National Tracking Poll

Project: 180824 N Size: 1974 Registered Voters Margin of Error:  2% Topline Report August 16-18, 2018 Question Response Frequency Percentage P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 784 40% Wrong Track 90 60% Q172 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Strongly Approve 435 22% Somewhat Approve 395 20% Somewhat Disapprove 245 2% Strongly Disapprove 833 42% Don’t Know / No Opinion 66 3% Q172NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve 830 42% Total Dissaprove 078 55% Don’t Know / No Opinion 66 3% P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues 493 25% Security Issues 398 20% Health Care Issues 349 8% Senior’s Issues 345 7% Women’s Issues  6% Education Issues 23 6% Energy Issues 65 3% Other 90 5% POL1_1 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy Democrats in Congress 772 39% Republicans in Congress 797 40% Don’t Know / No Opinion 405 2% POL1_2 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs Democrats in Congress 790 40% Republicans in Congress 802 4% Don’t Know / No Opinion 382 9%

Page | 1 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL1_3 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care Democrats in Congress 947 48% Republicans in Congress 652 33% Don’t Know / No Opinion 375 9% POL1_4 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Immigration Democrats in Congress 837 42% Republicans in Congress 772 39% Don’t Know / No Opinion 365 8% POL1_5 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The environment Democrats in Congress 992 50% Republicans in Congress 55 26% Don’t Know / No Opinion 468 24% POL1_6 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Energy Democrats in Congress 876 44% Republicans in Congress 645 33% Don’t Know / No Opinion 453 23% POL1_7 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Education Democrats in Congress 944 48% Republicans in Congress 65 3% Don’t Know / No Opinion 45 2% POL1_8 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? National security Democrats in Congress 708 36% Republicans in Congress 832 42% Don’t Know / No Opinion 434 22% POL1_9 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Sexual harassment and misconduct in the workplace Democrats in Congress 896 45% Republicans in Congress 477 24% Don’t Know / No Opinion 602 30% POL1_10 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Gun policy Democrats in Congress 809 4% Republicans in Congress 757 38% Don’t Know / No Opinion 409 2%

Page | 2 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL2 If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Democratic candidate 895 45% Republican candidate 705 36% Don’t Know / No Opinion 374 9% POL3_1 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a healthcare reform bill A top priority 060 54% An important, but lower priority 486 25% Not too important a priority 39 7% Should not be done 30 7% Don’t know/No opinion 59 8% POL3_2 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Investigating some of President Trumps campaign officials for alleged connections or contacts with the Russian government during the 2016 elections A top priority 738 37% An important, but lower priority 349 8% Not too important a priority 336 7% Should not be done 45 2% Don’t know/No opinion 36 7% POL3_3 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Reforming entitlement programs like Medicare and Social Security A top priority 85 4% An important, but lower priority 504 26% Not too important a priority 88 0% Should not be done 296 5% Don’t know/No opinion 7 9% POL3_4 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an infrastructure spending bill A top priority 722 37% An important, but lower priority 724 37% Not too important a priority 224 % Should not be done 46 2% Don’t know/No opinion 259 3%

Page | 3 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL3_5 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill to reform regulations on banks and nancial services companies A top priority 534 27% An important, but lower priority 746 38% Not too important a priority 369 9% Should not be done 95 5% Don’t know/No opinion 230 2% POL3_6 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an immigration reform bill A top priority 835 42% An important, but lower priority 595 30% Not too important a priority 238 2% Should not be done 3 6% Don’t know/No opinion 92 0% POL3_7 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Constructing a wall along the U.S. / Mexico border A top priority 486 25% An important, but lower priority 304 5% Not too important a priority 28 % Should not be done 838 42% Don’t know/No opinion 29 7% POL3_8 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill that grants young people who were brought to the United States illegally when they were children, often with their parents, protection from deportation A top priority 693 35% An important, but lower priority 530 27% Not too important a priority 266 3% Should not be done 320 6% Don’t know/No opinion 66 8% POL3_9 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Reducing the federal budget decit A top priority 986 50% An important, but lower priority 63 32% Not too important a priority 54 8% Should not be done 37 2% Don’t know/No opinion 66 8%

