Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report BR Trains and Signalling (P106038)

BR São Paulo Trains and Signalling (P106038)

LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | | Transport Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Specific Investment Loan | FY 2008 | Seq No: 14 | ARCHIVED on 18-May-2015 | ISR18739 | Public Disclosure Authorized

Implementing Agencies: Companhia Paulista de Trens Metropolitanos (CPTM), Metro Company of Sao Paulo

Key Dates

Key Project Dates

Board Approval date:01-May-2008 Effectiveness Date:28-Jul-2008 Planned Mid Term Review Date:26-Apr-2011 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:26-Apr-2011 Original Closing Date:30-Jun-2013 Revised Closing Date:30-Apr-2015 Public Disclosure Authorized Project Development Objectives

Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The proposed development objective is to: a) improve the level-of-service provided to the urban rail transport users in the São Paulo Metropolitan Region in a safe and cost-efficient manner by increasing the peak-hour and off-peak carrying capacity of Lines A and F of the Companhia Paulista de Trens Metropolitanos(CPTM) and Lines 1, 2 and 3 of the São Paulo Metro Company (Metro); and b) continuethe strengthening of the transport management and policy framework in the SPMR.

Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No

PHRPDODEL Public Disclosure Authorized

Components

Name Infrastructure and Equipment:(Cost $1503.00 M) Institutional and Policy Development:(Cost $47.00 M)

Overall Ratings

Name Previous Rating Current Rating

Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Unsatisfactory  Moderately Unsatisfactory Public Disclosure Authorized Overall Risk Rating  Moderate  Moderate

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Implementation Status and Key Decisions

The project objectives have been partially to mostly achieved thus far as all new trains are in operation (17 for Metro, 40 for CPTM + 9 additional trains). However, there has been significant delays with the signaling contracts for CPTM and METRO and track improvement contracts for CPTM. This is in part due to the complexity of implementing these systems for lines in daily operation with high demands (such is the case for Lines 1, 2, 3, 7 and 12). Project objetives for Line 11 have been fully met. The remaining lines have partially achieved the project objectives mainly because of the delays in the signalling systems upgrades and the need to renew the old fleet, which resulted in a smaller than projected availability of the operational fleet.

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Risks

Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool

Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating

Political and Governance  --  Moderate  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  Low  Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Moderate  Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Substantial  Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and -- Moderate Moderate Sustainability    Fiduciary  --  Low  Low Environment and Social  --  Low  Low Stakeholders  --  Low  Low Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Moderate  Moderate

Results

Project Development Objective Indicators

PHINDPDOTBL

 1. Trains per peak-hour/off peak Lines 7, 11 and 12 (formerly Lines A, E and F) and 11 of CPTM (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Line 7= 7.5/4. Line 11= Line 7= 10/5, Line 11= Line 7= 10/5, Line 11= Value 8.5/5 (2008), Line 12=7.5/4 15/7.5, Line 12= 10/6 15/7.5, Line 12= 10/6 15/8

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Date 30-Dec-2007 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Indicator for Line 11 was fully met. Indicators for Lines 7 and 12 were not fully met because signalling upgrades and track work were not concluded.

PHINDPDOTBL

 2. Trains per peak-hour/off peak for Lines 1, 2 and 3 of Metro (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Line 1= 41/26, Line 1= 30/25, Line 2= Line 1= 30/25, Line 2= Line 1= 33/24, Line Line 2= 28/18, Value 25/18, Line 3= 35/30 25/18, Line 3= 35/30 2=24/16, Line 3=35/21 Line 3= 44/28

Date 30-Dec-2007 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments For Lines 1, 2 and 3, the indicators for availability of trains show no improvement because the inital older fleet is undergoing renovations, so the new trains and part of the new trains were redistributed to optimize the service in the three lines, based on demand. Even if the whole fleet were fully operational, the non-conclusion of the signalling systems would have prevented the achievement of this indicator. One additional problem is that the renovated fleet has only CBTC on-board equipment. If Metro decides to cancel the CBTC project, which can occur in they consider it unfeasible, these trains will have to suffer yet another adaptation, by installing ATC equipment on board.

PHINDPDOTBL

 3. Travel time+waiting time in CPTM Line 7 (formerly Line A) - LUZ to Francisco Morato (39 km) and Line 11 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Lines 7 and 12= 80 min, Lines 7 and 12= 75 Lines 7 and 12= 62 min, Value Line 11= 83 (2008) min, Line 11= 59 min Line 11= 62 min 57 min

Date 30-Dec-2007 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments These indicators are based on field measures, using a sample of typical days. The indicators reached 80% of the expected target value.

PHINDPDOTBL

 4. Travel time+waiting time in Metro Lines 1, 2 and 3 - Sé to Penha (9.5km) (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 29 minutes 19 22 14

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Date 30-Dec-2007 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Travel time + waiting time in Metro Lines 1, 2, and 3 have increased because of the undergoing old fleet renovation.

