U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-13 Page 1 of 4
ELECTRIC UTILITY PERFORMANCE RANKING MICHIGAN AMONGST THE STATES • 2019 EDITION U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-13 Page 2 of 4
U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-13 Page 3 of 4 The Citizens Utility Board of Michigan (CUB of MI) was formed in 2018 to represent the interests of residential energy customers across the state of Michigan. CUB of MI educates and engages Michigan consumers in support of cost-effective investment in energy efficiency and renewable energy and against unfair rate increase requests. CUB of MI gives a voice to Michigan utility customers and helps to ensure that citizens of the state pay the lowest reasonable rate for utility services and also benefit from the environmental implications of investment in clean energy. CUB of MI is a nonpartisan, nonprofit organization whose members are individual residential customers of Michigan’s energy utilities. For more information, visit www.cubofmichigan.org.
This report was prepared for Citizens Utility Board of Michigan by 5 Lakes Energy. 5 Lakes Energy is a Michigan-based policy consulting firm dedicated to advancing policies and programs that promote clean energy and sound water policy for a resilient environment. For more information, visit https://5lakesenergy.com/.
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U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-13 Page 4 of 4 Average minutes to restore power to a customer (CAIDI)
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U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 1 of 20
The True Value of Solar
Measuring the Benefits of Rooftop Solar Power U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 2 of 20
The True Value of Solar Measuring the Benefits of Rooftop Solar Power
Written by: Gideon Weissman Frontier Group Emma Searson and Rob Sargent Environment America Research and Policy Center
July 2019 U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 3 of 20
Acknowledgments
Environment America Research & Policy Center sincerely thanks Karl R. Rábago of the Pace Energy and Climate Center, John Farrell of the Institute for Local Self-Reliance, Kevin Lucas and Rachel Goldstein of the Solar Energy Industries Association and Nathan Phelps of Vote Solar for their review of this document. Thanks also to Tony Dutzik, Susan Rakov and Jonathan Sundby of Frontier Group for editorial support.
The authors bear responsibility for any factual errors. The recommendations are those of Environment America Research & Policy Center. The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views those who provided review.
2019 Environment America Research & Policy Center
Environment America Research & Policy Center is a 501(c)(3) organization. We are dedicated to protecting our air, water and open spaces. We investigate problems, craft solutions, educate the public and decision-makers, and help the public make their voices heard in local, state and national debates over the quality of our environment and our lives. For more information about Environment America Research & Policy Center or for additional copies of this report, please visit www.environmentamericacenter.org.
Frontier Group provides information and ideas to help citizens build a cleaner, healthier, fairer and more democratic America. We address issues that will define our nation’s course in the 21st century – from fracking to solar energy, global warming to transportation, clean water to clean elections. Our experts and writers deliver timely research and analysis that is accessible to the public, applying insights gleaned from a variety of disciplines to arrive at new ideas for solving pressing problems. For more information about Frontier Group, please visit www.frontiergroup.org.
Layout: Alec Meltzer/meltzerdesign.net
Cover photo: National Renewable Energy Laboratory U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 4 of 20
Table of Contents
Executive Summary ...... 1
Introduction ...... 3
The Value of Solar Power Has Important Implications for Renewable Energy Adoption ...... 4
Solar Power Delivers Important Environmental and Public Health Benefits ...... 5 Grid Benefits ...... 6 Societal Benefits ...... 7
Value-of-Solar Studies Should Account for All of Solar Energy’s Societal Benefits ...... 9
Conclusion and Recommendations ...... 12
Notes ...... 13 U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 5 of 20 Executive Summary
istributed solar energy is on the rise, gen- To help develop smart public policy around solar erating enough electricity to power more energy, many public utilities commissions, utilities than 6 million homes each year, and result- and other organizations have conducted or spon- ingD in annual carbon dioxide emission reductions sored “value-of-solar” studies that attempt to quan- equivalent to taking 4.4 million passenger vehicles tify the monetary value of the benefits delivered, and off the road.1 Public policy has been a key factor in costs imposed, by the addition of solar energy to the driving the growth of solar energy – recognizing the electric grid. Studies that include a full range of solar enormous benefits that solar power can provide both energy’s benefits – including benefits to the environ- today and in the future. ment and society – reliably conclude that the value of
Figure ES-1. The Benefits of Rooftop Solar Energy2
Benefit Category Benefit
Avoided electricity generation
Energy Reduced line losses
Market price response
Avoided capacity investment
Grid Capacity and Grid Investments Avoided transmission and distribution investment
Reduced need for grid support services
Reduced exposure to price volatility Risk and Reliability Benefits Improved grid resiliency and reliability
Compliance Reduced environmental compliance costs
Avoided greenhouse gas emissions
Avoided air pollution Environment Societal Health benefits
Avoided fossil fuel lifecycle costs
Economy Local jobs and businesses
Executive Summary 1 U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 6 of 20 those benefits approximates or exceeds the compen- exceeds the retail rate of electricity. Recent studies sation solar panel owners receive through policies from states including Maine, Pennsylvania and such as net metering. Arkansas have found that solar energy brings substantial environmental benefits, and that Many value-of-solar studies, however – especially rooftop solar owners would provide a net benefit those conducted by electric utilities – have left out key to society even with net metering compensation.3 benefits of solar energy. Policymakers and members of the public who consult these studies may be left with • Studies commissioned by electric utilities gener- a false impression of solar energy’s value to the grid ally fail to account for benefits beyond the grid, and society, with damaging results for public policy. resulting in far lower values of solar. A 2016 report published by Environment America Research and To make decisions that serve the public interest, Policy Center and Frontier Group reviewed value- policymakers should account for the full value of of-solar studies and found that, of 16 studies solar energy, including societal benefits to the reviewed, only eight accounted for avoided green- environment and public health. house gas emissions, and no studies commis- Rooftop solar energy brings a wide variety of sioned by utilities accounted for the value of solar benefits to the grid and to society. energy beyond the grid. The studies that left out societal benefits valued solar, on average, at 14.3 • Rooftop solar power generally adds value to the cents per kilowatt-hour, compared to 22.9 cents electric grid. It not only reduces the need for gener- for those studies that at least accounted for green- ation from and investment in central power plants, house gas emissions. but over the long lifetime of solar energy systems it also can increase price stability and grid reliability, Value-of-solar studies should account for all of and reduce environmental compliance costs. solar energy’s benefits to the grid and society.
• As a clean, emission-free energy source often • Policymakers must account for the societal value located on private property and built with of reduced power plant emissions, in particular considerable private, non-ratepayer investment, the value of avoided greenhouse gas emissions rooftop solar brings valuable societal benefits. and pollutants that contribute to the formation of Solar energy reduces global warming pollution, smog and soot. and also reduces emissions of dangerous air • Policymakers should also seek to account for pollutants such as nitrogen oxides, mercury and broader societal impacts of solar energy, including particulate matter. “upstream” impacts of fossil fuel production and Value-of-solar studies inconsistently account for use, such as methane emissions from fracking, and solar energy’s benefits, especially beyond the local economic development impacts. electric grid, resulting in dramatically different Public policy that fails to account for the full range of conclusions. benefits may deter the addition of solar power to the • Studies that include the benefits of solar energy grid, with ramifications for the environment, public beyond the grid generally find that its value health, and the operation of the electric grid.
2 The True Value of Solar U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 7 of 20 Introduction
he electricity system that powers our homes, tion and minimize harm to our health and environ- businesses and factories imposes heavy costs ment. But while many states aspire to least-cost utility on our environment and our health. These planning, and some even incorporate the social cost costsT accrue in a variety of ways. Particulate mat- of carbon into certain planning decisions, no state ter from burning coal harms our bodies, increases fully accounts for the external costs of electricity in mortality rates and strains the health care system.4 pricing or investment decisions.9 Fracking and coal mining degrade the environment, In the 20th century, the vast majority of electricity threaten water quality, and require expensive envi- was generated from fossil fuels at large, centralized ronmental rehabilitation.5 Each new ton of global power plants. Today, the availability of clean, afford- warming pollution – whether carbon dioxide from able renewable energy, coupled with the potential to power plants, or methane leaked from natural gas generate power close to where it is used, forces a re- wells – adds to the burden we and future genera- thinking of traditional ways of setting utility rates and tions will face from extreme weather, rising seas, and comparing the value of various options for generat- economic and societal disruption.6 ing electricity. The ways in which we choose to assign Most of these costs are quantifiable, and all are vast. value to various options for generating electricity will For instance, one U.S. Environmental Protection help to shape the electricity system of the future. It is Agency study found that the impact of fossil fuel critical that we get it right. electricity generation on premature mortality, lost As the following pages show, one important step work days, and health care costs add up to hundreds policymakers can take is to begin accurately assess- of billions of dollars each year.7 Per unit of energy, ing the costs and benefits of one of our most prom- these health costs alone often exceed the price we ising clean energy resources: rooftop solar energy. pay on our electric bill.8 By doing so, they can adhere to sound policymak- Policymakers have a variety of tools at their disposal ing principles, while putting the U.S. on a path to a to minimize the societal costs of electricity genera- cleaner, healthier and more prosperous future.
Introduction 3 U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 8 of 20 The Value of Solar Power Has Important Implications for Renewable Energy Adoption
hat is the value of solar energy? The difference can be dramatic. For example, a 2013 study by the Vermont Public Service Department In recent years, as distributed solar en- found that the costs and benefits of solar energy were ergy has grown into an important piece W approximately equal when environmental benefits of the American electricity system – now generat- were ignored. When greenhouse gas emissions were ing enough electricity to power more than 6 million accounted for, however, each kilowatt-hour of solar en- homes each year –policymakers, utilities, solar energy ergy generated brought a societal benefit of 4.3 cents.11 trade organizations and other energy policy experts have grappled with the question.10 Their attempts to The value attributed to solar energy – and how that calculate the cents per kilowatt-hour value of solar value is integrated into ratemaking and investment energy have had important ramifications – “value of decisions – has important implications for renew- solar” studies have been used as evidence for energy able energy adoption. Any homeowner or business policymaking that affects the speed and quantity of owner considering installing solar panels needs to solar energy adoption, which in turn affects the envi- compare the upfront cost of the investment with the ronment, public health, and the economy. likely utility bill savings over time – including both avoided electricity purchases and any compensation Authors of value-of-solar studies typically must paid by the utility for the excess solar power sup- contend with a variety of complex questions, but plied to the grid. Differences in the valuation of those the most important question is really the simplest: extra kilowatt-hours supplied to the grid can make What is the universe of benefits that will be included or break a distributed solar power project from a fi- and quantified in the analysis? Their answer can nancial perspective. This is reflected by the success of determine whether policymakers ultimately view net metering policies, which value solar energy at the solar energy as bringing a net benefit to society, with retail rate of electricity, in driving adoption of rooftop consequences for energy rates and the compensa- solar power. Of the 10 states that generated the most tion rooftop solar owners receive for excess energy small-scale solar energy per capita in 2017, all but two they feed to the grid. had a state net metering policy.12
4 The True Value of Solar U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 9 of 20 Solar Power Delivers Important Environmental and Public Health Benefits
ot all energy is created equal. Some energy The benefits of distributed solar power can be di- – like electricity generated by burning coal vided into two categories: benefits to the grid (which – imposes enormous costs on the public benefit utility ratepayers in their capacity as consum- Nand the environment, including air pollution, envi- ers) and benefits to the environment and society ronmental degradation and adverse health impacts. (which benefit ratepayers and others in their capacity Energy sources such as wind and solar power impose as residents and taxpayers). The following describes fewer environmental costs than fossil fuel sources, many of those benefits in detail. and can even reduce the cost of operating the grid.
