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The New Century, No. 6, February 2014

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The New Century, No. 6, February 2014 Quarterly of CENTER FOR EURO-ATLANTIC STUDIES issue 06 • February 2014. • ISSN 2217-9925 www.ceas-serbia.org ceaserbia @cEasserbia Jelena Milić, CEAS Director #putinization . str. 02 Sanja Mešanović, M. Sc. Eu common sEcurity and dEfEnsE policy aftEr thE dEcEmbEr summit . str. 08 Tamara Spaić - CEAS Interview intErviEw with mr saša radulović, outGoinG ministEr of Economy . str. 11 Jasminka Simić, PhD Economic aspEcts of stratEGic partnErship bEtwEEn sErbia and russia . str. 22 Antonio Missiroli, Director of the European Union Institute for Security Studies EUISS EuropEan dEfEnsE - to bE continuEd . str. 33 Milan Nič and Ján Cingel sErbia’s rElations with nato thE othEr (QuiEtEr) GamE in town . str. 36 Andrew Wilson can EuropE protEct thE Euromaidan? . str. 42 Jan Piekło, Director of Polish-Ukrainian Cooperation Initiative (PAUCI) Euromaidan: russia and thE EuropEan choicE of thE ukrainians . str. 44 Center for Euro-Atlantic Studies – CEAS Dr. Dragoslava Popovića 15, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia Tel/fax: +381 11 323 9579; offi[email protected], www.ceas-serbia.org Jelena Milić, CEAS Director #PUTINIzATION The power of the west should be in its ability to create a situation in which it screws Gazprom’s pipes, at it’s borders, as a response to russian blackmail and not to just express concern and impose inefficient sanctions; to openly ask Belgrade, Kiev, Sarajevo and Sofia whether they wish to go to the East or the West, to choose putinization as a form of governance or not. Jelena Milić preliminary parliamentary elections have been country, which he initiated the very first day of scheduled in serbia. one of the main features assuming his mandate as vice president. it is of the campaign is to avoid the topic of kosovo, manifested in weak institutions, dependent foreign and security policy, and regional media, non-transparent flows of money and a cooperation, almost entirely. the economy is complete politicization of the security system, supposedly the main topic, although no one instead of strengthened democratic control discusses in which value system it is to be over it. observed, and on what foreign policy course will its fundamentals be based. Event the energetic he created an image in the public that those saša radulović cannot come forward on this who criticize his “great efforts and sacrifices for issue – he should be more direct regarding the serbia” and the sns are themselves against west. the liberal democratic party considers reforms, do not think with their own head and some things as self-explanatory and does not are on miroslav mišković’s payroll, a tycoon who emphasize them in the campaign, which is was held in prison for a couple of months, only already becoming frustrating and brings into to be allowed to leave the country even though doubt the honesty of their atlanticism, or to say a judicial process is still in place. threats of the least, their knowledge of how important judicial processions through the media, with determination on this subject is. Even stranger saucy details from “sources familiar with the is that the electorate for this issue is larger than investigation” in high volume selling media that the average result attained by ldp in vučić controls have become one of the main parliamentary elections. this electorate is, technologies of aleksandar vučić’s reign. it now again, left without an option to vote for. bluntly comes down to confrontation with all types of political opponents, and not on the main tone of the campaign has been implementation of reforms, as he claims. unless imposed, naturally, by the deputy prime under the term of reform vučić refers to the minister and president of the serbian “privatization” and humiliation of the progressive party (sns) aleksandar vučić. Emergency situation sector of the ministry of almost undisturbedly, he not only advocates, interior, which we have seen in the feketić but also demonstrates clear putinization of the affair, and the establishment of partization of 2 The New century No-06 - February 2014 the entire security system, which we see in wiretapping affairs of vučić and his party colleague, serbian president tomislav nikolić, especially focused on the unconstructive critique of the work of the ministry of interior (mup) headed by prime minister ivica dačić, the introduction of the “fast lane” and the bypass of tenders for investors with cash, this time those allegedly coming the united arab Emirates. vučić’s rhetoric in the campaign, as well as politics as it seems, regarding relations Source: Facebook with russia, have not moved from having to weren’t tadić and Jeremić, then foreign mention strategic relations with russia in the minister and tadić’s political creation – the price same sentence in which the importance of of tadić having support in the democratic party, European integration for serbia is highlighted. provided by Jeremić’s father who is closely