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P1.24 a Typhoon Loss Estimation Model for China
P1.24 A TYPHOON LOSS ESTIMATION MODEL FOR CHINA Peter J. Sousounis*, H. He, M. L. Healy, V. K. Jain, G. Ljung, Y. Qu, and B. Shen-Tu AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA 1. INTRODUCTION the two. Because of its wind intensity (135 mph maximum sustained winds), it has been Nowhere 1 else in the world do tropical compared to Hurricane Katrina 2005. But Saomai cyclones (TCs) develop more frequently than in was short lived, and although it made landfall as the Northwest Pacific Basin. Nearly thirty TCs are a strong Category 4 storm and generated heavy spawned each year, 20 of which reach hurricane precipitation, it weakened quickly. Still, economic or typhoon status (cf. Fig. 1). Five of these reach losses were ~12 B RMB (~1.5 B USD). In super typhoon status, with windspeeds over 130 contrast, Bilis, which made landfall a month kts. In contrast, the North Atlantic typically earlier just south of where Saomai hit, was generates only ten TCs, seven of which reach actually only tropical storm strength at landfall hurricane status. with max sustained winds of 70 mph. Bilis weakened further still upon landfall but turned Additionally, there is no other country in the southwest and traveled slowly over a period of world where TCs strike with more frequency than five days across Hunan, Guangdong, Guangxi in China. Nearly ten landfalling TCs occur in a and Yunnan Provinces. It generated copious typical year, with one to two additional by-passing amounts of precipitation, with large areas storms coming close enough to the coast to receiving more than 300 mm. -
A Homogenised Daily Temperature Data Set for Australia
A homogenised daily temperature data set for Australia Blair Trewin and Simon Grainger Climate Information Services Australian Bureau of Meteorology [email protected] 1. What observations are available to support long-term 2. The ACORN-SAT network and data 3. Why do we need a complex adjustment algorithm? temperature analysis in Australia? 112 locations were selected for the Australian Climate Observations Reference Network – The impact of an inhomogeneity on temperature observations is not necessarily uniform Surface Air Temperature (ACORN-SAT) network (Figure 2). 60 of these 112 locations have throughout the year. Inhomogeneities may have a seasonal cycle; for example, if a site moves The first systematic long-term temperature observations in Australia began in the mid-19th digitised daily data extending back to 1910 (in many cases, from a composite of two or more from a coastal location to one which is more continental, the impact on maximum century, although some fragmented short-term observations were made at various locations stations in close proximity to each other). A number of key stations in central Australia opened temperatures is likely to be largest during the summer when sea breezes are a more since shortly after European settlement in 1788. in the 1940s and 1950s. Much pre-1957 Australian daily temperature data remains to be significant influence. digitised, and about 20 more stations are potential candidates for addition to the data set once Until 1901, Australia was governed as six separate British colonies (each with their own their pre-1957 data are available. Figure 3 shows an example of a case where there is no significant inhomogeneity in the government agency responsible for meteorology), and the Bureau of Meteorology was not annual mean but a substantial one in seasonal values. -
Worldwide Marine Radiofacsimile Broadcast Schedules
WORLDWIDE MARINE RADIOFACSIMILE BROADCAST SCHEDULES U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE NATIONAL OCEANIC and ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE January 14, 2021 INTRODUCTION Ships....The U.S. Voluntary Observing Ship (VOS) program needs your help! If your ship is not participating in this worthwhile international program, we urge you to join. Remember, the meteorological agencies that do the weather forecasting cannot help you without input from you. ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION!! Please report the weather at 0000, 0600, 1200, and 1800 UTC as explained in the National Weather Service Observing Handbook No. 1 for Marine Surface Weather Observations. Within 300 nm of a named hurricane, typhoon or tropical storm, or within 200 nm of U.S. or Canadian waters, also report the weather at 0300, 0900, 1500, and 2100 UTC. Your participation is greatly appreciated by all mariners. For assistance, contact a Port Meteorological Officer (PMO), who will come aboard your vessel and provide all the information you need to observe, code and transmit weather observations. This publication is made available via the Internet at: https://weather.gov/marine/media/rfax.pdf The following webpage contains information on the dissemination of U.S. National Weather Service marine products including radiofax, such as frequency and scheduling information as well as links to products. A listing of other recommended webpages may be found in the Appendix. https://weather.gov/marine This PDF file contains links to http pages and FTPMAIL commands. The links may not be compatible with all PDF readers and e-mail systems. The Internet is not part of the National Weather Service's operational data stream and should never be relied upon as a means to obtain the latest forecast and warning data. -