Figure 1. The Benefits of Rooftop Solar Energy13
Benefit Category Benefit
Avoided electricity generation
Energy Reduced line losses
Market price response
Avoided capacity investment
Grid Capacity and Grid Investments Avoided transmission and distribution investment
Reduced need for grid support services
Reduced exposure to price volatility Risk and Reliability Benefits Improved grid resiliency and reliability
Compliance Reduced environmental compliance costs
Avoided greenhouse gas emissions
Avoided air pollution Environment Societal Health benefits
Avoided fossil fuel lifecycle costs
Economy Local jobs and businesses
Solar Power Delivers Important Environmental and Public Health Benefits 5 U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 10 of 20 Grid Benefits Market price response: Distributed solar energy also reduces the price of electricity by reducing overall Energy generated using solar panels on rooftops of demand on the grid, which can suppress wholesale homes and businesses benefits the electric grid. Not electricity prices.16 In other words, ratepayers not only only do solar panels reduce the need for electricity benefit when utilities must purchase less electricity to from central power plants, but the integration of dis- satisfy demand, but they also gain because each unit tributed clean energy resources can also help create a of electricity purchased becomes cheaper.17 These more modern, resilient and efficient grid. demand reduction-induced price effects can repre- sent an important value to ratepayers. Energy Avoided electricity costs: Solar energy sent to the grid Capacity and grid investments reduces the amount of electricity that utilities must Avoided capacity, transmission and distribution invest- generate or purchase from power plants. The value of ment: Expanding the amount of electricity we gener- this avoided electricity consumption is often greatest ate from the sun can defer or eliminate the need for in the summer months, when demand for electricity new grid capacity investments, particularly because rises due to increased air conditioning demand and demand for energy from the grid is often highest solar energy production is near its peak. Adding solar during the day when the sun is shining. By reducing energy to the system reduces the need to power up overall and peak demand, expanding solar energy expensive, often inefficient generators that run only production helps ratepayers and utilities avoid the a few times a year, or to purchase expensive peak cost of investing in new power plants, transmission power on wholesale markets, reducing the cost of and distribution lines, and other forms of electricity electricity for all ratepayers. infrastructure. Reduced line losses: Distributed solar energy also Reduced need for ancillary services: Solar energy reduces the amount of electricity lost as heat as it may also reduce certain costs of keeping the grid travels from large, centralized power plants to our running smoothly, including regulating voltage sockets. The U.S. Energy Information Administration and reducing the need to keep backup power estimated that the United States lost about $21 bil- plants running (“spinning reserves”). Solar energy lion worth of electricity in 2017, or 5 percent of the to- systems installed with “smart inverters” and other tal amount of electricity generated that year.14 These technologies that increase two-way communica- losses cause us to generate more electricity than we tion with the grid, for example, have the potential need, increasing costs for ratepayers. to improve grid operation and reduce the need for Rooftop solar PV systems drastically reduce the centralized grid support services.18 Without such amount of system losses by producing electricity on- equipment, solar energy may increase certain grid site, thereby reducing the amount of electricity trans- support costs. mitted and distributed through the grid. Solar power is particularly effective in reducing line losses because it reduces demand on grid infrastructure at times Risk and Reliability Benefits when line losses are highest. Line losses increase with Reduced exposure to price volatility: Fossil fuel price the square of the load on the distribution system, volatility has long been a concern for utilities and with losses as high as 30 percent during the high-load ratepayers alike, but the risk has become greater as hours when most solar output is delivered.15 power companies have shifted from coal to natural
6 The True Value of Solar U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 11 of 20 gas – a fuel with a history of price volatility.19 Because Societal Benefits solar panels, once installed, do not incur fuel costs, Solar panels provide valuable benefits to society integrating more solar energy capacity onto the beyond what is addressed by current electricity rates. electric grid can reduce exposure to sudden swings Namely, solar energy reduces the need for the extrac- in the price of fossil fuels or wholesale electricity. tion, transportation and combustion of fossil fuels, Research has shown that the risk of fuel price volatil- which impose heavy costs on the environment and ity is primarily borne by ratepayers, rather than utility public health. shareholders.20 Some utilities also engage in fuel price hedging strategies to ensure that a portion of electricity costs are stable. Solar energy can help en- Environment sure price stability, a contribution with financial value Avoided greenhouse gas emissions: In 2017, the elec- for utilities and grid users.21 tricity sector was responsible for 28 percent of all U.S. Improved grid resiliency and reliability: Solar panels greenhouse gas pollution.23 The generation of elec- create a more diverse and geographically dispersed tricity with both coal and natural gas has a substantial energy portfolio, and generate energy close to the climate impact. Although natural gas is less carbon point of consumption. These attributes may help intensive than coal at the point of combustion, the reduce congestion in transmission and distribution process of natural gas extraction and transportation systems, and create a more reliable grid less prone results in vast emissions of methane, a gas that traps to central disruptions, power outages or rolling approximately 86 times more heat in the atmosphere blackouts.22 than the same amount of carbon dioxide over a 20- year time frame.24
Compliance Research suggests that every metric ton of carbon dioxide released into the air causes $37 of economic Avoided environmental compliance costs: Adding and social damage.25 In 2017, the United States elec- solar energy to the grid allows local utilities and tric power sector emitted more than 1.7 billion metric municipalities to avoid some of the growing costs tons of carbon dioxide emissions, equivalent to more of compliance with environmental regulations. than $64 billion in economic and social damages.26 Increasing distributed solar energy capacity helps Solar energy, on the other hand, is renewable and utilities avoid or reduce the costs of installing emission-free, and avoids the costs of both future new technologies to curb air and water pollution damage and future environmental compliance. or installing renewable energy. Solar energy also reduces the costs of compliance with regulations Rooftop solar in particular is also fast and flexible to on criteria pollutants like sulfur dioxide and nitro- implement, making it an important tool for taking on gen oxides, as well as greenhouse gas reduction climate change. Residential rooftop projects typically programs such as the Regional Greenhouse Gas take just a few months from initial deposit to power Initiative in the northeastern U.S., California’s cap- generation.27 Distributed solar energy can also be in- and-trade program for greenhouse gas emissions, stalled in a wide variety of urban settings, including on and any future programs that may be adopted at rooftops and parking lot canopies, making it well-suit- the state or federal levels. ed for densely populated and energy-intensive regions.
Solar Power Delivers Important Environmental and Public Health Benefits 7 U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 12 of 20 Health benefits and avoided air pollution: Solar energy and risks chemical contamination of drinking water. reduces emissions of dangerous air pollutants such as Coal mining puts coal-worker health at risk, and has nitrogen oxides, mercury and particulate matter that caused environmental devastation including the harm public health.28 Solar energy production can loss of thousands of miles of streams.33 Burning coal reduce emissions beyond the level required by envi- generates millions of tons of coal ash that are often ronmental regulations, or address environmental and stored on site at power plants, threatening ground- public health threats that are inadequately regulated, water and occasionally resulting in catastrophic spills. providing value such as reduced illness and mortality. And thermoelectric power plants – coal, natural gas and nuclear – require water for cooling, and can have According to a 2018 report by the American Lung adverse effects on water resources and ecosystems.34 Association, 41 percent of Americans live in a county where air pollution often reaches dangerous levels.29 Air pollution is linked to increased incidence of asth- Economy ma and chronic bronchitis, and has also been shown Local jobs and businesses: The solar energy industry to cause hundreds of thousands of premature deaths has created thousands of new jobs and businesses per year.30 A typical coal-fired power plant without across the nation. As of November 2017, the solar en- technology to limit emissions sends 170 pounds of ergy industry employed more than 250,000 people, mercury – an extremely harmful neurological toxin – a 168 percent increase from 2010.35 The Bureau of into the air each year.31 Labor Statistics projects that solar installation jobs Expanding the nation’s ability to source clean elec- will be the nation’s fastest growing occupation in tricity from the sun reduces our dependence on fossil terms of total employment through 2026.36 There are fuels, and lessens the amount of harmful emissions more than 10,000 solar companies in the U.S., and that flow into the air we breathe. in 2017 the solar industry generated $17 billion of investment in the U.S. economy.37 Because rooftop Avoided fossil fuel lifecycle costs: Use of solar energy solar installations take place in our communities, they reduces the need for fossil fuels, which impose a generate local spending and opportunities for local steep cost on society not just at the point of com- businesses, and serve as visible reminders of the local bustion, but also during extraction and transporta- economic benefits of clean energy. tion.32 Natural gas drilling uses vast water resources,
8 The True Value of Solar U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 13 of 20 Value-of-Solar Studies Should Account for All of Solar Energy’s Societal Benefits
ood policymaking requires accurate in- ronmental benefits, should be included in valuations, formation, and accurately valuing energy as these were typically among the reasons for policy resources is a critical part of setting good enactment in the first place.”40 energyG policy. In Karl R. Rábago and Radina Valova’s Often, however, utilities present assessments of the 2018 Electricity Journal article attempting to deter- value of solar that exclude key benefits to society, the mine new principles for modern rate design, the environment, or the grid. In 2016, Environment Amer- authors contend that policymakers must work to ica and Frontier Group published Shining Rewards, “fully comprehend and reflect resource value in which assessed recent value-of-solar studies, mostly rates” through “conscious engagement with objec- either commissioned by public utility commissions tive, data-driven valuation processes.”38 For poli- or submitted as evidence in ratemaking cases. Of 16 cymakers to fully comprehend the value of solar, studies published, only eight accounted for avoided they must understand solar energy’s full range of greenhouse gas emissions, and only three accounted costs and benefits, including environmental, public for economic development benefits. No studies com- health, and other societal impacts – and incor- missioned by utilities accounted for the value of solar porate them appropriately into rate-setting and energy beyond the grid. investment decisions.
