Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report BR São Paulo Trains and Signalling (P106038)

BR São Paulo Trains and Signalling (P106038)

LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Brazil | Transport Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Specific Investment Loan | FY 2008 | Seq No: 13 | ARCHIVED on 18-Dec-2014 | ISR17372 | Public Disclosure Authorized

Implementing Agencies: Companhia Paulista de Trens Metropolitanos (CPTM), Metro Company of Sao Paulo

Key Dates

Key Project Dates

Board Approval date:01-May-2008 Effectiveness Date:28-Jul-2008 Planned Mid Term Review Date:26-Apr-2011 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:26-Apr-2011 Original Closing Date:30-Jun-2013 Revised Closing Date:30-Apr-2015 Public Disclosure Authorized Project Development Objectives

Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The proposed development objective is to: a) improve the level-of-service provided to the urban rail transport users in the São Paulo Metropolitan Region in a safe and cost-efficient manner by increasing the peak-hour and off-peak carrying capacity of Lines A and F of the Companhia Paulista de Trens Metropolitanos(CPTM) and Lines 1, 2 and 3 of the São Paulo Metro Company (Metro); and b) continuethe strengthening of the transport management and policy framework in the SPMR.

Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No

PHRPDODEL Public Disclosure Authorized

Components

Name Infrastructure and Equipment:(Cost $1503.00 M) Institutional and Policy Development:(Cost $47.00 M)

Overall Ratings

Name Previous Rating Current Rating

Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Unsatisfactory  Moderately Unsatisfactory Public Disclosure Authorized Overall Risk Rating  --  Moderate

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Implementation Status and Key Decisions

The project objectives have been partially to mostly achieved thus far as nearly all new trains are in operation (17 for Metro, 40 for CPTM + 9 additional trains by early 2015). However, there has been significant delays with the remaining signaling contracts for CPTM and METRO and track improvement contracts for CPTM. This is in part due to the complexity of implementing these systems on lines in operation with high demand (such is the case for Lines 1, 2, 3, 7 and 12). Outcome indicators and overall project ratings will be updated before project closing (currently set for April 2015).

Risks

Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool

Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating

Political and Governance  --  --  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  --  Low Sector Strategies and Policies  --  --  Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program  --  --  Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and -- -- Moderate Sustainability    Fiduciary  --  --  Low

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Environment and Social  --  --  Low Stakeholders  --  --  Low Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  --  Moderate

Results

Project Development Objective Indicators

PHINDPDOTBL

 1. Trains per peak-hour/off peak Lines 7, 11 and 12 (formerly Lines A, E and F) and 11 of CPTM (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Line 7= 7.5/4. Line 11= Line 7= 10/5, Line 11= Value 8.5/5 (2008), Line 12=7.5/4 10/5 15/7.5, Line 12= 10/6 15/8

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Actual (Current): Target is about 50% achieved on average due to increased train fleet.

PHINDPDOTBL

 2. Trains per peak-hour/off peak for Lines 1, 2 and 3 of Metro (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Line 1= 41/26, Line 1= 30/25, Line 2= Line 1= 33/24, Line Line 1= 36/24, Line Line 2= 28/18, Value 25/18, Line 3= 35/30 2=24/16, Line 3=35/21 2=27/16, Line 3=38/25 Line 3= 44/28

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Actual (Current): Target has not been achieved due to problems with CBTC signaling system. Also, original trains that operated in this line are undergoing renovation therefore they are not operating with full fleet as was planned.

PHINDPDOTBL

 3. Travel time+waiting time in CPTM Line 7 (formerly Line A) - LUZ to Francisco Morato (39 km) and Line 11 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

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Lines 7 and 12= 80 min, Lines 7 and 12= 75 min, Value Line 11= 83 (2008) 63 Line 11= 59 min 57 min

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Actual (Previous): estimate based on reduced wait times only. Actual (Current): achieved 22% for Lines 7 and 12; and 92% for Line 11. Awaiting confirmation from CPTM on methodology.

PHINDPDOTBL

 4. Travel time+waiting time in Metro Lines 1, 2 and 3 - Sé to Penha (9.5km) (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 29 minutes 19 19 14

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Actual (Previous): Estimate based on reduced wait times only. Actual (Current): Achieved 66% of target. Awaiting confirmation from METRO on methodology.