December 2013 from the Editor
Volume 57, Number 3 December 2013 From the Editor Paula M. Rychtar MARINERS WEATHER LOG ISSN 0025-3367 Greetings and welcome to the December issue of the Mariners Weather Log. This issue U.S. Department of Commerce ushers in the Holiday Season and the end of another year as well as the end of another hurricane season. I hope this issue finds all in good spirits, safe and sound. Dr. Kathryn D. Sullivan Under Secretary of Commerce for If you read my last editors note, I touched on the importance of marine weather observations Oceans & Atmosphere & NOAA Administrator for the accuracy of forecasts, environmental studies and improving guidance towards better Acting Administrator hurricane forecast tracks; this in turn is part of the equation for seasonal hurricane outlooks. Now that hurricane season is finally over, we can reflect on hurricane season 2013. In May NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE of 2013, the initial hurricane outlook that was issued turned out extremely different from the Dr. Louis Uccellini actual outcome. NOAA is continuously dealing with the cause and effect of climate change NOAA Assistant Administrator for and predicting hurricane seasons is no different. Looking back at 2013, it was predicted Weather Services that our season would be “active or extremely active”. We were expected a 70 percent likelihood of 13 to 20 named storms, of which 7 to 11 could become hurricanes, including EDITORIAL SUPERVISOR 3 to 6 major hurricanes. As it turns out, this year was the sixth least active season in the Paula M. Rychtar Atlantic Ocean since 1950. 13 named storms formed in the Atlantic and only two, Ingrid LAYOUT AND DESIGN and Humberto, became hurricanes which neither achieved category 3 status or higher. -
Scientific Collaborations (2014-2019)
Scientific Collaborations (2014-2019) NOAA ● National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service ○ Center for Satellite Applications and Research ○ CoastWatch ○ National Centers for Environmental Information ○ OceanWatch ● National Marine Fisheries Service ○ Alaska Fisheries Science Center ○ Northeast Fisheries Science Center ○ Northwest Fisheries Science Center ○ Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center ○ Office of Science and Technology ○ Southeast Fisheries Science Center ○ Southeast Regional Office ○ Southwest Fisheries Science Center ● National Ocean Service ○ U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System ■ Caribbean Regional Association for Coastal Ocean Observing (CARICOOS) ■ Gulf of Mexico Coastal Ocean Observing System (GCOOS) ● Gulf of Mexico Coastal Acidification Network (GCAN) ■ Mid-Atlantic Coastal Ocean Observing System (MARACOOS) ■ Pacific Islands Ocean Observing System (PacIOOS) ■ Southeast Coastal Ocean Observing Regional Association (SECOORA) ● Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network (SOCAN) ○ National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science ○ National Geodetic Survey ○ Office of National Marine Sanctuaries ■ Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary ■ Flower Gardens Bank National Marine Sanctuary ■ National Marine Sanctuary of American Samoa ■ Olympic Coast National Marine Sanctuary ○ Office of Response and Restoration ● National Weather Service ○ Climate Prediction Center ○ Environmental Modeling Center ○ National Centers for Environmental Prediction ○ National Data Buoy Center ○ National Hurricane Center 1 ○ Office -
Corporation and Institutional Members of the AMS
corporation and institutional members of the AMS Sustaining Corporation Members Environment Canada, Science Division AccuWeather, Inc. European Organisation for the Exploitation of Alden Electronics, Inc. Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) GTE Federal Systems Factory Mutual Engineering Corporation Hughes Space & Communications Company Fernbank Science Center ITT Aerospace/Communications Division Finnish Meteorological Institute Space Systems/Loral Florida Institute of Technology, Evans Library WSI Corporation Florida State University, Dept. of Meteorology Foundation of River & Basin Integrated Contributing Corporation Members Communications—FRICS University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, GEOMET Technologies, Inc. National Center for Atmospheric Research Global Atmospheric, Inc. Unisys Weather Information Services Global Hydrology and Climate Center GTE Government Systems Corporation Corporation and Institutional Members Gill Instruments Limited 3SI HANDAR, Inc. AAI Systems Management, Inc. Harris Corporation A.I.R., Inc. Harvard University The Aerospace Corporation Hawaii Pacific University, Meader Library/Periodicals Air Traffic Services, Civil Aeronautics Hitachi Europe Ltd. Administration of the Republic of China Hughes STX Corporation Air Weather Service Technical Library ISRO Telemetry Tracking and Command Network, Andrew Canada Inc. Doppler Weather Radar Project Argonne National Laboratory Illinois State Water Survey Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc. Indiana University Library, Serials Department Automated Weather -
Help Families Affected by Typhoon Nina (Nock-Ten) Despite Typhoon
