C. Scannell Et Al.: Building Capacity And

Building capacity and improving resilience to weather and climate extremes in the Philippines

Claire Scannell1, David Corbelli1, Thelma Cinco2, Sharon Taylor3, Marcelino Villafuerte2, John Manalo2, Emma Ares2, Joseph Daron1 and Richard Jones1 1Met Office, Exeter, UK , 2PAGASA, Manila, Philippines, 3Independent project consultant

• Introduction Introduction

The Pilot • The Pilot Process Process

The Pilot • The Pilot Outputs Outputs

Lessons • Lesson Learned Learned

What’s • What’s Happened since Happened Since

• DFID funded project which completed in December 2016

In response to Typhoon Haiyan – November 2013 • Introduction • Collaborative partnership between the Met Office and

The Pilot PAGASA (Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Process Astronomical Services Administration, to help strengthen PAGASA’s technical capabilities as well as provide state-of- The Pilot Outputs the-art information to guide decisions and build resilience to future climate-related risks.

Lessons Learned WP1: Literature review What’s WP2: Assessment of current hazard and risk information in the Philippines Happened Since WP3: Generation of downscaled CMIP5 simulations WP4 - 1: Provision of decision-relevant information on future tropical cyclone risks

2: Pilot studies to improve the dissemination and uptake of climate information

AIMS & CHALLENGES

Introduction

How can we At what reach level do we Introduction everyone? work?

The Pilot 1. 2. 3. Process Enhance Develop Utilise Climate Climate USABLE, Information The Pilot Outputs awareness NEEDS Effectively in and Capacity the decision BASED Lessons at Local Climate making Learned Levels Information process What’s Happened Not everyone Since has the same level of understanding? www.metoffice.gov.uk © Crown Copyright 2016, Met Office AIMS & CHALLENGES

What information do Introduction people need?

The Pilot 1. 2. 3. Process Enhance Develop Utilise Climate Climate USABLE, Information The Pilot Outputs awareness NEEDS Effectively in and Capacity the decision BASED Lessons at Local Climate making Learned Levels Information process What’s Happened Since How do we encourage people to use this? www.metoffice.gov.uk © Crown Copyright 2016, Met Office AIMS & CHALLENGES

What decisions are made where climate information can be Introduction helpful

The Pilot 1. 2. 3. Process Enhance Develop Utilise Climate Climate USABLE, Information The Pilot Outputs awareness NEEDS Effectively in and Capacity the decision BASED Lessons at Local Climate making Learned Levels Information process What’s Happened Since How can we get users to use projections presented in a probabilistic way?

Introduction

The Pilot 1. 2. 3. Process Enhance Develop Utilise Climate Climate USABLE, Information The Pilot Outputs awareness HOWNEEDS ? Effectively in and Capacity the decision BASED Lessons at Local Climate making Learned Levels Information process What’s Happened Since

• Helped the producers understand what the user Introduction

needs were and helped the user understand what The Pilot Process was achievable in terms of information from the

producers and how this information could be used The Pilot Outputs

• Helped achieve buy in/engagement from the user Lessons Learned from an early stage

The Pilot Process

1. 2. Identification Selection of of users Pilot Areas Introduction

Project team, The Pilot Project Team 3. DILG, LGU & Process DILG Design and municipality reps Implementation The Pilot of Pilots Outputs

Lessons Outputs Learned

What’s Happened Training of Climate Integration of Since Trainers & Re-designed Information Climate Information into Climate Climate and Risk the Planning and Orientation Information Analysis Decision Making Pack Matrix Process www.metoffice.gov.uk © Crown Copyright 2016, Met Office

WHO? – The Key Players

Producers : Met Service - PAGASA

Introduction Users: Local Government officials responsible for developing plans in their area

The Pilot Process

The Pilot Engagement with DILG Outputs

Lessons Learned Support of DILG What’s Happened Since

Introduction

The Pilot Process

The Pilot Outputs

Lessons Learned

What’s Happened Since

1. 2. Identification Selection of of users Pilot Areas Introduction

The Pilot 3. Process Project Team, Design and Barangay reps,

Pilot focal leads Implementation Business reps The Pilot of Pilots Outputs

Lessons Outputs Learned

InceptionPiloting informationLGU production and disseminationBarangay approachesFocus Bringing together Preparing basic Workshop WorkshopWorking with LocalWorkshop Training municipal/city WorkshopsSupporting climate change training on climate officers and barangay Government Units projection producers information captains guidance Project Team & Area Project Team Leads Project Team Project Team Pilot Area Leads Barangay Representatives Pilot Area Representatives Pilot Area Leads Introduction Barangay Representatives Local Business Inception LGU Barangay RepresentativesFocus Workshop Workshop Workshop Workshops The Pilot Introduction to Pilot leads leading Pilot Leads Process climate change activities to ToT Orientation delivering climate and related integrate climate orientation science info The Pilot March 2016 June 2016 July 2016 August/September 2016 Outputs Build awareness Build awareness Integrate climate of the importance importance of information into Review & Assess of including future including future planning Lessons available tools Project Team Project Team & Area Leads Learned Projectclimate Team climate processes and information Project Team Pilot Area Leadsinformation Barangay RepresentativesBCPs Pilot Area Pilot Area Leads What’s Representatives Barangay Local Business Happened Representatives Representatives Introduction to Assessment of Assessment of Since Critical Review of PAGASA modified PAGASA modified PAGASA PAGASA produced climate information by data by pilot leads information information Pilot Leads and Barangays

1. 2. Identification Selection of of users Pilot Areas Introduction

The Pilot 3. Process Design and Implementation The Pilot of Pilots Outputs

Lessons Outputs Learned

CLIRAM : Climate Information and Risk Analysis Matrix

Dec-Jan-Feb Mar-Apr-May Jun-Jul-Aug Wettest Work is still Sep-Oct-Nov Possible th Introduction (90 percentile)required here!!

The Pilot Process

The Pilot Most Outputs Likely

Lessons Learned

What’s Driest Happened Since Possible (10th percentile)

Introduction

The Pilot Process

The Pilot Outputs Pilot Critical Impact Probability Impact Level of Area/Business Risk Business Lessons Acitvity Learned Sta Lucia, Pasig Quantity of Less Supply Existing 3 Existing: 4 Existing: Water Purification water supply Future: 4 Future: 4 Severe What’s Future: Happened Severe Since Marikina, Resourcing Low/No Existing: 1 Existing: 4 Existing: Shoe and Leather of raw Future: 3 Future: 3 Low Goods materials supply Future: High

• Engagement from an early stage at different levels across LGUs Introduction

The Pilot • Having the full support of PAGASA and in country Process support was essential

The Pilot Outputs • Using the Pilot Leads helped engagement process

Lessons with Barangays Learned

What’s • It is extremely difficult to summarise and present Happened Since an ensemble of probabilistic future climate projections in a way that can be understood by a non-scientist www.metoffice.gov.uk © Crown Copyright 2016, Met Office What’s happened since the project has finished?

All participating LGUs have

Introduction replicated the work carried out in

the pilots to other Barangays with The Pilot Process the support of PAGASA

The Pilot Outputs

“The project was able to PAGASA are working with the Lessons Learned generate the needed information CCC to integrate climate What’s necessary for the mainstreaming Happened information into LCCAPS using Since of climate change adaptation in methodology developed here the plans and programs needed by decision makers “ www.metoffice.gov.uk © Crown Copyright 2016, Met Office Thank You