TRAFFIC DATA ANALYSIS PAPE REPORT ONLY.DOC  1 JUNE 2009  REVISION 1  PAGE I

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Deviation Route Study

Traffic Conditions Paper

Prepared for: Indigo Shire Council Submission date: 1 June 2009

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Contents

Section Page

1. Introduction 1

2. Survey Information 2 2.1 Survey Methodology 2 2.2 Survey Results 3

3. Future Traffic Volumes 14 3.1 Factors Affecting Future Traffic Volumes 14 3.2 Future Traffic Volumes in and around Rutherglen 16 3.3 Implications of Future Traffic Growth 19

4. Summary and Conclusions 20

Appendix A Tube Count Results

Appendix B OD Survey Results

Appendix C Indigo Shire Council Tube Count Results

Appendix D Existing Traffic Volume Figures

Appendix E Future Traffic Growth Calculations

Appendix F Future Traffic Volume Figures

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

1. Introduction

Aurecon (formerly Connell Wagner) has been commissioned by Indigo Shire Council to undertake a traffic, planning and economic analysis of potential heavy vehicle bypass routes around the town of Rutherglen. The project will effectively comprise two parts: Part I. Identify a short list of three to four possible routes for the heavy vehicle bypass. Part II. Identify from the short list one or two preferred short list options. This paper has been prepared within the course of undertaking Part I to identify a short list of three to four possible routes for use by heavy vehicles. One of the primary factors needed to be able to prepare a shortlist of appropriate heavy vehicle bypass routes is to have an understanding of heavy vehicle travel patterns in the area. To gain this understanding the following sources of information have been reviewed and assessed: Historic traffic data as supplied by Indigo Shire Council; New classified tube counts undertaken by Trans Traffic Surveys on behalf of Aurecon; Origin-Destination Surveys undertaken at the main arterial routes into and out of Rutherglen by Trans Traffic Surveys on behalf of Aurecon; Additional new tube count data as undertaken by Indigo Shire Council; Wahgunyah – Rutherglen – Barnawartha North Transport Study, VicRoads 2007; and Traffic Impact Assessment on the Logic Freight Centre, Ratio Consultants, November 2008.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

2. Survey Information

2.1 Survey Methodology Aurecon commissioned the following surveys:

Tube count data at the following locations: − Murray Valley Highway (Moodemere Street) (B400), between Killeens Lane and Butler Street; − Murray Valley Highway (Main Street) (B400), between Drummond Street and Bowling Green Lane; − Murray Valley Highway (B400), between Gills Road and Indigo Gooramadda Road; − Up River Road, just east of All Saints Road; − Rutherglen - Wahgunyah Road (C376), between Three Chain Road and Jacks Road; − Reid Street, at Warrens Lane; − Springhurst Road (C376), between Parkins Road and Kings Road; − Chiltern - Rutherglen Road (C377), between Jones Road and Cornishtown Road; − Chiltern - Howlong Road (C381), between Gooramadda Road and Weidners Road; − Chiltern - Howlong Road (C381), between Murray Valley Highway and Barnanwartha Road; − Gooramadda Road, between Mia Mia Road and Chiltern - Howlong Road; and − Barnanwartha Road (C378), between Stewarts Road and Bay Road.

Origin – Destination counts between the following locations: − Murray Valley Highway (Main Street) (B400), immediately east of the intersection with Rutherglen Wahgunyah Road; − Murray Valley Highway (Howlong Street) (B400), between Reeve Street and Booth Street; and − Main Street (C376), immediately north-west of the intersection with Fortune Street.

Tube Count Data The tube count locations were chosen to match historic VicRoads count data. The locations were reviewed by Indigo Shire Council prior to installing the tubes. Tubes were laid between Thursday 19 February and Friday 20 February 2009 and were then checked on Saturday 21 February 2009. They subsequently collected data over a period of seven consecutive days. The tubes identified the following data: Speed; Vehicle movements; and Vehicle classifications.

The full tube count data obtained by Aurecon is attached as Appendix A.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Origin Destination Count The origin destination survey was designed to identify movements between the main arterial routes. To obtain this information vehicles counts and number plate records were undertaken at each cordon point. Given the level of traffic travelling across each cordon point all vehicle movements were recorded rather than just a sample. Vehicles crossing each cordon point were divided into the following two categories: Trucks (Austroads classification 3 and above); and Cars and other vehicles.