Page | 4 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL3_10 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing legislation placing additional restrictions on gun ownership A top priority 758 38% An important, but lower priority 42 2% Not too important a priority 28 % Should not be done 434 22% Don’t know/No opinion 52 8% POL4_1 How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Omarosa Manigault-Newman, often referred to as Omarosa, releasing a book about the Trump administration A lot 740 37% Some 563 29% Not Much 263 3% Nothing at all 408 2% POL4_2 How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? President Trump revoking the security clearance for former CIA director John Brennan A lot 655 33% Some 649 33% Not Much 336 7% Nothing at all 334 7% POL5 As you may know, former Trump aide Omarosa Manigault-Newman is releasing a book about the Trump administration. Based on what you know, how credible do you nd this book? Very credible 70 9% Somewhat credible 53 26% Not too credible 329 7% Not at all credible 44 22% I havent heard of this book 239 2% Don’t Know/No Opinion 282 4% POL6_1 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is a strong leader Yes 820 42% No 99 50% Don’t Know/No Opinion 63 8% POL6_2 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is trustworthy Yes 595 30% No 20 57% Don’t Know/No Opinion 258 3%

Page | 5 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL6_3 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is knowledgeable Yes 836 42% No 939 48% Don’t Know/No Opinion 99 0% POL6_4 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is too liberal Yes 73 9% No 40 7% Don’t Know/No Opinion 390 20% POL6_5 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is too conservative Yes 505 26% No 054 53% Don’t Know/No Opinion 45 2% POL6_6 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is sexist Yes 25 57% No 587 30% Don’t Know/No Opinion 262 3% POL6_7 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is racist Yes 009 5% No 704 36% Don’t Know/No Opinion 262 3% POL6_8 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He keeps his promises Yes 707 36% No 987 50% Don’t Know/No Opinion 280 4% POL6_9 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is reckless Yes 205 6% No 560 28% Don’t Know/No Opinion 209 %

Page | 6 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL6_10 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is honest Yes 600 30% No 8 57% Don’t Know/No Opinion 257 3% POL6_11 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He cares about people like me Yes 67 3% No 02 56% Don’t Know/No Opinion 255 3% POL6_12 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is thin-skinned Yes 004 5% No 645 33% Don’t Know/No Opinion 324 6% POL6_13 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is compassionate Yes 576 29% No 45 58% Don’t Know/No Opinion 253 3% POL6_14 Please indicate whether each of the following statements apply to Donald Trump. He is stable Yes 636 32% No 088 55% Don’t Know/No Opinion 250 3% POL7 Which of the following statements comes closer to your view, even if neither are exactly right? President Trumps tweets do represent the official 946 48% views of the Trump Administration President Trumps tweets do not represent the official 558 28% views of the Trump Administration Don’t Know/No Opinion 469 24% POL8 Do you think President Donald Trump uses Twitter: Too much 467 74% Not enough 40 2% About the right amount 266 3% Don’t Know/No Opinion 20 0%

Page | 7 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL9 And, do you think President Donald Trumps use of Twitter is: A good thing 363 8% A bad thing 258 64% Don’t Know/No Opinion 353 8% POL10 Which of the following statements comes closer to your view, even if none are exactly right? President Trumps tweets make it easier for him to 5 6% perform his duties as president President Trumps tweets make it harder for him to 058 54% perform his duties as president President Trumps tweets have no impact on his ability 565 29% to perform his duties as president Don’t Know/No Opinion 236 2% POL11 Would you say that this tweet is: Very racist 645 33% Somewhat racist 278 4% Not too racist 2 6% Not racist at all 739 37% Don’t Know/No Opinion 200 0% POL12 And would you say that this tweet is:. Very sexist 645 33% Somewhat sexist 308 6% Not too sexist 23 6% Not sexist at all 698 35% Don’t Know/No Opinion 20 0% POL13 Which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither are exactly right? Just because someone makes racist remarks does not 688 35% always mean that they themselves are racist When someone makes racist remarks, it usually means 024 52% that they are racist Don’t Know/No Opinion 262 3% POL14 Which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither are exactly right? Just because someone makes sexist remarks does not 666 34% always mean that they themselves are sexist When someone makes sexist remarks, it usually means 059 54% that they are sexist Don’t Know/No Opinion 249 3%

