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Home , Alvescot, Chipping Norton, Filkins, Finstock, Minster Lovell, Rollright

Census 2011 overview for West

Updated 15th April 2013 Margaret Melling, District Data Analysis Service This presentation

• Introduction • Communities • Local economy • Housing • Summary

Changes since last version: • Slide 4, date change for flow data, added note with link to census prospectus. • Slide 10, population change rural vs urban now uses population in households. • Slide 12, addition of a note on enumeration of RAF . • New slides added from 34 onwards including pop change by ward and change in age 85+. INTRODUCTION ONS releasing results in phases

• Released so far.. – Univariate data down to smallest geographic areas (output areas) • Still to come.. – Multivariate data (April to June 2013) • will allow more interesting analysis e.g. unemployment by age/ethnicity – Travel to work “flow” data (after November 2013, release date not yet published*)

* See ONS Census 2011 prospectus http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/guide-method/census/2011/census- data/2011-census-prospectus/index.html Census results informing planning of local services • Use of services • Communities • Views of residents – Ageing; diversity – Health • Local economy Need for local services – Qualifications – Employment, Supporting the local occupation economy – Transport Housing need • Housing – Ownership/renting, Regeneration dwelling type – Occupancy, central Supporting heating Communities 16.3 16% used internet to complete Carterton North East 24.4 East 20.3 the Census (= national average) Witney West 19.2 Carterton South 18.8 Carterton North West 17.6 • % Internet response for and Churchill 17.4 Witney North 17.1 West Oxfordshire wards Witney Central 16.9 indicative of age profile Freeland and 16.5 16.2 – Carterton North East ward 15.8 and 15.5 also has lowest % of people Witney South 15.2 The Bartons 15.1 aged 60+ in the district Percent and 15.1 of – ward also has the , Aston and 15.0 Census highest % people aged 60+ 15.0 2011 and 14.6 returns in Oxfordshire county Woodstock and 14.5 made via , and 14.5 internet & Wales average = 16% Hailey, and 14.5 – 97% response (compared Bampton and Clanfield 14.5 Brize Norton and Shilton 14.1 to 94% nationally) and 14.0 Ascott and Shipton 13.6 Source: ONS The data for Ward level has been compiled using a best fit Output Area (Jan 2010) to Milton-under- 12.2 Electoral Ward / Division (Dec 2010) look up. Burford 11.4 COMMUNITIES Over past 30 years, population in West Oxfordshire has increased by 23,100 (+28%)

Total resident population – Census mid year estimates 2011 1981 to 2011 160,000 +16%

Cherwell +30% 140,000 +15%

Vale of White Horse +17% 120,000 104,800 West Oxfordshire +28% 100,000 81,700 +23,100 80,000 equivalent to just 1981 1991 2001 2011 under the size of Witney (27,500) Source: ONS Mid year estimates from nomis and Census 2011 10% population growth in the past 10 years - majority in Carterton and Witney

Total resident population Census 2001 to Census 2011

2001 2011 2001 to % 2011 West Oxon TOTAL 95,640 104,779 9,139 10% Carterton 11,805 15,769 3,964 34% Witney 22,765 27,522 4,757 21% Chipping Norton 5,972 6,337 365 6% Other wards 55,098 55,151 53 0%

Source: ONS Census 2001 table KS02, Census 2011 table KS102, from neighbourhood statistics Much lower population growth in rural West Oxfordshire compared with other districts

Change in population living in households* Census 2001 to Census 2011

7,487 7,130 rural wards urban wards

3,582 2,840 3,081 2,460 2,020 1,331

Cherwell South Oxfordshire West Oxfordshire

*excluding population in communal establishments (military bases, care homes, student accommodation) Rural / Urban definition based on 2001 Census URBAN includes Carterton, Witney, Ducklington ONS Census 2001 table KS02, Census 2011 table KS102 from neighbourhood statistics; ONS Rural Definition of wards (2004) Growth in older population continues a long term trend, number of young people remains at similar level

+82% West Oxfordshire District aged 60+ 1981 to 2011 30,000

25,000

20,000 -2% 15,000 aged 0 to 19 age 0 to 19 age 60+ 1981 to 2011 Count of of Count population 10,000

5,000

0

Source: ONS Mid year estimates from nomis Growth in young people in urban areas Increase in older people in rural AND urban areas

1,151 Change in rural wards urban wards 935 number of people aged 0 to 19 665 2001 to 2011 282

NOTE: this data includes both population in households and Cherwell South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse West Oxfordshire population in communal -126 establishments as the age profile for population in households is Change in -334 -441 -408 not yet available. number of people 5,173 rural wards urban wards The Census 2001 survey counts aged 60+ residents of RAF Brize Norton in 2001 to 2011 a rural ward (Brize Norton & 3,656 Shilton). This base is now 3,443 3,382 counted in an urban ward 3,180 2,850 (Carterton South). 2,495 This change mainly affected the 1,911 population in the age range 18 to 45 and will affect the population base in many tables when making comparisons between 2001 and 2011 for these wards. Cherwell South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse West Oxfordshire

