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Center for Public Policy : Polls Where policy matters. Virginia Statewide Survey – Presidential Poll 2016 – February 18­22, 2016

Respondent's Gender

Female: 44.8 %

Male: 55.2 %

Male Female

Q3. If the election for President of the United States were held today, what are the chances of your voting in the Election? Are you:

You probably would vote: 9.8 %

Almost certain to vote: 90.2 %

Almost certain to vote You probably would vote Please tell me which of the following general categories best describes your age:

Refused: 0.4 % 18 to 24: 4.8 %

75 and older: 9.4 % 25 to 34: 11.0 %

65 and older: 12.8 %

35 to 44: 19.2 %

55 to 64: 19.4 %

45 to 54: 23.0 %

18 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and older 75 and older Refused

Q4. Please tell me which one issue on this list should be the top priority of the next President of the United States, no matter who it is.

Don’t Know /Refused : 3.8 %

Size of government : 8.8 %

Healthcare : 15.0 %

Working to improve the Economy and create jobs: 47.8 %

Terrorism: 17.0 %

Immigration: 7.6 %

Working to improve the Economy and create jobs Immigration Healthcare Size of government Don’t Know /Refused Favorables

Q5 ­ 13. Do you have a very favorable, favorable, unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of:

Very Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Very Unfavorable Heard of But No Opinion Never Heard Of Don't Know/Refused

0.4 % 0.6 % 11.4 % 10.4 % 25 % 37.4 % 14.8 %

1.2 % 0.2 % 8 % 31.2 % 29.8 % 21.4 % 8.2 %

0.8 % 0 % 5.2 % 29 % 21.2 % 29.4 % 14.4 %

1.2 % 2.6 % 15.4 % 20 % 27.4 % 27.6 % 5.8 %

0.8 % 2.6 % 9.6 % 17 % 29.6 % 33.4 % 7 %

0.6 % 4.8 % 13.8 % 9 % 33.2 % 32.6 % 6 %

1 % 4.2 % 13.2 % 13 % 30.2 % 28.4 % 10 %

1.4 % 0.4 % 14.8 % Jeb 11.4 % 41.4 % 27 % 3.6 %

1.2 % 18.8 % 22.6 % 3.4 % 21.2 % 27.4 % 5.4 %

0 2.5 5 7.5 10 12.5 15 17.5 20 22.5 25 27.5 30 32.5 35 37.5 40 42.5 45 Trustworthy

Q14 ­ 21.

Trustworthy Not Trustworthy Don't know/Refused

8.5 % Do you believe John Kasich 22.9 % is trustworthy or not? 68.6 %

5.2 % Do you believe 35.4 % is trustworthy or not? 59.4 %

5.3 % Do you believe Ben Carson 31.5 % is trustworthy or not? 63.2 %

8.4 % Do you believe Marco Rubio 40 % is trustworthy or not? 51.6 %

6.2 % Do you believe Bernie Sanders 34.4 % is trustworthy or not? 59.5 %

8.8 % Do you believe Ted Cruz 53.2 % is trustworthy or not? 38 %

2.1 % Do you believe Hillary Clinton 56.3 % is trustworthy or not? 41.6 %

3.9 % Do you believe Donald Trump 67.5 % is trustworthy or not? 28.5 %

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 Match­Ups

Q22a. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton. For whom would you vote?

Other: 7.2 %

Don't know/Refused: 6.0 %

Donald Trump (Republican): 39.0 %

Hillary Clinton (Democrat): 47.8 %

Donald Trump (Republican) Hillary Clinton (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other

Q22b. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders. For whom would you vote?

Other: 5.4 %

Don't know/Refused: 7.4 %

Donald Trump (Republican): 39.0 %

Bernie Sanders (Democrat): 48.2 %

Donald Trump (Republican) Bernie Sanders (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other Q23a. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton. For whom would you vote?

Other: 3.8 %

Don't know/Refused: 4.4 %

Ted Cruz (Republican): 43.4 %

Hillary Clinton (Democrat): 48.4 %

Ted Cruz (Republican) Hillary Clinton (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other

Q23b. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Bernie Sanders. For whom would you vote?

Other: 3.8 %

Don't know/Refused: 7.2 %

Ted Cruz (Republican): 43.2 %

Bernie Sanders (Democrat): 45.8 %

Ted Cruz (Republican) Bernie Sanders (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other Q24a. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton. For whom would you vote?

Other: 3.2 %

Don't know/Refused: 3.6 %

Marco Rubio (Republican): 45.2 %

Hillary Clinton (Democrat): 48.0 %

Marco Rubio (Republican) Hillary Clinton (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other

Q24b. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Bernie Sanders. For whom would you vote?

Other: 2.8 %

Don't know/Refused: 7.8 %

Marco Rubio (Republican): 43.8 %

Bernie Sanders (Democrat): 45.6 %

Marco Rubio (Republican) Bernie Sanders (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other Q25a. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican Ben Carson and Democrat Hillary Clinton. For whom would you vote?

