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DIAIS 259—67 DEFENSE INTELLIGENCE AGENCY INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY (U)

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EKCLLIDbD F-‘RDM AUTUMATIC (b)(3)10.U..SC 424 REGRADING: DELHI) DII—E‘ ‘EJLIUJU DUE-.5 HGT APPLY The Defense Intelligence Summary is produced by the Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency to serve the needs of the Department of Defense for appropriate current intelligence. It is furnished to non—Defense Department agencies for infor— mation only. Interpretations of intelligence information in this publication represent preliminary views which are sub— ject to modification in the light of further information and more complete analysis. (mo) 10 U.S.C. 424

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This document contains classified information affecting the national security of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws. US Code Title 18, Sections 793. T94, and 798. |(b)(3)10 U.S.C. 424 | {b)(3)10 U.S.C. 424 , _ .. -. Seo.3.3(b)(1) DIA INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY Non Responsive;8ec. 3.3(b) (6)

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VIETNAM AND RELATED DEVELOPMENTS

REPUBLIC OF Situation report. A—4 VIETNAM:

NORTH Status of shipping support. A-6 VIETNAM: Air situation and status of airfields. A—9

Air strikES. A—lO

SUPPLEMENT: SIGNIFICANT NORTH VIETNAMESE AIR S-l DEFENSE DEVELOPMENTS, 25—31 OCTOBER

NOTE: In the graphic showing the North Vietnamese ground order of battle opposite page A—B of the Intelligence Summary of 2 November, the iigure for total "Out of Country Regular Ground Forces” in South Vietnam should be 51 300 rather than 31,300. 4fifififlfifi- (b)(3) 1O Non Responsive;Sec. 3.3(b) (6)

3 Nov 57 i |(b)(3)10 U.S.C.424

'83:}. 3.30:) (1) Page 04 of 43

Withhoid pursuant to exemption

Soo. 3.30:) {B} of the Freedom of Information and Privaoy Aot EASTERN

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Cambodia_To Receive More Soviet Military Aid

The USSR plans to deliver a large quantity of military items to Cambodia early this month, accord— ing to a well-informed source. He says that anti- aircraft guns, a battery of artillery, and some MIG—1Ts will be sent to Phnom Penh, probably before retiring Soviet Ambassador Anatoli Ratanov leaves there. The Soviets have given military aid to Cambodia in excess of $6 million since 1963.

Ratanov's replacement, the notorious but capable Sergey Kudryavtsev, who is primarily European—oriented, seems to have been given an unusual assignment. His appointment might be connected with a Soviet attempt to capitalise on the low state of Sino—Cambodian relations. Plans to deliver more military aid at this time may also be part of such an effort.

0n the other hand, Chief—of—State Sihanouk announced on 1 November that Premier Chou En—lai had sent him a letter which expressed China*s desire for a reconciliation with Cambodia. Sihanouk asked his people to ”forget past suSpicion” and again con- sider China as a great friend ~— in mid-October he had said he was cutting off aid from Peiping because ”it is conditional and the price could be Cambodia's independence.”

Peiping was believed to have promised Cambodia additional aid last June but evidently has yet to follow up on the matter. WW

3 Nov 67 DIR Intelligence Summary Page A-l _ -- F 5.. FE ER E q _Seo. 3.3{b} {1} g1 Page 0? of 43

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gi South Vietnam Situation Report

. Fighting in the Leo Ninh area of Binh Long Prov— ,ince continued on 2 November for the fifth day. EAllied ground troops, supported by artillery and aair strikes, forced Viet Cong—North Vietnamese émaneuver elements to withdraw and inflicted heavy

-casualties. It is estimated that more than 830 “Whit-:1; ECommunists have been killed during the fighting, 3""

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'which has continued sporadically since early on 29 l . October; "I the enemy may call off further attempts to -f overrun Loc Ninh District Town and the US Army 'b~ uSpecial Forces Camp. ,pnui

NKNNQE Two battalions of the 273d Viet Cong Regiment ‘5‘. were contacted on the 29th and US Army troops clashed with elements of the 165th NRA Regiment the following day. The 272d VC Regiment has also reportedly been active during the five—day battle. The 272d and 273d are subordinate to the 9th VC Division, while the 165th is controlled by the Tth NRA Division. If all subordinates of the three regiments were in the area, the number of troops deployed was about 5,000.

