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Data Booklet 2017 REVISION

World Population Prospects 2017

Population are an essential tool for development planning. The 2030 Agenda for has recognized the need for high-quality, timely and reliable , including , to support the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in all in the world. In particular, SDG 17: Strengthen the of implementation and revitalize the global partnership for sustainable development, calls for the enhancement of the evidence base to measure progress towards the achievement of its goals and targets. This data booklet presents key population indicators at the global and regional levels, and highlights current and patterns and trends of , mortality and international migration. Data presented in this booklet are based on the 2017 Revision of the Prospects, the latest global demographic estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. The 2017 Revision provides a comprehensive set of demographic data and indicators to assess population trends at the global, regional and national levels and to calculate many other key indicators commonly used by the United Nations system. Suggested citation: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population Prospects 2017 – Data Booklet (ST/ESA/SER.A/401)

Cover photo credit: Photo ID 14788. Iridimi Camp, . UN Photo/Eskinder Debebe.

World Population Prospects 2017 1

Close to 7.6 billion people on today; about one billion more in 2030

According to the results of the 2017 Revision, the world’s population numbered nearly 7.6 billion as of mid-2017, implying that the world has added approximately one billion people over the last twelve years. The growth of the world’s population has slowed down in the recent past. Ten years ago, the world’s population was growing by 1.24 per cent per year; today, it is growing by 1.10 per cent per year, yielding an additional 83 million people annually. Based on the projection assumptions made in the 2017 Revision, the growth of the world’s population is expected to slow down even further in the future, and the population is projected to reach about 8.6 billion in 2030.

As the projection horizon extends, the projection Population of the world results become increasingly uncertain. In this Revision, projection uncertainties are expressed using prediction intervals around the medium Estimates (1950-2015) Projections (2015-2100) variant projection. With a certainty of 95 percent, the size of the global population will stand between 8.4 and 8.7 billion in 2030, between 9.4 and 10.2 billion in 2050, and between 9.6 and 13.2 billion in 2100. Although a continued increase of the global population is considered the most likely outcome, there is roughly a 27 per cent chance that the world’s population could stabilize or even begin to fall sometime before 2100.

The size of the global population is There is inherent uncertainty in population projected to stand between 9.4 and projections, which is increasing over time. To account for the uncertainty, statistical procedures 10.2 billion in 2050, and between 9.6 are applied to the population projections which and 13.2 billion in 2100 indicate a lower and an upper limit, between which the population, with a probability of 95 percent, is predicted to lie. The middle of this interval, the medium variant of the World Population Prospects, is considered the most likely trend of population change. 2 World Population Prospects 2017

Number of children in the world to stabilize; number of older people to double by 2050

The global population is ageing as fertility declines and increases. In 2017, more than half of the global population is composed of adults between 15 and 59 years of age (61 per cent), while children under 15 years of age represent roughly one quarter (26 per cent). Older persons aged 60 or over account for just over one eighth of the world’s inhabitants (13 per cent); however, this age group is growing faster than all younger age groups. Hence, the number of older people is likely to double by 2050. The size of the population under age 15 is expected to stay relatively stable throughout the century at about 2 billion.

Distribution of the world’s population by age and sex The world’s younger and older , 2017‐2050

If today’s number of people were split in half according to the age distribution of the world’s population (at the age), one group would bring together all persons younger than 30 years of age, while the other would include everyone aged 30 years or older. At the global level, the numbers of men and women are roughly equal; currently, in 2017, there are 102 men for every 100 women (data not shown). The sex distribution of the population is projected to change only slightly by 2050, to a ratio of 101 men for every 100 women. World Population Prospects 2017 3

The world’s regions vary considerably in and density

Distribution of the world’s population by region, 2017

742 million

361 million

4.5 billion  World’s population in 2017: 7.6 billion

1.3 billion 646 million 41 million

The designations employed and the presentation of material on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any , , or or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by and . The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. Final boundary between the Republic of the Republic of has not yet been determined. A dispute exists between the Governments of and the of Great Britain and Northern concerning over the Falkland (Malvinas). Population Population Percentage density and , the most populous regions of the world, account for more Region (millions) distribution (%) (per square than three-quarters of the global population. Asia alone holds almost 60 kilometer) per cent of the global population and includes the two most populous 2017 countries of the world, (1.4 billion) and India (1.3 billion). It is also World 7 550 100.0 58 the region with the highest in the world. Africa and Africa 1 256 16.6 42 are home to 17 per cent and 10 per cent of today’s global dwellers, Asia 4 504 59.7 145 respectively, followed by America and the (9 per cent). Europe 742 9.8 34 The two least populous regions, and , are and the together home to only 5 per cent of the world’s population and also have Caribbean 646 8.6 32 Northern America 361 4.8 19 the lowest population densities. Oceania 41 0.5 5

4 World Population Prospects 2017

Levels and trends of the world’s population by region Based on the medium-variant projection, the world’s Estimates (1975-2015) Projections (2015-2050) population is expected to increase by 2.2 billion people between 2017 and 2050, reaching 9.8 billion people in 2050. It is expected that half of the will occur in Africa. Asia is expected to be the second largest contributor to this future growth, adding just over 750 million people during the same span. Africa and Asia will be followed by Latin America and the Caribbean, Northern America and Oceania, where growth is projected to be much more modest. Europe is the only region projected to have a smaller population in 2050 than in 2017. Beyond 2050, Africa will be the main contributor to global population growth.

Ten countries with the largest populations, 2017 and 2050

2017 population 2050 population Among the ten most populous countries of the world today, Rank Country Country (millions) (millions) one is in Africa (), five are in Asia (, China, 1China 1 410 India 1 659 India, , and Pakistan), two are in Latin America 2India 1 339 China 1 364 ( and ), one is in Northern America (United 3United States of America 324 Nigeria 411 States of America), and one is in Europe (the Russian 4Indonesia 264 of America 390 Federation). Amongst these, Nigeria’s population, currently 5Brazil 209 Indonesia 322 the seventh largest in the world, is growing the most rapidly 6Pakistan 197 Pakistan 307 and is projected to surpass that of the United States shortly 7Nigeria 191 Brazil 233 before 2050. In 2050, the populations in six of the ten 8 Bangladesh 165 Bangladesh 202 largest countries are expected to exceed 300 million: China, 9 Russian Federation 144 Dem. Rep. of the Congo 197 India, Indonesia, Nigeria, Pakistan, and United States of 10 Mexico 129 191 America (in alphabetical order).

World Population Prospects 2017 5

The contribution of net international migration to population growth varies by regions

Populations may increase or decrease based on the number of births and deaths, as well as on the inflow and outflow of migrants. In most countries, international migration plays a smaller role in the overall population change than births and deaths. However, in some cases the contribution of international migration to the change in population size or distribution is quite significant, in particular for countries and regions where the number of migrants who depart or arrive, including refugees, is relatively large compared to the size of the sending or receiving population.

