CPC Outreach Journal #915
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Issue No. 915, 14 June 2011 Articles & Other Documents: Featured Article: US Satellite Images Capture New Buildings at North Korea Nuclear Plant 1. Iran Accelerates Uranium Enrichment: Danger or Bluff? 2. Iran Nuclear Chief Refutes IAEA Claims 3. Iran Produces over 50 kg High-Grade Enriched Uranium: Envoy 4. Iran Wraps Up 2nd Intl. Nuclear Confab 5. Iran Successfully Tests Domestic Air Defense Missiles 6. U.S. Intercepted N. Korean Ship Suspected of Carrying Military Contraband: Official 7. N.Korea Likely Can Miniaturize Nuclear Device: Seoul 8. North Korea Keeps Silent on Ship's Turnaround 9. US Satellite Images Capture New Buildings at North Korea Nuclear Plant 10. Air Chief PV Naik in Favour of Flexing Missile Power 11. 'Not Pak Nukes, but Their Vulnerability a Worry' 12. Abdul Kalam for Hypersonic Version of BrahMos Missile 13. Russian-Indian JV to Develop Brahmos-2 Hypersonic Missile 14. China-Pakistan Strategic Ties Deepen 15. Pakistan Got Nuclear Weapons with Chinese Help: US Senator 16. High-Ranking Russian Military Official Does Not Believe in Iran Missile Threat 17. Russia, NATO should Build Missile Shield against Short and Medium-Range Missiles, Not ICBMs 18. Defense Secretary Nominee Backs Prompt Global Strike Effort 19. Terrorist Leader Killed in Somalia Carried Plans for Bombing the West 20. Under Siege 21. Eruptions in China’s PLA? 22. Iran Nuclear Progress Report 23. A Historic Opportunity for Missile Defense Welcome to the CPC Outreach Journal. As part of USAF Counterproliferation Center’s mission to counter weapons of mass destruction through education and research, we’re providing our government and civilian community a source for timely counterproliferation information. This information includes articles, papers and other documents addressing issues pertinent to US military response options for dealing with chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) threats and countermeasures. It’s our hope this information resource will help enhance your counterproliferation issue awareness. Established in 1998, the USAF/CPC provides education and research to present and future leaders of the Air Force, as well as to members of other branches of the armed services and Department of Defense. Our purpose is to help those agencies better prepare to counter the threat from weapons of mass destruction. Please feel free to visit our web site at http://cpc.au.af.mil/ for in-depth information and specific points of contact. The following articles, papers or documents do not necessarily reflect official endorsement of the United States Air Force, Department of Defense, or other US government agencies. Reproduction for private use or commercial gain is subject to original copyright restrictions. All rights are reserved. Issue No. 915, 14 June 2011 The following articles, papers or documents do not necessarily reflect official endorsement of the United States Air Force, Department of Defense, or other US government agencies. Reproduction for private use or commercial gain is subject to original copyright restrictions. All rights are reserved. United States Air Force Counterproliferation Research & Education | Maxwell AFB, Montgomery AL | Phone: 334.953.7538 | Fax: 334.953.7530 The Christian Science Monitor Iran Accelerates Uranium Enrichment: Danger or Bluff? Western experts aren't sure why Iran is speeding up its nuclear enrichment. Is it bravado for domestic political consumption or a genuine move toward developing weapons that can be hidden from attack? By Howard LaFranchi, Staff writer June 11, 2011 Washington: Iran’s announcement this week that it plans to speed up its enrichment of uranium – and to move part of its enrichment process from the desert to a more defensible mountain site – has spawned wide-ranging speculation on Tehran’s nuclear intentions. If Iranian officials made the point of publicly announcing the plans after a ministerial meeting Wednesday, the intention was to promote the world’s gradual acceptance of Iran eventually developing a nuclear weapon, some nuclear experts say. Another line of thinking is that the plans to develop more efficient and higher grade uranium-producing machines at a site inside the mountains near the city of Qom suggest the Iranians are preparing their program to be able to withstand an eventual attack by Israeli or American bombers. Speculation aside, what seems clear is that Iran is intent on accelerating production of what is currently its highest grade of uranium – 20 percent enriched – to expand its options in the face of international demands that it cease enrichment altogether. “They’re shortening their decision time” between amassing the enriched uranium it would take to begin building a nuclear weapon and actually moving forward with building one, says Henry Sokolski, executive director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center in Washington. “We’re busy trying to fool ourselves into thinking we have all the time in the world,” he