Many states already incorporate solar energy’s so- cietal and environmental benefits in value-of-solar studies. In Maine, for example, the state Legislature The societal benefits of [distributed solar required the public utilities commission to “determine generation] policies, such as job growth, the value of distributed solar energy generation” and in doing so to account for “the societal value of the health benefits and environmental benefits, reduced environmental impacts of the energy.”39 should be included in valuations, as these were typically among the reasons for policy The Interstate Renewable Energy Council, which works to provide energy regulators with best prac- enactment in the first place.” tices and other policy resources, has written that the “societal benefits of [distributed solar generation] - Interstate Renewable Energy Council policies, such as job growth, health benefits and envi-
Value-of-Solar Studies Should Account for All of Solar Energy’s Societal Benefits 9 U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 14 of 20 Those studies that left out societal benefits valued Meanwhile, at least two recent utility value-of-solar solar power, on average, at 14.3 cents per kilowatt- studies have accounted for the societal value of solar hour, compared to 22.9 cents for those studies that energy. A value-of-solar study conducted by Austin at least included greenhouse gas emissions.41 The Energy, a publicly owned utility that compensates difference is even starker when studies include public rooftop solar owners based on its calculated value of health, economic or other societal values. solar, accounts for the avoided carbon dioxide emis- sions using the social cost of carbon (as estimated by More recent value-of-solar studies from 2017 and the U.S. EPA).45 And in Minnesota, Xcel Energy’s 2019 2018 have also left out the societal value of solar value-of-solar tariff calculation includes avoided en- energy. South Carolina utilities, using a state-deter- vironmental costs that are based on the social cost of mined methodology, reported that solar generation carbon, and externality costs for non-CO2 emissions had zero value for avoided CO emissions, since they 2 developed by the Minnesota Public Utility Commis- only assessed avoided compliance costs.43 Oregon sion.46 Xcel Energy’s calculation was made using a utilities, also using a state-determined methodol- required, state-commissioned methodology.47 ogy, based avoided emission values on “anticipated environmental standards” – the estimated avoided In both studies, despite only including a subset of cost of compliance with future greenhouse gas stan- societal benefits, those benefits were found to be sig- dards – and therefore did not include the full societal nificant: Environmental benefits accounted for more benefits of avoided emissions.44 than 17 percent of the value of solar energy in Austin
40
35
30
25 Study Includes Some Societal Bene t Economic Development and Jobs Creation 20 Avoided Greenhouse Gas Emissions Societal Bene ts Cost of Environmental Compliance 15 Grid Resiliency 10 Reduced Financial Risks Grid
Bene ts Avoided Capital and Capacity Investment 5 Avoided Energy Costs Value of Solar Energy (Cents per kWh) Value Costs of Solar Integration 0 Miscellaneous -5 (U)—Studies written by, or commissioned by, utilities E3 (O) (PUC)—Studies written by, or commissioned by, public SAIC (U) Xcel (U) Acadia (O) utilities commissions CPR (NJ) (O) CPR (PA) (O) (O)—Studies written by, or commissioned by, non-utility CPR (Utah) (O) Synapse (PUC) CPR (Austin) (U) CPR/Xcel (PUC) organizations Maine PUC (PUC) SolarCity/NRDC (O) Vermont DPS (PUC) CPR (San Antonio)Crossborder (O) (AZ Crossborder2013) (AZ 2016)
Among 16 value-of-solar studies included in Environment America Research & Policy Center and Frontier Group’s 2016 report Shining Rewards, only eight accounted for any societal benefits, none conducted by or for utilities.42
10 The True Value of Solar U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 15 of 20 Energy’s analysis, and more than 33 percent in Xcel solar energy for the excess electricity they supply to Energy’s.48 Yet these substantial benefits are typically the grid. For example, a solar cost-benefit analysis left out of utility analyses. conducted for the Louisiana Public Service Commis- sion that did not include social benefits informed Failing to account for the full value of solar energy legislation that severely restricted Louisiana’s solar may have costly ramifications. Utility regulators, tax credit.49 legislators and the public are keenly focused on ensuring that utility rate-setting and investment deci- Understanding the full value of solar installations sions do not impose undue burdens on ratepayers. can help policymakers develop and implement ap- Value-of-solar studies that fail to include key societal, propriate tools to compensate owners of distributed environmental and grid benefits of solar power have solar projects for the value they provide. The full been used to undermine support for policies such as range of benefits to society needs to be reflected in net metering that compensate owners of distributed those policies.
Value-of-Solar Studies Should Account for All of Solar Energy’s Societal Benefits 11 U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 16 of 20 Conclusion and Recommendations
s policymakers consider the future of • The societal value of other avoided pollutants, America’s energy system, they should seek including criteria pollutants such as particulate to make decisions that serve the public matter, lead, and sulfur dioxide. Ainterest. In his seminal and oft-cited work on util- Policymakers should also seek to quantify and ac- ity ratemaking, Principles of Public Utility Rates, count for a broader set of societal impacts of solar James Bonbright defined “the theory of rates” as energy, including: “the systematic development of principles of rate- making policy, the complete or qualified observance • The local economic benefits of solar energy, of which would subserve the public interest or the including the creation of local jobs and businesses. social welfare.”50 • The societal value of avoided costs imposed by In 2019, serving the public interest means considering fossil fuels throughout their life cycle, including: the broad impacts of electricity generation, which is closely tied to many of America’s most pressing ºº Impacts from resource extraction, such as 52 environmental and public health challenges. In 2017, methane emissions associated with fracking. electricity generation accounted for 28 percent ºº Health care and mortality costs associated with of U.S. global warming emissions, and as America pollution from the entire fossil fuel lifecycle. moves toward the electrification of transportation and heating, the importance of clean electricity will ºº Potential impacts of accidents and spills associ- only increase.51 ated with fossil fuels, including coal ash, frack- ing and pipeline spills. When it comes to solar energy, that means basing policy decisions on studies that accurately and fully After accounting for the full value of solar, policymakers assess the impact of solar energy on the grid and so- should seek to ensure that electricity rates, investment ciety. Failing to account for solar energy’s full range of decisions, and other energy policies fully reflect their benefits is not only unsound policymaking, but also findings. There is precedent for ensuring that electricity risks putting America on a path to a less healthy, less rates incorporate societal costs and benefits beyond sustainable, and less prosperous future. energy costs, and doing so is both justifiable and neces- sary.53 In some cases, legislators may need to ensure that To craft energy policy that accurately reflects the state utility commissions have the authority to account value of solar energy resources, policymakers should for external costs and benefits in ratemaking decisions. account for the societal as well as the grid benefits of solar energy, specifically including: The decisions we make about our use of power not only impact the grid, but also our health, our quality of • The societal value of avoided greenhouse gas life, and our future. Energy policy should reflect that – emissions. after all, ratepayers are taxpayers and citizens too.
12 The True Value of Solar U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 17 of 20 Notes
1 Based on 2018 “small-scale solar photovoltaic” 5 Union of Concerned Scientists, The Hidden Costs generation and 2017 household electricity use, and of Fossil Fuels, archived on 11 May 2019 at http://web.ar- EPA emissions calculator https://www.eia.gov/electric- chive.org/web/20190511145203/https://www.ucsusa.org/ ity/data/browser/; https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq. clean-energy/coal-and-other-fossil-fuels/hidden-cost-of- php?id=97&t=3; https://www.epa.gov/energy/green- fossils. house-gas-equivalencies-calculator. 6 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, The 2 Based on a number of studies, including ICF, Social Cost of Carbon, archived on 26 March 2019 Review of Recent Cost-Benefit Studies Related to Net Me- at http://web.archive.org/web/20190326203039/ tering and Distributed Solar, https://www.icf.com/blog/ https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/climatechange/ energy/value-solar-studies; and Rocky Mountain Institute, social-cost-carbon_.html. A Review of Solar PV Benefit and Cost Studies nd2 Edition, 7 See note 4. September 2013, archived at https://web.archive.org/ web/20190614151829/https://rmi.org/wp-content/up- 8 Ibid. loads/2017/05/RMI_Document_Repository_Public-Reprts_ eLab-DER-Benefit-Cost-Deck_2nd_Edition131015.pdf. 9 Ibid.
3 Maine and Pennsylvania: Gideon Weissman, 10 Solar Energy Industries Association, U.S. Solar Frontier Group and Bret Fanshaw, Environment America Market Insight, 13 December 2018, archived on 5 March Research & Policy Center, Shining Rewards 2016 Edition, 2019 at http://web.archive.org/web/20190305024257/ October 2016; Arkansas: Arkansas Public Service Com- https://www.seia.org/us-solar-market-insight. mission Net-Metering Working Group, Joint Report and 11 Vermont Public Service Department, Evaluation Recommendations of The Net-Metering Working Group, of Net Metering in Vermont Conducted Pursuant to Act 125 15 September 2017, archived at https://web.archive.org/ of 2012, 15 January 2013, available at http://www.leg.state. web/20190201025654/http://www.apscservices.info/ vt.us/reports/2013ExternalReports/285580.pdf; see also: pdf/16/16-027-R_228_1.pdf Damian Pitt and Gilbert Michaud, “Assessing the Value of 4 Ben Machol and Sarah Rizk, “Economic Value of Distributed Solar Energy Generation”, Curr Sustainable Re- U.S. Fossil Fuel Electricity Health Impacts,” Environment newable Energy Rep, 2015, DOI:10.1007/s40518-015-0030-0. International, February 2013, https://doi.org/10.1016/j. envint.2012.03.003.
Notes 13 U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 18 of 20 12 Small-scale solar generation: U.S. Energy Infor- 18 Daymark Energy Advisors prepared for Mary- mation Administration, Electricity Data Browser, accessed at land Public Service Commission, Benefits and Costs of https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/ on 1 Febru- Utility Scale and Behind the Meter Solar Resources In Mary- ary 2019; net metering by state: N.C. Clean Energy Tech- land, 10 April 2018, archived at http://web.archive.org/ nology Center, DSIRE Net Metering Summary Map, April web/20180514201412/http://www.psc.state.md.us/wp- 2019, available at https://s3.amazonaws.com/ncsolarcen- content/uploads/MD-Costs-and-Benefits-of-Solar-Draft- prod/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/DSIRE_Net_Metering_ for-stakeholder-review.pdf. April2019.pdf; U.S. population by state: U.S. Census Bureau, 19 Union of Concerned Scientists, The Natural Gas Table 1. Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for the Gamble: A Risky Bet on America’s Clean Energy Future, March United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2010 to 2015. July 1, 2018 (NST-EST2018-01), December 2018, available at https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-kits/2018/pop- 20 Mark Bolinger, Lawrence Berkeley National estimates-national-state.html. Laboratory, Using Probability of Exceedance to Compare the Resource Risk of Renewable and Gas-Fired Generation, March 13 See note 2. 2017, available at http://eta-publications.lbl.gov/sites/de- 14 Line losses: U.S. Energy Information Administra- fault/files/lbnl-1007269.pdf. tion, United States Electricity Profile 2017: Table 10. Supply 21 Thomas Jenkin et al, National Renewable Energy and disposition of electricity, 1990 through 2017, 8 January Laboratory, Ray Byrne, Sandia National Laboratories, The 2019, available at https://www.eia.gov/electricity/state/ Use of Solar and Wind as a Physical Hedge against Price Vari- unitedstates/; average 2017 retail price of electricity was ability within a Generation Portfolio, August 2013. 10.48 cents per kWh: U.S. Energy Information Administra- tion, 22 Richard Perez et al., Clean Power Research pre- pared for Mid‐Atlantic Solar Energy Industries Association Electric Power Annual With Data for 2017: Table 2.4. Aver- and Pennsylvania Solar Energy Industries Association, The age Price of Electricity to Ultimate Customers, 22 October Value of Distributed Solar Electric Generation to New Jersey 2018, available at https://www.eia.gov/electricity/annual/. and Pennsylvania, November 2012, archived at http://web. 15 Lazar, J. and Baldwin, X., Valuing the Contribution archive.org/web/20170829111033/http://mseia.net/site/ of Energy Efficiency to Avoided Marginal Line Losses and wp-content/uploads/2012/05/MSEIA-Final-Benefits-of- Reserve Requirements, Regulatory Assistance Project, 2011. Solar-Report-2012-11-01.pdf. Also see: Rocky Mountain Institute, A Review of Solar PV Benefit and Cost Studies nd2 16 Michael Craig et al., “A Retrospective Analysis Edition, September 2013, archived at https://web.archive. of the Market Price Response to Distributed Photovoltaic org/web/20190614151829/https://rmi.org/wp-content/ Generation in California,” Energy Policy, 14 July 2018, doi: uploads/2017/05/RMI_Document_Repository_Public- 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.05.061. Reprts_eLab-DER-Benefit-Cost-Deck_2nd_Edition131015. 17 Paul Chernick, Resource Insight, Inc., John J. Plun- pdf. kett, Green Energy Economics Group Inc., Price Effects as a 23 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Sources Benefit of Energy-Efficiency Programs, 2014. of Greenhouse Gas Emissions, archived on 12 June 2019 at http://web.archive.org/web/20190612083429/https:// www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/sources-greenhouse-gas- emissions.