PHINDPDOTBL

 5. Passengers/square meter CPTM Lines 7 and 12 (formerly Lines A and F) and Line 11 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Line 7= 8.0, Line 11= 8.3 Line 7= 6.8, Line 11= Value (2008), Line 12= 8.0 -- 6.00 7.3, Line 12= 6.5

Date 07-Aug-2007 01-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Actual (Previous): Ridership growth is outpacing the increase of the fleet in service. Actual (Current): Achieved 60% for Lines 7, 43% for Line 11 and 75% for Line 12 because of the greater availability of trains.

PHINDPDOTBL

 6. Passengers/square meter on METRO Lines 1,2 AND 3 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

8.00 Value -- 8.00 6.00

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Date 30-Jun-2007 31-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Actual (Current): Ridership growth is outpacing the increase of the fleet in service.

PHINDPDOTBL

 7. Incremental Demand/Day in CPTM Lines 7 and 12 (formerly Lines A and F) and 11 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Lines 7 and Lines 7 and 12= 12= 219341, 221000, Line 11= Value 0.00 -- Line 11= 285000 273828

Date 30-Jun-2007 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Actual (Previous): Estimated sum for Lines 7 and 12; over 50% of target. Actual (Current): Has been more than fully achieved.

PHINDPDOTBL

 8. Incremental Demand/Day in METRO (Lines 1,2 and 3) (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

0.00 Value -- 690427.00 921320.00

Date 30-Jun-2007 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Actual (Previous): Increased ridership in Lines 1, 2, and 3 in relation to 2007 Actual (Current): About 75% achieved. Corresponds to the difference between 2007 and 2014 of average pax on weekdays.

PHINDPDOTBL

 9. Number of users/day of household with less than 4 minimum salaries in CPTM Lines 7 and 12 (formerly Lines A and F) and Line 11 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value Lines 7 and 12= 237000, -- Lines 7 and 12= Lines 7 and

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Line 11= N/A 359000, Line 11= 12= 356590, 618000 Line 11= 531000

Date 30-Jun-2007 01-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Actual (Previous): Estimates based on current demand data suggests that the indicator is fully achieved. A study is underway to confirm this indicator in 2014.

PHINDPDOTBL

 10. Number of users/day of household with less than 4 minimum salaries in METRO LINES 1+2+3 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 908,500 -- 1,369,000 1,231,090

Date 30-Jun-2007 01-Dec-2011 31-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2013

Comments Actual (Previous): Estimates based on demand data suggests that the indicator is fully achieved. A study is underway to confirm this indicator in 2014.

PHINDPDOTBL

 11. Working Ratio METRO (with compens. of free/discount. tickets but without subsidy to cover deficit) (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 1.00 -- -- 0.99

Date 30-Jun-2007 01-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2013

Comments Awaiting data from METRO for 2014.

PHINDPDOTBL

 12. Working Ratio CPTM (with compens. of free/discount. tickets but without subsidy to cover deficit) (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 1.00 -- -- 0.99

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Date 30-Jun-2007 01-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2013

Comments Awaiting data from CPTM for 2014.

Overall Comments

Intermediate Results Indicators

PHINDIRITBL

 % OF COMPLETION OF CPTM TRAINS (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0 100 100 100

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-Oct-2013 31-Oct-2013 31-Dec-2014

PHINDIRITBL

 % of completion of Metro trains (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0 100% 100% 100

Date 30-Dec-2007 01-Dec-2011 01-Dec-2011 30-Dec-2011

PHINDIRITBL

 % of completion of CPTM systems (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0 80% 80% 100

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-May-2014 31-May-2014 30-Jun-2014

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PHINDIRITBL

 % of completion of Metro systems (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0 30% 30% 100

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-May-2014 31-May-2014 31-Dec-2014

PHINDIRITBL

 % of completion of STM studies (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0% 80% 100% 100%

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-Oct-2013 31-Oct-2014 30-Jun-2014

Overall Comments

Data on Financial Performance

Disbursements (by loan)

Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed

P106038 IBRD-75060 Effective USD 550.00 550.00 0.00 496.18 53.82 90%

P106038 IBRD-78200 Closed USD 112.91 112.91 0.00 105.83 7.08 94%

Key Dates (by loan)

Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date

P106038 IBRD-75060 Effective 01-May-2008 12-Jun-2008 28-Jul-2008 30-Jun-2013 30-Apr-2015 P106038 IBRD-78200 Closed 21-Sep-2010 18-Oct-2010 08-Dec-2010 31-Dec-2012 31-Oct-2014

Cumulative Disbursements

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Restructuring History

Level Approved on 21-Dec-2012

Related Project(s)

P117122-Sao Paulo Trains and Signaling Additional Financing

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