fl‘". :3". here are increasing indications that / subordi es of the NVA B—3 Front in the central highlands are preparing for offensive operations , against Allied units and installations near the Dak E -o US Army Special Forces Camp in Kontum Province. é 45::“%St NEH Division subordinate probably the 635 3 Ba talion of the 32d Regiment,ggas been reporting ! on fgiendly helic pter movemen and artillery f' an has indicated hat reconnaissance units are having trou 1e colle reliable intelligggce on US and ARVN forces. Sec. 3.3m) {1} elements of 32d NVA Regiment anfldfirobably con— centrated west-southwest of Dak To; they may be pre paring attack and ambush positions. .«nwrv

‘ In the Mekong Delta, about 12 miles northwest of Can Tho, 10 rounds of 81—mm mortar fire hit a . district town, and a ground attack was then launched ' against an ARVN Ranger unit. The enemy force em— ployed small arms, automatic weapors, grenades, and 8&133 {Wiﬁ rt“ (Continued) - W 3 Nov 67 D a Intelligence Summary : seer”; Page 3-4 _ Sec. 3.303) (1),] ”’2'

75—mm recoilless rifles, while artillery and gun- ships supported the friendly forces during the four-hour engagement. The enemy lost 30 killed and eight weapons; friendly losses were two killed and 18 wounded (11 civilians).

Political

According to the press on 1 November a 28-year old Buddhist nun committed suicide by fire in Nha Trang in protest against President Nguyen Van Thieu. This is the fifth fiery suicide by militant Buddhists since the 2d of October to protest government recog- nition of the moderate followers of Thich Tam Chau as the official Buddhist organization, vis—a—vis the militant group led by Thich Tri Quang.

The Liberatio Radio ( ' a in a die namese languag%3road at 1400 the 2d of ember in South letnam announced it was going to r c e three US Army prisoners of war (PWs). The roadcast claimed that the three PWs had sincerely repented the crimes they had committed against the South Vietnamese people. It was announced that one of the PWs has been a captive since 29 October 1963, another since 21 July 1964, while the third was a more recent captive. This appears to be another VC ploy to exploit to the fullest extent the propaganda to be ga'ned‘fr their ”humane and lenient policy.” t4€£€fiE$-5fll33w)fl)b

3 Nov 67 A Intelligence Summamﬁ Page A—5 ETEFH[ 35'0- 3-303) (1) K MERCHANT SHIPPING TO NORTH VIETNAM (b)(3)10 {JCT [9&5 — 3 NOV 5? U.S.C. 424 60

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""-- Four Soviet, one Polish, and three Free World merchant ships (one tanker, six dry cargo units, and a salvage tug) are in the Haiphong port area. Two Soviet and two Free World freighters are at minor ports northeast of Haiphong. Eleven Soviet merchantmen are en route to North Vietnam, and 17 others (six Soviet, nine East European, and two Free World) are scheduled for voyages.

A second Soviet ship with a cargo of flour from Vladivostok has been diverted from Haiphong to Hon Gai. Unloading there is apparently a new attempt by North Vietnam to speed vital foodstuffs to the consumer. Until last month, Cam Pha and Hon Gai had been used almost exclusively as coal loading ports. Cargo unloaded at these ports may be moved over highways and inland coastal waterways; the flour will probably be moved via the waterways.

NAME OF SHIP FLAG GRT TYPE TAT* REMARKS

En Route

ALEKSANDR GERTSEN Soviet 11,237 CG* ETA Djakarta Nov ANIva Soviet 3,330 TK* Arr Hong Kong M Oct ARAKS Soviet 3,330 TK ETA Haiphong Nov

ARKADY GAYDAR (LH)* Soviet 11,237 CG ETA Haiphong in? Nov MARGELAN (LH) Soviet 10,107 CG w. coast Africa Nov MOLOCHANSK (LH) Soviet 10,107 CG ETA Haiphong Nov MTSENSK (LH) Soviet 10,107 CG ETA Haiphong Nov

