Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Released: Contact: Thursday, September 17, 2020 PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769 (cell); 732-263-5858 (office)
[email protected] Follow on Twitter: @PollsterPatrick ARIZONA: DEMS AHEAD FOR PREZ, SENATE Support for legalizing marijuana has the edge West Long Branch, NJ – Joe Biden leads Donald Trump among registered voters in Arizona, but the margin narrows under different turnout models. The Monmouth (“Mon-muth”) University Poll finds the Democrat with a large advantage among Latino voters and a small edge in all-important Maricopa County. In the race for U.S. Senate, Democrat Mark Kelly maintains his lead over incumbent Martha McSally. The poll also finds widespread voter support for a ballot measure to impose an income tax surcharge on high-earners and nominally more support than opposition for a proposition to legalize marijuana, although the latter vote could be close depending on turnout. Among all registered voters in Arizona, the race for president stands at 48% for Biden and 44% for Trump. The contest stood at a similar 46% to 43% in a poll taken shortly before the state’s presidential primary in March. Another 4% currently support Jo Jorgensen and 3% are undecided. Voter intent includes 42% who say they are certain to vote for Biden (versus 45% who say they are not at all likely to support the Democrat) and 38% who are certain to support Trump (versus 48% who are not at all likely). Under a likely voter scenario with a somewhat higher level of turnout than in 2016, the race narrows to 48% for Biden and 46% for Trump.