Railway Sector Investment Program (Financed by the Japan's Special Fund)
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Technical Assistance Consultant’s Report Project Number: 36330-02 (Technical Assistance No. 4998) March 2009 INDIA: Railway Sector Investment Program (Financed by the Japan's Special Fund) Prepared by Scott Wilson Railways Ltd, United Kingdom During the period of engagement from 27 March 2008 to 7 November 2008 For Ministry of Railways Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd This consultant’s report does not necessarily reflect the views of ADB or the Government concerned, and ADB and the Government cannot be held liable for its contents. (For project preparatory technical assistance: All the views expressed herein may not be incorporated into the proposed project’s design. Asian Development Bank Railway Investment Programme Daund to Gulbarga Track Doubling TA 36330-02 Project Reports October 2008 Draft Final 01 SW Job Number A012931 Railway Investment programme Daund - Gulbarga Track Doubling For Asian Development Bank 4 San Martin Marg Chanakyapuri New Delhi - 110021 Report Verification Name Position Signature Date Prepared by: David Dennis Principal Engineer Checked by: Jim Hunter Principal Engineer Approved by: Derek Holden International Director Register of Document Holders Name Location No. of Copies Mr Tzadashi Kondo Asian Development Bank, New Delhi 5 India Mr Ranjan Kumar Jain Rail Vikas Nigam Limited, New Delhi 10 Mr N Madhusudana Rao Ministry of Railways, New Delhi 10 Revision Schedule Revision Date Details of Revision Issued by Derek Holden International Director Scott Wilson Railways Tricentre-3 Newbridge-Square Swindon SY11BY-UK Tel: +44 (0) 1793 508610 Fax: +44 (0) 1793 508511 Email: [email protected] This document has been prepared in accordance with the scope of Scott Wilson's appointment with its client and is subject to the terms of that appointment. It is addressed to and for the sole use and reliance of Scott Wilson's client. Scott Wilson accepts no liability for any use of this document other than by its client and only for the purposes, stated in the document, for which it was prepared and provided. No person other than the client may copy (in whole or in part) use or rely on the contents of this document, without the prior written permission of the Company Secretary of Scott Wilson Ltd. Any advice, opinions, or recommendations within this document should be read and relied upon only in the context of the document as a whole. The contents of this document are not to be construed as providing legal, business or tax advice or opinion. © Scott Wilson Group PLC 2008 Asian Development Bank Railway Investment Program Table of Contents 1. INTRODUCTION ...............................................................................................................8 2. OPERATIONS AND TRAFFIC ..........................................................................................9 2.1 Background .......................................................................................................................9 2.2 Assumptions and Constraints ............................................................................................9 2.3 Operations.......................................................................................................................10 2.4 Existing Traffic .................................................................................................................10 2.5 Freight Traffic ..................................................................................................................11 2.6 Passenger Carrying Trains ..............................................................................................13 2.7 Capacity Constraint .........................................................................................................14 2.8 Traffic Forecast................................................................................................................15 3. ENGINEERING................................................................................................................24 3.1 Civil Engineering..............................................................................................................24 3.2 Electrical Engineering ......................................................................................................28 3.3 Signalling.........................................................................................................................33 3.4 Telecommunications........................................................................................................34 4. FINANCIAL .....................................................................................................................36 4.1 Introduction......................................................................................................................36 4.2 Operating Costs...............................................................................................................36 4.3 Traffic Forecasts..............................................................................................................37 4.4 Cost of Construction ........................................................................................................38 4.5 Rolling Stock Requirement & Costs .................................................................................39 4.6 Working Expenses...........................................................................................................40 4.7 Project Benefits................................................................................................................42 4.8 Financial Rate of Return ..................................................................................................44 5. ECONOMICS ..................................................................................................................45 5.1 Background .....................................................................................................................45 5.2 Parameters for the Economic Analysis ............................................................................45 5.3 Project Economic Evaluation ...........................................................................................47 A012931 Page 4 October 2008 Asian Development Bank Railway Investment Program 6. SOCIAL IMPACT ............................................................................................................49 6.1 Background .....................................................................................................................49 6.2 Poverty Profile of Project Areas .......................................................................................50 6.3 Gender Analysis ..............................................................................................................55 6.4 Indigenous People Analysis:............................................................................................58 6.5 Child Labour ....................................................................................................................61 6.6 HIV/AIDS .........................................................................................................................63 7. IMPLEMENTATION ........................................................................................................66 7.1 General............................................................................................................................66 7.2 Risks................................................................................................................................66 7.3 Contract Packages ..........................................................................................................66 8. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS................................................................69 8.1 General............................................................................................................................69 8.2 Recommendations...........................................................................................................69 A012931 Page 5 October 2008 Asian Development Bank Railway Investment Program Acronyms AADT Annual Average Daily traffic ACP Average Commodity Price ADB Asian Development Bank ANM Auxiliary Nurse Midwife AIDS Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome B/C Benefit / Cost ratio BG Broad Gauge CAGR Compound Annual Growth rate CDI Child Development Index DRUCC Divisional Railway Users Consultative Committee DWCRA Development Women and Children in Rural Areas EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return EGS Employment Guarantee Scheme FDI Foreign Direct Investment FIRR Financial Internal Rate of Return GDP Gross Domestic product GTKM Gross Tonne Kilometres GDI Gender Disparity Index HDM4 Highway Development Model 4 HDI Human Development Index HDR Human Development Report HIV Human Immunodeficiency Virus HPI Human Poverty Index IR Indian Railways ICDS Integrated Child Development Scheme INR Indian National Rupee IPDP Indigenous People Development Plan IRDP Integrated Rural Development Project JFM Joint Forest Management LT Low tension LSG Local Self-Government MACL Multi Aspect Colour Light MFF Multi Tranche Financing Facility MOR Ministry of Railways NG Narrow Gauge NH National Highway A012931 Page 6 October 2008 Asian Development Bank Railway Investment Program NPV Net Present Value NTKM Net tonne Kilometres NACO National AIDS Control Organisation NCLP National Child Labour Programme NFP National Forest Policy NGO Non-Government Organisation