ONS Census 2001 table KS02, Census 2011 table KS102 from neighbourhood statistics; ONS Rural Definition of wards (2004) Since 2001, over 6,000 additional people aged 60+ live in West Oxfordshire (+31%)

People aged 60+ as % of resident population, England Census 2001 to Census 2011 2011 2001 2011 average 30.0%

25.0%

20.0%

15.0% 24.7% 24.6% 25.0% 22.3% 23.4% 10.0% 21.7% 21.2% 14.9% 5.0%

0.0% England South East Oxfordshire Cherwell Oxford South Vale of West Oxfordshire White Horse Oxfordshire

People aged 60+ 2001 2011 2001 to 2011 West Oxfordshire 20,058 26,209 6,151 31%

Sources: ONS Census 2001 table KS02; Census 2011 table KS102, from neighbourhood statistics Burford ward includes 41% people aged 60+

Highest People aged 60 and over Census 2001 Census 2011 rates of ward count percent count percent 60+ 1 West Oxfordshire Burford 681 36% 763 41% 2 South Oxfordshire Goring 1,673 30% 2,023 35% 3 South Oxfordshire Henley North 1,622 31% 1,832 33% 4 West Oxfordshire Ascott and Shipton 543 28% 641 33% 5 Cherwell Cropredy 634 23% 875 32% 6 Cherwell 623 24% 863 32% 7 West Oxfordshire Charlbury and Finstock 916 24% 1,159 32% 8 Vale of White Horse Blewbury and Upton 554 29% 629 31% 9 West Oxfordshire Milton-under-Wychwood 532 27% 630 31% 10 West Oxfordshire Freeland and Hanborough 915 22% 1,308 31%

132 Cherwell South 212 5% 415 8% Lowest 133 West Oxfordshire Carterton North East 220 7% 466 8% rates of 134 South Oxfordshire Ladygrove 324 5% 610 8% 60+ 135 Oxford St Mary's 353 7% 393 7% 136 Oxford Carfax 294 6% 287 5% 137 Oxford Holywell 110 3% 74 1%

Sources: ONS Census 2001 table KS02; Census 2011 table KS102, from neighbourhood statistics Ethnic minority population has increased in all districts in Oxfordshire

People in ethnic minority groups as % of resident population, Census 2001 to Census 2011 40% 36% 2001 2011 35% 30% 25% 20% England 2011 average 20% 15% 16% 15% 14% 9% 10% 10% 7% 5% 0% England South East Oxfordshire Cherwell Oxford South Vale of White West Oxfordshire Horse Oxfordshire Ethnic minority 2001 2011 2001 to 2011 West Oxfordshire 4,198 7,784 3,586 85%

Sources: ONS Census 2001 table KS06; Census 2011 table KS201, from neighbourhood statistics Largest BME group remains “Other White”

Irish 708

Gypsy or Irish Traveller 182 West Oxfordshire Other White 3,584 Number of people in ethnic minority groups Mixed 1,263 2001 to 2011 Indian 354 2001

Pakistani 95 2011

Bangladeshi 152

Chinese 310

Other Asian 513

African 270

Caribbean 109 51% of ethnic Other Black 58 minority population Arab 53 live in rural wards Other Ethnic Group 133

Sources: ONS Census 2001 table UV09; Census 2011 table QS201, from neighbourhood statistics Growth in potential demand for and supply of care

West Oxfordshire district People resident in care People aged 85+ homes (with and without 878 2,740 nursing) 688 2,006 +734 +190

2001 2011 2001 2011

People with limiting People aged providing 20 long term illness* 15,149 or more hours per week 2,818 13,057 unpaid care +2,092 2,019 +799

2001 2011 2001 2011

*Census 2001 = people with limiting long term illness; Census 2011 = people with day-to-day activities limited a little + activities limited a lot

ONS Census 2001 table KS08, QS606; Census 2011 table KS301, from neighbourhood statistics LOCAL ECONOMY Decline in managerial jobs and growth in professional occupations – similar to national trend Occupation of people aged 16-74 in employment 2001 to 2011 West Oxfordshire 1. Managers, Directors and Senior -16% Officials Science, research, engineering 2. Professional Occupations +81% Health professionals 3. Associate Professional and Teaching and Technical Occupations educational 4. Administrative and Secretarial Business, media and Occupations public service