This survey was conducted over a 12 hour period, from 07:00 to 19:00 on Thursday 19 February 2009. The OD survey results are attached as Appendix B.

Indigo Shire Council Counts Additional traffic volume data was supplied by Indigo Shire. These are based on tube counts that have been undertaken at various sites between November 2007 and September 2008. At each site, data was collected over a period ranging from one to three weeks. The results of these surveys are attached as Appendix C.

2.2 Survey Results

Vehicle Movements within Rutherglen The daily, AM peak and PM peak traffic movements through the centre of Rutherglen are set out within Figures 1 to 3 attached as Appendix D. It is noted that on the basis of the tube count data from Murray Valley Highway, approximately 88% of all vehicles and 80% of all truck movements occur between 6am and 6pm when. The OD survey period of 7am to 7pm is the highest 12 hour period when approximately 87% of all movements and 79% of truck movements occur.

All Vehicle Movements On the basis of the OD data the 12 hour and peak hour traffic volumes has been identified for each of the main roads serving Rutherglen, as indicated in Figure 2.1 and is set out in full in Appendix D and summarised in Table 2.1. It is noted that the OD survey points did not cover 24 hours and therefore equivalent 24 hour volumes have been calculated based on the 12 hour to 24 hour ratio exhibited by all feeder streets into Rutherglen.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Key

OD Survey Location 2

Table 2.1: Daily and Peak Hour Traffic Movements Into and Out of Rutherglen PM Peak Hour 24 Hour 12 Hour AM Peak Hour Road Direction (15:00 to Volumes Volumes (08:30 to 09:30 16:00)

Murray Valley South or East bound 1708 1423 113 159 Highway (Into Rutherglen) West of Rutherglen North or West bound 1642 1368 138 142 OD Location 1 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy West of 3350 2791 251 301 Rutherglen Northwest bound Main Street 983 819 97 80 (Into Rutherglen) South of Rutherglen Southeast bound OD Location 2 877 731 43 102 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Main Street South of Rutherglen 1860 1550 140 182 Murray Valley Westbound 1436 1197 141 130 Highway (Into Rutherglen) East of Rutherglen Eastbound 1423 1186 117 144 OD Location 3 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy East of 2859 2383 258 274 Rutherglen Totals Into Rutherglen 4127 3439 351 369 Out of Rutherglen 3942 3285 298 388

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From Table 2.1 it is apparent on the day of the survey approximately 6700 vehicles entered or exited Rutherglen through the cordon points of the survey area in a 12 hour period. Of these movements approximately 650 occurred in the AM peak hour (08:30 to 09:30) and approximately 760 occurred in the PM Peak Hour (15:00 to 16:00). The traffic movements given in Table 2.1 include both through trips and vehicles either going to or leaving the central area of Rutherglen. To identify through trips the origin-destination survey data has been analysed to identify vehicles either entering or exiting the study area within a 5 minute period, as indicated within Table 2.2.

Table 2.2: Through Traffic Movements AM Peak PM Peak 12 Hour Hour Hour Entry Approach Exit Approach Volumes (08:00 to (15:00 to 09:00) 16:00) Murray Valley Highway / Murray Valley Howlong Street 578 40 57 Highway north OD location 3 western end of Main Street Main Street South of Town OD Location 1 Centre 264 15 32 OD Location 2 Total Through Movements from Murray Valley 842 55 89 Highway to the north west of Rutherglen Murray Valley Highway / Howlong Street 171 7 16 Main Street south of OD Location 3 Town Centre Murray Valley Highway OD Location 2 north western end of Main Street 327 31 21 OD Location 1 Total Through Movements from Main Street south 498 38 37 of the Town Centre Murray Valley Highway north western end of Main Murray Valley Street 580 58 57 Highway /Howlong OD Location 1 Street Main Street South of Town OD Location 3 Centre 131 18 7 OD Location 2 Total Through Movements from Murray Valley 711 76 64 Highway / Howlong Road

Total Through Movements 2051 169 190

From Tables 2.1 and 2.2 it is apparent that 60% of vehicles entering Rutherglen and 62% of vehicles exiting Rutherglen over the day (12-hours) is through traffic not stopping to visit the main shopping area of the town or significantly diverting off Main Street. Peak hour ‘through’ movements equate to between 48% and 57% of the total peak hour trips into or out of the town. The majority of through movements both daily (56%) and during peak periods (60%) passed through both Murray Valley Highway Cordon Points. Approximately 28% of through movements passed through the Murray Valley Highway western cordon point and Main Street (Fortune Street and Chiltern- Rutherglen Road) cordon point as indicated within the pie charts attached as Figure 2.1.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Daily Through Movements – All Vehicles Ke y