International migration has contributed to population … while it has had a small or negative impact In Europe, Northern America and Oceania, the net growth in some regions… on population growth in other regions inflow of migrants has contributed to population growth since 1950, while the excess of births over

deaths has become less important. In Europe, deaths exceeded births in 1990-2000, and since then, the net inflow of migrants has offset . After 2020, however, and despite a projected net inflow of migrants, the surplus of deaths over births is projected

to dominate population change, leading to population

decline in Europe.

In other regions of the world, populations grew primarily due to a surplus of births over deaths. In Africa, Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean, the difference between births and deaths counter- weighted the net outflow of migrants, and will remain the major factor behind future population growth in these regions. For the foreseeable future, large and persistent economic and demographic asymmetries between countries or regions are likely to remain key drivers of international migration.

These graphs show the two main components of population change: the difference between the number of births and deaths, and the difference between the inflow and outflow of migrants.

6 World Population Prospects 2017

Most people are living in countries with low or intermediate fertility levels

In recent decades, many countries have experienced a reduction in the number of births per . In 2010-2015, the total fertility at the global level was estimated at 2.5 live births per woman. During this period, almost half of the world’s population (46 per cent) lived in countries with intermediate fertility levels (between 2.1 and 5 live births per woman). These countries are found in many regions, with the most populous being India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Mexico and the (in order of population size). Another significant proportion of the world’s population (also 46 per cent) lived in countries with a fertility level below 2.1 births per woman. When fertility falls below the threshold of about 2.1 live births per woman, the number of births is insufficient to replace the parents’ generation, a situation known as below‐replacement fertility. The most populous low-fertility countries are China, the United States of America, Brazil, the Russian Federation, and Viet Nam. Total fertility in 2010‐2015 (live births per woman)

 Global fertility in 2010-2015: 2.5 live births per woman

The designations employed and the presentation of material on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. Final boundary between the Republic of Sudan the Republic of South Sudan has not yet been determined. A dispute exists between the Governments of Argentina and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and concerning sovereignty over the (Malvinas). World Population Prospects 2017 7

Among the regions of the world, fertility levels were the highest in Africa, with 4.7 live births per woman in 2010-2015, and lowest in Europe and Northern America, where total fertility was lower than 2 births per woman. Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean have experienced the sharpest fertility decline over the past three decades, and fertility levels are now close to the replacement level of 2.1 live births per woman. In Oceania, total fertility has changed little in the past two decades, while it has increased slightly in Europe, from 1.4 in 1995-2000 to 1.5 in 2010-2015.

Total fertility by region

Estimates (1975-2015) Projections (2015-2050) The future path of fertility will be the primary determinant of population growth in most parts of the world. By the middle of the century (in 2045-2050), most of the world’s population (around 70 per cent) will be living in countries with low levels of fertility, where women bear fewer than 2.1 children on average. No country is expected to experience fertility greater than 5 births per woman in 2045-2050.

Among regions, the largest reductions in fertility are projected to occur in Africa, while the global average is projected to fall from 2.5 births per woman in 2010-2015 to around 2.2 in 2045-2050.

The 2017 Revision assumes a decline of fertility in high and intermediate fertility countries. To achieve substantial reductions in fertility in countries where large families are still prevalent, especially in the least developed countries, it will be essential to support continued improvements in access to reproductive care services, including , with a focus on enabling women and couples to achieve their desired family size.

8 World Population Prospects 2017

Globally, adolescent birth rates have declined though they remain high in some countries

Adolescent childbearing under the age of 20 remains a topic of concern for many countries, since it can have adverse health and social consequences both for young mothers and for their children. In about one third of countries (68 countries), the adolescent was above 60 per 1,000 women aged 15-19 in 2010-2015. Twenty-five countries had a rate of 100 per 1,000 or higher.

Adolescent birth rate in 2010‐2015 (births per 1,000 women aged 15‐49)

High adolescent fertility persists in Africa, where the adolescent birth rate was 99 per 1,000 women in 2010- 2015. Latin America and the Caribbean had the second highest rate, at 67 per 1,000 women. Latin America and the Caribbean is the region where fertility of adolescent mothers contributed the most to total fertility, accounting for 16 per cent of the total fertility in 2010- 2015.

Global adolescent birth rate, 1975‐1980 – 2010‐2015

 Global adolescent birth rate in 2010-2015: Globally, adolescent fertility declined from 65 46 births per 1,000 women per thousand in 1990‐1995 to 46 per thousand in 2010‐2015

The designations employed and the presentation of material on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. Final boundary between the Republic of Sudan the Republic of South Sudan has not yet been determined. A dispute exists The adolescent birth rate is the number of births to women between the Governments of Argentina and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland concerning sovereignty over the Falkland Islands (Malvinas). aged 15-19, per 1,000 women in the same age group.

World Population Prospects 2017 9

Survival prospects are improving across the world, but differences remain

Significant gains in reducing mortality have been achieved in recent years. Globally, life expectancy at birth rose by about 4 years between 2000-2005 and 2010-2015, from 67 to 71 years. Despite these gains, large inequalities in life expectancy persist between poorer and richer areas of the world. Life expectancy in Africa stood at 60 years in 2010-2015, compared to 79 years in Northern America. Life expectancy now exceeds 80 years in some high‐income countries, whereas for several African countries it remains below 60 years. Globally, life expectancy is projected to rise to 77 years in 2045-2050, and eventually to 83 years in 2095-2100.

In some parts of the world, the gains in life expectancy at birth are primarily driven by improved survival at young ages, particularly between birth and age 5. Between 2000-2005 and 2010-2015, deaths among children under age 5 fell from an estimated 70 to 48 per 1,000 live births, or about 30 per cent in one decade. Absolute declines were especially large in Sub-Saharan Africa (from 141 to 95 per 1,000) and in the least developed countries (from 123 to 83 per 1,000).

Although differences in life expectancy and mortality across regions are projected to persist in the future, such differences are expected to diminish somewhat in the coming decades.

Life expectancy at birth by region Child by region

Estimates (1975-2015) Projections (2015-2050) Estimates (1975-2015) Projections (2015-2050)

The reduction of under-five mortality has received intensive global attention as part of Millennium Development Goal 4 and Sustainable Development Goal 3. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development calls for ending preventable deaths of newborns and of all children under 5 years of age, with all countries aiming to reduce under-five mortality to no more than 25 deaths per 1,000 live births by 2030.

