Survey of Registered Latinx Voters State of Florida Live Interview Telephone, (Landline and Cell Phones) and Email-/Text-to-Web Survey Conducted August 20th – August 25th, 2020 n=1,081; Margin of Error +3.0 percentage points EMC Research #20-7825
All numbers in this document represent percentage (%) values, unless otherwise noted. Please note that due to rounding, percentages may not add up to exactly 100%.
Hello, my name is______and I'm conducting a survey for ______to find out how people feel about issues in Florida. We are not trying to sell anything and are collecting this information on a scientific and completely confidential basis.
SPLIT SAMPLE (RANDOMLY ASSIGN 1/2 TO EACH) Sample A 50 Sample B 50
LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English 75 Spanish 25
1. SEX (SELF-SELECTED/SAMPLE) Male 45 Female 55
INTRO: My first questions are for statistical purposes only to ensure we’re accurately representing opinions in your area. Your individual responses will be kept confidential.
2. Are you registered to vote in Florida? Yes, Registered Democrat 38 Yes, Registered Republican 24 Yes, Registered Independent/Something Else 38 No, Not Registered → TERMINATE -
QCOUNTY. Which county do you live in? (COUNTIES CODED INTO REGIONS) Ft. Myers 4 Miami 47 North Florida 5 Orlando 18 Tampa 17 West Palm Beach 8
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3. What racial or ethnic group do you identify with most? White or Caucasian 5 Black or African American 1 Hispanic or Latino 90 Native American or American Indian or Alaska Native 0 Asian - Mixed race 2 Something else 2 (IF Q3 = 1,2,4,5,6, OR 7, ASK Q4; n=112)
4. Are you of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin or descent? Yes 100 No → TERMINATE -
QCOO. From which country or territory does your family trace their heritage? (MULTIPLE RESPONSES ACCEPTED) Cuba 30 Mexico 6 Puerto Rico 24 Central America (including El Salvador, Nicaragua, Guatemala, 9 Honduras, Panama, Belize, Costa Rica) Dominican Republic 7 South America (including Brazil, Argentina, Peru, Ecuador, Venezuela, 18 Colombia, Bolivia, Uruguay, Paraguay, Chile) Spain 16 Portugal 2 Other (Specify) 6 Prefer not to respond 3
QAGE. In what year were you born? (YEARS CODED INTO AGE CATEGORIES) 18-29 16 30-39 18 40-49 18 50-64 28 65 or over 20 Prefer not to respond 0
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5. What are the chances you will vote in the November election for President, U.S. Congress, and other offices – are you almost certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances fifty-fifty, or do you think you won’t vote? Almost certain 90 Probably 5 Fifty-fifty 3 Will not vote 1 (Don’t know/Refused) 1 (IF Q5 = 1-3, OR 5 ASK Q6; n=1,068)
6. Thinking about the election for President, U.S. Congress, and other offices in November, do you plan to vote in person ON Election Day, in person BEFORE Election Day, or vote by mail? Vote in person on Election Day 33 Vote in person before Election Day 23 Absentee OR vote by mail 39 (Don’t know/Refused) 5
7. How motivated are you to vote in this year’s election for U.S. President (ROTATE; KEEP SOMEWHAT IN THE MIDDLE) not that motivated, somewhat motivated, or very motivated? Not that motivated 8 Somewhat motivated 11 Very motivated 81 (Don’t know/Refused) 0
8. If the general election for President were held today, would you vote for [ROTATE] Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Joe Biden? Definitely Biden 46 Probably Biden 5 → 53 (Lean Biden) 2 Definitely Trump 31 Probably Trump 4 → 37 (Lean Trump) 2 Vote for a third-party candidate 3 (Undecided/Don’t know/Refused) 7
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9INT. I’d like you to rate your likelihood of voting for (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Joe Biden using a scale of zero to one hundred. Zero means there is no chance you would vote for them and one hundred means you will definitely vote for them. Very Unlikely Unlikely Neutral Likely Very Likely (Don’t SCALE: (0-24) (25-49) (50) (51-74) (75-100) know/Refused) (RANDOMIZE) 9. Republican Donald Trump 55 3 3 2 35 2 10. Democrat Joe Biden 38 4 4 3 50 2 (END RANDOMIZE)
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Strongly approve 26 → 43 Somewhat approve 17 Somewhat disapprove 8 → 53 Strongly disapprove 45 (Don’t know/Refused) 4
