 23 19 Don’t know 40 22 20 51 51 38 42

Which of these best Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female describes how closely you have been following each Closely Closely Closely Closely Closely Closely Closely of these events / Very / Not Very / Not Very / Not Very / Not Very / Not Very / Not Very / Not issues? closely closely closely closely closely closely closely closely closely closely closely closely closely closely

Oil spill in the Gulf of 51 86/13 61 94/5 55 88/11 50 90/10 47 81/15 54 89/10 49 85/14 Mexico

Immigration reform 28 67/31 30 80/19 23 62/36 36 81/18 25 57/38 33 74/24 23 60/37

Change of command in 18 53/44 36 86/14 17 50/47 19 61/38 18 46/49 22 58/40 14 47/50 Afghanistan

2010 campaigns & 17 48/51 27 72/27 16 48/52 23 58/42 11 37/59 22 52/46 11 43/55 elections

Supreme Court nomination of Elena 14 42/54 20 75/24 13 42/54 15 45/51 12 36/58 18 45/52 10 38/56 Kagan

Wall Street reform 14 44/54 24 75/24 15 46/52 13 47/49 12 36/59 19 54/44 9 34/62

Energy Bill in Congress 13 48/48 17 63/36 13 47/49 14 54/45 14 46/51 16 55/42 11 43/53

Republican National Committee Chairman 7 24/71 12 54/45 8 22/73 9 32/64 5 18/76 10 31/65 5 17/77 Michael Steele’s troubles

Chelsea Clinton’s 2 5/91 1 7/92 3 8/89 2 4/94 1 4/92 2 4/93 2 6/90 wedding

How satisfied have you been with President Obama’s response to the oil spill? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Very satisfied 10 12 17 2 10 9 10 Somewhat satisfied 24 36 37 12 20 22 25 Somewhat dissatisfied 25 30 28 22 23 27 23 Very dissatisfied 36 21 13 59 37 38 34 Don't know 6 1 4 4 9 4 8

How long do you think it will take for the Gulf of Mexico overall to recover from the oil spill? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female About 6 months 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 6-12 months 7 2 13 3 6 8 7 1-5 years 24 21 27 27 19 25 23 5-10 years 18 25 15 22 17 19 17 10-20 years 16 17 16 16 15 17 15 20 + years 14 20 12 14 16 14 14 It will never recover 12 11 12 10 14 9 14 Don’t know 8 3 4 7 11 8 8

Do you think U.S. taxpayers will end up footing the bill for cleaning up the oil spill? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Yes 69 59 68 71 67 63 74 No 17 24 18 20 13 21 13 Don’t know 14 17 14 9 20 15 13

Do you think either Democrats or Republicans have taken political advantage of the oil spill? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Democrats only 9 4 5 19 2 10 7 Republicans only 10 15 15 6 8 13 8 Neither 29 42 30 27 29 28 29 Both 30 33 29 30 32 36 25 Don’t know 22 6 20 18 29 13 31

Do you think offshore drilling should continue? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Yes 52 49 36 71 49 65 40 No 30 39 46 14 28 21 38 Don’t know 18 12 17 15 23 14 22

Do you support offshore drilling more or less since the oil spill happened? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Support more than before 7 4 9 6 5 8 6 Support less than before 36 50 53 22 32 33 39 Support the same as before 46 45 31 64 45 53 40 Don’t know 11 1 7 9 18 7 16