Page | 8 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL15 How concerned are you with the issue of climate change and the impact its having on the U.S. environment? Very concerned 809 4% Somewhat concerned 540 27% Not too concerned 39 6% Not concerned at all 202 0% Don’t Know/No Opinion 04 5% POL16_1 Generally, do you believe climate change is making natural disasters: More frequent Yes, it is 208 6% No, it is not 437 22% Don’t Know/No Opinion 329 7% POL16_2 Generally, do you believe climate change is making natural disasters: More powerful Yes, it is 202 6% No, it is not 432 22% Don’t Know/No Opinion 34 7% POL17 How much have you seen, read, or heard about this years wildre season? A lot 946 48% Some 75 36% Not much 79 9% Nothing at all 79 4% Don’t Know/No Opinion 55 3% POL18 How much did climate change contribute to recent natural disasters, such as this years wildres throughout the West? A lot 590 30% Some 609 3% Not much 270 4% Not at all 238 2% Don’t Know/No Opinion 266 3% POL19 How much condence do you have in Congress to act on the issue of climate change? A lot 67 3% Some 328 7% Not much 796 40% None at all 56 28% Don’t Know/No Opinion 223 % POL20_1 If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for: Joe Biden Trump 66 3% Candidate 843 43% Don’t Know / No Opinion 55 26%

Page | 9 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL20_2 If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for: Bernie Sanders Trump 625 32% Candidate 878 44% Don’t Know / No Opinion 47 24% POL20_3 If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for: Elizabeth Warren Trump 602 30% Candidate 668 34% Don’t Know / No Opinion 705 36% POL20_4 If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for: Cory Booker Trump 574 29% Candidate 524 27% Don’t Know / No Opinion 876 44% POL20_5 If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for: Kirsten Gillibrand Trump 572 29% Candidate 476 24% Don’t Know / No Opinion 926 47% POL20_6 If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for: Andrew Cuomo Trump 598 30% Candidate 494 25% Don’t Know / No Opinion 882 45% POL20_7 If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for: Michael Avenatti Trump 554 28% Candidate 404 20% Don’t Know / No Opinion 07 5% POL20_8 If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for: Kamala Harris Trump 580 29% Candidate 505 26% Don’t Know / No Opinion 890 45%

Page | 10 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL20_9 If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for: Eric Holder Trump 59 30% Candidate 479 24% Don’t Know / No Opinion 904 46% POL20_10 If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for: Steve Bullock Trump 553 28% Candidate 358 8% Don’t Know / No Opinion 063 54% POL20_11 If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for: John Delaney Trump 558 28% Candidate 36 8% Don’t Know / No Opinion 055 53% POL21 When the Senate votes on Judge Brett Kavanaughs nomination to the Supreme Court, do you think the Senate should vote to conrm him as Supreme Court Justice, or not? Vote to conrm 703 36% Vote not to conrm 565 29% Don’t Know/No Opinion 706 36% indPresApp_4 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each. If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion”. If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.”: Mitch McConnell Total Favorable 35 8% Total Unfavorable 930 47% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 694 35% indPresApp_5 Favorability for: Paul Ryan Total Favorable 564 29% Total Unfavorable 962 49% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 448 23% indPresApp_6 Favorability for: Nancy Pelosi Total Favorable 53 27% Total Unfavorable 032 52% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 40 2%

Page | 11 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_7 Favorability for: Charles Schumer Total Favorable 45 23% Total Unfavorable 757 38% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 766 39% indPresApp_8 Favorability for: Mike Pence Total Favorable 765 39% Total Unfavorable 899 46% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 30 6% indPresApp_9 Favorability for: Donald Trump Total Favorable 84 4% Total Unfavorable 069 54% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 9 5% indPresApp_10 Favorability for: Republicans in Congress Total Favorable 636 32% Total Unfavorable 04 56% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 234 2% indPresApp_11 Favorability for: Democrats in Congress Total Favorable 773 39% Total Unfavorable 966 49% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 234 2% indPresApp_12 Favorability for: Melania Trump Total Favorable 944 48% Total Unfavorable 725 37% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 305 5% indPresApp_13 Favorability for: Ivanka Trump Total Favorable 760 39% Total Unfavorable 879 45% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 335 7% indPresApp_14 Favorability for: Jared Kushner Total Favorable 394 20% Total Unfavorable 887 45% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 692 35% indPresApp_15 Favorability for: Kellyanne Conway Total Favorable 462 23% Total Unfavorable 853 43% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 659 33%

Page | 12 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_16 Favorability for: Jeff Sessions Total Favorable 350 8% Total Unfavorable 984 50% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 64 32% indPresApp_17 Favorability for: Robert Mueller Total Favorable 622 3% Total Unfavorable 707 36% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 645 33% indPresApp_18 Favorability for: Maxine Waters Total Favorable 445 23% Total Unfavorable 77 36% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 82 4% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated for registered voters with demographic post-stratication weights applied.