and even what he cannot be denied from the related to russian interests - the ones who start of his mandate, the formal support for the formally, so cheaply sold serbia’s gas industry to brussels agreement and normalization of the russians? we had, obviously false, hopes for relations between serbia and kosovo, threatens at least some freedom from the russians, at to erode in the middle of the election rhetoric least in some aspects of foreign and security in which clear statements about the west policy (at least some money came in the end expecting from serbia to have serbia and from azerbaijan). kosovo as two separate legal entities are in serbia overwhelmed by pre-election avoided, with allowing the deeply compromised combinatorics, the opportunity that the sns aleksandar vulin, minister without portfolio in “shares responsibility” in the new Government the Government of serbia in charge of kosovo with the democratic party of serbia - the only and metohija, to manage policy towards party that has a clear policy in this elections kosovo. campaign: no to the Eu, only intensive unfortunately for serbia, neither partization of institutional, political and economic the security system, nor the ambiguity of the cooperation with russia saves serbia - is rarely approach towards kosovo, or the compliance taken into consideration. having also in mind with russian interests, or misuse of the media that serbia is on the brink of bankruptcy, but are not vučić’s original invention. he simply, at also the natural fondness these two parties the price of his own survival in power and have for conservatism and authoritarianism, as formal support for Eu integrations, raised the well as the increasingly expressed anti- totalitarian level of his predecessors for a notch. westernism - no matter what vučić, who is not a monument to the azerbaijani dictator heydar impervious within his party, said - this is a very aliyev, in hope that fast cash and investment will possible scenario that must be taken into flow in from azerbaijan, was placed in the consideration much more seriously than until tašmajdan park in belgrade in 2011. in the now. tadić obviously lacks course and policy so presence of the then serbian president boris he would easily find his way around. he has tadić and belgrade mayor dragan Đilas, placed already cohabitated with koštunica. today on opposite sides, the monument was the south stream is still erroneously presented unveiled by the then president of azerbaijan, in the election campaign as an economic, and ilham aliyev, heydar’s son. hence, the pact of not a primarily political, investment project on non-aggression between vučić, who is prepared whose economic incompetence, as well as to give, without a urbanistic plan or tender putin’s stubbornness on the non-use of foreign belgrade as a whole, and not just one park and exchange reserves even russian economists political pride, to the uaE and tadić’s new point out to. the obvious alliance of ldp with democratic party comes as no surprise. in fact, The New century No-06 - February 2014 3 sns in the run up to elections has blunted ldp’s human rights, or the obligation of respecting blade regarding critique of energy policy. previously adopted budgets. it operates faster comparative analysis of the economies of the and makes financial and political decisions, as south and north stream, which also has any totalitarian state that is. hence the greater difficulties primarily because of the increasing for playing on small points, despite not offering influx of shale gas from the usa, is either not a viable, strategic vision, including also followed, or is deliberately suppressed in serbia. confrontation with its own problems and the bravest statement that the direct actors of dysfunctionalities, like the west does. the political campaign in serbia today can give against Gazprom in serbia is on the poor management of the socialist party of serbia cadre heading the nis enterprise in serbia, dušan bajatović, which is only a small part of the mosaic. the fact that the statistics on both, the scope of economic cooperation between serbia and russia, and on the state of the russian economy , as well as those on the alleged A monument to Soviet soldiers in Sofia painted as heroes economic recession of the almost entire west, of American comic books. Source: Facebook are in contrast with reality, should worry the let us briefly review the very concerning public, and not nenad popović, dss vice development of events in ukraine that the west president and the most agile in promoting this and serbia can both learn from. the approach, or anyone else. competence of the just released former one is under the impression that the Eu and the ukrainian prime minister yulia tymoshenko, a usa are, despite the abovementioned, still controversial businesswoman favoring cults of convinced that whoever wins the elections, personality and not necessarily the rule of law serbia will remain on the course of European and respect for human rights, and her political integration.
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