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12INT. INTERNAL 12. INTERNAL 13. INTERNAL 14. INTERNAL 15. INTERNAL 16. INTERNAL 17. INTERNAL 18. INTERNAL 19. INTERNAL 20. INTERNAL
21INT. INTERNAL 21. INTERNAL 22. INTERNAL 23. INTERNAL 24. INTERNAL 25. INTERNAL
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26INT. INTERNAL 26. INTERNAL 27. INTERNAL 28. INTERNAL 29. INTERNAL 30. INTERNAL 31. INTERNAL 32. INTERNAL 33. INTERNAL 34. INTERNAL 35. INTERNAL 36. INTERNAL 37. INTERNAL 38. INTERNAL
39. INTERNAL
40. INTERNAL
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44. INTERNAL
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45. How closely do you follow news and information about what’s happening in politics today? Do you follow the news…(ROTATE ORDER) Extremely closely 26 Very closely 31 Somewhat closely 29 Not too closely 9 Not at all closely 3 (Don’t know/refused) 1
46. For information about politics, would you prefer to get your information almost entirely from Spanish-language sources, mostly from Spanish language sources but sometimes English, both Spanish and English sources equally, almost entirely from English language sources, or mostly from English but sometimes Spanish sources? Almost entirely in Spanish 10 Mostly Spanish but sometimes English 6 Both equally/Bilingual 31 Almost entirely English 36 Mostly English but sometimes Spanish 16 (Don’t know/Refused) 1
DEMO. These final questions are for statistical purposes only.
47. Were you born on the United States mainland, on the island of Puerto Rico, or in another country? United States 36 Puerto Rico 15 Another country (Specify) 48 (Don’t know/Refused) 1 (IF Q47 = 3, ASK Q48; n=533)
48. What year did you arrive in the United States? 1900-1919 0 1920-1939 0 1940-1959 3 1960-1979 25 1980-1989 15 1990-1999 25 2000-2009 25 2010-2019 5 (Don’t know/Refused) 1
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(IF Q47 = 1, ASK Q49; n=377)
49. Were either of your parents born on the island of Puerto Rico or in another country? No, both parents born on the US mainland 17 Yes, Puerto Rico 20 Yes, another country 54 Yes, both Puerto Rico and another country 7 (Don’t know/Refused) 2 (IF Q47 = 2, ASK Q50; n=158)
50. Were either of your parents born on the island of Puerto Rico? Yes 91 No 9 (Don’t know/Refused) - (IF Q49 = 2-4 ASK Q51; n=305)
51. Were just one or both of your parents born outside of the U.S. and Puerto Rico? Just one 27 Both 62 (Don’t know/Refused) 10 (IF Q50= 1 ASK Q52; n=144)
52. Were just one or both of your parents born on the island of Puerto Rico? Just one 14 Both 86 (Don’t know/Refused) -
53. What is the last year of schooling that you have completed? First to eleventh grade 2 High school graduate 15 Vocational or technical school 5 Some college, but no degree 18 Associate degree 12 Four-year college graduate or bachelor’s degree 26 Graduate school or advanced degree 21 (Don’t know/Refused) 3
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54-56. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as (ROTATE DEMOCRAT AND REPUBLICAN) a Democrat, a Republican, or an Independent? Strong Democrat 22 Weak Democrat 10 Independent, Lean Democrat 15 Independent 19 Independent, Lean Republican 9 Weak Republican 5 Strong Republican 18
57. Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are (ROTATE CONSERVATIVE / LIBERAL - LEAVE MODERATE IN MIDDLE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? Liberal 23 Moderate 46 Conservative 29 (Don’t know/Refused) 2
58. What is your religion, if any? Protestant (Accept Baptist, Lutheran, Methodist, Episcopal, 9 Presbyterian, Christian, Nondenominational) Catholic 47 Evangelical 8 Jewish 1 Mormon 0 Muslim 0 Hindu 0 Agnostic 5 Atheist 6 Other (Specify) 9 (Don’t know/Refused) 14 (IF Q58 = 1, ASK Q59; n=93)
59. Do you consider yourself to be an evangelical Christian or born-again Christian? (MULTIPLE RESPONSES ACCEPTED) Evangelical Christian 64 Born-again Christian 64 Neither 67 (Don’t know/Refused) 4
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60. How often do you attend religious services – every week, once or twice a month, several times a year, hardly ever, or never? Every week 27 Once or twice a month 11 Several times a year 12 Hardly ever 18 Never 22 (Don’t know/Refused) 10
THANK YOU!