14 The True Value of Solar U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 19 of 20 24 Elizabeth Ridlington and Gideon Weissman, Fron- 33 Ibid. tier Group, Natural Gas and Global Warming, Summer 2016, 34 Kristen Averyt et al., Union of Concerned Scien- archived at http://web.archive.org/web/20161020192209/ tists, Freshwater Use by U.S. Power Plants: Electricity’s Thirst http://frontiergroup.org:80/sites/default/files/reports/ for a Precious Resource, November 2011, available at https:// full%20report%20-%20Frontier%20Group%20-%20 www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/our-energy-choices/en- Natural%20Gas%20and%20Global%20Warming%20-%20 ergy-and-water-use/freshwater-use-by-us-power-plants. July%202016.pdf; Gunnar Myhre et al., “Anthropogenic html. and Natural Radiative Forcing,” in T.F. Stocker et al. (eds.), Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribu- 35 The Solar Foundation, National Solar Jobs Census tion of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of 2017, January 2018. the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Cam- bridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cam- 36 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational bridge University Press, 2013), 714. Outlook Handbook – Fastest Growing Occupations, 12 April 2019, archived at http://web.archive.org/ 25 Peter Howard, Environmental Defense Fund, web/20190612165516/https://www.bls.gov/ooh/fastest- Institute for Policy Integrity and the Natural Resources growing.htm. Defense Council, Omitted Damages: What’s Missing from the Social Cost of Carbon, 13 March 2014. 37 Solar Energy Industries Association, Solar Industry Research Data, archived on 1 February 2019 at http://web. 26 Tons of carbon dioxide pollution multiplied by archive.org/web/20190201231745/https://www.seia.org/ $37. Electric power carbon dioxide emissions: U.S. Envi- solar-industry-research-data. ronmental Protection Agency, Greenhouse Gas Inventory Data Explorer, accessed at: https://cfpub.epa.gov/ghgdata/ 38 Karl R. Rábago and Radina Valova, “Revisiting inventoryexplorer/ on 13 June 2019. Bonbright’s Principles of Public Utility Rates in a DER World,” The Electricity Journal, October 2018, https://doi. 27 SEIA, Siting & Permitting, archived at web.archive. org/10.1016/j.tej.2018.09.004. org/web/20160916220218/http://www.seia.org/policy/ th power-plant-development/siting-permitting. 39 126 Maine Legislature, An Act to Support Solar Energy Development in Maine, enacted 24 April 2014. 28 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Air Pollut- ants, 1 June 2015, accessed at: www.epa.gov/air/airpollut- 40 Interstate Renewable Energy Council, A Regula- ants.html. tor’s Guidebook: Calculating the Benefits and Costs of Distrib- uted Solar Generation, October 2013, available at https:// 29 American Lung Association, State of the irecusa.org/2013/10/experts-propose-standard-valuation- Air 2018, 2018, archived at http://web.archive.org/ method-to-determine-benefits-and-costs-of-distributed- web/20190214160111/https://www.lung.org/our-initia- solar-generation/. tives/healthy-air/sota/key-findings/. 41 Gideon Weissman, Frontier Group and Bret 30 Ibid. Fanshaw, Environment America Research & Policy Cen- ter, Shining Rewards: The Value of Rooftop Solar Power for 31 Union of Concerned Scientists, Environmental Im- Consumers and Society - 2016 Edition, 18 October 2016, pacts of Coal Power: Air Pollution, accessed at www.ucsusa. available at https://frontiergroup.org/reports/fg/shining- org/clean_energy/coalvswind/c02c.html#.VW5vus9Viko, 2 rewards-0. June 2015. 42 Ibid. 32 See note 5.
Notes 15 U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-14 Page 20 of 20 43 South Carolina Office of Regulatory Staff,Status 49 Energy and Policy Institute, Louisiana Solar Energy Report on Distributed Energy Resource and Net Energy Meter- Attacked, date not given, archived at https://web.archive. ing Implementation, July 2017, available at https://www. org/web/20190614182149/https://www.energyandpolicy. scstatehouse.gov/reports/ORS/FINAL%20DER%20and%20 org/renewable-energy-state-policy-attacks-report-2015/ NEM%20Report%202017.pdf; further methodological louisiana-net-metering-attacked/; Brian Slodysko, “Law- details: Public Service Commission of South Carolina, IN RE: makers Curtail Louisiana’s Generous Solar Tax Break, Petition of the Office of Regulatory Staff to Establish Generic Cause Industry to Cry Foul,” Associated Press, 24 June 2015, Proceeding Pursuant to the Distributed Energy Resource available at https://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/ Program Act, Act No. 236 of 2014, Ratification No. 241, Senate news/politics/legislature/article_fc19cfdd-24d4-5f56- Bill No. 1189 - DOCKET NO. 2014-246-E - ORDER NO. 2015- a557-7a1e104188a5.html; Acadian Consulting Group on 194, available at https://dms.psc.sc.gov/Attachments/ behalf of Louisiana Public Service Commission, Estimating Order/29cf4369-155d-141f-23b1536c046aebc5. the Impact of Net Metering on LPSC Jurisdictional Ratepay- ers, 27 February 2015, archived at http://web.archive. 44 Jacob Goodspeed, Portland General Electric org/web/20171230032152/http://lpscstar.louisiana.gov/ Company, RE: UM 1912 - Portland General Electric Resource star/ViewFile.aspx?Id=f2b9ba59-eaca-4d6f-ac0b-a22b- Value of Solar Filing, 4 December 2017, archived at https:// 4b0600d5. web.archive.org/web/20190131205939/https://edocs.puc. state.or.us/efdocs/HAA/haa163313.pdf. 50 James C. Bonbright, Principles of Public Utility Rates, (New York: Columbia University Press, 1961), 27, 45 Austin Energy, 2018 Value of Solar (VOS) Up- available at https://www.raponline.org/wp-content/ date, May 2017, archived at https://web.archive.org/ uploads/2016/05/powellgoldstein-bonbright-principlesof- web/20190206034952/http://www.austintexas.gov/edims/ publicutilityrates-1960-10-10.pdf. document.cfm?id=277018. 51 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Sources 46 Xcel Energy 2019 Value of Solar calculation: of Greenhouse Gas Emissions, archived on 18 May 2019 at See Minnesota Public Utilities Commission docket no. http://web.archive.org/web/20190518043422/https:// E002/M-13-867, available at https://www.edockets.state. www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/sources-greenhouse-gas- mn.us/EFiling/edockets/searchDocuments.do?method=sh emissions, owPoup&documentId={F06EBB69-0000-C012-9D35-422A1 9F427EA}&documentTitle=20193-151380-01; state meth- 52 See note 24. odology: Minnesota Department of Commerce, Division 53 For example, the New Jersey Societal Benefit of Energy Resources, Minnesota Value of Solar: Method- Charge: New Jersey’s Clean Energy Program, Societal ology, 9 April 2014, archived at http://web.archive.org/ Benefits Charge (SBC), archived on 28 September 2018 at web/20170521032153/http://mn.gov/commerce-stat/pdfs/ http://web.archive.org/web/20180928201733/http://www. vos-methodology.pdf. njcleanenergy.com:80/societal-benefits-charge. 47 Ibid.