10 World Population Prospects 2017

Shifts in fertility and mortality are reshaping population age distributions

As fertility declines and life expectancy rises, the proportion of the population at older ages rises as well. This phenomenon, known as , is occurring throughout the world. Populations in many regions are still comparatively young. In Africa, children under age 15 account for 41 per cent of the population in 2017 and young persons aged 15 to 24 account for an additional 19 per cent. Latin America and the Caribbean, and Asia, which have experienced greater declines in fertility, have smaller percentages of children (25 and 24 per cent, respectively) but similar percentages of youth (17 and 16 per cent, respectively). In total, these three regions are home to 1.8 billion children and 1.1 billion young persons in 2017. The population aged 60 or over is growing faster than all younger age groups. Currently, Europe has the greatest percentage of population aged 60 or over (25 per cent).

Distribution of the population by age and sex, 2017 and 2050

100+ Africa 100+ Asia 100+ Europe 2017 2050 95-99 95-99 95-99 AGES 60+ 60+ 90-94 90-94 90-94 85-89 85-89 85-89 AGES 15- 5915-59 80-84 80-84 80-84 AGES 0-14 75-79 75-79 75-79 AGES 0-14 70-74 70-74 70-74 65-69 65-69 65-69 60-64 60-64 60-64 55-59 55-59 55-59 50-54 50-54 MALESMALES FEMALESFEMALES 50-54 FEMALES Age MALESMALES FEMALESFEMALES MALES 45-49 45-49 45-49 40-44 40-44 40-44 35-39 35-39 35-39 30-34 30-34 30-34 25-29 25-29 25-29 20-24 20-24 20-24 15-19 15-19 15-19 10-14 10-14 10-14 5-9 5-9 5-9 0-4 0-4 0-4 20 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 20 20 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 20 20 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 20 Percent of population Percent of population Percent of population

100+ Latin America and the Caribbean 100+ Northern America 100+ Oceania 95-99 95-99 95-99 90-94 90-94 90-94 85-89 85-89 85-89 80-84 80-84 80-84 75-79 75-79 75-79 70-74 70-74 70-74 65-69 65-69 65-69 60-64 60-64 60-64 55-59 55-59 55-59 50-54 MALESMALES FEMALESFEMALES 50-54 MALESMALES FEMALESFEMALES 50-54 FEMALES Age MALESMALES FEMALES 45-49 45-49 45-49 40-44 40-44 40-44 35-39 35-39 35-39 30-34 30-34 30-34 25-29 25-29 25-29 20-24 20-24 20-24 15-19 15-19 15-19 10-14 10-14 10-14 5-9 5-9 5-9 0-4 0-4 0-4 20 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 20 20 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 20 20 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 20

World Population Prospects 2017 11

Population aged 0‐14 and 60 or over, 1970‐2050

As population ageing advances, age structures are expected to change significantly over the next decades. By 2050, in all regions of the world except Africa, nearly a quarter of the population will be 60 years of age or older. The number of children 14 years and younger is projected to decrease by more than 10 per cent in Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean, and by 9 per cent in Europe, between 2017 and 2050.

The potential support ratio, or the number of adults aged 20-64 per every person of 65 years and older, varies across regions. The ratio is the highest in Africa, with a value of almost 13 as compared to 3 in Europe. By 2050, all regions except Africa are expected to have ratios of 3 or below. The sharpest relative decreases between 2017 and 2050 will occur in Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean.

Potential support ratio by region, 2017 and 2050

12 World Population Prospects 2017

Average Percentage annual rate of births to Average Percentage of of Crude Crude Total women Life annual net population Potential Mid-year population Population population birth death fertility under age expectancy Under five migration Under 60 or support (thousands) density i change ii rate iii rate iv rate v 20 vi at birth vii mortality viii (thousands) age 15 older ratio ix Region, subregion, country or area 2017 2030 2050 2100 Mid-2017 2010-2015 2005-2015 Mid-2017 World 7 550 262 8 551 199 9 771 823 11 184 368 58 1.2 20 8 2.5 10 71 48 — 26 13 7 More developed regions a 1 259 922 1 289 937 1 298 069 1 284 957 26 0.3 11 10 1.7 5 78 6 2 758 16 25 3 Less developed regions b 6 290 340 7 261 262 8 473 754 9 899 411 78 1.4 21 7 2.7 10 69 53 - 2 758 28 10 8 Least developed countries c 1 002 486 1 334 196 1 916 742 3 198 860 50 2.4 33 8 4.3 16 63 83 - 1 530 40 6 13 Other less developed countries d 5 287 854 5 927 066 6 557 013 6 700 551 87 1.2 19 7 2.4 8 70 43 - 1 228 26 11 8 Less developed regions, excluding China 4 849 208 5 787 196 7 077 398 8 852 508 68 1.6 24 7 3.0 12 67 59 - 2 416 31 9 10 High-income countries e 1 191 584 1 249 896 1 287 798 1 288 172 34 0.5 11 8 1.7 4 80 6 3 831 17 24 3 Middle-income countries e 5 678 780 6 362 054 7 067 079 7 375 603 70 1.2 19 7 2.4 9 70 44 - 3 308 26 11 8 Upper-middle-income countries e 2 623 856 2 767 247 2 790 496 2 397 021 45 0.8 15 7 1.8 7 74 18 - 106 21 15 6 Lower-middle-income countries e 3 054 924 3 594 807 4 276 584 4 978 582 136 1.5 24 8 2.9 10 67 59 - 3 201 31 8 10 Low-income countries e 677 007 935 905 1 413 034 2 516 036 48 2.7 37 9 5.0 15 61 90 - 517 42 5 13 Sub-Saharan Africa f 1 022 664 1 418 333 2 167 652 4 001 756 47 2.7 38 10 5.1 15 58 95 - 239 43 5 14 Africa 1 256 268 1 703 538 2 527 557 4 467 588 42 2.6 36 9 4.7 14 60 87 - 663 41 5 13 Eastern Africa 422 036 587 330 888 129 1 578 463 63 2.8 37 8 4.9 15 61 77 - 168 43 5 14 10 864 15 799 25 762 54 514 423 3.0 43 12 6.0 4 56 123 3 45 4 17 814 1 062 1 463 2 161 437 2.4 34 8 4.6 11 63 78 - 2 40 5 16 957 1 133 1 308 1 264 41 1.7 24 8 3.1 5 62 83 0 31 6 13 5 069 6 718 9 607 14 781 50 2.0 34 8 4.4 9 63 57 - 32 42 5 12 Ethiopia 104 957 139 620 190 870 249 530 105 2.6 34 8 4.6 13 64 68 - 11 41 5 13 49 700 66 960 95 467 142 124 87 2.7 33 6 4.1 14 65 55 - 24 40 4 17 25 571 35 592 53 803 98 002 44 2.7 34 7 4.4 19 65 54 - 2 41 5 15 18 622 26 578 41 705 75 711 198 2.9 38 8 4.9 21 61 85 - 7 44 4 14 1 1 265 1 287 1 221 932 623 0.2 11 7 1.5 10 74 14 - 2 18 17 6 Mayotte 253 344 495 744 675 2.8 32 2 4.1 10 79 5 0 41 6 11 Mozambique 29 669 42 439 67 775 135 046 38 2.9 40 11 5.5 20 56 103 - 7 45 5 13 Réunion 877 957 1 014 938 351 0.8 17 6 2.4 11 80 5 - 3 24 16 5 12 208 16 024 21 886 28 185 495 2.5 34 7 4.2 5 65 64 - 16 40 5 16 95 98 97 80 206 0.5 18 8 2.4 12 73 13 0 22 13 7 Somalia 14 743 21 535 35 852 78 972 24 2.9 44 12 6.6 13 55 131 - 41 46 4 15 South Sudan 12 576 17 254 25 366 42 794 21 3.3 37 12 5.2 11 55 122 121 42 5 13 42 863 63 842 105 698 213 758 215 3.4 44 9 5.9 16 59 92 - 29 48 3 18 United Republic of Tanzania 2 57 310 83 702 138 082 303 832 65 3.1 40 8 5.2 16 63 63 - 47 45 5 13 Zambia 17 094 24 859 41 001 94 410 23 3.0 39 9 5.2 14 60 80 - 16 45 4 17 16 530 21 527 29 659 40 687 43 2.3 36 10 4.0 18 58 67 - 55 41 4 16 Middle Africa 163 495 237 771 384 005 753 144 25 3.1 42 11 5.9 17 57 113 6 46 5 14 29 784 44 712 76 046 172 861 24 3.5 44 9 6.0 20 60 101 17 47 4 17 Cameroon 24 054 32 980 49 817 91 641 51 2.7 38 11 5.0 17 56 105 - 9 43 5 14 4 659 6 124 8 851 14 055 7 0.4 37 15 5.1 17 49 150 - 52 43 5 11 Chad 14 900 21 460 33 636 61 691 12 3.3 45 14 6.3 22 52 147 18 47 4 16 Congo 5 261 7 319 11 510 23 577 15 2.6 37 8 4.9 16 63 67 4 42 5 13