MYTISCHI (La) Soviet 10,107 CG ETA Haiphong y... Nov NIZHNEUDINSK Soviet 3,726 CG ETA Haiphong Nov p. SLAVA (LH) Soviet 11,030 CG Dep Black Sea La) Oct TYMLAT Soviet 1,309 CG ETA Haiphong HEWLDQLDMDUIEEDJ Nov

In Port

AMBARCHIK Soviet 3,360 TK Arr Haiphong Rds. 29 Oct Cargo: 4,103 MT POL ARGUS Soviet 829 TUG Arr Haiphong Rds. 15 Oct Cargo: None

(Continued)

3 Nov 67 DIA Intelligence Summary Page Sec. 3.3(b) (1) K 333:1331o)

NAME OF SHIP FLAG GET TYPE TAT‘ll REMARKS

En Route

BRATSLAV (LH) Soviet 11,333 CG Arr Haiphong Rds. 16 Dot Cargo: 4,198 MT genera] cargo (about 500 MT identified as paper, newsprint, liquid storage tanks, six wooden crates}. KOCHANDWSKI Polish 5,731 CG Arr Haiphong Rds. 20 Oct Cargo: 3,690 MT general cargo (vehicles, grease, machinery, chemicals, and steel products) LAZAREV Soviet 3,353 CG Moved to Hon Gai. 23 Oct Cargo: 3,019 MT flour MANYCH Soviet 3,723 CG Arr Haiphong Rds. 2? Oct Cargo: 3,4fHJEFF flour VZMORYE Soviet 3,232 CG Moved to (am Pha Port 28 Get AMALIA Maltese 7,331 CG Moved to Cam Pha Port Get ARDRDWAN UK—HK 7,333 CG Arr Haiphong Rds. 15 Get Cargo: 4,0?5 MT foodstuffs and 1,029 MT general cargo. NANCY DEE UK 3,537 CG Arr Haiphong Rds. 14 ﬂct Cargo: 2,3?8 MT general cargo and 300 MT calcium carbide. ROCKFORD UK-HK 3,324 CG Moved to Hon Gai 23 Oct SHUN TAI UK-HK 7,333 CG Arr Haiphong Eds. 23 Oct Cargo: 8,000 MT cornf rice

Departures

ABAGUR Soviet 3,333 14 Haiphong 26 Get BAKURYANI (LH) Soviet 11,333 31 Haiphong 2B Get vice 13 Get IZHMA Soviet 3,353 15 Haiphong Hov KURA Soviet 4,334 REF* 8 Haiphong 31 Oct POSYET Soviet 3,455 1? Hon Gai 29 Oct REVDA Soviet 3,353 8 Hon Gai 31 Oct STARFURD UK—HK 3,434 25 Haiphong 31 Oct TUNGUSKA Soviet 3,723 17 Haiphong 29 Oct WISHFDRD UK—HK 3,434 26 Haiphong 29 Oct

1 ‘Abbreviations: CG-Cargo: TK-Tanker: IﬁL—Large Ihltrh: REF- Refrigerator: TAT-Turnaround Time in Hays: MT-Metric Tons: UK—HKfUnited Kingdom—Hong Kong

(Continued)

3 Nov 67 Intelligence Summar Page A—T are --"1. K 633. 3.3133) {1) I-ﬂ’ Sec. 333:) {1)

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Seaborne petroleum imports rose to 12,462 metric tons in October —— an increase of 6,962 over the previous month. Three Soviet tankers carried all of it except for 384 tons of Hungarian ball- bearing grease brought in by a Polish cargo ship, The October figure was, however, below the average of 15,770 metric tons established during the first nine months of 1967.

So far this year, petroleum imports have totaled 197,466 metric tons, as compared with 200,776 for all of 1966. Communist ships carried 155,309 tons, and Free World ships carried the rest. US air strikes on POL facilities have apparently had little effect on the distribution of POL products.

flu-“b. [‘EESEABORNE POL IMPORTS TO NORTH VIETNAM IN 1967 H, (all figures in metric tons)

1967 Soviet Free World Eastern Europe Communist China

Jan 19,362 8,950

Feb 21,009 2,800

Mar 24,655 2,800

Apr 12,545 2,800 498

May 28,513 7,000 169

Jun 4,043 7,000

Jul 10,599 3,807 265

Aug 15,645 7,000

Sep 5,544 Oct 12,078 384

Total 153,993 42,157 818 498

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Worth Vietnamese Air Situation and Status of Airfields

The estimated North Vietnamese air situation and status of airfields are shown opposite and below.