Help Families Affected by Typhoon Nina (Nock-ten) Despite typhoon Nina (Nock-ten) being downgraded to a severe tropical storm as it leaves the country, families in central Philippines will still need assistance following the damage to their homes and sources of income. “Clearing operations have started in the different parts of Camarines. While traveling to Naga City, we saw families leaving evacuation centres to head back home to gauge the damage caused to their property,” says Maricel Francia, World Vision‟s Programme Officer based in Camarines Norte. World Vision emergency response teams in the Bicol region have been constantly coordinating with local government units since yesterday, December 26 to determine the immediate need of the affected population and the extent of damages to infrastructure and property. World Vision‟s rapid assessment team of staff skilled in emergency response management, child protection, health and nutrition and documentation is now heading to Bicol region from Manila, to reinforce WV staff on the ground. According to the national disaster risk reduction and management council (NDRRMC), about 25,000 families, with around 81% coming from the Bicol region, were affected by typhoon Nina (international name: Nock-ten). Officials have declared a „state of calamity‟ in the provinces of Catanduanes, Camarines Sur and Albay. Six casualties have been reported. As of December 27, 13 road sections and three bridges in regions II, MIMAROPA, V and VII are still not passable while 114 areas are experiencing power cuts since December 25. “Our main focus is on assessing the immediate needs of families and communities, especially the children displaced by the typhoon. -
Review of Surge Practices
TYPHOON NOCK TEN - THE PHILIPPINES REVIEW OF SURGE PRACTICES TRANSFORMING SURGE CAPACITY PROJECT START NETWORK SURGE RESEARCH TEAM: LOIS AUSTIN, SARAH GROSSO AND GLENN O’NEIL DECEMBER 2017 TRANSFORMING SURGE CAPACITY 2 PROJECT Acknowledgements The research team would like to express its appreciation to the international, regional and national platforms of the Surge Capacity Project and the Core Humanitarian Standard on Quality and Accountability (CHS) Alliance for their support. Particular thanks to the Philippines platform and the Nock Ten learning report authors, Ana Marie Dizon and Mary Joy Gonzales. The team found the feedback and information provided by all project member agencies and their local partners very useful. Thanks also to the UK Department for International Development for funding the project that covers this research. About the authors This research is the work of Lois Austin, Sarah Grosso and Glenn O’Neil, who have extensive experience in the humanitarian and development sectors. The team has significant experience in research, managing surge responses and serving as part of surge teams. Lois Austin: Lois has worked for 20 years in the humanitarian field, serving in a broad range of field-based and headquarters positions. Lois has managed and provided technical inputs into wide-ranging assistance, protection and recovery programmes for vulnerable populations in a number of complex and often fluctuating environments in: the Balkans; the North and South Caucasus; the Middle East; Afghanistan; Asia and throughout Africa. Lois’ field and headquarters experience has formed the basis for a solid understanding of humanitarian issues, including approaches to surge response, from both policy and operational perspectives. -
Statement on Weather Analysis and Prediction in Australia
AMOS Weather Analysis and Prediction Statement Adopted by AMOS Council: 1 August 2017 Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) Statement on Weather Analysis and Prediction in Australia This statement provides a summary of some aspects of weather analysis and prediction, with particular focus on Australia. It has been compiled by atmospheric and oceanographic scientists, reviewed by Members of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS), and approved by the AMOS Council as an official AMOS position statement. The statement will expire 5 years from its adoption, or earlier as determined by AMOS Council. Weather forecasts arm people with the advanced warning needed to protect life and property, make important commercial decisions, or to simply make everyday choices such as what to wear each morning. Forecasts are essential for disaster resilience, emergency services, improved public health, defence, energy management, aviation, and of course agriculture, among many other sectors and activities. Weather forecasts are an indispensable part of modern life. In Australia, the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) has statutory responsibility for making and issuing weather forecasts and warnings. A recent study by London Economics estimated that, "for every dollar spent on delivering Bureau [of Meteorology] services, these services return a benefit of $11.60 to the Australian economy." Some private sector companies complement these taxpayer-funded services by customising forecasts for industry and other users. Research into the underpinning science of weather and its application to weather prediction is conducted in Australian universities, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO), and of course the BoM. In addition, the universities and the BoM train the nation’s future generation of meteorologists. -