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Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemAll Registered Voters 974 00% xdemGender Gender: Male 924 47% Gender: Female 050 53% N 974 age5 Age: 18-29 33 6% Age: 30-44 483 24% Age: 45-54 32 6% Age: 55-64 407 2% Age: 65+ 459 23% N 974 demAgeGeneration Generation Z: 18-21 82 4% Millennial: Age 22-37 523 27% Generation X: Age 38-53 470 24% Boomers: Age 54-72 787 40% N 86 xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 732 37% PID: Ind (no lean) 65 33% PID: Rep (no lean) 59 30% N 974 xpidGender PID/Gender: Dem Men 300 5% PID/Gender: Dem Women 433 22% PID/Gender: Ind Men 326 7% PID/Gender: Ind Women 324 6% PID/Gender: Rep Men 298 5% PID/Gender: Rep Women 293 5% N 974 xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 686 35% Ideo: Moderate (4) 457 23% Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 660 33% N 802 xeduc3 Educ: < College 242 63% Educ: Bachelors degree 467 24% Educ: Post-grad 266 3% N 974 Continued on next page

Page | 14 National Tracking Poll #180824, August, 2018 Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage

xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k 096 56% Income: 50k-100k 592 30% Income: 100k+ 286 4% N 974 xdemWhite Ethnicity: White 597 8% xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic 9 0% demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 250 3% demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other 27 6% xrelNet Relig: Protestant 496 25% Relig: Roman Catholic 372 9% Relig: Something Else 67 8% N 034 xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 56 3% xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical 542 27% Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 546 28% N 088 xreligion3 Relig: All Christian 088 55% Relig: All Non-Christian 67 8% N 254 xdemUsr Community: Urban 496 25% Community: Suburban 95 46% Community: Rural 563 29% N 974 xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector 593 30% Employ: Government 27 6% Employ: Self-Employed 67 8% Employ: Homemaker 35 7% Employ: Student 62 3% Employ: Retired 553 28% Employ: Unemployed 5 8% Employ: Other 86 9% N 974 xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes 353 8% Military HH: No 62 82% N 974 Continued on next page

Page | 15 Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 784 40% RD/WT: Wrong Track 90 60% N 974 Trump_Approve Trump Job Approve 830 42% Trump Job Disapprove 078 55% N 908 Trump_Approve2 Trump Job Strongly Approve 435 22% Trump Job Somewhat Approve 395 20% Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 245 2% Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 833 42% N 908 xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 493 25% #1 Issue: Security 398 20% #1 Issue: Health Care 349 8% #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 345 7% #1 Issue: Women’s Issues  6% #1 Issue: Education 23 6% #1 Issue: Energy 65 3% #1 Issue: Other 90 5% N 974 xsubVote16O 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 76 39% 2016 Vote: Donald Trump 699 35% 2016 Vote: Someone else 99 0% 2016 Vote: Didnt Vote 34 6% N 972 xsubVote14O Voted in 2014: Yes 454 74% Voted in 2014: No 520 26% N 974 xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 908 46% 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 59 26% 2012 Vote: Other 2 6% 2012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 433 22% N 972 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 352 8% 4-Region: Midwest 453 23% 4-Region: South 737 37% 4-Region: West 43 22% N 974 Continued on next page

Page | 16 National Tracking Poll #180824, August, 2018 Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage

Trump_Fav Favorable of Trump 84 4% Unfavorable of Trump 069 54% N 883 Trump_Fav_FULL Very Favorable of Trump 449 23% Somewhat Favorable of Trump 365 9% Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 75 9% Very Unfavorable of Trump 894 45% N 883 Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated with demographic post-stratication weights applied.

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