Other: 3.6 %

Don't know/Refused: 3.6 %

Ben Carson (Republican): 44.0 %

Hillary Clinton (Democrat): 48.8 %

Ben Carson (Republican) Hillary Clinton (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other

Q25b. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican Ben Carson and Democrat Bernie Sanders. For whom would you vote?

Other: 3.6 %

Don't know/Refused: 6.8 %

Ben Carson (Republican): 43.0 %

Bernie Sanders (Democrat): 46.6 %

Ben Carson (Republican) Bernie Sanders (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other Q26a. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican Jeb Bush and Democrat Hillary Clinton. For whom would you vote?

Other: 4.8 %

Don't know/Refused: 5.0 %

Jeb Bush (Republican): 45.4 %

Hillary Clinton (Democrat): 44.8 %

Jeb Bush (Republican) Hillary Clinton (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other

Q26b. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican Jeb Bush and Democrat Bernie Sanders. For whom would you vote?

Other: 4.6 %

Don't know/Refused: 6.0 %

Jeb Bush (Republican): 44.0 %

Bernie Sanders (Democrat): 45.4 %

Jeb Bush (Republican) Bernie Sanders (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other Q27a. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican John Kasich and Democrat Hillary Clinton. For whom would you vote?

Other: 4.6 %

Don't know/Refused: 6.0 %

John Kasich (Republican): 45.0 %

Hillary Clinton (Democrat): 44.4 %

John Kasich (Republican) Hillary Clinton (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other

Q27b. Suppose the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Republican John Kasich and Democrat Bernie Sanders. For whom would you vote?

Other: 3.8 %

Don't know/Refused: 9.2 %

John Kasich (Republican): 44.0 %

Bernie Sanders (Democrat): 43.0 %

John Kasich (Republican) Bernie Sanders (Democrat) Don't know/Refused Other President Obama

Q28. Now, let’s turn to a different topic. Overall, do you approve or do you disapprove of the job is doing as the President of the United States?

Don’t know/Refused: 1.2 %

Disapprove: 46.8 % Approve: 52.0 %

Approve Disapprove Don’t know/Refused

Statistics

Q31. What is the last grade in school you completed?

Technical school: 0.4 % Grade school: 0.2 %

Some high school: 2.2 % Graduate degree: 21.0 % High school graduate: 18.0 %

Some graduate school: 4.8 %

Some College: 24.6 %

4-Year college degree: 28.8 %

Grade school Some high school High school graduate Some College 4-Year college degree Some graduate school Graduate degree Technical school Q32. What is your current marital status? Are you currently married, widowed, divorced, separated or have you never been married?

Don't know/Refused: 0.4 %

Never been married: 17.6 %

Separated: 1.8 %

Divorced: 10.2 %

Widowed: 5.0 % Married: 65.0 %

Married Widowed Divorced Separated Never been married Don't know/Refused

Q33. What is your current employment status? Are you currently:

Don't know/Refused: 0.2 %

Something else: 3.2 %

Unemployed: 3.0 %

Retired: 22.4 %

A student: 1.4 %

A homemaker: 3.4 % Employed: 66.4 %

Employed A homemaker A student Retired Unemployed Something else Don't know/Refused Q34. Which of the following categories best describes your current employment? Would you say you are currently:

Don't know/Refused: 1.2 % A laborer: 3.9 %

Something else: 12.7 % A skilled laborer or tradesman: 11.4 %

A high level professional: 10.2 % A white collar worker: 6.3 %

In sales or a business owner/proprietor: 15.7 %

A middle level professional: 24.4 %

An Executive or Manager: 14.2 %

A laborer A skilled laborer or tradesman A white collar worker In sales or a business owner/proprietor An Executive or Manager A middle level professional A high level professional Something else Don't know/Refused

Q35. Please estimate your total household income for 2015. Which of the following general categories best represents your total family income from 2015:

Don't know/Refused: 4.3 %

More than $100,000: 4.3 % Less than $20,000: 15.7 %

$75,000 to $100,000: 4.3 %

$40,000 to less than $75,000: 4.3 %

$40,000 to less than $50,000: 1.7 %

$30,000 to less than $40,000: 1.7 %

$20,000 to less than $30,000: 63.5 %

Less than $20,000 $20,000 to less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $40,000 $40,000 to less than $50,000 $40,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 to $100,000 More than $100,000 Don't know/Refused Q36. Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an Independent, or something else?/ Would you say you generally lean more toward Democrat or more toward Republican?:

Don't Know/Refused: 1.2 %

Something else: 2.6 %

Independent: 2.6 %

Democrat: 47.8 %

Republican: 45.8 %

Democrat Republican Independent Something else Don't Know/Refused

Q37. Please tell me with which of the following races do you most closely identify:

Other/Refused: 1.3 %

Asian-American: 3.8 % African-American/Black: 21.2 % Hispanic/Latino: 2.6 %

Caucasian/White: 71.2 %

African-American/Black Caucasian/White Hispanic/Latino Asian-American Other/Refused