OD 2 to OD 3 OD 1 to OD 3 8% OD 1 to OD 3 Murray Valley Highway 29% west of Rutherglen to OD2 to OD 1 Murray Valley Highway 16% East of Rutherglen (Howlong Street)

OD 3 to OD 2 OD 1 to OD 2 6% Murray Valley Highway west of Rutherglen to OD 1 to OD 2 Main Street south of OD 3 to OD 1 13% Rutherglen (Rutherglen - 28% Springhurst & Rutherglen to Chiltern Roads)

AM Peak Hour Through Movements – All Vehicles OD 3 to OD 1 Murray Valley Highway OD 2 to OD 3 east of Rutherglen 4% (Howling Street) to OD2 to OD 1 OD 1 to OD 3 24% Murray Valley Highway 18% west of Rutherglen

OD 3 to OD 2 OD 3 to OD 2 Murray Valley Highway 11% OD 1 to OD 2 east of Rutherglen 9% (Howlong Street) to Main Street south of town (Chiltern-Rutherglen Road and Rutherglen to OD 3 to OD 1 Springhurst Road) 34% OD 2 to OD 1 Main Street south of PM Peak Hour Through Movements – All Vehicles Rutherglen (Chiltern – OD 2 to OD 3 Rutherglen Road & 8% Rutherglen – Springhurst OD2 to OD 1 OD 1 to OD 3 Road) to Murray Valley 11% 30% Highway west of Rutherglen OD 3 to OD 2 4% OD2 to OD 3 Main Street south of Rutherglen (Chiltern Rutherglen Road and OD 1 to OD 2 Rutherglen – Springhurst OD 3 to OD 1 17% Road) to Murray Valley 30% Highway east of Rutherglen (Howlong Street) Figure 2.1: Through Traffic Movements

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Truck Movements Similarly to the total vehicle movements daily and peak hour truck movements have been identified from the tube and OD survey data and are set out within Tables 2.3 and 2.4.

Table 2.3: Daily and Peak Hour Truck Movements Into and Out of Rutherglen AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour 24 Hour 12 Hour Road Direction Volumes Volumes (08:30 to (15:00 to 09:30) 16:00)

Murray Valley South or East bound 91 76 8 4 Highway (Into Rutherglen) West of Rutherglen North or West bound 130 108 12 10 OD Location 1 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy West of 221 184 20 14 Rutherglen Northwest bound Main Street 37 31 2 4 (Into Rutherglen) South of Rutherglen Southeast bound OD Location 2 30 25 4 0 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Main Street South of Rutherglen 67 56 6 4 Murray Valley Westbound 118 98 5 9 Highway (Into Rutherglen) East of Rutherglen Eastbound 109 91 8 10 OD Location 3 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy East of 227 189 13 19 Rutherglen Totals Into Rutherglen 246 205 15 17 Out of Rutherglen 269 224 24 20

Table 2.3 above shows that on the day of the survey approximately 430 trucks entered or exited the cordon area over a 12 hour period. Of these, approximately 40 occurred during the AM and PM Peak hours (08:30 to 09:30 and 15:00 to 16:00). Table 2.3 includes both through trips and trucks either going to or leaving the central area of Rutherglen. As with the total traffic analayis, the truck data has been analysed to identify through trips summarised in Table 2.4 below.

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Table 2.4: Through Truck Movements AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour 12 Hour Entry Approach Exit Approach Volumes (08:00 to (15:00 to 09:00) 16:00) Murray Valley Highway / Howlong Murray Valley 41 1 6 Highway north Street western end of Main OD location 3 Street Main Street South of OD Location 1 Town Centre 7 2 0 OD Location 2 Total Through Movements from Murray Valley 48 3 6 Highway to the north west of Rutherglen Murray Valley Highway / Howlong Street 6 0 1 Main Street south of OD Location 3 Town Centre Murray Valley OD Location 2 Highway north western end of Main 9 0 1 Street OD Location 1 Total Through Movements from Main Street 15 0 2 south of the Town Centre Murray Valley Highway north Murray Valley western end of Main 56 5 3 Highway /Howlong Street Street OD Location 1 OD Location 3 Main Street South of Town Centre 2 0 1 OD Location 2 Total Through Movements from Murray Valley 58 5 4 Highway / Howlong Road

