EMRS State Voting Intentions Poll March 2020

emrs enterprise marketing & research services

17th March 2020

EMRS State Voting Intentions March 2020

Polling was conducted from the 3rd to the 10th of March 2020. 1,000 adult Tasmanian residents were interviewed and responses weighted to reflect the Tasmanian adult voting population. A sample of this size provides a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

This report has been prepared by Enterprise Marketing and Research Services 60 Main Road, Moonah TAS 7009

All enquiries should be addressed to:

Samuel Paske Managing Director EMRS Phone: (03) 6211 1222 PO Box 402 Fax: (03) 6211 1219 Moonah TAS 7009 E-mail: [email protected]

Figure 1 – Decided Voters Supporting or Leaning towards a Party The latest EMRS poll was conducted from the 3rd to the 10th of March 2020 calling 60 both landline and mobile telephone numbers 50% throughout Tasmania. 47% 44% 43% • Support for the Liberal State Government remained relatively steady, down just 40 1 percentage point from the 33% 34% last poll in December 2019 to 31% 43% currently. 29% • Support for the Labor Party increased by 3 percentage points since December 2019, 20 now at 34%.

13% 13% 12% • The Greens support 10% decreased by just 1 12% percentage point since the 11% 11% last poll was conducted, and 7% currently stands at 12%. 0 • Of the remaining decided Actual Election November '19 December '19 March '20 Result '18 voters, 11% said they would vote for an alternative to the three major parties, down Liberal Labor Greens Other just 1 percentage point from the December 2019 poll.

Figure 2 – Preferred Premier of Tasmania

60 41% prefer Rebecca 45% 43% White 40% 41% 40 42% 39%

39% prefer 20% Peter 20 15% 16% Gutwein

20% 0 unsure/ November '19 December '19 March '20 neither

Will Hodgman Peter Gutwein Rebecca White Unsure/ Neither