48 See note 45 and note 46.
16 The True Value of Solar U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-15 Page 1 of 6 AJPH ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE
Disparities in Distribution of Particulate Matter Emission Sources by Race and Poverty Status
Ihab Mikati, BS, Adam F. Benson, MSPH, Thomas J. Luben, PhD, MSPH, Jason D. Sacks, MPH, and Jennifer Richmond-Bryant, PhD
Objectives. To quantify nationwide disparities in the location of particulate matter cardiovascular diseases as well as premature 6–8 (PM)-emitting facilities by the characteristics of the surrounding residential population mortality. Although proximity to facilities and to illustrate various spatial scales at which to consider such disparities. emitting PM is not a direct measure of ex- Methods. We assigned facilities emitting PM in the 2011 National Emissions Inventory posure, it is a valuable metric. Unlike natural to nearby block groups across the 2009 to 2013 American Community Survey population. events that contribute to ambient PM, such as wildfires, the siting of a facility is the result of We calculated the burden from these emissions for racial/ethnic groups and by poverty a decision-making process. Disparities in siting status. We quantified disparities nationally and for each state and county in the country. may indicate underlying disparities in the Results. For PM of 2.5 micrometers in diameter or less, those in poverty had 1.35 times power to influence that process. For example, higher burden than did the overall population, and non-Whites had 1.28 times higher an Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) burden. Blacks, specifically, had 1.54 times higher burden than did the overall population. investigation in Flint, Michigan, found a direct These patterns were relatively unaffected by sensitivity analyses, and disparities held not link between racial discrimination and the only nationally but within most states and counties as well. permitting of a power station there, stating, Conclusions. Disparities in burden from PM-emitting facilities exist at multiple geo- “The preponderance of evidence supports a graphic scales. Disparities for Blacks are more pronounced than are disparities on the finding of discriminatory treatment of African basis of poverty status. Strictly socioeconomic considerations may be insufficient to Americans by [the Department of Environ- reduce PM burdens equitably across populations. (Am J Public Health. 2018;108:480– mental Quality] in the public participation process.”9 485. doi:10.2105/AJPH.2017.304297) We aimed to quantify nationwide disparities in the distribution of PM-emitting facilities by See also Houston, p. 441. the characteristics of the surrounding residential populations and to illustrate various spatial scales at he inequitable distribution of hazardous those in poverty than for those above the whichtoconsidersuchdisparities.Previouslit- T fi sites such as land lls and industrial fa- poverty line, whereas the disparity for non- erature has shown that non-Whites and below- cilities is one of the longest-standing concerns Whites (37% higher concentrations than for poverty individuals are more likely to reside near in the field of environmental justice. More 3 10 Whites) was substantially greater. stationary sites of PM2.5 emissions ; we sought to than 3 decades ago in one of the earliest There is considerable evidence concerning updateandexpandonthesefindings. environmental justice studies, the US gov- human health impacts of residential proximity ernment reported a disproportionately high to facilities emitting air pollutants.4 One such representation of socially disadvantaged pollutant is particulate matter (PM), a mixture populations residing in communities near of solid and liquid particles suspended in the landfills.1 Disparities in residential proximity METHODS air.5 Exposure to PM (PM £ 10 mmindi- to pollution sources have been evaluated in 10 We combined facility emissions data with ameter) and especially to PM (PM £ 2.5 mm terms of income level and poverty as well as 2.5 demographic data to investigate racial/ethnic race/ethnicity. A nationally representative in diameter) has been associated with a number and economic disparities in residential 1986 sample found that Blacks were 1.54 of health effects, including respiratory and proximity to sources of air pollution. times more likely than were Whites to live within 1 mile of a facility listed in the Toxics ABOUT THE AUTHORS Release Inventory—a gap that remained Ihab Mikati and Adam F. Benson are participants in the Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education research training program fi stationed with the National Center for Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, US Environmental statistically signi cant even after accounting Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. Thomas J. Luben, Jason D. Sacks, and Jennifer Richmond-Bryant are staff for income and education level.2 The dis- members with the National Center for Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, US Environmental tributions of specific air pollutants, and not Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. Correspondence should be sent to Ihab Mikati, ORISE Program participant at the National Center for Environmental Assessment, just the facilities emitting them, also reflect Office of Research and Development, US Environmental Protection Agency—109 T.W. Alexander Drive, Research Triangle Park, racial disparities. For example, mean resi- NC 27709 (e-mail: [email protected]; please cc: [email protected] to ensure receipt). Reprints can be ordered at http:// www.ajph.org by clicking the “Reprints” link. dential ambient nitrogen dioxide concen- This article was accepted December 16, 2017. trations in 2010 were about 7% higher for doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2017.304297
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Data Sources hazards relative to those in large rural tracts.15 Sensitivity Analyses We accessed population data via the US To address this, we used a distance-based We conducted several sensitivity analyses Census Bureau’s 2009 to 2013 American “centroid-containment” assignment in- to address the potential for small methodo- 15 Community Survey (ACS).11 The ACS stead. We assigned each facility and its logical changes to bias our results. To examine provides self-reported data on racial/ethnic corresponding emissions (in tons per year) to whether disparities were consistent at various identification and poverty status at the census all census block groups containing a centroid distances from emissions sources, we used block group level for all 50 states and within a set radius of the facility’s geographic assignment radii at 0.50, 1.25, and 5.00 miles Washington, DC. The block group is a single coordinates. We analyzed radii ranging from as alternatives to the 2.50-mile centroid- level of resolution finer than the census tract 0.5 to 5.0 miles; in our main analysis, we used containment radius in the main analysis. To and commonly contains 600 to 3000 a 2.5-mile radius, following the NEI facility address whether the reported disparities were 10 residents. assignment of Boyce and Pastor. We assigned driven by assignments in extremely sparse or For our analyses, “White” refers to only facilities and emissions meeting the centroid- dense areas, we repeated the main analysis non-Hispanic Whites; “non-White” refers to containment criteria for a block group to the after eliminating the largest and smallest decile all others. Included in the latter group are Black population residing within that block group. of block groups (by area). An additional (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic (any race). The We measured the between-group differ- analysis ensured that facilities were always Census Bureau determines poverty status by ences in residential proximity to facilities and assigned to their host block group by com- comparing household income to a threshold facility emissions by using 2 metrics: the ab- bining the centroid-containment assignment that varies by household size and composition.12 solute burden (i.e., the average number of with the traditional unit–hazard coinci- Because there are differences between facilities or average amount of PM, in tons/ dence; this helped us address concerns that rural and urban areas both in industrialization year, emitted within a set distance from an centroid-containment assignment could un- and in demographic composition, we also individual’s block group centroid) and the derestimate the burden in rural areas, where noted rural–urban status for all block groups. proportional burden (i.e., the ratio between facilities may be far from their host block We made rural–urban status determinations a demographic subgroup’s average burden group’s centroid. from the US Department of Agriculture’s and that of the overall population). We repeated the main analysis using racial/ rural–urban commuting area (RUCA) codes To determine average absolute burden ethnic population data from the 2010 De- for 2010.13 These codes are determined on (Equation 1) for demographic subgroups, we cennial Census (poverty data unavailable for the basis of census tract–level population multiplied the emissions (or total number of this data set) to show that disparities were not density, urbanization, and daily commuting facilities) assigned to each block group by specific to the census methodology of the levels; they can be used to distinguish be- the subgroup’s population size. We divided ACS. We considered recent shifts in pollution tween metropolitan and micropolitan urban the sum of this value across block groups data by substituting the 2008 or 2014 NEI in centers, commuting (suburban) areas, small by the total subgroup population, similar to place of the 2011 data set. To gauge general towns, and rural areas.13 previous studies.10,16,17 applicability to other emissions, we also an- We collected emissions data on stationary ð1Þ Absolute Burden alyzed other criteria air pollutants available human-made point sources from the US P in the NEI: carbon monoxide (CO), lead ðPopulation · Emissions Þ P BlockGroup BlockGroup EPA National Emissions Inventory (NEI) ¼ (Pb), oxides of nitrogen (NOX), and sulfur PopulationBlockGroup “Facility-level by Pollutant” files for 2011, dioxide (SO2). the year most closely aligned to the census We calculated proportional burdens data we used for our analysis.14 This data (Equation 2) by dividing the absolute burden source allowed us to consider not just the in a subgroup of the population by the ab- presence or absence of a facility but also the solute burden in the overall population. amount of the pollutant emitted. We con- RESULTS Scores above 1.0 indicate that the subgroup sidered annual NEI totals, in tons per year, for On average, there are 5.7 NEI facilities experienced higher burden than would be primary PM and primary PM . within 2.5 miles of an individual’s census 2.5 10 expected in a perfectly equitable scenario. block group centroid (i.e., a facility burden ð Þ 2 Proportional BurdenSubgroup of 5.7). For an individual in the overall Data Analysis US population, the mean absolute burden ¼ Absolute BurdenSubgroup The spatial size (i.e., land area) of block of PM2.5 and PM10 emitted from nearby Absolute BurdenOverall groups can vary substantially between urban facilities is 22.4 and 29.2 tons per year, re- and rural areas because of the block group’s We carried out all data management and spectively. As reported in Table 1, non- restricted population range. As population analysis by using R software version 3.1.2 Whites and those living in poverty face densities increase and block groups shrink in (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, a disproportionate burden from PM-emitting urban areas, assignment via “unit–hazard Vienna, Austria; packages used: dplyr, tidyr, facilities. Blacks in particular are likely to live coincidence” (the matching of a site to its host bit64, data.table for data management; tigris in high-emission areas; the average PM2.5 unit and no others, regardless of proximity) for block group coordinates; Hmisc for cal- burden in this group is 1.54 times that of the may underestimate the number of nearby culation of correlations). population overall. It is notable that this racial
April 2018, Vol 108, No. 4 AJPH Mikati et al. Peer Reviewed Research 481 U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-15 Page 3 of 6 AJPH ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE
TABLE 1—Mean Absolute and Proportional Burdens From Facilities Emitting PM in the 2011 National Emissions Inventory, Selected Subgroups: American Community Survey, United States, 2009–2013
PM2.5 Burden, PM10 Burden, Facility Burden, Variable Proportion of Population, % Absolute (Proportional) Absolute (Proportional) Absolute (Proportional) Overall population 1.00 22.4 (. . .) 29.2 (. . .) 5.7 (. . .) Race/ethnicitya White 0.63 18.8 (0.84) 24.7 (0.85) 4.1 (0.72) Non-White 0.37 28.6 (1.28) 37.0 (1.27) 8.5 (1.49) Black 0.12 34.5 (1.54) 43.6 (1.49) 6.2 (1.09) Hispanic 0.17 26.9 (1.20) 35.9 (1.23) 9.8 (1.70) Poverty level Above poverty 0.85 20.9 (0.93) 27.2 (0.93) 5.5 (0.95) Below poverty 0.15 30.3 (1.35) 39.3 (1.35) 7.2 (1.26)
Note. PM = particulate matter; PM2.5 = PM of £ 2.5 mm in diameter; PM10 = PM of £ 10 mm in diameter. Poverty level determined by the US Census Bureau in 2013. Burdens represent the PM emissions or the number of facilities in the 2011 National Emissions Inventory that are near the block group of residenceforan average individual in the 2009–2013 American Community Survey population. Absolute burden units for PM emissions are tons/year; for facilities, they are the total number. Proportional burden is the ratio of subgroup burden to overall population burden. a“White” refers to only non-Hispanic Whites; “non-White” refers to all others. Included in the latter group are Black (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic (any race).
disparity is larger than is the poverty-based subgroups. Because of a highly nonnormal Whites (8.7 tons/year) is less than is half the
PM2.5 disparity (1.35 times the overall pop- distribution, individuals residing in block absolute burden for equivalent non-Whites ulation average). Proportional burdens for groups with emissions above the overall mean (20.1 tons/year).