Total Through Movements 121 8 12

A comparison of the data in Tables 2.3 and 2.4 shows that about 59% of trucks entering and 54% exiting Rutherglen over the day is ‘through’ traffic, that is not stopping in the central part of the town. Peak hour through movements make up between 30% and 70% of peak hour trucks entering or exiting central Rutherglen. The predominant through truck movement is along the Murray Valley Highway in either direction, which constitutes around 80% of through trips during the day, and about 75% during either peak period. A further 13% of daily through movements are between Murray Valley Highway at the north-western end of Main Street and Main Street South of the Town Centre, with the remaining 7% occurring between Murray Valley Highway / Howlong Street and Main Street south of the Town Centre. Overall through truck movements into and out of Rutherglen accounted for approximately 6% of all through movements.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Key Daily Through Movements - Trucks only OD 2 to OD 3 OD 1 to OD 3 5% OD2 to OD 1 Murray Valley Highway 7% west of Rutherglen to OD 3 to OD 2 Murray Valley Highway 2% OD 1 to OD 3 34% East of Rutherglen (Howlong Street)

OD 1 to OD 2 Murray Valley Highway west of Rutherglen to Main Street south of Rutherglen (Rutherglen - OD 3 to OD 1 OD 1 to OD 2 Springhurst & Rutherglen 46% 6% to Chiltern Roads)

OD 3 to OD 1 Murray Valley Highway east of Rutherglen AM Peak Hour Through Movements - (Howling Street) to Trucks only Murray Valley Highway west of Rutherglen OD 1 to OD 3 13% OD 3 to OD 2 Murray Valley Highway east of Rutherglen (Howlong Street) to Main Street south of town (Chiltern-Rutherglen Road and Rutherglen to Springhurst Road) OD 3 to OD 1 OD 1 to OD 2 25% 62% OD 2 to OD 1 Main Street south of Rutherglen (Chiltern – Rutherglen Road & Rutherglen – Springhurst Road) to Murray Valley Highway west of PM Peak Hour Through MovementsOD 1 to OD - 3 Rutherglen Trucks only 30% OD 2 to OD 3 8% OD2 to OD 3 OD2 to OD 1 Main Street south of 8% Rutherglen (Chiltern Rutherglen Road and Rutherglen – Springhurst OD 3 to OD 2 OD 1 to OD 3 51% Road) to Murray Valley 8% Highway east of Rutherglen (Howlong Street)

OD 3 to OD 1 25%

Figure 2.2: Through truck movements

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Vehicle Movements on the Wider Network

Total Traffic In addition to counts within Rutherglen, Aurecon and Indigo Shire Council have undertaken a number of tube counts on the major routes around the town. On the basis of these surveys the daily and peak hour counts on major roads surrounding Rutherglen have been identified, as indicated in Table 2.5.

Table 2.5: Daily and Peak Hour Volumes Around Rutherglen 12-Hour AM Peak PM Peak 24 Hour Volumes Hour Hour Road Link Volumes (08:00 to (15:00 to 09:00) 16:00) Between Rutherglen and Chiltern Howlong Road 2139 1794 184 181 (east of Rutherglen) Murray Valley Between Rutherglen and Three Chain Road 1689 1441 130 137 Highway (west of Rutherglen) Between Three Chain Road and Buckingham Road 1695 (west of Rutherglen) Between Great Southern Road and Jones Road 798 673 71 61 Chiltern (south west of Rutherglen) Rutherglen Road Between Racecourse Road and Hunter Street 779 (south west of Rutherglen) Between Parkins Road and Kings Road Fortune Street 618 506 50 63 (south of Rutherglen) Between Murray Valley Highway and Barnawatha Road 292 227 21 20 Chiltern (north east of Rutherglen) Howlong Road Between Barnawartha Road and Riverina Highway 1826 113 196 (northeast of Rutherglen) Between Chiltern Road and Murray Valley Barnawartha Highway 1946 1439 143 155 Road (east of Rutherglen) Gooramadda Between Mila Mila Road and Popes Road 1575 1260 119 131 Road (north east of Rutherglen) Between Hedricks Road and Carlyle Road Up River Road 1195 953 90 104 (north west of Rutherglen) Rutherglen- Between Rutherglen and Three Chain Road Wahgunyah 2638 2161 191 233 Road (east of Rutherglen) Between Murray Valley Highway and Kings Road 1084 Three Chain (south east of Rutherglen) Road Between Murray Valley Highway and Rutherglen-Wahgunyah Road 1289 (east of Rutherglen)