World Population Prospects 2017 13

Average Percentage annual rate of births to Average Percentage of of Crude Crude Total women Life annual net population Potential Mid-year population Population population birth death fertility under age expectancy Under five migration Under 60 or support (thousands) density i change ii rate iii rate iv rate v 20 vi at birth vii mortality viii (thousands) age 15 older ratio ix Region, subregion, country or area 2017 2030 2050 2100 Mid-2017 2010-2015 2005-2015 Mid-2017 Dem. 81 340 120 443 197 404 378 975 36 3.3 44 11 6.4 15 58 115 - 3 46 5 13 Equatorial 1 268 1 871 2 845 4 741 45 4.2 36 11 5.0 19 57 109 17 37 4 18 2 025 2 594 3 516 4 996 8 3.3 31 8 4.0 17 64 58 15 36 6 11 Sao Tome and Principe 204 268 380 607 213 2.2 36 7 4.7 15 66 63 - 1 43 4 15 Northern Africa 233 604 285 204 359 905 465 833 30 1.9 27 6 3.3 8 71 37 - 424 32 8 10 41 318 48 822 57 437 62 556 17 2.0 25 5 3.0 2 75 32 - 50 29 9 9 97 553 119 746 153 433 198 748 98 2.2 28 6 3.4 9 71 24 - 56 33 8 10 6 375 7 342 8 124 7 431 4 0.2 21 5 2.4 1 71 29 - 55 28 7 13 35 740 40 874 45 660 43 840 80 1.4 21 5 2.6 7 75 33 - 87 27 11 9 Sudan 40 533 54 842 80 386 138 648 23 2.3 34 8 4.8 12 64 74 - 167 41 5 13 11 532 12 842 13 884 13 321 74 1.2 19 6 2.3 2 75 20 - 10 24 12 8 Western Sahara 553 737 982 1 287 2 1.8 22 5 2.6 6 68 42 1 28 5 22 65 143 74 786 85 800 92 458 25 1.4 23 11 2.6 12 59 49 134 30 8 11 Botswana 2 292 2 800 3 421 3 774 4 1.8 25 8 2.9 8 63 45 3 31 6 14 Lesotho 2 233 2 608 3 203 3 905 74 1.3 29 14 3.3 18 53 80 - 7 35 7 11 Namibia 2 534 3 246 4 339 5 835 3 2.2 30 8 3.6 15 62 45 - 5 37 5 14 56 717 64 466 72 755 76 488 47 1.4 22 11 2.6 11 59 47 143 29 8 11 Swaziland 1 367 1 666 2 081 2 457 79 1.8 30 11 3.3 17 55 75 - 1 37 5 15 Western Africa 371 990 518 446 809 719 1 577 690 61 2.7 40 12 5.5 16 55 111 - 210 44 5 15 11 176 15 628 23 930 44 325 99 2.8 38 10 5.2 13 60 106 - 9 43 5 13 19 193 27 382 43 207 81 723 70 3.0 41 10 5.6 15 59 100 - 25 45 4 17 Cabo Verde 546 635 734 714 136 1.2 22 6 2.5 20 72 27 - 3 30 7 12 Côte d'Ivoire 24 295 33 337 51 375 103 563 76 2.5 38 13 5.1 19 52 101 - 16 42 5 15 Gambia 2 101 3 001 4 562 7 180 208 3.1 41 9 5.6 12 60 75 - 3 45 4 18 Ghana 28 834 37 294 51 270 76 755 127 2.4 33 9 4.2 11 62 68 14 39 5 14 Guinea 12 717 17 631 26 852 48 327 52 2.3 37 10 5.1 21 58 102 - 55 42 5 14 Guinea-Bissau 1 861 2 493 3 603 5 901 66 2.6 38 11 4.9 14 56 134 - 4 41 5 15 4 732 6 495 9 804 17 801 49 2.6 36 9 4.8 19 61 80 16 42 5 15 18 542 27 057 44 020 83 207 15 2.9 45 12 6.4 21 56 125 - 40 48 4 16 4 420 6 077 8 965 15 519 4 2.9 36 8 4.9 12 63 93 5 40 5 15 21 477 34 994 68 454 192 187 17 3.8 49 11 7.4 21 59 119 - 6 50 4 14 Nigeria 190 886 264 068 410 638 793 942 210 2.7 41 14 5.7 15 52 122 - 60 44 4 16 Saint Helena 3 4 4 4 4 10 -0.7 ...... 15 851 22 123 34 031 64 806 82 3.0 38 7 5.0 12 66 55 - 27 43 5 15 Sierra Leone 7 557 9 720 12 972 16 491 105 2.3 37 14 4.8 19 50 134 4 42 4 17 7 798 10 507 15 298 25 247 143 2.6 36 9 4.7 13 59 84 - 2 42 5 16 Asia 4 504 428 4 946 586 5 256 927 4 780 485 145 1.0 18 7 2.2 7 72 38 - 1 576 24 12 7 Eastern Asia 1 648 165 1 678 653 1 586 491 1 198 265 143 0.5 12 7 1.6 2 77 13 - 285 17 18 5 China 4 1 409 517 1 441 182 1 364 457 1 020 665 150 0.5 13 7 1.6 2 76 14 - 409 18 16 6 China, SAR 5 7 365 7 987 8 253 8 299 7 014 0.6 10 6 1.2 1 83 3 16 11 23 4 China, Macao SAR 6 623 746 876 1 052 20 822 2.3 11 4 1.2 1 83 4 8 13 16 7 China, Province of China 23 626 24 151 22 771 16 887 667 0.3 9 7 1.1 2 79 5 42 13 20 5 Dem. People's Republic of Korea 25 491 26 744 26 809 23 581 212 0.5 14 9 2.0 0 71 24 -5 21 13 7 14 World Population Prospects 2017

