Demographics 24%

Sennybridge & Trecastle (Ward: Maescar/Llywel)

• Sennybridge and Trecastle is located in Powys consisting of a population of 1,703 in 2011 - this is a 10.2% increase from 1991 suggesting population growth in the area has been fairly good, though it declined from a high of 1,786 in 2001. • Compared to other rural areas of Wales, Sennybridge and Trecastle has a rather low population density of 0.1 persons/hectare which has remained consistent since 2001. • The population is less fluent in Welsh than other rural areas of Wales and has seen a slight decline from 2001 to 2011. • There has been a decline in the percentage of young persons in the area (20/19% in 2001 to

16% in 2011) coupled with a steady increase in the percentage of 45-64 year olds.

Ward Boundary Area: 25,396.7 hectares Density (persons/ha) *Ward boundary is consistent across 2001/2011 but composed of two smaller *1991 based on current ward boundaries wards for 1991 (Maescar & Llywel) 1991 2001 2011 3.75

2.9 3 2.6

2.25

1991

1.5 Data 0.75

0 0.1 0.1 No 0 Senny. & Tre. Rural Average

Usual Resident Population Fluent in Welsh (%) Senny. & Tre. Rural Average 1991 Llywel 1991 Maescar 2001 2011 2875 40% 2,196 2,245 2300 32%

30.5 1725 28.0

DEMOGRAPHICS 24%

1,786 26.1 1991

1,703 11501,546 20.4

16% 19.1 18.6 Data 575

8% No

0 0% 1991 2001 2011 Senny. & Tre. Rural Average Population change 1991-2011: +10.2%

Age Structure (%)

0-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-84 85+ 1.0% 161 161 162 182 172 193

0.75% 25 26 30 34 28 30

0.5% 28 28 27 25 21 22

0.25% 11 10 9 8 9 10 20 19 18 16 19 17 0.0% 1991 Llywel 1991 Maescar 2001 Senny. & Tre. 2011 Senny. & Tre. 2001 Rural Average 2011 Rural Average Sennybridge & Trecastle

• Since 1991 the number of households without cars or vans has declined from 17.2% to 9.5% in 2011 while households with 2 and 3 cars or vans have increased during the same period. • Households with 3 cars or vans per household have more than tripled between 2001 and 2011 to 17.4% of total households, which is higher than the average for rural areas in Wales. • The percentage of persons working from home is nearly twice that of the Wales rural average (30.5% vs. 17.7%) in 2011. • The percentage of persons driving a car to travel to work has steadily increased from 1991 to 2011, but is lower than the rural average.

Car or van availability by household (%)

No cars or vans in household 1 car or van in household 2 cars or vans in household 3 cars or vans in household 100% 5.2% 8.4% 17.4% 8.3% 12.3%

29.4% 28.6% 75% 35.5% 30.9%

37.6%

50%

48.3% 44.9% 42.3% 41.6%

35.6%

25%

1991

Data 17.2% 18.3% 13.8% 15.2%

No 9.5% 0%

Llywel 1991 Maescar 1991 Senny. & Tre. 2001 Senny. & Tre. 2011 Rural Average 2001 Rural Average 2011 TRAVEL Method of travel to work 16-74 year olds

(%)(2011) Work mainly at or from home Train, underground, metro, light rail, tram Bus, minibus or coach Motorcycle, scooter or moped Driving a car or van Passenger in a car or van Bicycle On foot 100% 11% 8% 5% 7% 9%3 0 1 1 9%1 1 1% 3% 1% 5%1% 58% 1% 6% 83% 3% 20%0% 8% 3% 51% 64% 46% 61%

67% 49%

50%

0% 33% 37%0% 1% 2% 33%0%1% 0% 31%1% 3% 17% 3% 3% 1% 0% 1% 1% 17%0% 16%1% 18%

0% Llywel 1991 Maescar 1991 Senny. & Tre. 2001 Senny. & Tre. 2011 2001 Rural Average 2011 Rural Average SennybridgeKILGETTY & Trecastle

• Average public return travel times to all major services/amenities have increased for

five out of eight services/amenities between 2014 and 2019. • All are higher than the Welsh average, with many almost than 4x higher than the average. • Private average return travel time is worse than the Welsh average for all services/amenities however, secondary school (39 minutes), public library (33 minutes), and pharmacy (33 minutes) have travel times that are 3x longer compared to the average.