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

AustRoads Guide to Traffic Engineering Practice Part 2 – Road Capacity, defines the capacity of both rural and urban roads in terms of a level of service. Level of service A is considered to represent the best possible level of service and F represents the worst possible level of service, where flow breakdown occurs and queuing and delays result. The maximum daily traffic volumes within each level of service depends on a number of factors including type of road, driving conditions and peak to daily flow ratios. As a ‘rule of thumb,’ the AustRoads Guide indicates that roads on relatively level terrain where the peak to daily flow ratio is 0.1 (as in and around Rutherglen), the following vehicle movements apply for each level of service:

Level of Service A 2400vpd; Level of Service B 4800vpd; Level of Service C 7900vpd; Level of Service D 13,500vpd; Level of Service E 22,900vpd; and Level of Service F >22,900vpd.

Given the above and from the daily traffic volumes set out in Table 2.5, it is clear that traffic volumes around Rutherglen are generally well within typical values representing either level of service A or B, with even the busiest three roads carrying less than 3000 vehicles per day as indicated below:

Rutherglen-Wahgunyah Road catering for between 2600 and 2700 vehicles per day; Murray Valley Highway catering for 1800 to 2200 vehicles per day (it is noted this increases to between 2700 and 3200 within Rutherglen itself); and Barnawartha Road catering for between 1900 and 2000 vehicles per day.

Truck Traffic Truck traffic in the area surrounding Rutherglen has also been identified and is summarised in Table 2.6.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Table 2.6: Daily and Peak Hour Truck Volumes Around Rutherglen 12-Hour AM Peak PM Peak 24 Hour Volumes Hour Hour Road Link Volumes (08:00 to (15:00 to 09:00) 16:00) Between Rutherglen and Chiltern Howlong Road 307 232 24 23 (east of Rutherglen) Murray Valley Between Rutherglen and Three Chain Road 264 198 16 20 Highway (west of Rutherglen) Between Three Chain Road and Buckingham Road 300 (west of Rutherglen) Between Great Southern Road and Jones Road Chiltern 87 76 8 9 Rutherglen (south west of Rutherglen) Road Between Racecourse Road and Hunter Street 74 (south west of Rutherglen) Between Parkins Road and Kings Road Fortune Street 77 60 5 5 (south of Rutherglen) Between Murray Valley Highway and Barnawatha Road 40 29 3 3 Chiltern (north east of Rutherglen) Howlong Road Between Barnawartha Road and Riverina Highway 286 16 10 (northeast of Rutherglen) Between Chiltern Road and Murray Valley Barnawartha Highway 286 214 23 19 Road (east of Rutherglen) Gooramadda Between Mila Mila Road and Popes Road 190 147 12 12 Road (north east of Rutherglen) Between Hedricks Road and Carlyle Road Up River Road 136 111 10 10 (north west of Rutherglen) Rutherglen- Between Rutherglen and Three Chain Road Wahgunyah 199 165 16 15 Road (east of Rutherglen) Between Murray Valley Highway and Kings Road 237 Three Chain (south east of Rutherglen) Road Between Murray Valley Highway and Rutherglen-Wahgunyah Road 224 (east of Rutherglen)

From the truck traffic data it can been seen that there are some definite patterns of truck movements which are summarised below:

The predominate truck movement in the area appears to be east-west either along Murray- Valley Highway or Barnawartha Road / Up River Road; There is a significant truck route to the north via Barnawartha Road and Chiltern-Howlong Road; There is a significant north-south truck route along Three Chain Road; and FILE P:\C&I\39504.002 RUTHERGLEN HEAVY VEHICLE DEVIATION ROUTE\REPORTS\OUTGOING REPORTSA\TRAFFIC DATA ANALYSIS PAPE REPORT ONLY.DOC  1 JUNE 2009  REVISION 1  PAGE 12

Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

There is a lesser, although still significant, route to the south of Rutherglen along Fortune Street and Chiltern-Rutherglen Road.