The future of the North Vietnamese Air Force is uncertain, and Hanoi may again be reevaluating its role.

Since 24 October, the date of the first US air strike on Phuc Yen, some 21 Ml have left the country; the deployment apparently included the 12 MIG—17s that had probably been delivered from Nanning in China to Gia Lam Airfield the day before (or an equal number of other MIG—175) and five additional MIG—l?s. These 17 aircraft flew to Nanning and are still there. The other fly—outs included two prob— able MIG—17s and two MIG—21s to Mengtsu, a usual stopping—off field for aircraft en route to Peitun— Yunnani. About 47 MIG—15/17s and 19 MIG—21s were previously believed to be at Peitun—Yunnani. It is therefore estimated that the total North Vietnamese fighter force now in China numbers 87 —~ 21 MIG—21s and 66 MTG—15/l7s.

3513- 3-3133} {1) about four MIG—21s and four MlU—lfs remain in the country. Two MIG—21s are believed to be at Phuc Yen and two MIG—21s and four MIG—17s at Gia Lam; when operational, Hep is used on a limited basis. The apparent increase in MIG—21s which has occurred over the past few weeks may have resulted from undetected arrivals from China, the assembly of crated aircraft, or the return to service of damaged aircraft.

Since 24 October, six of the eight MIGs left in North Vietnam have made a number of flights between Gia Lam and Rep, possibly to avoid being caught on the ground.

salsswlm) hat a “cooling off" period is in order to divert US attention to other targets, and Hanoi is not likely to order the com: plete withdrawal of the air force from active operations as it did when the navy experienced offensive failures. The mass return of the force now dispersed in China is not considered likely, no (Continued) 3 Nov 67 Ital IHtElligEﬂCB 31111111131" Page A.._g W {3... WEE-l | _ Sec. 3.3133} {1}

North Vietnamese MIGs have been noted flying combat missions from China. It is most likely that a small MIG force will be kept in North Eietnam to maintain a threat.

AIRFIELDS

Latest Date Airfield Usable Photography Status

Phuc Yen 28 Oct 67 Serviceable

Rep 30 Oct 67 Unserviceable

Gia Lam 30 Oct 67* Serviceable*

Kien An 30 Oct 67* Serviceab1e*

Cat Bi 30 Oct 67* Serviceable-Limited*

Hoa Lac 30 Oct 67* Serviceable*

OTHER SELECTED AIRFIELDS

Yen Bai 29 Oct 67 Under construction; runway being surfaced

* Field Report

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“Elﬁhmmmry of Air Strikes Against North Vietnam on 2 November

A total of 333 US aircraft conducted strikes against North Vietnamese targets on 2 November.

A Navy A-SA last heard from over North Vietnam is presumed down about 13 nautical miles south— southwest of Hanoi. No beeper was heard.

A USAF 0—2A was downed by ground fire 20 nautical miles north-northwest of Dong Ha. His wingman saw the aircraft go into a river; no chute was sighted or beeper heard.

Of these sorties, four were against the follow— ing significant targets:

Sorties Target BDA (Pilot Reports)

4 Suspect SAM site No BDA due to dust and smoke.

Armed Reconnaissance Strike Results

Damaged/ Struck Destroied Cratered/Cut (No Report)

Bridges 4 l2 Causeways 1 Ferries 2 Ford 1 Highway/road segments Piers Railroad rolling stock 13 Railroad segments Railroad yard/siding 1 Transshipment areas 4 Trucks 16 31 Truck parks 11 WBL craft 33 26 Buildings/structures 27 Bunkers 10 2 Field gun positions 21 Storage areas thaslmro 29 Supply area Troop concentrations 12 W)

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Withheid pursuant to exemption of the Freedom of Information and Privacy Act "$11M +1" T" r - rs 1r “I SEE. 3.3133) {1) _~ for: in -._-'a_ H“. Li

Soviet Attempts To Impair the US War Effort in Vietnam

The USSR seems to be trying to restrict the US war effort in Vietnam by hinting that hostilities might break out in Korea and by playing down the effects on North Vietnam if the port of Haiphong werc mined.

a Soviet at the UH says that the Communist community could react to further US intensification of the Vietnamese war by "starting something in Korea.” A rumor that was circulating in an East European capital in late September also concerned preparations that the USSR and North Korea were making to open a second front in Asia.