Average Percentage annual rate of births to Average Percentage of of Crude Crude Total women Life annual net population Potential Mid-year population Population population birth death fertility under age expectancy Under five migration Under 60 or support (thousands) density i change ii rate iii rate iv rate v 20 vi at birth vii mortality viii (thousands) age 15 older ratio ix Region, subregion, country or area 2017 2030 2050 2100 Mid-2017 2010-2015 2005-2015 Mid-2017 Japan 127 484 121 581 108 794 84 532 350 -0.1 8 10 1.4 1 83 3 64 13 33 2 3 076 3 561 4 075 4 541 2 1.9 26 6 2.8 4 68 28 - 3 30 7 15 Republic of Korea 50 982 52 702 50 457 38 707 524 0.4 9 5 1.2 1 81 4 1 13 20 5 South-central Asia 7 1 939 824 2 216 422 2 476 228 2 330 653 188 1.4 21 7 2.5 8 68 54 - 1 836 29 9 10 Central Asia 70 840 81 973 94 431 99 984 18 1.7 24 7 2.7 5 70 34 - 58 29 8 12 18 204 20 301 22 959 25 738 7 1.6 23 9 2.7 5 69 17 12 28 11 8 6 045 6 997 8 113 8 852 32 1.6 27 6 3.1 7 70 23 - 21 32 8 12 Tajikistan 8 921 11 194 14 521 18 928 64 2.2 30 5 3.5 7 70 49 - 17 35 6 15 Turkmenistan 5 758 6 767 7 888 8 324 12 1.8 27 7 3.0 5 67 56 - 11 31 7 13 Uzbekistan 31 911 36 712 40 950 38 142 75 1.6 22 6 2.4 4 71 36 - 21 28 8 13 Southern Asia 1 868 985 2 134 449 2 381 797 2 230 669 292 1.3 21 7 2.5 8 68 55 - 1 778 29 9 10 Afghanistan 35 530 46 700 61 928 70 410 54 3.2 36 7 5.3 13 62 81 - 33 43 4 16 Bangladesh 164 670 185 585 201 927 173 549 1 265 1.2 20 5 2.2 22 71 41 - 610 28 7 11 Bhutan 808 914 994 858 21 1.6 19 6 2.2 8 69 37 3 27 7 12 India 1 339 180 1 512 985 1 658 978 1 516 597 450 1.2 20 7 2.4 7 68 52 - 549 28 9 10 (Islamic Republic of) 81 163 88 863 93 553 72 462 50 1.2 18 5 1.7 6 75 17 - 95 24 9 12 436 512 576 496 1 454 2.8 20 3 2.2 2 76 10 4 23 6 16 29 305 33 168 36 107 29 318 204 1.2 21 6 2.3 18 69 40 - 140 31 9 9 Pakistan 197 016 244 248 306 940 351 943 256 2.1 30 8 3.7 7 66 87 - 258 35 7 11 20 877 21 475 20 792 15 036 333 0.5 16 7 2.1 4 75 10 - 100 24 15 6 South-Eastern Asia 648 780 727 991 797 649 771 528 149 1.2 19 7 2.3 11 70 30 - 512 26 10 9 Darussalam 429 490 537 487 81 1.4 17 3 1.9 3 77 8 0 23 8 14 16 005 18 798 22 019 22 753 91 1.6 25 6 2.7 11 68 35 - 45 31 7 12 Indonesia 263 991 295 595 321 551 306 026 146 1.3 20 7 2.5 11 69 30 - 158 27 9 11 Lao People's Democratic Republic 6 858 8 049 9 163 8 200 30 1.3 25 7 2.9 15 65 61 - 29 33 6 13 8 31 624 36 815 41 729 41 799 96 1.8 17 5 2.1 4 75 8 149 24 10 10 Myanmar 53 371 58 916 62 359 54 743 82 0.9 19 8 2.3 8 66 57 - 194 27 9 10 Philippines 104 918 125 372 151 293 173 060 352 1.6 24 6 3.1 12 69 29 - 215 32 8 11 5 709 6 342 6 575 5 432 8 155 1.7 9 5 1.2 1 82 3 79 15 20 5 69 038 69 626 65 372 47 536 135 0.4 11 7 1.5 16 75 13 23 17 17 6 Timor-Leste 1 296 1 704 2 421 3 848 87 2.2 37 6 5.9 8 68 56 - 14 44 5 11 Viet Nam 95 541 106 284 114 630 107 646 308 1.1 17 6 2.0 9 76 24 - 108 23 11 9 267 660 323 521 396 560 480 040 56 2.1 23 5 2.9 8 73 29 1 058 29 8 10 2 930 2 907 2 700 1 849 103 0.3 15 10 1.7 7 74 16 - 21 20 17 6 9 9 828 10 680 11 039 9 559 119 1.3 19 7 2.1 11 72 36 5 23 10 11 1 493 2 013 2 327 2 246 1 964 2.0 16 2 2.1 2 76 9 31 20 5 31 10 1 180 1 282 1 383 1 323 128 0.9 11 7 1.4 2 80 5 8 17 18 5 11 3 912 3 748 3 394 2 540 56 -1.4 14 13 2.0 12 73 13 - 60 19 21 4 Iraq 38 275 53 298 81 490 155 556 88 3.2 35 5 4.6 12 69 38 1 40 5 14 8 322 9 984 12 577 17 124 385 1.7 21 5 3.0 2 82 4 29 28 16 4 Jordan 9 702 11 122 14 188 17 319 109 4.9 28 4 3.6 5 74 20 163 36 6 13 Kuwait 4 137 4 874 5 644 6 231 232 5.4 18 3 2.1 2 74 11 115 21 5 30