PM2.5 are highly similar to those for PM10, are among the top 15% most burdened. The proportional PM2.5 burden for non- but this is not true for proportional burdens in Across the distribution, the gap in burden Whites at the national level is 1.28 (Table 1). the total number of facilities. This difference between those above and those below the This indicates that high non-White pop- suggests that the magnitude of emissions from poverty line is smaller than is the gap between ulations coincide with high emissions na- a facility, and not simply its presence or ab- Whites and non-Whites. At the 50th per- tionally. Burdens can also be considered sence, is valuable information when charac- centile, Whites have an absolute PM2.5 within finer spatial scales—for example, the terizing burden. burden below 0.1 tons per year—more than ratio of burdens between non-Whites and the Figure 1 illustrates the population-wide an order of magnitude below the burden of overall population in a particular state or distribution of absolute PM2.5 burden for the any of their non-White counterparts. At the county. Disparities operate in different ways overall population as well as for several 80th percentile, the absolute burden for at each scale, yet overall higher burdens for non-Whites are a consistent outcome at both state (Figure A, part a [available as a supple- 10 000 Overall Hispanic ment to the online version of this article at 1000 White Above poverty http://www.ajph.org]) and county (Figure Black Below poverty A, part b) levels. All but 4 states (Maryland, 100 New Mexico, North Dakota, and West (Mean: 22.4) Virginia) and Washington, DC, have an 10 elevated mean PM2.5 burden for the non- 1.0 White population (i.e., proportional burdens > 1.0). Comparing the White and non-White 0.1 burdens across all states confirms a statistically significant overall difference in absolute Absolute Burden, Tons/Year 0.0 PM burdens (paired t test mean of 0 20 40 60 80 100 2.5 differences = –11.04 (–15.30, –6.79); – Percentile in Total Population t(50) = –5.22; P < 10 5). Likewise, the ma-
Note. PM2.5 = particulate matter of 2.5 micrometers in diameter or less. Burden scale (y-axis) is displayed jority of counties have higher absolute PM2.5 logarithmically. Poverty level determined by the US Census Bureau in 2013. burdens for their non-White residents (paired t test mean of differences = –3.43 (–4.37, –2.48); — – FIGURE 1 Distribution of Absolute Burdens of PM2.5 Emissions From Nearby Facilities in the t(3140) = –7.12; P < 10 11). fi 2011 National Emissions Inventory, Strati ed by Race/Ethnicity and Poverty Status: We recognized rural–urban status as American Community Survey, United States, 2009–2013 a potential modifier because of the
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industrialization of cities combined with 2014 NEI by a mean of 11.7 tons per year in including all facilities hosted in a block group, the high representation of non-Whites in the overall population (i.e., a 38% drop over regardless of distance to centroid; and using population-dense centers. For this reason, we the 6-year interval). This drop was slightly 2010 Decennial Census data instead of the used the RUCA codes to characterize and smaller (33%) for Blacks and slightly greater 2009 to 2013 ACS. The results of these an- stratify block groups by rural–urban status (41%) for Hispanics. Despite large drops in alyses were largely consistent with the original (Table A [available as a supplement to the absolute burden for all groups, proportional analysis, suggesting robustness in results de- online version of this article at http://www. burdens appear stagnant. The proportional spite alterations in methodology (Table C ajph.org]). As shown in Figure 2, the overall PM2.5 burden of 1.61 for Blacks in the 2014 [available as a supplement to the online national burdens are largely driven by high NEI is higher than are the proportional version of this article at http://www.ajph. emissions in the metropolitan and micro- burdens in the 2011 NEI (1.54; Table 1) and org]). Extending the analysis to other criteria politan cores (those with populations of at the 2008 NEI (1.50; Table B). Data are also pollutants tracked by the NEI (CO, Pb, least 50 000 and those with populations of at provided using the 2012 to 2016 ACS and NOX, and SO2) also remained largely con- least 10 000 but less than 50 000, respectively). 2014 NEI (Table B). However, because sistent with PM results with few exceptions Although those living above the poverty comparison of overlapping ACS data sets is (Table D [available as a supplement to the line do experience a lower burden than do advised against,18 this analysis is limited in that online version of this article at http://www. those below it within these urban areas, the it considers only changes in PM2.5 emissions ajph.org]). The block group Spearman cor- disparities in emissions are especially pro- and not changes in demographics during this relation of CO, Pb, NOX, and SO2 to PM2.5 nounced for Blacks—reinforcing the overall time span. It is not possible to determine assignments were 0.92, 0.77, 0.94, and 0.93, finding that racial disparities appear to be a causal relationship for changes over time respectively (Table E [available as a supple- markedly higher than are poverty-based from this analysis. Although there is evidence ment to the online version of this article at disparities. that lower property values attract minority http://www.ajph.org]); the amount of PM2.5 We also explored recent changes in populations after siting, high representation of emitted near a block group is likely a general emission distributions by considering avail- those groups generally also exists before the indicator of the overall emissions in that area. able NEI year data for a 6-year range (Table B siting of a facility in an area.19 [available as a supplement to the online We performed sensitivity analyses by re- version of this article at http://www.ajph. peating the main analysis after adjusting the org]). Absolute PM2.5 burden dropped for all centroid-containment radius; removing the DISCUSSION examined subgroups between the 2008 and smallest and largest decile of block groups; We characterized the populations residing near NEI facilities to determine whether individuals from certain subgroups face dis- Overall population Hispanic proportionately high burden from nearby PM 50 White Above poverty RUCA Description emissions. We observed disproportionately Black Below poverty 1 Metropolitan core 2 Metropolitan high-commuting high burdens for non-Whites and those living 3 Metropolitan low-commuting 40 in poverty (Table 1; Figure 1). Disparities 4 Micropolitan core 5 Micropolitan high-commuting for non-Whites persist at multiple scales: 6 Micropolitan low-commuting nationally, in the vast majority of states 7 Small town core 30 8 Small town high-commuting (Figure A, part a) and in the majority of in- 9 Small town low-commuting dividual counties (Figure A, part b). The lack 10 Rural of individual-level data on the intersection of 20 racial/ethnic identification and poverty status limited our ability to make direct compari- sons; however, overall, racial disparities for 10
Absolute Burden, Tons/Year both PM2.5 and PM10—specifically between Blacks and Whites—are stronger than are 0 poverty-based disparities (Table 1). This is Overall 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 a consistent observation even when consid- RUCA Code ering urban Whites and Blacks alone (Figure 2). PM2.5 and PM10 disparities for Hispanics Note. PM2.5 = particulate matter of 2.5 micrometers in diameter or less; RUCA = rural–urban commuting area. are less pronounced or consistent but still Dashed line indicates mean overall burden for all groups in the United States (22.4 tons/year). The US Department of Agriculture defines and assigns RUCA codes. Poverty level determined by the US Census Bureau present. The diversity within the Hispanic in 2013. population, which includes both native-born persons and recent immigrants from a variety — fi FIGURE 2 RUCA-Strati ed Absolute Burdens of PM2.5 Emissions From Nearby Facilities in of countries, has made the catchall “Hispanic” fi the 2011 National Emissions Inventory, Further Strati ed by Race/Ethnicity and Poverty designation vexing for public health Status: American Community Survey, United States, 2009–2013 research.20,21
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Our main finding of national disparities et al.2 found a disproportionately high areas. Because of the higher representation of
in PM2.5 burdens by race is consistent with number of Black residences near polluting the non-White population in urban areas, that of Boyce and Pastor,10 who carried out facilities in Midwestern metropolitan areas— centroid containment offers a more appro-
a similar analysis on PM2.5 using the 2008 NEI much more so than in Southern cities and in priate characterization of Black burdens na- and reported results equivalent to a pro- rural areas. No single scale can be considered tionally. We took several sensitivity measures portional burden of 1.25 for non-Whites best for grouping populations. In this case, to address the potential resulting un- (compared with our finding of 1.28). Such results at national, state, and county scales all derestimates of burdens in rural areas. In one disparities in residential proximity to sites of indicate that non-Whites tend to be burdened analysis, we combined unit–hazard co- pollution potentially correspond to disparities disproportionately to Whites. incidence with centroid containment to – in a range of health outcomes.22 24 calculate burdens; in others, we varied the
Exposure to PM2.5 has been linked to containment radius between 0.5 and 5.0 – increased morbidity and mortality.6 8 Al- Strengths and Limitations miles. Neither of these alterations to the though our study focused on point source Our methodology has advantages as well as methodology substantially changed the values
emissions and not on ambient PM2.5, the limitations. We relied on proximity to sta- reported in the main analysis, suggesting racial disparity in burdens from nearby facil- tionary, human-made point sources of pri- a robust result (Table C). Furthermore, ities parallels the disparities seen in both mary PM emissions rather than ambient even limiting analysis only to urban areas, modeled16 (Table F [available as a supplement concentrations. Because there is a collection a Black individual living in a metropolitan or to the online version of this article at http:// of other factors that may affect ambient PM micropolitan core has a higher burden than www.ajph.org]) and monitored17 ambient concentrations—including natural events, does her urban White counterpart (Figure 2).
PM2.5 concentration data. Disparities in ex- roadway activity, and the formation of sec- An additional strength of our analysis is the posure between Blacks and Whites have been ondary PM from precursor pollutants—this inclusion of the total amount of pollutants reported to be greater than are disparities on metric should not be interpreted as a direct emitted at each site, as opposed to only the the basis of poverty status,16 whether con- measure of PM exposure. Aggregation of presence or absence of a nearby facility. As sidering only urban, suburban, or rural census burdens to the census tract level allowed us seen in Table 1, the proportional burden in tracts.17 This potential increase in exposure to compare our absolute burden assignments facility number for Blacks is only 1.09; the
for the Black population coupled with higher to EPA’s Fused Air Quality Surface Using proportional burdens in total PM2.5 (1.54) 29 prevalence of conditions such as cardiovas- Downscaling model of PM2.5 daily con- and PM10 (1.49) are much higher. This is cular disease mortality25 and asthma,26 which centration averages for 2011. Despite the consistent with studies suggesting that scaling are known to be linked to PM exposure, presence of small racial disparities in resi- sites by the amount of pollution emitted 32 makes for a population of concern. Equiva- dential ambient PM2.5 for the contiguous can further reinforce findings of inequity. lent increases in PM2.5 have been linked to United States (Table F), mean ambient PM2.5 The difference between disparities in facility statistically significantly higher associations in concentration and tract PM2.5 burden from number and disparities in total PM implies Blacks than in Whites for health outcomes emissions were only weakly correlated that the few extra facilities near the average ranging from asthma attacks27 to overall (Spearman r = 0.30). However, there are Black residence tend to be among the highest mortality.28 In the US Medicare population, benefits to understanding proximity that go emitters. The distribution shown in Figure 1 Blacks who are not eligible for Medicaid (a beyond direct health impacts, including suggests that a relatively small proportion of proxy for higher economic status) have higher monetary reasons. Nearby pollution- the US population bears the vast majority of
PM2.5-related mortality risk than do Whites generating sites are a tangible and accessible burden from PM2.5 emissions. Analysis on the who are eligible.28 marker of pollution, and residents’ awareness basis of the EPA’s Toxic Release Inventory Our analysis considered disparities at var- of such sites is demonstrated by the negative shows that extremely high-polluting “toxic ious scales. Racial disparity at the national effect on housing values.30 outliers” tend to exist in places with higher scale is driven by high emissions in areas with Our method of assignment was to link non-White and low-income populations.33 high non-White populations. However, areas facilities to all block groups that had a centroid with a proportionately higher White pop- within a set radius of the coordinates given in ulation may still be internally inequitable. The the NEI. Centroid-containment and other Public Health Implications few non-Whites who do reside in such an area distance-based methods employing circular This research demonstrates an aspect of are disproportionately likely to live near buffers are better equipped than is unit– a multifaceted public health problem faced by a source of PM emissions. Figure A, part hazard coincidence (i.e., the assignment of marginalized groups. As was exemplified in a highlights such areas; the largely White point sources to only their host census unit) in the EPA’s investigation of racially discrimi- Midwestern states contain some of the most assigning nearby hazards to a population.15,31 natory treatment in a public participation 9 disproportionately high internal PM2.5 bur- Unit–hazard coincidence inherently de- process, the lack of political capital is an den for non-Whites. Indiana, for instance, emphasizes the impact of facilities near bor- obstacle to obtaining more desirable living is more than 80% White, but the dis- ders, which becomes increasingly important conditions. In addition, social and economic proportionality in non-White burden is in small, dense, urban block groups. The challenges can lead marginalized people to greater there than in any other state. Mohai result is an overrepresentation of large, rural further populate an area made less desirable by
