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New Hampshire Benchmark December 19-22, 2015

#15554 Data-America Leads Methodology

Data-America Leads presents the key findings from a survey of 500 likely Republican primary voters in the state of . The survey was conducted December 19-22, 2015 and has a margin of error of ±4.38%.

Gene Ulm was the primary researcher and pollster on the project. Caitlin Reed was the project director and Brian O’Bannon provided analytical assistance.

TURNING QUESTIONS INTO ANSWERS

SLIDE 2 Key Findings

TURNING QUESTIONS INTO ANSWERS

SLIDE 3 Initial .

If the Republican primary for U.S. President were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were…

Donald Trump % First Choice 29%

Ted Cruz 13%

Chris Christie 12%

Marco Rubio 12%

John Kasich 7%

Jeb 6%

Rand Paul 5%

Carly Fiorina 4%

Ben Carson 3% TURNING QUESTIONS INTO ANSWERS

New Hampshire - December 2015 SLIDE 4 Combined Ballot.

Donald Trump % Combined Choices 39%

Ted Cruz 32%

Marco Rubio 27%

Chris Christie 25%

Jeb Bush 14%

John Kasich 12%

Carly Fiorina 10%

Ben Carson 9%

Rand Paul 7% TURNING QUESTIONS INTO ANSWERS

New Hampshire - December 2015 SLIDE 5 Image Favorables.

Marco Rubio % Total Favorable 68%

Chris Christie 63%

Ted Cruz 62%

Donald Trump 57%

Carly Fiorina 57%

Ben Carson 55%

John Kasich 48%

Jeb Bush 43%

Rand Paul 43% TURNING QUESTIONS INTO ANSWERS

New Hampshire - December 2015 SLIDE 6 Who are voters willing to support?

For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Republican nomination for President in 2016.

Chris Christie % Yes 59%

Marco Rubio 57%

Donald Trump 56%

Ted Cruz 53%

Carly Fiorina 50%

Jeb Bush 42%

Ben Carson 42%

John Kasich 38%

Rand Paul 30% TURNING QUESTIONS INTO ANSWERS

New Hampshire - December 2015 SLIDE 7