The ratio of truck movements to total movements ranges from a low of 8% on Rutherglen-Wahgunyah Road to a high of 22% on Three Chain Road south of Murray Valley Highway. It is noted that these percentages are much higher than the percentage of through truck movements into and out of Rutherglen.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

3. Future Traffic Volumes

3.1 Factors Affecting Future Traffic Volumes There are a number of factors that influence future traffic volumes, however the primary factors include: Changes to the road infrastructure; Changes to development in the region; and Natural growth on the road network as a result of population growth both local and regional.

The Truck Bypass Route for Rutherglen needs to represent a long term solution for trucks in the area. Therefore, for the purpose of this study Aurecon have been advised to consider a future scenario for both 2020 and 2030. Changes to the Road Infrastructure With the exception of the subject of this study (a heavy vehicle bypass), Aurecon have not been advised of any major road infrastructure changes in the vicinity of Rutherglen which may have an impact on traffic volumes in the region. Development in the Region The major development understood to occur around Rutherglen is the Logic Distribution Centre in Barnwartha. This development is currently partially complete with approximately 65,000sq.m of floor area operational on approximately 29ha of land by the end of 2008 (figure as provided in Ratio report dated 3 rd November 2008). This is anticipated to increase to 231,833sq.m on 113 ha of land by 2019 1, however ultimately Aurecon have been advised that Logic owns 360 ha of land and are currently in the process of trying to rezone 180ha within Indigo Shire Council to Industrial. Clearly then, by 2030 Logic could contribute significantly higher levels of truck movements than identified within the Ratio Report. Adopting the average growth rates of approximately 6ha of land per year and approximately 12,417sq.m of building envelope per year development levels identified within the Ratio Report, it is anticipated that by 2030, 179 ha of land containing apprpximately 368,420sq.m 2 of building area could be developed. Based on typical warehouse / industrial daily traffic generation rates for Victoria and NSW of 4 trips per 100sq.m and the truck generation rate of 0.74 trips per 100sq.m identified within the Ratio Report, the daily additional traffic due to growth in the Logic Facility has been calculated in Table 3.1. and 3.2. The majority of Logic traffic would utilise the Hume Freeway, however it is anticipated that approximately 10% would travel to the west along the Murray Valley Highway. A review of truck movements on and leading off the Murray Valley Highway suggests that Logic Traffic travelling west would split between Barnawartha Road and the Murray Valley Highway. Based on the current split proportion, Tables 3.1 and 3.2 set out the anticipated additional truck and total traffic generated by a fully completed Logic Distribution Centre.

1 Ratio report states the developed land would increase to 113ha by 2020 based on approximately 6ha of growth a year however adopting this rate suggests 113ha would be reached by 2019.

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Table 3-1 Additional Traffic per day generated by Logic in the Existing 2020 and 2030 scenarios Anticipated Murray Valley Total Vehicles Murray Valley Operational Hwy / (vpd) Hwy and Building Hume Freeway Barnawartha Rd Year Rutherglen Envelope (4 trips per (vpd) (vpd) 100sq.m) (vpd) (sq.m) Existing (2008) 65,000 2600 2340 140 120 2020 244,250 9770 8800 510 470 2020 Increase from 350 +179,250 7170 6460 370 2008 2030 368,420 14,740 13,270 770 700 2030 Increase from 580 303,420 12,140 10,930 630 2008

Table 3-2 Trucks volumes per day generated by Logic in the Existing, 2020 and 2030 scenarios Anticipated Total Truck Murray Valley Murray Valley Operational Movements Highway / Hume Freeway Highway and Building (trucks per day) Barnawartha Year Rutherglen Envelope (trucks per day) Road (0.74 trips per (trucks per day) (sq.m) 100sq.m) (trucks per day) Existing (2008) 65,000 478 430 25 23 2020 224,250 1807 1626 94 87 2020 Increase from 64 +179,250 1329 1196 69 2008 2030 368,420 2726 2453 141 132 Increase from 2008 303,420 2248 2023 116 109