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proximity to sources of pollution.19 The the Americans’ Changing Lives Study. Am J Public Health. 19. Mohai P, Saha R. Which came first, people or pol- – potential health effects of the resulting en- 2009;99(suppl 3):S649 S656. lution? Assessing the disparate siting and post-siting de- 3. Clark LP, Millet DB, Marshall JD. Changes in mographic change hypotheses of environmental injustice. vironmental burdens on these groups should Environ Res Lett. 2015;10:115008. transportation-related air pollution exposures by race- be considered in conjunction with existing ethnicity and socioeconomic status: outdoor nitrogen 20. Borrell LN. Racial identity among Hispanics: im- health disparities: access to health care has dioxide in the United States in 2000 and 2010. Environ plications for health and well-being. Am J Public Health. – well-documented disparities by race/eth- Health Perspect. 2017;125(9):097012. 2005;95(3):379 381. nicity,34 and the prevalence of certain diseases 4. Brender JD, Maantay JA, Chakraborty J. Residential 21. Palloni A, Arias E. Paradox lost: explaining the proximity to environmental hazards and adverse health Hispanic adult mortality advantage. Demography. 2004; is notably higher in non-White pop- outcomes. Am J Public Health. 2011;101(suppl 1): 41(3):385–415. 25,26 – ulations. Along with other inequitable S37 S52. 22. Maantay J. Asthma and air pollution in the Bronx: social and physical determinants of health, 5. US Environmental Protection Agency. Particulate methodological and data considerations in using GIS for these interlocking mechanisms must all be matter (PM) basics. Available at: https://www.epa.gov/ environmental justice and health research. Health Place. 2007;13(1):32–56. addressed to establish environmental and pm-pollution/particulate-matter-pm-basics. Accessed April 6, 2017. 23. Kouznetsova M, Huang X, Ma J, Lessner L, Carpenter public health justice. 6. Franklin M, Zeka A, Schwartz J. Association between DO. Increased rate of hospitalization for diabetes and We have presented a framework with PM2.5 and all-cause and specific-cause mortality in 27 US residential proximity of hazardous waste sites. Environ – which to consider the racial and economic communities. J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol. 2006;17(3): Health Perspect. 2007;115(1):75 79. disparities in residential proximity to sources 279–287. 24. Choi HS, Shim YK, Kaye WE, Ryan PB. Potential of pollution in the United States. We have 7. Pope CA, Dockery DW. Health effects of fine par- residential exposure to toxics release inventory chemicals ticulate air pollution: lines that connect. J Air Waste Manag during pregnancy and childhood brain cancer. Environ – shown that a focus on poverty to the ex- Assoc. 2006;56(6):709–742. Health Perspect. 2006;114(7):1113 1118. clusion of race may be insufficient to meet the 8. Brook RD, Rajagopalan S, Pope CA, et al. Particulate 25. Mensah GA, Mokdad AH, Ford ES, Greenlund KJ, needs of all burdened populations. Applica- matter air pollution and cardiovascular disease: an update Croft JB. State of disparities in cardiovascular health in the – tion of this knowledge can be a valuable to the scientific statement from the American Heart United States. Circulation. 2005;111(10):1233 1241. – resource in improving equity. Disparity Association. Circulation. 2010;121(21):2331 2378. 26. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Trends in 9. US Environmental Protection Agency. 01R-94-R5 asthma prevalence, health care use, and mortality in the persists at multiple scales of observation, – MDEQ closure letter. 2017. Available at: https://www. United States, 2001 2010. 2012. Available at: https:// and this suggests that solutions can also be epa.gov/ocr/01r-94-r5-mdeq-closure-letter. Accessed www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db94.htm. Accessed April 17, 2017. approached on multiple levels. March 24, 2017. 27. Nachman KE, Parker JD. Exposures to fine particulate 10. Boyce JK, Pastor M. Clearing the air: incorporating air CONTRIBUTORS air pollution and respiratory outcomes in adults using two quality and environmental justice into climate policy. national datasets: a cross-sectional study. Environ Health. I. Mikati led project design, data analysis, and writing. Clim Change. 2013;120(4):801–814. A. F. Benson contributed to design, writing, and data 2012;11:25. 11. US Census Bureau. American Community Survey visualization. T. J. Luben, J. D. Sacks, and J. Richmond- 28. Di Q, Wang Y, Zanobetti A, et al. Air pollution and (ACS). Available at: https://www.census.gov/programs- Bryant supported project design and writing. mortality in the Medicare population. N Engl J Med. 2017; surveys/acs. Accessed April 17, 2017. 376(26):2513–2522. 12. US Census Bureau. How the census bureau measures ACKNOWLEDGMENTS 29. US Environmental Protection Agency. RSIG-related poverty. Available at: https://www.census.gov/topics/ This research was supported in part by an appointment downloadable data files. Available at: https://www.epa. income-poverty/poverty/guidance/poverty-measures. to the Research Participation Program for the US Envi- gov/hesc/rsig-related-downloadable-data-files. Accessed html. Accessed August 1, 2017. ronmental Protection Agency (EPA), Office of Research April 17, 2017. and Development, administered by the Oak Ridge In- 13. US Department of Agriculture. 2010 rural–urban 30. Davis LW. The effect of power plants on local housing stitute for Science and Education through an interagency commuting area (RUCA) codes documentation. Avail- values and rents. Rev Econ Stat. 2011;93(4):1391–1402. agreement between the US Department of Energy and the able at: https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/rural– EPA. urban-commuting-area-codes/documentation. Accessed 31. Chakraborty J, Maantay JA, Brender JD. Dispro- We thank Julian Marshall for his suggestions on April 17, 2017. portionate proximity to environmental health hazards: strengthening the study design and Danelle Lobdell and methods, models, and measurement. Am J Public Health. 14. US Environmental Protection Agency. 2011 Na- Jen Nichols for their helpful comments on the article. 2011;101(suppl 1):S27–S36. tional Emissions Inventory (NEI) data. Available at: Note. This document was reviewed in accordance https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/ 32. McMaster RB, Leitner H, Sheppard E. GIS-based with EPA policy and approved for publication. Mention 2011-national-emissions-inventory-nei-data. Accessed environmental equity and risk assessment: methodolog- of trade names or commercial products does not constitute April 17, 2017. ical problems and prospects. Cartogr Geogr Inform. 1997; endorsement or recommendation for use. The views 24(3):172–189. 15. Mohai P, Saha R. Reassessing racial and socioeco- expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not “ ” necessarily reflect the views or policies of the EPA. nomic disparities in environmental justice research. De- 33. Collins MB, Munoz I, JaJa J. Linking toxic outliers mography. 2006;43(2):383–399. to environmental justice communities. Environ Res Lett. 2016;11(1):015004. HUMAN PARTICIPANT PROTECTION 16. Bell ML, Ebisu K. Environmental inequality in ex- 34. Smedley BD, Stith AY, Nelson AR, eds. Unequal No protocol approval was necessary because all data were posures to airborne particulate matter components in the Treatment: Confronting Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Health obtained from publicly available secondary sources. United States. Environ Health Perspect. 2012;120(12): Care. Washington, DC: National Academies Press; 2003. 1609–1704. REFERENCES 17. Bravo MA, Anthopolos R, Bell ML, Miranda ML. 1. US General Accounting Office. Siting of hazardous Racial isolation and exposure to airborne particulate waste landfills and their correlation with racial and eco- matter and ozone in understudied US populations: en- nomic status of surrounding communities. 1983. Avail- vironmental justice applications of downscaled numerical able at: http://www.gao.gov/products/RCED-83-168. model output. Environ Int. 2016;92–93:247–255. Accessed March 13, 2017. 18. US Census Bureau. Comparing ACS data. Available 2. Mohai P, Lantz PM, Morenoff J, House JS, Mero RP. at: https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/ Racial and socioeconomic disparities in residential guidance/comparing-acs-data.html. Accessed April 11, proximity to polluting industrial facilities: evidence from 2017.
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Page 1 of 10
Energy and Buildings 143 (2017) 25–34
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Energy and Buildings
j ournal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/enbuild
The intersection of energy and justice: Modeling the spatial,
racial/ethnic and socioeconomic patterns of urban residential heating
consumption and efficiency in Detroit, Michigan
∗
Dominic J. Bednar , Tony Gerard Reames, Gregory A. Keoleian
Center for Sustainable Systems, School of Natural Resources and Environment, University of Michigan, 440 Church St., Ann Arbor, MI 48109, United States
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Residential energy conservation and efficiency programs are strategic interventions to reduce consump-
Received 18 August 2016
tion and increase affordability. However, the inability to identify and distinguish between high energy
Received in revised form 19 February 2017
consumers and highly energy inefficient households has led to ineffective program targeting. Addition-
Accepted 9 March 2017
ally, little is known about the spatial, racial and socioeconomic patterns of urban residential energy
Available online 12 March 2017
consumption and efficiency. Publicly available data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration
and the U.S. Census Bureau are used with bottom-up modeling and small-area estimation techniques to
Keywords:
predict mean annual heating consumption and energy use intensity (EUI), an energy efficiency proxy, at
Fuel poverty
the census block group level in Detroit (Wayne County), Michigan. Using geographic information sys-
Energy justice
tems, results illustrate spatial disparities in energy consumption and EUI. Bivariate analysis show no
Energy consumption
Energy efficiency statistical relationship between race/ethnicity and energy consumption; however, EUI is correlated with
−
Spatial analysis racial/ethnic makeup; percent White ( 0.28), African American (0.24) and Hispanic (0.16). Income and
Space heating housing tenure reveal inverse relationships with consumption and efficiency. Though areas with higher
Residential buildings
median incomes and homeownership exhibited higher consumption (0.28 and 0.56, respectively), they
−
had lower EUIs ( 0.48 and −0.38, respectively). This study provides evidence supporting approaches for
conservation and energy efficiency program targeting that recognizes the significance of race, ethnicity,
place and class.
© 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction low household incomes, rising energy costs and energy inefficient
homes [3].
Residential utility costs place a disproportionate burden on Amid solutions to alleviate fuel poverty, energy conservation
low-income households. Following the Great Recession, nearly 14 and efficiency retrofit programs have proven successful [5–8].
million American households had utility bills in arrears and 2.2 mil- However, the inability to identify and distinguish between house-
lion households experienced utility shutoffs [1]. Residential energy holds with high energy consumption compared to those that
burdens, or the percentage of annual income spent on energy costs are highly energy inefficient has halted interventions from utiliz-
are a major source of utility hardship. While the average American ing systematic approaches to appropriately and effectively target
household spends 7.2% of their annual income on residential energy energy conservation and efficiency programs.
costs, the average low-income household has an energy burden The need for more effective targeting is supported by previous
nearly double, spending 13.8% [2]. Energy burden disparities are studies exploring the spatial dynamics of energy consumption that
often expressed through the concept of fuel poverty, also referred find distinguishable spatial disparities in both consumption and
1
to as energy insecurity [3,4]. Fuel poverty reflects an inability of energy use intensity (EUI). For instance, Heiple and Sailor [9] using
a household to meet basic energy needs or to adequately heat or national data, building energy simulation and geospatial modeling
cool their home [3]. Fuel poverty results from the interplay between
1
According to the U.S. Department of Energy, “Declines in energy intensity are
a proxy for efficiency improvements, provided a) energy intensity is represented
∗
Corresponding author. at an appropriate level of disaggregation to provide meaningful interpretation, and
E-mail addresses: [email protected] (D.J. Bednar), [email protected] b) other explanatory and behavioral factors are isolated and accounted for” (DOEa)
(T.G. Reames), [email protected] (G.A. Keoleian). [52].