World Population Prospects 2017 15

Average Percentage annual rate of births to Average Percentage of of Crude Crude Total women Life annual net population Potential Mid-year population Population population birth death fertility under age expectancy Under five migration Under 60 or support (thousands) density i change ii rate iii rate iv rate v 20 vi at birth vii mortality viii (thousands) age 15 older ratio ix Region, subregion, country or area 2017 2030 2050 2100 Mid-2017 2010-2015 2005-2015 Mid-2017 6 082 5 369 5 412 4 350 595 6.0 15 5 1.7 5 79 11 143 23 12 7 Oman 4 636 5 897 6 757 6 572 15 6.5 22 3 2.9 2 76 11 108 22 4 30 2 639 3 232 3 773 3 971 227 6.6 11 1 2.0 2 78 9 144 14 3 61 Saudi Arabia 32 938 39 480 45 056 44 029 15 2.8 21 4 2.7 2 74 15 259 25 6 20 of Palestine 12 4 921 6 739 9 704 15 115 817 2.7 33 4 4.3 11 73 23 - 13 40 5 15 Syrian Arab Republic 18 270 26 608 34 021 38 167 99 -2.3 24 5 3.1 9 70 21 - 379 37 7 11 80 745 88 417 95 627 85 776 105 1.6 17 6 2.1 8 75 19 158 25 12 7 9 400 11 055 13 164 14 776 112 2.0 11 1 1.8 5 77 7 381 14 2 71 Yemen 28 250 36 815 48 304 53 536 54 2.6 34 7 4.4 12 64 62 - 14 40 5 16 Europe 742 074 739 456 715 721 653 261 34 0.1 11 11 1.6 4 77 6 1 286 16 25 3 292 454 281 413 258 519 218 045 16 -0.1 12 13 1.6 6 72 9 226 16 22 4 9 468 9 163 8 571 7 605 47 0.0 12 13 1.6 5 72 5 14 17 21 4 7 085 6 431 5 424 3 850 65 -0.6 9 15 1.5 11 74 10 - 11 14 28 3 Czechia 10 618 10 528 10 054 8 892 137 0.1 10 10 1.5 3 78 3 31 15 26 3 9 722 9 235 8 279 6 388 107 -0.3 9 13 1.3 6 75 6 6 14 26 3 38 171 36 616 32 390 21 242 125 0.0 10 10 1.3 4 77 5 - 25 15 24 4 Republic of 13 4 051 3 844 3 293 1 953 123 -0.1 11 11 1.3 8 71 17 - 6 16 18 6 19 679 18 464 16 397 12 082 85 -0.6 10 12 1.5 10 75 10 - 107 15 25 3 Russian Federation 143 990 140 543 132 731 124 013 9 0.1 13 13 1.7 5 70 10 318 18 21 5 5 448 5 387 4 965 3 834 113 0.1 11 10 1.4 6 76 7 0 15 22 4 14 44 223 41 200 36 416 28 186 76 -0.5 11 15 1.5 7 71 10 7 15 23 4 Northern Europe 104 200 110 635 117 583 126 514 61 0.5 12 9 1.8 3 81 4 384 18 24 3 Channel Islands 15 165 174 181 180 870 0.5 10 9 1.5 2 81 9 1 15 25 3 5 734 6 025 6 314 6 815 135 0.5 10 9 1.7 1 80 4 19 16 25 3 1 310 1 254 1 145 891 31 -0.3 11 12 1.6 4 77 4 - 3 16 26 3 Faeroe Islands 49 52 55 57 35 0.2 ...... 16 5 523 5 739 5 866 6 139 18 0.4 11 10 1.8 2 81 3 14 16 28 3 335 366 390 383 3 0.6 14 6 2.0 2 82 2 1 20 20 4 Ireland 4 762 5 220 5 801 6 389 69 0.3 15 6 2.0 2 81 4 6 22 19 4 84 91 97 105 148 0.8 ...... 1 950 1 747 1 517 1 149 31 -1.2 10 14 1.5 4 74 8 -17 15 26 3 2 890 2 718 2 407 1 904 46 -1.3 10 13 1.6 4 74 5 -30 15 25 3 17 5 305 5 959 6 802 8 112 15 1.2 12 8 1.8 2 82 3 39 18 22 4 9 911 10 712 11 626 13 416 24 0.8 12 9 1.9 1 82 3 52 18 25 3 United Kingdom 66 182 70 579 75 381 80 975 274 0.7 12 9 1.9 4 81 5 302 18 24 3 151 989 148 825 140 123 114 144 117 -0.2 9 10 1.4 3 81 5 209 14 27 3 2 930 2 933 2 664 1 657 107 -0.1 12 7 1.7 8 78 16 -31 17 19 5 77 78 77 63 164 -1.6 ...... 3 507 3 405 3 058 2 217 69 -1.0 9 10 1.3 4 76 9 -22 14 23 4 4 189 3 896 3 461 2 518 75 -0.4 10 12 1.5 3 77 5 -4 15 27 3 35 36 37 37 3 457 0.6 ...... 11 160 10 784 9 982 7 423 87 -0.4 9 10 1.3 2 81 4 -8 14 26 3 18 1 1 1 1 1 800 0.0 ...... 59 360 58 110 55 093 47 819 202 -0.1 9 10 1.4 2 82 4 127 14 29 3 16 World Population Prospects 2017

