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Figure 11: Projected percentage change in population by age structure, NHS Board area, 2014 to 2039

Children (aged 0 to 15) Working age Grampian +12% +14% Lothian +12% Grampian +13% +4% Tayside +3% +2% Scotland +1% Scotland Scotland +1% Forth Valley +1% Greater and Clyde +1% Greater Glasgow and Clyde -1% Borders -0% Fife -1% Forth Valley -1% Orkney -4% Lanarkshire -6% Lanarkshire -5% Orkney -7% Borders -7% -8% Highland -8% -9% Shetland -8% Ayrshire and Arran -11% Dumfries and Galloway -13% Shetland -11% Ayrshire and Arran -13% Western Isles -28% Western Isles -21% -50% -25% 0% +25% +50% -50% -25% 0% +25% +50% Percentage change Percentage change

Pensionable age and over Aged 75 and over (different scale)

Lothian +39% Shetland +108% Forth Valley +34% Orkney +101% Lanarkshire +32% Highland +97% Shetland +32% Lothian +97% Grampian +30% Forth Valley +95% Scotland Scotland +28% Lanarkshire +91% Borders +28% Fife +91% Fife +27% Grampian +90% Highland +27% Borders +89% Orkney +25% Scotland +85% Greater Glasgow and Clyde +24% Ayrshire and Arran +82% Tayside +23% Tayside +76% Ayrshire and Arran +21% Dumfries and Galloway +74% Dumfries and Galloway +16% Greater Glasgow and Clyde +69% Western Isles +11% Western Isles +64% -50% -25% 0% +25% +50% 0% +40% +80% +120% Percentage change Percentage change

Notes The percentage increase in population aged 75 and over is on a different scale to the rest of these charts. Estimates based on State Pension Age. As set out in the 2014 Pensions Act, between 2014 and 2018, the state pension age will rise from 62 to 65 for women. Then between 2019 and 2020, it will rise from 65 years to 66 years for both men and women. A further rise in state pension age to 67 will take place between 2026 and 2028. Between 2044 and 2046, state pension age will increase from 67 to 68. The UK Government plan to review state pension age every five years in line with life expectancy and other factors.

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