Natural Growth Due to Population Increases For the purpose of this report natural growth in traffic has been split into two parts, overall growth in traffic volumes and heavy vehicle growth. Total Traffic Growth GHD and Meyrick have recently prepared a Draft Background Paper on the Hume Corridor Study, whilst centred round the Hume Freeway, this paper also considers other major road infrastructure in the area, including Murray Valley Highway. This paper indicates that the Murray Valley Highway is anticipated to experience a basic growth in traffic volumes of approximately 1% per annum up to 2016. This level of growth is not dissimilar to recent population growth in Indigo Shire of 1.3% per annum. Adopting a 1% growth rate up to 2030, would suggest an overall growth of approximately 24%. Heavy Vehicle Growth The Municipal Association of Victoria produced a Discussion Paper on Higher Productivity Vehicles in March 2009. This paper indicated that the domestic freight task on road and rail within Australia was anticipated to more than double from 268 billion tonnes to 523 billion tonnes between 2000 and 2020, this represents an average 3.4% increase per annum. However, this does not necessarily mean that freight traffic would increase in the same proportion.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

The Discussion Paper states that to accommodate this growth in freight rail and higher productivity vehicles will be required, which in turn will lead to efficiencies in total truck movements. The paper does not provide a guide to the level of efficiencies that could be gained. However, assuming that a 20% efficiency can be gained, then it is anticipated that heavy vehicle growth could increase by approximately 2.7% per annum. Adopting this reduced rate it is anticiapted that truck traffic through Rutherglen could naturally increase by over 80% by 2030.

3.2 Future Traffic Volumes in and around Rutherglen Based on the above analysis the future traffic volumes in and around Rutherglen have been estimated for two design years 2020 and 2030. These volumes are set out within the spreadsheet attached as Appendix E and the Figures attached as Appendix F and is summarised in Tables 3.3 and 3.4 below.

Table 3.3: Future Daily Traffic Movements Within Rutherglen 2020 Total Through Total Through Road Direction Total Traffic Total Trucks Traffic Trucks South or East bound Murray Valley 2035 1324 160 138 (Into Rutherglen) Highway North or West bound West of Rutherglen 2110 1411 214 118 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy West of 4145 2735 374 256 Rutherglen Northwest bound 1293 673 85 25 Main Street (Into Rutherglen) South of Rutherglen Southeast bound 1173 534 76 14 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Main Street South of Rutherglen 2466 1207 161 39 Murray Valley Westbound 1803 1146 198 130 Highway (Into Rutherglen) (Howlong Rd) Eastbound 1788 1198 184 113 East of Rutherglen (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy East of 3591 2344 382 243 Rutherglen Totals Into Rutherglen 5131 - 443 Out of Rutherglen 5071 - 474 Total Through 3143 269 Movements [1] [1] Total through movements was obtained through summing vehicles into and out of Rutherglen and then halved, to eliminate double counting.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Table 3.4 Future Daily Traffic Movements Within Rutherglen 2030 Total Through Total Through Road Direction Total Traffic Total Trucks Traffic Trucks South or East bound Murray Valley 2441 1574 222 160 (Into Rutherglen) Highway North or West bound West of Rutherglen 2359 1669 293 199 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy West of 4800 3243 515 359 Rutherglen Northwest bound 1539 743 125 33 Main Street (Into Rutherglen) South of Rutherglen Southeast bound 1407 590 112 18 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Main Street South of Rutherglen 2946 1333 237 51 Murray Valley Westbound 2101 1376 271 183 Highway (Into Rutherglen) (Howlong Rd) Eastbound 2086 1434 255 159 East of Rutherglen (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy East of 4188 2810 526 342 Rutherglen Totals Into Rutherglen 6081 - 618 Out of Rutherglen 5852 - 660 Total Through 3693 376 Movements [1] [1] Total through movements was obtained through summing vehicles into and out of Rutherglen and then halved, to eliminate double counting.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Table 3.4: Anticipated Future Daily Truck and Total Traffic Around Rutherglen – 2020 and 2030 2020 2030

