COVID-19 Impact on EUROCONTROL Member States EUROCONTROL States Briefings Donnerstag, 10. Juni 2021

• Rückgang Flüge gesamt seit 01.03.2020: 1,7 Mio. Flüge • Aktueller Flugstatus: 2505 Flüge pro Tag oder -59% ggü. 2019 (7-Tage- Durchschnitt)1 • Verkehrsprognose: 45% von 2019 in 2021 und 68% in 20222 • BIP: +3,8% in 2021 und +4,3% in 2022 (ggü. Vorjahr)3 • Impffortschrit: 21,71 vollständig Geimpfte pro hundert Einwohner4 • Flughafen mit den meisten Flügen: Frankfurt mit durchschnittlich 641 Flügen pro Tag1 (-58% ggü. 2019) Deutschland • Fluglinie mit den meisten Flügen: Lufthansa mit durchschnittlich 526 Flügen pro Tag1 (-66% ggü. 2019)

Verkehrsentwicklung 2020/21 und Ausblick auf 2021/24

Germany Traffic variation - March 2020-June 2021 7 000

6 000

5 000

4 000

3 000

2 000 Average weekly flights

1 000

0 July May May June June April April March March August January October February December November September 2020 2021

7-day average Reference 2019

Traffic forecast for Germany (2021-2024) EUROCONTROL STATFOR forecast - 21st May 2021 4000 100% 102% 3500 94%

3000 81% 91% 80% 2500 68% 2000 52% 68% 44% 61% IFR Flights ('000) 1500 45% 54%

1000 38%

500

0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Scenario 1: Vaccine in 2021 Scenario 2: Vaccine in 2022 Scenario 3: Lingering Infection

COVID-19 Impact on EUROCONTROL Member States EUROCONTROL States Briefings Donnerstag, 10. Juni 2021

Verkehrszusammensetzung

Top 5 Airports (02-06-2021 - 08-06-2021) Flight Category (02-06-2021 - 08-06-2021)

Airport Average daily flights (Dep/Arr) % vs 2019 Flight Category Average daily flights % vs 2019 Frankfurt 641  -58% Internal 381  -58% Munich 352  -71% International 2 106  -60% Cologne/Bonn 213  -50% Round Robin Flights 18  +16% Berlin Brandenburg 200  -25% Aircraft Category (02-06-2021 - 08-06-2021) Leipzig/Halle 195  -5% Aircraft Category Average daily flights % vs 2019 Top 5 Aircraft Operators (02-06-2021 - 08-06-2021) Narrow body 1 219  -70% Aircraft Operator Average daily flights % vs 2019 Other 598  -8% Wide body 254  -28% Lufthansa 526  -66% Regional Jet 245  -61% Eurowings 159  -78% Very Large Aircraft 153  -41% Ryanair 120  -72% Commuter (TurboP) 37  -79% DHL Express 113  +14% TUI fly 64  -49% Market Segment (02-06-2021 - 08-06-2021)

Top 5 City Pairs (02-06-2021 - 08-06-2021) Market Segment Average daily flights % vs 2019 Traditional Scheduled 956  -69% Country pair Average daily flights % vs 2019 Lowcost 500  -74% from/to GERMANY 399  -57% Business Aviation 390  -4% from/to SPAIN 343  -46% All-Cargo 337  +18% from/to ITALY 171  -65% Other Types 187  -1% from/to TURKEY 137  -62% Charter 91  -46% from/to GREECE 134  -41% Military 44  -12% Impffortschritt

Germany National population vaccinated in 2021 50 0.18

45 0.16

40 0.14 35 0.12 30 0.1 25 0.08 20 0.06 rate Positivity 15 10 0.04 Vaccines per hundred Vaccines of people 5 0.02 0 0 May April March 07-Jun January February

1st dose Fully vaccinated Positivity Rate Source: Our World in Data

Source : European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

Data Sources: SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 1 Period between 02-06 – 08-06/2021 (as compared to the same week in 2019, 05-06 – 11-06/2019). 2 EUROCONTROL STATFOR forecast (21 May 2021) Scenario No.2. 3 GDP growth assumptions used in STATFOR scenario No.2 forecast. Source: Oxford Economics, March 2021. 4 Number of people fully vaccinated on 07 June 2021. Source: Our World in Data.

Contacts: Aviation Intelligence Unit [email protected]