5. Skilled Trades Occupations Caring personal service 6. Caring, Leisure and Other Service Occupations +45% Child care 7. Sales and Customer Service Animal care Occupations Leisure and travel 8. Process, Plant and Machine Hairdressers Operatives 2001 Housekeeping

9. Elementary Occupations 2011 Cleaning

- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000

Sources: ONS Census 2001 table KS12; Census 2011 table KS608 Increase in self employment and part time working

% self employed as % of economically active England 2011 average 20% 2001 2011 15%

10% 17% 16% 14% 15% 14% 14% 14% 5% 11%

0% England South East Oxfordshire Cherwell Oxford South Vale of White West % part time employees Oxfordshire Horse Oxfordshire as % of economically active 25% 2001 2011 England 2011 average 20% 15% 10% 20% 19% 18% 19% 16% 19% 19% 19% 5% 0% England South East Oxfordshire Cherwell Oxford South Vale of White West Oxfordshire Horse Oxfordshire

Sources: ONS Census 2001 table UV28; Census 2011 table Q601, from neighbourhood statistics Increase in % and number of unemployed, remains well below national average

% unemployed as % of economically active 7.0% England 2011 average 6.0% 5.0% 2001 2011 4.0% 3.0% 6.3% 4.8% 5.1% 2.0% 3.7% 3.8% 3.4% 3.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.0% England South East Oxfordshire Cherwell Oxford South Vale of West Oxfordshire White Horse Oxfordshire

Unemployed 2001 2011 2001 to 2011 West Oxfordshire 1,054 1,730 676 64%

Sources: ONS Census 2001 table UV28; Census 2011 table Q601, from neighbourhood statistics Increase in working from home Use of public transport remains below average

Working from home as % of those in employment 20% 2001 2011 England 2011 average 15%

10% 15% 12% 13% 14% 5% 11% 12% 11%

0% England South East Cherwell Oxford South Vale of White West Using public transport Oxfordshire Horse Oxfordshire as % of those in employment (excluding working from home) 25% 2001 2011 20% England 2011 average 15%

10% 18% 21% 13% 5% 9% 9% 9% 7% 0% England South East Cherwell Oxford South Vale of White West Oxfordshire Horse Oxfordshire

Sources: ONS Census 2001 table KS15; Census 2011 table CT0015 Number of cars owned in West Oxfordshire has more than doubled since 1981

   90,000 1981 1991 2001 2011 Households Cars 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 - Cherwell Oxford South Vale of West Oxfordshire White Oxfordshire Horse

Total number of cars 1981 2011 1981 to 2011 West Oxfordshire 29,889 65,824 35,935 120%

Source: ONS Census 2011 table KS404 1981 to 2001 analysis originally carried out by Oxfordshire County Council, Transport planning team HOUSING West Oxfordshire has below average % households with 1 or 2 bedrooms (31%)

Households by number of bedrooms Census 2011 as % of all households

1 Bedroom 2 Bedrooms 3 Bedrooms 4 Bedrooms 5 or More Bedrooms 50% 1 or 2 bedrooms 40% 40% 38% 34% 32% 43% 31% 30%

20%

10%

0% England Cherwell Oxford South Vale of White West Oxfordshire Horse Oxfordshire

Profile of households by number of bedrooms available for the first time from the Census. Source: ONS Census 2011 table QS411 Growth in single pensioner households mainly in urban areas

Change in number of single pensioner households 2001 to 2011 236 rural wards urban wards

105 104

23

-12 Cherwell South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse West Oxfordshire -58

-146 -174

ONS Census 2001 table KS20, Census 2011 table KS105 from neighbourhood statistics; ONS Rural Definition of wards (2004) Growth in lone parent households in both rural and urban areas

Change in number of lone parent households with children 2001 to 2011

536 rural wards urban wards

349 302

227 240 182 187 131

Cherwell South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse West Oxfordshire

ONS Census 2001 table KS20, Census 2011 table KS105 from neighbourhood statistics; ONS Rural Definition of wards (2004) % of households in social rented accommodation in West has declined since 2001, slight increase in number

Households in Social rented* accommodation as % of all households Census 2001 to Census 2011 25.0% 2001 2011 20.0% England 2011 average

15.0%

10.0% 21.4% 17.7% 14.2% 13.7% 12.1% 13.3% 12.5% 5.0% 11.4%

0.0% England South East Oxfordshire Cherwell Oxford South Vale of West Oxfordshire White Horse Oxfordshire *Social rented from Council + Social rented from other Social rented 2001 2011 2001 to 2011 West Oxfordshire 5,041 5,387 346 6.9%

Source: ONS Census 2011 table KS402 Number of households in private rented accommodation in West has increased by 59%

Households in Private rented* accommodation as % of all households Census 2001 to Census 2011 30.0% 2001 2011 25.0%