Road Link Total Daily Truck Total Daily Truck Traffic Traffic Traffic Traffic (Two Way) (Two Way) (Two Way) (Two Way) Between Rutherglen and Chiltern Howlong Road 2780 490 3290 670 (east of Rutherglen) Between Rutherglen and Three Murray Valley Chain Road Highway 2040 400 2350 550 (west of Rutherglen) Between Three Chain Road and Buckingham Road 2380 520 2680 690 (west of Rutherglen) Between Great Southern Road and Jones Road 900 120 990 150 Chiltern (south west of Rutherglen) Rutherglen Road Between Racecourse Road and Hunter Street 1050 120 1160 160 (south west of Rutherglen) Between Parkins Road and Kings Fortune Street Road 700 100 770 140 (south of Rutherglen) Between Murray Valley Highway and Barnawatha Road 330 60 370 70 Chiltern (north east of Rutherglen) Howlong Road Between Barnawartha Road and Riverina Highway 2250 430 2590 580 (northeast of Rutherglen) Between Chiltern Road and Murray Barnawartha Valley Highway 2540 360 3000 500 Road (east of Rutherglen) Between Mila Mila Road and Gooramadda Popes Road 1940 300 2220 390 Road (north east of Rutherglen) Between Hedricks Road and Up River Road Carlyle Road 1510 220 1750 290 (north west of Rutherglen) Rutherglen- Between Rutherglen and Three Wahgunyah Chain Road 3200 300 3670 400 Road (east of Rutherglen) Between Murray Valley Highway and Kings Road 1520 410 1720 540 Three Chain (south east of Rutherglen) Road Between Murray Valley Highway and Rutherglen-Wahgunyah Road 1700 370 1880 490 (east of Rutherglen)

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

3.3 Implications of Future Traffic Growth On the basis of the assessment of future traffic volumes in and around Rutherglen the following has been concluded: Daily traffic volumes along Main Street through the centre of Rutherglen would equate to approximately 4000 vehicles per day by 2020 and 4800 vehicles per day in 2030, which is well within the capacity of the road; Through movements within Rutherglen would equate to approximately 61% of all traffic entering the town and 62% of all traffic exiting the town; Between 9 and 11% of all movements into and out of the town would be undertaken by trucks; Through truck movements will equate to approximately 61% of truck movements into the town and 57% of truck movements out of the town; and Traffic volumes on roads in the surrounding Rutherglen would not exceed recommended limits suggested to result in roads operating at Service Level B.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

4. Summary and Conclusions

Traffic surveys have been undertaken within and around Rutherglen. On the basis of these surveys and documents identifying likely growth future traffic volumes have been estimated as indicated in Tables 4.1 to 4.3 below.

Table 4.1: Future Daily Traffic Movements Within Rutherglen - 2020 Total Through Total Through Road Direction Total Traffic Total Trucks Traffic Trucks South or East bound Murray Valley 2035 1324 160 138 (Into Rutherglen) Highway North or West bound West of Rutherglen 2110 1411 214 118 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy West of 4145 2735 374 256 Rutherglen Northwest bound 1293 673 85 25 Main Street (Into Rutherglen) South of Rutherglen Southeast bound 1173 534 76 14 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Main Street South of Rutherglen 2466 1207 161 39 Murray Valley Westbound 1803 1146 198 130 Highway (Into Rutherglen) (Howlong Rd) Eastbound 1788 1198 184 113 East of Rutherglen (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy East of 3591 2344 382 243 Rutherglen Totals Into Rutherglen 5131 - 443 Out of Rutherglen 5071 - 474 Total Through 3143 269 Movements [1]

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Table 4.2 Future Daily Traffic Movements Within Rutherglen 2030 Total Through Total Through Road Direction Total Traffic Total Trucks Traffic Trucks South or East bound Murray Valley 2441 1574 222 160 (Into Rutherglen) Highway North or West bound West of Rutherglen 2359 1669 293 199 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy West of 4800 3243 515 359 Rutherglen Northwest bound 1539 743 125 33 Main Street (Into Rutherglen) South of Rutherglen Southeast bound 1407 590 112 18 (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Main Street South of Rutherglen 2946 1333 237 51 Murray Valley Westbound 2101 1376 271 183 Highway (Into Rutherglen) (Howlong Rd) Eastbound 2086 1434 255 159 East of Rutherglen (Out of Rutherglen) Total on Murray Valley Hwy East of 4188 2810 526 342 Rutherglen Totals Into Rutherglen 6081 - 618 Out of Rutherglen 5852 - 660 Total Through 3693 376 Movements [1] [1] Total through movements was obtained through summing vehicles into and out of Rutherglen and then halved, to eliminate double counting.

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Rutherglen Heavy Vehicle Bypass Study Indigo Shire Council Traffic Conditions Paper

Table 4.3: Anticipated Future Daily Truck and Total Traffic Around Rutherglen – 2020 and 2030 2020 2030

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