Average Percentage annual rate of births to Average Percentage of of Crude Crude Total women Life annual net population Potential Mid-year population Population population birth death fertility under age expectancy Under five migration Under 60 or support (thousands) density i change ii rate iii rate iv rate v 20 vi at birth vii mortality viii (thousands) age 15 older ratio ix Region, subregion, country or area 2017 2030 2050 2100 Mid-2017 2010-2015 2005-2015 Mid-2017 431 440 419 352 1 346 0.5 10 9 1.4 5 80 6 2 14 26 3 629 625 588 449 47 0.1 12 10 1.7 4 76 7 0 18 21 4 10 330 9 877 8 995 6 604 113 -0.4 8 10 1.3 4 81 4 -5 14 28 3 33 35 35 32 557 1.2 ...... 19 8 791 8 355 7 447 5 464 101 -0.4 11 12 1.6 6 75 12 -22 16 24 3 2 080 2 059 1 942 1 662 103 0.3 10 9 1.6 1 80 3 6 15 26 3 20 46 354 46 115 44 395 36 378 93 -0.2 9 9 1.3 2 83 3 169 15 25 3 TFYR Macedonia 21 2 083 2 076 1 931 1 467 83 0.1 11 10 1.5 5 75 10 -2 17 19 5 193 431 198 584 199 496 194 559 178 0.4 10 10 1.7 2 81 4 466 15 26 3 8 735 8 946 8 878 8 189 106 0.6 9 9 1.4 2 81 4 42 14 25 3 11 429 12 002 12 488 13 022 377 0.6 11 10 1.8 1 81 4 55 17 25 3 64 980 67 894 70 609 74 242 119 0.4 12 9 2.0 2 82 4 90 18 26 3 82 114 82 187 79 238 71 033 236 0.2 9 11 1.4 2 80 4 182 13 28 3 38 41 43 46 237 0.8 ...... 583 675 796 1 005 225 2.2 11 7 1.5 2 81 4 9 16 20 4 39 41 46 60 25 970 0.6 ...... 17 036 17 594 17 518 16 480 505 0.3 11 8 1.7 1 81 4 13 16 25 3 8 476 9 204 9 880 10 482 214 1.2 10 8 1.5 1 83 4 74 15 24 3 Latin America and the Caribbean 645 593 718 483 779 841 712 013 32 1.1 18 6 2.1 17 75 24 -434 25 12 7 Caribbean 43 883 46 887 48 258 40 022 194 0.7 18 8 2.3 14 72 39 -128 25 14 6 Anguilla 15 16 16 13 166 1.2 ...... Antigua and Barbuda 102 115 125 123 232 1.1 17 6 2.1 13 76 11 0 24 11 9 Aruba 105 109 107 96 585 0.5 11 8 1.8 9 75 17 0 18 20 5 Bahamas 395 440 475 468 39 1.4 15 6 1.8 9 75 13 2 20 14 7 286 290 280 255 664 0.3 12 10 1.8 13 75 11 0 19 21 4 British Virgin Islands 31 35 38 35 208 2.0 ...... Caribbean Netherlands 22 25 28 30 32 77 3.2 ...... Cayman Islands 62 71 81 99 256 1.5 ...... 11 485 11 496 10 823 8 119 108 0.2 11 8 1.7 14 79 7 -25 16 20 4 Curaçao 161 172 181 188 362 1.4 13 8 2.1 9 78 12 2 19 23 4 Dominica 74 78 77 57 99 0.5 ...... Dominican Republic 10 767 12 098 13 265 12 114 223 1.2 21 6 2.5 22 73 28 -31 29 10 8 Grenada 108 112 110 70 317 0.4 19 7 2.2 9 73 13 -1 26 11 8 23 450 448 425 341 266 0.0 12 8 2.0 5 81 6 -1 19 24 3 10 981 12 544 14 041 12 840 398 1.4 26 9 3.1 9 62 77 -29 33 7 11 2 890 2 933 2 704 1 436 267 0.4 17 7 2.1 17 75 18 -18 23 14 6 385 382 355 282 363 -0.5 12 8 2.0 6 81 7 -3 18 26 3 Montserrat 5 5 5 5 52 0.7 ...... 3 663 3 593 3 282 2 035 413 -0.2 11 8 1.5 15 79 7 -24 18 20 4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 55 61 63 55 213 1.1 ...... 179 186 182 128 293 0.5 13 7 1.5 16 75 15 0 19 14 6 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 110 112 109 77 282 0.0 16 7 2.0 15 73 21 -1 24 12 8

World Population Prospects 2017 17

Average Percentage annual rate of births to Average Percentage of of Crude Crude Total women Life annual net population Potential Mid-year population Population population birth death fertility under age expectancy Under five migration Under 60 or support (thousands) density i change ii rate iii rate iv rate v 20 vi at birth vii mortality viii (thousands) age 15 older ratio ix Region, subregion, country or area 2017 2030 2050 2100 Mid-2017 2010-2015 2005-2015 Mid-2017 Sint Maarten (Dutch part) 40 46 52 63 1 180 3.1 ...... Trinidad and Tobago 1 369 1 374 1 295 983 267 0.5 15 9 1.8 8 70 31 -2 21 15 6 Turks and Caicos Islands 35 42 48 52 37 2.1 ...... United States Virgin Islands 105 102 89 56 300 -0.2 14 8 2.3 11 79 11 -1 20 25 3 177 316 204 496 231 563 221 657 72 1.5 20 5 2.4 17 76 25 -145 28 10 8 375 473 592 688 16 2.2 23 6 2.6 16 70 17 2 31 6 14 4 906 5 417 5 774 5 028 96 1.1 15 5 1.9 17 79 11 5 22 14 6 El Salvador 6 378 6 786 6 997 5 404 308 0.5 19 7 2.2 21 73 20 -53 27 12 7 16 914 21 203 26 968 32 020 158 2.1 27 5 3.2 16 72 33 -16 35 7 10 Honduras 9 265 11 147 13 249 13 437 83 1.8 23 5 2.7 18 73 40 -4 32 7 11 Mexico 129 163 147 540 164 279 151 491 66 1.4 19 5 2.3 16 76 23 -55 27 10 8 Nicaragua 6 218 7 046 7 876 7 049 52 1.2 21 5 2.3 22 74 24 -29 29 8 10 Panama 4 099 4 884 5 827 6 540 55 1.7 21 5 2.6 18 77 20 5 27 11 7 South America 424 394 467 100 500 020 450 333 24 1.0 17 6 2.0 17 75 22 -161 24 12 7 Argentina 44 271 49 323 55 229 57 747 16 1.0 18 8 2.3 14 76 16 -5 25 15 5 Bolivia (Plurinational State of) 11 052 13 158 15 903 17 946 10 1.6 24 8 3.0 15 68 72 -15 32 9 8 Brazil 209 288 225 472 232 688 190 423 25 0.9 15 6 1.8 19 75 18 2 22 13 7 18 055 19 637 20 718 18 757 24 0.9 14 6 1.8 14 79 9 14 20 16 6 49 066 53 134 54 733 44 826 44 1.0 16 6 1.9 15 74 25 -29 23 12 8 Ecuador 16 625 19 555 22 968 24 321 67 1.6 21 5 2.6 17 76 25 -8 28 10 8 Falkland Islands (Malvinas) 24 3 3 3 3 0 0.3 ...... French Guiana 283 379 542 874 3 2.8 26 3 3.5 12 79 11 1 33 8 10 Guyana 778 825 822 588 4 0.6 21 8 2.6 23 66 41 -8 29 9 10 Paraguay 6 811 7 845 8 897 8 617 17 1.3 22 6 2.6 14 73 35 -20 29 9 9 32 165 36 807 41 620 40 783 25 1.3 20 6 2.5 12 74 29 -73 27 10 8 Suriname 563 617 648 576 4 1.0 19 7 2.5 12 71 23 -1 26 10 8 Uruguay 3 457 3 594 3 662 3 229 20 0.3 14 9 2.0 15 77 15 -8 21 20 4 (Bolivarian Republic of) 31 977 36 750 41 585 41 642 36 1.4 20 5 2.4 20 74 16 -10 28 10 9 Northern America 361 208 395 453 434 655 499 198 19 0.7 12 8 1.9 7 79 7 1190 19 22 4 61 59 53 41 1 227 -0.6 ...... 36 624 40 618 44 949 51 622 4 1.0 11 7 1.6 3 82 5 238 16 23 4 Greenland 56 57 54 44 0 -0.1 ...... Saint Pierre and Miquelon 6 7 7 7 27 0.0 ...... United States of America 324 459 354 712 389 592 447 483 35 0.7 13 8 1.9 8 79 7 953 19 22 4 Oceania 40 691 47 683 57 121 71 823 5 1.5 17 7 2.4 6 78 26 198 23 17 5 /New Zealand 29 156 33 448 38 898 47 965 4 1.4 13 7 1.9 4 82 5 219 19 21 4 Australia 25 24 451 28 235 33 187 41 835 3 1.5 13 7 1.9 3 82 5 204 19 21 4 New Zealand 4 706 5 213 5 711 6 131 18 1.1 14 7 2.0 6 81 5 15 20 21 4 Melanesia 10 321 12 905 16 754 22 377 19 2.0 28 7 3.7 10 66 57 -7 35 7 12 906 970 998 846 50 0.7 21 7 2.6 9 70 20 -6 28 10 9 New Caledonia 276 321 378 439 15 1.4 16 7 2.2 5 76 15 1 23 14 6 Papua New Guinea 8 251 10 487 13 871 18 959 18 2.2 29 7 3.8 10 65 63 0 36 6 13 Solomon Islands 611 773 1 033 1 458 22 2.1 31 5 4.1 9 70 36 -2 39 5 13 276 354 475 675 23 2.3 27 5 3.4 8 71 29 0 36 7 11 18 World Population Prospects 2017