PHINDPDOTBL

 5. Passengers/square meter CPTM Lines 7 and 12 (formerly Lines A and F) and Line 11 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Line 7= 8.0, Line 11= 8.3 Line 7= 6.8, Line 11= Line 7= 8, Line 11= 7.2, Value (2008), Line 12= 8.0 6.00 7.3, Line 12= 6.5 Line 12= 6.4

Date 07-Aug-2007 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments The indicators refer to the peak period (15min) of the peak hour.

PHINDPDOTBL

 6. Passengers/square meter on METRO Lines 1,2 AND 3 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

8.00 Line 1 = 5.1, Line 2 = Value 8.00 6.00 4.6, Line 3 = 7.5

Date 30-Jun-2007 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments The indicators for Lines 1 and 2 have changed for better even with the frequency of trains going down. Metro's justification was that with the start of operation in Line 4 changed the profile for these lines and eased the crowdeness. An additional explanation is that there was a flatenning of the peak hour, i.e., the peak hour demand has been redistributed to a larger period, which means less concentration of passengers in the 15minute peak of the peak period. For Line 3, there was a slight decrease in this indicator because of the small increase in frequency of trains (from 35 to 33).

PHINDPDOTBL

 7. Incremental Demand/Day in CPTM Lines 7 and 12 (formerly Lines A and F) and 11 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Lines 7 and Lines 7 and 12= Lines 7 and 12= 12= 219341, 221000, Line 11= 343000, Line 11= Value 0.00 Line 11= 285000 299754 273828

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Date 30-Jun-2007 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments These indicators have been fully met.

PHINDPDOTBL

 8. Incremental Demand/Day in METRO (Lines 1,2 and 3) (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

0.00 Value 690427.00 710572 921320.00

Date 30-Jun-2007 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments 77% of this indicator was met.

PHINDPDOTBL

 9. Number of users/day of household with less than 4 minimum salaries in CPTM Lines 7 and 12 (formerly Lines A and F) and Line 11 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Lines 7 and Lines 7 and 12= Lines 7 and 12= Lines 7 and 12= 237000, 12= 356590, 359000, Line 11= 377000, Line 11= Value Line 11= N/A Line 11= 618000 632000 531000

Date 30-Jun-2007 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2015

Comments Indicators were fully met.

PHINDPDOTBL

 10. Number of users/day of household with less than 4 minimum salaries in METRO LINES 1+2+3 (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 908,500 1,369,000 1,145,600 1,231,090

Date 30-Jun-2007 31-Dec-2012 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2013

Comments

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The indicator was 93% met. This can be attributed to a general increase in average income in the metropolitan region of São Paulo but also the effect of the increase in Metro usage by higher income-levels tiers with the start of operation of Line 4.

PHINDPDOTBL

 11. Working Ratio METRO (with compens. of free/discount. tickets but without subsidy to cover deficit) (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 1.00 -- 0.94 0.99

Date 30-Jun-2007 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2013

Comments Data provided by METRO shows that this indicator was substantially achieved.

PHINDPDOTBL

 12. Working Ratio CPTM (with compens. of free/discount. tickets but without subsidy to cover deficit) (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 1.00 -- 1.1 0.99

Date 30-Jun-2007 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2013

Comments Data inferred from the CPTM report "Dados Relatório da Administração 2013". Data for the 2014 was not ready by the time of the mission.

Overall Comments

Intermediate Results Indicators

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PHINDIRITBL

 % OF COMPLETION OF CPTM TRAINS (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0 100 100 100

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-Oct-2013 31-Dec-2014 31-Dec-2014

PHINDIRITBL

 % of completion of Metro trains (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0 100% 100% 100

Date 30-Dec-2007 01-Dec-2011 31-Dec-2014 30-Dec-2011

PHINDIRITBL

 % of completion of CPTM systems (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0 80% 56% 100

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-May-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2014

Comments A metodologia para o indicador for revista, por isso o decréscimo do avanço considerado.

PHINDIRITBL

 % of completion of Metro systems (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0 30% 75% 100

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-May-2014 31-Dec-2014 31-Dec-2014

Comments Metro is changing the methodology used to calculate progress and this indicator might decrease.

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PHINDIRITBL

 % of completion of STM studies (Text, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0% 100% 100% 100%

Date 30-Dec-2007 31-Oct-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2014

Overall Comments

Data on Financial Performance

Disbursements (by loan)

Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed

P106038 IBRD-75060 Closed USD 550.00 550.00 0.00 550.00 0.00 100%

P106038 IBRD-78200 Closed USD 112.91 112.91 0.00 112.91 0.00 100%

Key Dates (by loan)

Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date

P106038 IBRD-75060 Closed 01-May-2008 12-Jun-2008 28-Jul-2008 30-Jun-2013 30-Apr-2015 P106038 IBRD-78200 Closed 21-Sep-2010 18-Oct-2010 08-Dec-2010 31-Dec-2012 31-Oct-2014

Cumulative Disbursements

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Restructuring History

Level Approved on 21-Dec-2012

Related Project(s)

P117122-Sao Paulo Trains and Signaling Additional Financing

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