Average public return travel time (in minutes) to a particular service Senny. & Tre. 2014 Senny. & Tre. 2019 Wales Average 2014 Wales Average 2019

160 151 151 160 142 136 133 133

SERVICES 125 121 119 121 119 121 120 120

88 91 89

80 75 80 TO 52 55 45 40 41 36 38 40 40 32 32 35 35 27 27 20 19 16

0 0

Pharmacy

Post office Post

Food shop Food

GP surgery GP

Public library Public

Primary school Primary

Secondary school Secondary

Leisure/sport centre Leisure/sport Leisure/sport centre Leisure/sport

ACCESS Average private return travel time (in minutes) to a particular service

Senny. & Tre. 2014 Senny. & Tre. 2019 Wales Average 2014 Wales Average 2019 50 40

39 40 30 33 33 33 30 31 30 24 20 20 11 10 10 9 9 10 10 11 10 11 11 8 9 10 7 7 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 4 3 3 3

0 0

Pharmacy

Post office Post

Food shop Food

Food shop Food GP surgery GP

surgery GP

Public library Public

Primary school Primary

Secondary school Secondary

Leisure/sport centre Leisure/sport Leisure/sport centre Leisure/sport SennybridgeKILGETTY & Trecastle

• Ownership levels have been fairly consistent between 1991 and 2011 (73% vs 75%) and

consistent with the rural average (73% in 2011) though social rented tenure is less than the rural average (8% compared to 12% in 2011). • Income deprivation levels are lower than the Welsh average (9% compared to 16% in 2019). • House prices have risen for all house types between 1995 and 2019, though detached housing saw a drop in 2009 and has been slow to recover. • Semi-detached and terrace housing have generally increased in value at similar levels but flatlined around 2007. • The number of flats sold has been small and highly variable and therefore makes analysis of trends fairly unreliable for these types of properties.

Tenure (%) Income Deprivation (% of population) *year notes WIMD release not necessarily the year the data was collected Owned Social rented Private rented Other

INCOME 1% 21.25 1 1 6 3 4 2 17 17 14 13 Senny. & Tre. Wales Average 13 8 14 12 9 8

0.75% 7 8 17 &

73 74 74 75 74 73

0.5% 12.75

0.25% 8.5 9 9 9

4.25

2001 2011

Llywel 1991 Llywel

Maescar 1991 Maescar Rural Average Rural Rural Average Rural 0

2014 2017 2019

Senny. & Tre. 2001 Tre. & Senny. 2011 Tre. & Senny. HOUSING Average House Price Paid by Type (£) *gaps denote no sales for that year

Detached Semi-Detached Terrace Flat £350,000

£300,000

£250,000

£200,000

£150,000

£100,000

£50,000

£0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 SennybridgeKILGETTY & Trecastle

• Long term limiting illness was lower than the Welsh average in 2014 and 2019. • The percentage of low weight single births rose in 2017 but declined in 2019 though remain below the Welsh average in all years. • Cancer incidence rates were however higher than the Welsh average but have seen a slow decline from 2014 to 2019. • People who report that their health was good rose 10 percentage points between 2001 and 2011, largely mirroring the Wales rural average.

Long term limiting illness (per 100) Low weight single births (%) *year notes WIMD release not necessarily the year the data was collected *year notes WIMD release not necessarily the year the data was collected

Senny. & Tre. Wales Average Senny. & Tre. Wales Average 23 6

17.25 18 18 4.5

11.5 3 3 3

5.75 1.5

0 0 2014 2019 2014 2017 2019

Cancer incidence (rate per 100,000) Self-reported health (%) *No data for 1991

*year notes WIMD release not necessarily the year the data was collected HEALTH

People whose health was not good Senny. & Tre. Wales Average People whose health was fairly good People whose health was good 630 1% 5 12 11 7 14 15 607.5 22 0.75% 25

585 0.5%

575 81 79 562.5 64 67 0.25%

540 546 539 0%

517.5

495

2014 2017 2019

Senny. & Tre. 2001 Tre. & Senny. 2011 Tre. & Senny.

Rural Average 2001 Average Rural 2011 Average Rural Sennybridge & Trecastle

• The average Key Stage 2 points scores for Sennybridge and Trecastle have been higher than the Welsh average in 2014 and 2017 and are now at the same level as the average in 2019 at 87. • Key Stage 4 average points score are generally in line with the Welsh average. • There has been a sharp decline in repeat absenteeism, from 10% in 2014 to 2.1% in 2019 which is in line with, and better than, more general declines in Wales. • Adults with no qualifications remains lower than the Welsh average at 12.5% compared to 19.4%.

Key Stage 2 average points score Key Stage 4 average points score *year notes WIMD release not necessarily the year the data was collected *year notes WIMD release not necessarily the year the data was collected

Senny. & Tre. Wales Average Senny. & Tre. Wales Average

90 400

88.5 89 358 300 315 87 87

85.5 86 200

84 100 132

82.5

81 0 2014 2017 2019 2014 2017 2019

Adults aged 25-64 with no EDUCATION Repeat absenteeism (%)

*year notes WIMD release not necessarily the year the data was collected qualifications (%)

*year notes WIMD release not necessarily the year the data was collected Senny. & Tre. Wales Average Senny. & Tre. Wales Average 12.5 25

10 10.00 20

7.5 15

5 12.50 12.50 10

2.5 5 2.42 2.10

0 2014 2017 2019 0 2014 2019 SennybridgeKILGETTY & Trecastle

• Sennybridge and Trecastle performs better than the Welsh average on almost all police recorded incidents indicators for which data is available except for fire incidences across both 2014 and 2019. • Despite this better than average performance, violent crime (+0.94 per 100), criminal damage (+0.12), and fire incidences (+0.37 per 100) have increased from 2014 to 2019. • Anti social behaviour has however declined.