The Soviet UN source claimed that mining Hai— phong harbor would not greatly hinder the flow of arms from the USSR and Eastern Europe to North Viet- nam. He added that a year ago such a move would have seriously affected deliveries but that arms were now moving smoothly across Communist China be— cause of the agreement reached by Moscow and Peiping early this year. Wlflzflfiflfl U313. 42-4 M3} 10 use. 424

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Withheld pursuant to exemption of the Freedom of Information and Privacy Act SUPPLEMENT

SIGNIFICANT NORTH VIETNAMESE

AIR DEFENSE DEVELOPMENTS ..-' II‘1_-

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IF" 3"” Ni SIGNIFICANT NORTH VIETNAMESE AIR DEFENSE DEVELOPMENTS, 25—31 OCTOBER

North Vietnam relied mainly on SAMs and con— ventional AAA defenses against US air attacks in the Hanoi and Haiphong areas during the week ending 31 October. Despite a record high firing of an estimated 286 missiles, AAA continued to score the most kills. After the raids on Phuc Yen last week, MIG defenses were characterised by interairfield flights within North Vietnam, nonproductive engage— ments, and the movement of most of the remaining MIGs to the safety of China. SAM units in the DMZ area were again unsuccessful in attempts to down a US B—52, but evidence indicates that they believe one was downed. AAA units in the DMZ area reflected continued interest in receiving IOU-mm AAA weapons.

Twelve US aircraft were lost during the week —- eight to AAA and four to SAMs. The North Vietnamese lost four or five MIGs in seven engagements with US aircraft.

AAA Still the Most Effective Defense System

US pilots reported that they encountered medium to heavy AAA fire over the major targets attacked during the week; its accuracy was attested by the eight US aircraft downed.

Intercepted communications reflected continued efforts to move larger caliber 100—mm AAA weapons into the DMZ area. On 23 and 24 October, the movement of 468 rounds of lOO-mm ammunition and 24 cases of fuses to the southern portion of Military Region IV was discussed; on 28 October, 194 more rounds were apparently moved south, according to Thanh Hoa rear services communications.

MIG Activities

MIG activity since the first strike on Phuc Yen Airfield suggests that the role of the North Vietnamese Air Force (NVAF) is being reevaluated. It is possible that the North Vietnamese leadership has decided to remove MIGs from the combat arena, at leas far as any significant participation is concerned.

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The loss of Phuc Yen as a sanctuary appears to have seriously disrupted the established MIG opera— tional pattern in which groups of fighters were used to cover selected areas for defense. Reactions after the 24 October attacks on Phuc Yen appeared to be poorly coordinated and lacked the precision seen in the past.

One of two MIG—21s was downed by F—4s on the 26th; the other landed at Kien An or Cat Bai. a few hours later a flight of six to eight MIG—173 made a determined attack against four F—4s; two MIGs were lost and a third was probably destroyed.

During this period, MIGs have been shifted between Gia Lam and Kep —- apparently attempting to avoid air strikes at either base. MIGs have apparently attempted to avoid even reconnaissance aircraft recently, although they were once considered lucrative targets.

The indecisiveness noted in MIG operations_and the flight of about 22 MIGs to the safety of Chinese airfields during the week suggest a decision to remove MIGs, at least for the time being, from the defense environment. Whether or not these aircraft will operate from Chinese bases remains to be seen.

Record High SAM Activity

The North Vietnamese achieved a new all-time high for one week's missile firings with 286 launches. Performance was poor, however, with the four US losses representing a 71.5 to l effectiveness ratio or a 1.4 per cent chance of success per missile fired. This high rate of fire —- most of which occurred between 25 and 29 October —— may have caused temporary shortages, according to intercepted communications. Activity was note 21 sites in the Red River Delta and the DMZ areas.

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