Preparing for a Changing Climate
CHAPTER ONE— INTRODUCTION History of the Assessment the box below). Such research includes long-term monitor- ing of greenhouse gases at sites like Mauna Loa in Hawai‘i; studies of the regional and global influence of Pacific “The impacts of the 1997–1998 El Niño are ocean-atmosphere processes such as ENSO; and studies of fresh in our minds, and the latest reports from the ocean’s role in the carbon cycle, as well as the region’s the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on significance in terms of biodiversity and endangered Climate Change (IPCC) confirm what all of you species. already know— changes in climate matter to individuals, communities, businesses and Finally, the Pacific Assessment was an effort to build on the governments who call islands home. Your valuable natural resources, traditional ways of leadership of the Pacific Region in establishing and sustaining a critical dialogue on climate variability and life, critical economic sectors, community support change among scientists, businesses, governments and infrastructure, and, to a great extent, your future, depend on developing an effective community leaders. Elements of this dialogue include the role of Pacific Island governments and regional organiza- response to the challenges presented by climate tions in raising international awareness of the potential variability and change.” (Morrison, 2000) consequences of climate change, as well as the success of innovative programs like the Pacific ENSO Applications With these words, Dr. Charles Morrison, President of the Center (PEAC), which is designed to facilitate use of East-West Center, welcomed participants to the “Workshop emerging climate forecasting capabilities to support on Climate and Island Coastal Communities” convened in decision-making. -
Climate Services to Support Adaptation and Livelihoods
In cooperation with: Published by: Climate-Smart Land Use Insight Brief No. 3 Climate services to support adaptation and livelihoods Key Messages f Climate services – the translation, tailoring, f It is not enough to tailor climate services to a packaging and communication of climate data to specifc context; equity and inclusion require meet users’ needs – play a key role in adaptation paying attention to the differentiated needs of to climate change. For farmers, they provide vital men and women, Indigenous Peoples, ethnic information about the onset of seasons, temperature minorities, and other groups. Within a single and rainfall projections, and extreme weather community, perspectives on climate risks, events, as well as longer-term trends they need to information needs, preferences for how to receive understand to plan and adapt. climate information, and capacities to use it may vary, even just refecting the different roles that f In ASEAN Member States, where agriculture is men and women may play in agriculture. highly vulnerable to climate change, governments already recognise the importance of climate f Delivering high-quality climate services to all services. National meteorological and hydrological who need them is a signifcant challenge. Given institutes provide a growing array of data, the urgent need to adapt to climate change and disseminated online, on broadcast media and via to support the most vulnerable populations and SMS, and through agricultural extension services sectors, it is crucial to address resource gaps and and innovative programmes such as farmer feld build capacity in key institutions, so they can schools. Still, there are signifcant capacity and continue to improve climate information services resource gaps that need to be flled. -
Incident Command System (Ics) Performance Evaluation Philippines
INCIDENT COMMAND SYSTEM (ICS) PERFORMANCE EVALUATION PHILIPPINES COUNTRY REPORT This publication was produced at the request of the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared independently by DevTech Systems, Inc. INCIDENT COMMAND SYSTEM (ICS) PERFORMANCE EVALUATION PHILIPPINES COUNTRY REPORT A Performance Evaluation of the ICS System in Philippines Covering the Assistance Provided by USAID/OFDA from 2011 August 14, 2017 USAID Contract No AID-OAA-I-15-0008 DISCLAIMER The author’s views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government. Cover photo: Microtel Incident Command Post managing ASEAN50 Meeting near Mall of Asia, Manila, Philippines i Contents Acronyms ....................................................................................................................................................................... ii I. Evaluation Purpose ............................................................................................................................................... 1 II. Evaluation Questions ............................................................................................................................................ 1 III. Project Background ............................................................................................................................................... 2 IV. Evaluation Methods & Limitations.......................................................................................................................