Police recorded incidents (per 100)

*year notes WIMD release not necessarily the year the data was collected

Senny. & Tre. 2014 Senny. & Tre. 2019 3 Wales Average 2014 Wales Average 2019

3 2.25

1.5

1 1

2019 2019

2014

0.75 1

Data Data

Data

1 1

No No

No 0 0 Police recorded burglary (per 100) Police recorded violent crime (per 100) Police recorded theft (per 100)

Police recorded criminal damage (per Anti social behaviour (per 100) Senny. & 100)Tre. Wales Average 1.2 4 Senny. & Tre. Wales Average

0.9 3 COMMUNITY

0.6 2

1 0.3 0 1 1.28 1.15

0 0 2014 2019 2014 2019

Fire incidences (per 100) 1.1 Senny. & Tre. Wales Average 1.01 0.825

0.55 0.63

0.275 0.26 0 2014 2017 2019 Sennybridge & Trecastle

• The percentage of working-age population on employment related benefits has declined between 2014 and 2019 and is now at half (5%) the Welsh average (10%). • Economic activity steadily rose from 60.5% to 74.5% between 1991 and 2011 which is higher than the rural average in 2011 (66.9%). • Sennybridge and Trecastle has a larger percentage of persons working in the agriculture, forestry and fishing sector as well as public sector and defence then the Wales rural average. • Both of those sectors saw growth in Sennybridge and Trecastle between 2011 and 2011.

Percentage of working-age population Economic Activity (%) on employment related benefits *year notes WIMD release not necessarily the year the data was collected Economically Active Economically Inactive 100% 16.25 Senny. & Tre. Wales Average 25.5% 30.1% 33.1% 37.6%

39.5% 39.3% 75% 13

9.75 50%

74.5% 69.9% 66.9% 60.5% 60.7% 62.4% 6.5 7.00 25%

5.00 5.00 3.25 0%

0 2011

2014 2017 2019 2001

Llywel 1991 Llywel

Maescar 1991 Maescar

Rural Average Rural Average Rural

Senny. & Tre. 2001 Tre. & Senny. 2011 Tre. & Senny. Industrial Classification (%)

ECONOMY *to allow comparability between census years some categories have been merged

Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Energy and waste Construction Wholesale and retail trade Transport and storage Accommodation and food service activities Financial Intermediation Real estate,renting and business activities Public administration and defence Education Human health and social work activities Other

Senny. & Tre. 2001 17.0 0.3 9.9 0.7 7.3 14.8 5.1 6.6 0.9 9.2 4.2 7.6 9.4 6.9

Senny. & Tre. 2011 18.2 0.5 8.0 1.6 7.9 12.2 4.0 5.7 1.2 10.4 10.0 8.4 9.0 2.9

Rural Average 2001 6.6 0.5 14.3 1.0 8.3 15.3 4.9 6.3 2.1 8.0 6.1 8.7 12.9 5.0

Rural Average 2011 5.30.4 8.9 1.7 9.5 14.2 3.5 6.9 3.7 9.3 7.1 10.7 14.0 4.8

0 25 50 75 100 SennybridgeKILGETTY & Trecastle

• There is a decline in the percentage of managers, directors and senior officials to 11.9% in 2011 but an increase in the percentage of professional occupations to 14.8% as well as those in skilled trades as well as caring, leisure and other service occupations, and those in sales and customer service occupations. • Those in skilled trades occupations in Sennybridge and Trecastle is much higher than the rural average in 2011 at 26.2% compared to 18.3%.

Occupation (%) *to allow comparability between census years some categories have been merged

1. Managers, directors and senior officials 2. Professional occupations 3. Associate professional and technical occupations 4. Administrative and secretarial occupations 5. Skilled trades occupations 6. Caring, leisure and other service occupations 7. Sales and customer service occupations 8. Process plant and machine operatives

9. Other

Llywel 1991 38 3 3 24 0 5 0 11 16

Maescar 1991 17 11 0 8 11 19 3 14 17

Senny. & Tre. 2001 13 12 10 10 26 6 4 8 12

Senny. & Tre. 2011 12 15 9 8 26 7 5 7 12

Rural Average 2001 13 11 12 11 18 8 6 9 13 ECONOMY

Rural Average 2011 11 16 10 10 18 11 7 8 11

0 25 50 75 100