Average Percentage annual rate of births to Average Percentage of of Crude Crude Total women Life annual net population Potential Mid-year population Population population birth death fertility under age expectancy Under five migration Under 60 or support (thousands) density i change ii rate iii rate iv rate v 20 vi at birth vii mortality viii (thousands) age 15 older ratio ix Region, subregion, country or area 2017 2030 2050 2100 Mid-2017 2010-2015 2005-2015 Mid-2017 Micronesia 528 589 656 676 166 0.6 21 6 3.0 6 73 35 -7 29 10 8 Guam 164 181 193 177 304 0.3 17 5 2.4 9 79 11 -2 25 14 6 Kiribati 116 142 178 243 144 1.8 29 7 3.8 4 66 60 0 35 6 13 53 56 66 72 295 0.2 ...... Micronesia (Fed. States of) 106 117 128 111 151 0.2 24 6 3.3 5 69 41 -2 33 8 10 11 11 11 9 568 2.3 ...... Northern Mariana Islands 55 57 52 36 120 0.1 ...... Palau 22 25 28 29 47 0.8 ...... Polynesia 25 686 742 813 804 85 0.5 21 5 3.0 7 75 18 -8 30 10 8 American 56 57 57 40 278 0.0 ...... Cook Islands 17 18 18 16 72 -1.2 ...... French Polynesia 283 307 326 292 77 0.7 16 5 2.1 10 76 8 -1 23 12 8 2 2 2 2 6 -0.1 ...... Samoa 196 212 243 268 69 0.8 26 5 4.2 5 74 21 -3 37 8 8 1 1 2 1 130 1.9 ...... Tonga 108 121 140 158 150 0.4 26 6 3.8 3 73 25 -2 36 8 8 Tuvalu 11 13 15 18 373 0.9 ...... Wallis and Futuna Islands 12 11 11 9 84 -2.1 ......

World Population Prospects 2017 19

Notes:

The designations employed in this publication and the (iv) Deaths per 1,000 population. (6) As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special material presented in it do not imply the expression of Administrative Region (SAR) of China. any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of (v) Live births per woman aged 15-49. (7) The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are the United Nations concerning the legal status of any (vi) Among births to women aged 15-49. country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or combined into South-Central Asia. concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or (vii) Years. (8) Including Sabah and Sarawak. boundaries. The term “country” as used in the text of this (viii) Deaths under age 5 per 1,000 live births. report also refers, as appropriate, to or areas. (9) Including Nagorno-Karabakh. The designations “more developed”, “less developed” (ix) Number of persons aged 20 to 64 divided by the (10) Refers to the whole country. and “least developed” countries, areas or regions are number aged 65 or over. intended for statistical convenience and do not (11) Including and .

necessarily express a judgement about the stage (12) Including East Jerusalem. reached by a particular country or area in the developing (a) More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern process. America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan. (13) Including . The figures presented are from the medium variant of (b) Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, (14) Including Crimea. the World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, the Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean official United Nations population estimates and plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. (15) Refers to , and . projections prepared by the United Nations Population (16) Including Åland Islands. Division. Data are also available in digital form and can (c) The group of least developed countries, as defined by be consulted at the Population Division’s web site at the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (17) Including and Jan Mayen Islands. www.unpopulation.org. (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43, 64/295 and 68/18) included 47 countries in June 2017: 33 in (18) Refers to the State. Three dots (…) indicate that the data are not available Africa, 9 in Asia, 4 in Oceania and one in Latin America (19) Including . or are not reported separately. and the Caribbean. (20) Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla. A minus sign (-) before a figure indicates a decrease. (d) Other less developed countries comprise the less (21) The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. A full stop (.) is used to indicate decimals. developed regions excluding the least developed countries. (22) Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius. Years given refer to 1 July. (e) The country classification by income level is based on (23) Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin Use of a hyphen (-) between years, for example, 1995- 2016 GNI per capita from the World Bank. (French part). 2000, signifies the full period involved, from 1 July of the (f) Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except first year to 1 July of the second year. (24) A dispute exists between the Governments of Northern Africa. Argentina and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and An em dash (—) indicates that the value is zero Northern Ireland concerning sovereignty over the (magnitude zero). Falkland Islands (Malvinas). (1) Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon. A 0 or 0.0 indicates that the magnitude is not zero, but (25) Including Christmas , Cocos (Keeling) Islands less than half of the unit employed. (2) Including Zanzibar. and Norfolk Island. Numbers and percentages in this table do not (3) Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da (26) Including Pitcairn. necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Cunha. (4) For statistical purposes, the data for China do not (i) Population per square kilometer. include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan Province of China. (ii) Per cent. (5) As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special (iii) Births per 1,000 population. Administrative Region (SAR) of China.