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.03.028
0378-7788/© 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-16
Page 2 of 10
26 D.J. Bednar et al. / Energy and Buildings 143 (2017) 25–34
techniques found variations in peak energy profiles for electricity best predictors to model energy consumption and efficiency, for
and natural gas across building types in Houston, Texas. Howard instance, energy characteristics of housing structure and a selection
et al. [10] built models from citywide data to estimate building sec- of householder characteristics; then, connect to matching spatial
tor EUI finding major differences in the magnitude of consumption data (i.e. census data).
and spatial variation across New York City. Santamouris et al. [11] A growing body of literature investigating geographical
conducted interviews on household and housing unit characteris- approaches to target fuel poverty in Europe have used this approach
tics finding higher costs per person and unit area for low-income [26–29]. Fahmy [26] developed regression models to predict the
residence in Athens. These studies provide rich information on incidence of fuel poverty in England using sample survey data and
the relationship between place and energy consumption; however, applied resultant weights to Census spatial data sets. Similarly,
their focus on both commercial and residential energy consump- Walker and Day [30] developed a small area fuel poverty risk index
tion makes it difficult to identify residential energy disparities for using environmental and socioeconomic variables via geographi-
program targeting. Moreover, few studies investigate correlations cal methods finding significant clusters of high and low-risk areas.
between residential energy consumption, efficiency, race/ethnicity “The underlying idea is that there are higher probabilities of fuel
and socioeconomic status for a more holistic understanding of poverty in particular areas and/or housing types” [31].
urban residential energy dynamics. Reames [12] developed a model In the U.S., Min et al. [32] applied this approach for spatially
estimating urban residential heating EUI and found positive rela- modeling national residential energy consumption end uses. Com-
tionships with areas with higher percentages of racial minorities bining regression models based on national data from the U.S.
and lower socioeconomics. Albeit some exploration, little remains Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) Residential Energy Con-
known about the spatial, racial and socioeconomic differences sumption Survey (RECS) with U.S. Census data, they mapped energy
between residential energy consumption and efficiency. consumption estimates for space heating, cooling, water heating
To this end, this paper develops models for residential heat- and all other electrical uses at the zip code level. Reames [12] used
ing consumption and efficiency at the census block group level both the RECS and Census data to explore racial and socioeconomic
and explores the spatial patterns alongside racial and socioeco- disparities in the spatial distribution of urban heating EUI. Both
nomic relationships in Detroit (Wayne County), Michigan. The studies found that significant predictors of energy consumption
remainder of this paper is structured as follows. Section 2 presents and EUI included age of housing unit, type of housing unit, number
background information on modeling energy consumption, effi- of rooms, type of heating fuel and household income.
ciency and disparities. Section 3 describes the study area, data
and methodological framework for first developing two regression
3. Data and methodology
models to estimate residential heating energy consumption and
heating EUI, then secondly, using small area estimation techniques
3.1. Description of study area
to predict consumption and EUI in the study area. Section 4 presents
results of the regression models, spatial distributions of results
Detroit (Wayne County) is the largest urban area in the State
mapped using geographic information systems (GIS) and bivariate
of Michigan and represents nearly 20% of the state population.
analysis of the relationship between predicted energy consump-
According to the 2010 decennial census, the county had a total pop-
tion and efficiency with selected racial and socioeconomic block
ulation of 1,820,584 residents in 821,693 housing units. Michigan
group characteristics. Section 5 discusses key results, policy impli-
homes are typically older than homes in other states. Nearly three-
cations and study limitations. Lastly, concluding remarks and areas
quarters of housing stock in Detroit (Wayne County) was built
of future research are presented in Section 6.
before 1970. Fig. 1 illustrates the distribution of housing stock age,
displaying the median year built for block group housing structures.
Socioeconomic characteristics vary in the study area. Detroit
2. Background
exhibits a high and increasing level of residential segregation by
income. The Pew Research on Social and Demographic Trends found
To understand the factors that impact energy consumption,
that the Detroit metropolitan area’s RISI score increased from 43
scholars apply two general frameworks: the physical-technical- 2
in 1980–54 in 2010 [33]. Fig. 2 displays the spatial distribution
economic model (PTEM) and the lifestyle and social-behavioral
of block group median household incomes, ranging from $6833 to
tradition (LSB) [13–23]. In 1993, Lutzenhiser proposed the PTEM
$183,462 per year. Households in the Detroit metropolitan were
tradition arguing that the physical characteristics of buildings,
hit particularly hard during the economic recession and recovery.
investment in technical energy efficiency, energy prices and envi-
A survey of Detroit metropolitan area households found that 1 in 2
ronmental factors are integral to understanding and managing
respondents reported experiencing some type of material hardship
energy consumption. On the other hand, the LSB tradition con-
[34]. While roughly 14% of high-income households fell behind on
tends that these factors alone can only offer minimal explanation
utility payments, nearly 40% of low-income households reported
of energy consumption in the built environment and draws atten-
being behind and were seven times more likely to have a utility
tion to the importance of human occupants of the building, such
shutoff [34].
as, social (noneconomic), behavioral, cultural and lifestyle factors
Detroit has long been the most segregated metropolitan area
[13,14,17–20,24,25]. The models developed for this study include
in the nation, having a majority African American and Hispanic
variables merging the PTEM and LSB modeling traditions for a more
city population and a majority White suburban population [35].
holistic understanding of residential energy consumption and effi-
This segregation is evident in Fig. 3, a dot density map illustrating
ciency.
Individual housing unit energy data is often not readily avail-
able for exploring residential energy dynamics at various spatial
2
scales. Thus, the absence of detailed information on residential The Pew Research Center developed a single Residential Income Segregation
energy use presents an impediment to spatially identifying fuel Index (RISI) score for the nation’s top 30 metropolitan areas. The score is cal-
culated by summing the share of lower-income households living in a majority
poor households and developing strategic conservation and effi-
lower-income tract and the share of upper-income households living in a major-
ciency program targeting. As a result, scholars have employed
ity upper-income tract. The maximum possible RISI score is 200, indicating that
small area estimation statistical techniques to spatially explore
100% of lower-income and 100% of upper-income households would be situated in
residential energy patterns. This approach requires finding the a census tract where most households were in their same income bracket. U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-16
Page 3 of 10
D.J. Bednar et al. / Energy and Buildings 143 (2017) 25–34 27
Fig. 1. Block group median structure year built.
the spatial distribution of residents by race/ethnicity. The house- households were surveyed to represent the state’s 4.5 million occu-
hold racial/ethnic composition included 52.3% White, 40.5% African pied housing units. Since the scope of this study focuses on annual
American and 5.2% Hispanic households. Historically marginalized space heating, six of the total 274 observations were removed from
communities of color in Detroit experience higher rates of arrears the sample because of missing heating data, resulting in 268 total
3
and shutoffs. For instance, African Americans were almost twice as observations for this study.
likely as non-African Americans to report being behind on utilities Spatial data for modeling and mapping the study area were
payments and more than three times more likely to experience a obtained from U.S. Census Bureau 2006–2010 American Commu-
utility service shutoff than non-blacks [34]. nity Survey (ACS) [37,38] 5-year estimates. This survey is issued
Michigan households experience harsher winters increasing the each year to provide current information about social and eco-
average household demand for space heating to 55% of total energy nomic needs of the community. Households are sampled randomly
consumption compared to 41% nationally [2]. Consequently, Michi- in each state, including Puerto Rico to provide a representative sam-
gan households also consume 38% more energy and spend six ple. The census block group was used as the unit of analysis, as the
percent more than the average U.S. household [2]. Thus, space most appropriate spatial resolution for household and housing unit
heating is the ideal energy end use for investigating patterns and characteristics data [12]. A GIS data layer of Wayne County cen-
disparities in consumption and efficiency. sus block groups was created by clipping the U.S. Census Bureau
TIGER/Line Shapefile with demographic and economic data from
the 2006–2010 ACS [37,38] 5-year estimates. Block groups were
3.2. Data
only retained if both population and number of occupied housing
units were greater than zero. Subsequently, 1808 of 1822 block
In the absence of detailed individual energy data for every
groups were included in this analysis.
household in the study area, the EIA’s RECS provides household-
The RECS microdata set can be used to develop a bottom up
level data for a representative sample of occupied, primary
statistical model. These models have been used to explore rela-
residences at the state-level. First conducted in 1978, RECS
tionships between household energy consumption and various
collected data on energy consumption, annual expenditure,
exogenous variables [39,40,32,12,41]. Statistical models also allow
energy-related behavior, household demographics and housing
for capturing consumption variations due to demographic and
unit characteristics. Using a multi-stage, area probability design,
carefully controlled at specific levels of precision, the 2009 RECS
microdata set (released in 2013) has a sample size of 12,083 hous-
3
For a 95 percent confidence interval, a sample size of 246 RECS observations are
ing units representing the U.S. Census Bureau’s statistical estimate
needed to prove statistical significance. For geographic domain estimation purposes,
of 113.6 million occupied primary residences [36]. The RECS allows
base sampling w(YˆHeat ) or (YˆEUI ).eights were applied to each housing unit. Each
for state-level analysis with the collection of representative sam-
sampling weight value was used as a weighting factor in the weighted regression
ples in 12 states, including Michigan. A sample of 274 Michigan model. U-20471 Official Exhibits of Soulardarity Exhibit SOU-16
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28 D.J. Bednar et al. / Energy and Buildings 143 (2017) 25–34
Fig. 2. Block group median household income.
socioeconomic characteristics. Similar variables found in both the the predictor variables, housing unit characteristics (age of home,
RECS and ACS allow relationships derived from statistical models type of heating fuel, type of home and size of home) and control-
using RECS, known as direct estimates, to be applied to block group ling for household characteristics (household ownership, number
level ACS spatial data as indirect estimators for constructing small- of household members and household income). Dependent vari-
area estimates with the assumption that the small area exhibits the ables were natural log values of per-household final consumption
same characteristics as the large area [42]. The next section clarifies and EUI for heating. The models are formulated as:
this methodological framework.
ln(Y ) = ˇ + ˇ ∗ + ˇ ∗ , (1) Heat 0 Housing unit Household RECS RECS
Y
ln( ) = ˇ + ˇ ∗ + ˇ ∗ (2)
EUI 0 Housing unit RECS Household RECS
3.3. Methodological framework for estimating block group
heating consumption and efficiency where:
YHeat is energy consumption in MJ,
2
The goal of this study is to explore residential heating con- YEUI is EUI in MJ/m ,
ˇ
sumption and efficiency at a geographic domain smaller than the 0 is the regression intercept,
ˇ
RECS microdata, which is collected with adequate precision at a HousingUnit is the resultant weight for housing unit characteris-
state-level scale. Fig. 4 displays a schematic of the methodological tics,
ˇ
framework for estimating heating energy consumption and EUI at Household is the resultant weight for household characteristics,