20.0% England 2011 average 15.0% 28.2%

10.0% 16.8% 16.3% 17.5% 16.2% 13.3% 13.6% 14.9% 5.0%

0.0% England South East Oxfordshire Cherwell Oxford South Vale of West Oxfordshire White Horse Oxfordshire *Private rented: Private landlord or letting agency + Private rented: Other Private rented 2001 2011 2001 to 2011 West Oxfordshire 4,246 6,733 2,487 59%

Source: ONS Census 2011 table KS402 DISTRICT COMPARISON West Oxfordshire vs Cotswold comparator data

Above England average West Oxfordshire Cotswold England COUNT % COUNT % % Total resident population 104,779 .. 82,881 .. .. Aged 0-4 6,362 6.1% 3929 4.7% 6.3% Aged 60 and over 26,209 25% 24,868 30% 22% Ethnic minority population 7,784 7% 4,597 6% 20% Households 43,241 .. 36,236 .. .. Residents (of households) per household 2.25 .. 2.03 2.26 Households with no usual residents 2,356 5.2% 3,732 9.2% 4.3% Social rented housing 5,387 12% 5,388 15% 18% Private rented housing 6,423 15% 5,518 15% 17% Cars per household 1.52 .. 1.53 .. 1.16 Economically active aged 16 to 74 58,506 77% 43,206 72% 70% Self employed (% of econ active) 9,452 16% 9,667 22% 14% Unemployed (% of econ active) 1,730 3.0% 1,491 3.5% 6.3% Summary Communities • Majority of population growth in Carterton and Witney • Ageing population continues long term trend – especially in rural areas Local economy • Decline in % managerial jobs, increase in professional and technical • Increase in self employment and part time working • Increase in working from home, increase in number of cars Housing • Lower % of dwellings with 1 or 2 bedrooms than other districts • Increase in private rented accommodation

FINDING OUT MORE.. • Data tables can be downloaded from www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk and www.nomisweb.co.uk

• Visualisation tools available on ONS website www.ons.gov.uk/census

IN DEVELOPMENT.. • summary leaflet of local area key data ( population totals etc) in support of basic Census enquiries, • a presentation session with key strategic partners once further analytical material is made available.

www.oxford.gov.uk/districtdataservice ADDITIONAL SLIDES

Population change by ward Population aged 85+ Alvescot and Filkins 88 2001 to 2011 change in Ascott and Shipton 9 population living in Bampton and Clanfield 50 Brize Norton and Shilton 80 households Burford 7 Carterton North East 3,059

Carterton North West -182 • Growth in Carterton Carterton South -127 and Witney Chadlington and Churchill 16 Charlbury and Finstock -148 • Chipping Norton 394 Household population Ducklington 47 in 6 wards has declined Eynsham and Cassington 19 Freeland and Hanborough 68 Population in Hailey, Minster Lovell and Leafield 161 households Kingham, Rollright and Enstone -19 Change 2001 Milton-under-Wychwood 71 to 2011 North Leigh 7 Standlake, Aston and Stanton Harcourt 243

Stonesfield and Tackley-12 The Bartons 39 Witney Central 1,395 Witney East 3,303 Witney North -196 Witney South 216 Witney West -28 258 Source: ONS Census 2001 table KS02, Census 2011 table KS102 Woodstock and Bladon 2001 to 2011 change in Alvescot and Filkins - Ascott and Shipton -20 population living in Communal Bampton and Clanfield 25 Brize Norton and Shilton -868 establishments Burford-38 Carterton North East 80 Carterton North West - • Military population was Carterton South 1,134 enumerated to Brize Chadlington and Churchill -16 Charlbury and Finstock -2 Norton in 2001 now in Chipping Norton -29 Ducklington - Carterton South Eynsham and Cassington -10 Freeland and Hanborough -1 Population in Hailey, Minster Lovell and Leafield 32 communal Kingham, Rollright and Enstone -1 establishments

Milton-under-Wychwood-12 Change 2001 North Leigh 2 to 2011 Standlake, Aston and Stanton Harcourt-7 Stonesfield and Tackley - The Bartons - Witney Central-8 Witney East 70 Witney North - Witney South 5 Witney West -

Source: ONS Census 2001 table KS02, Census 2011 table KS102 Woodstock and Bladon-15 % of people aged 85 and over in Oxfordshire similar to national average - South, Vale and West are well above national average

People aged 85+ as % of resident population, England 2011 average Census 2001 to Census 2011 2001 2011 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.2% 2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% England South East Oxfordshire Cherwell Oxford South Vale of White West Oxfordshire Horse Oxfordshire People aged 85+ 2001 2011 2001 to 2011 West Oxfordshire 2,006 2,740 734 37%

Sources: ONS Census 2001 table KS02; Census 2011 table KS102, from neighbourhood statistics