adds, “while the Iranians are intent on getting to where they could make some extremely critical decisions in a very short period of time.” Yet one factor tamping down reaction to Iran’s announcement is that no one knows if Iran has either the genuine intention or the technical capability to follow through on enrichment acceleration. “One thing we know for sure from following the Iranians in this process since 2002 is that they have made a lot of announcements like this one, and some of the things they have done, and some they haven’t,” says Daryl Kimball, executive director of the Arms Control Association in Washington. A tendency to make startling claims about Iran’s next big step in its nuclear program is especially true of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. And the difficult political straits Mr. Ahmadinejad finds himself in at home could be part of the explanation for the enrichment announcement. “This is part bravado, and the statement being made at this time is clearly designed to shore up a government that is internally divided,” Mr. Kimball says. But the statement is also aimed at an international audience, he adds, noting that the International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations’ nuclear watchdog agency, just issued its “toughest report yet” on Iran’s nuclear program. “This is Iran’s response,” Kimball says. “It suggests they are determined to expand their enrichment capabilities despite the difficulties they are facing as a result of sanctions, and despite the fact they are more and more isolated.” Western intelligence experts generally concur that Iran’s nuclear progress has been slowed over recent months by a combination of UN-sanctioned economic measures, improved constraints on Iran’s importation of technology and machinery for its nuclear program, and a covert Western mission to infect Iran’s nuclear program with a computer worm known as Stuxnet. Issue No. 915, 14 June 2011 United States Air Force Counterproliferation Research & Education | Maxwell AFB, Montgomery AL | Phone: 334.953.7538 | Fax: 334.953.7530 Kimball says Iran’s statement “puts the world on notice” about the country’s determination. But he adds that, short of signs of progress in the intended direction, the statement does not suggest a crisis moment. “There is still time to arrive at a diplomatic solution,” he says. The international community’s focus, he adds, should be on “limiting the size of Iran’s enrichment facilities,” and requiring Iran to accept a much more extensive monitoring and inspections program. http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Foreign-Policy/2011/0611/Iran-accelerates-uranium-enrichment-Danger-or-bluff (Return to Articles and Documents List) Press TV – Iran Iran Nuclear Chief Refutes IAEA Claims Monday, June 13, 2011 The Iranian nuclear chief has refuted the International Atomic Energy Agency's report about Tehran's program having military aspects as “lies.” “Other *countries+ in the world commit crimes and seek to make nuclear weapons, but the Islamic Republic of Iran which has always called for peace is accused of pursuing a covert program for producing atomic bomb,” Head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Fereydoun Abbasi said on Monday. On June 6, IAEA Director General Yukiya Amano claimed that the UN nuclear body had received new unspecific information indicating that Iran may not be only developing nuclear energy for civilian purposes. Abbasi said Iran does not need non-peaceful nuclear activities and they are not economically beneficial for the country. “They want to hamper Iran's scientific and technological progress… through psychological war and false reports,” Abbasi added. The United States, Israel and their allies accuse Iran of pursuing military objectives in its nuclear program. As a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and a member of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Iran maintains that it has the right to develop and acquire nuclear technology meant for peaceful purposes. http://www.presstv.ir/detail/184526.html (Return to Articles and Documents List) China Daily – China Iran Produces over 50 kg High-Grade Enriched Uranium: Envoy Xinhua June 13, 2011 TEHRAN, June 12 (Xinhua) -- Iran's permanent representative to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Ali-Asghar Soltanieh, said Sunday that Iran has so far produced over 50 kg 20 percent enriched uranium. Talking to Xinhua on the sidelines of an international nuclear disarmament conference in Tehran on Sunday, Soltanieh said that " We need 120 kg enrichment up to 20 percent. Of course, we have been able to produce successfully over 50 kg." "But, we still need. We have to speed up," he said, adding that "Because Tehran research reactor is in desperate need for fuel, because Tehran reactor should produce radioisotopes for hospitals." http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/xinhua/2011-06-13/content_2877686.html Issue No. 915, 14 June 2011 United States Air Force Counterproliferation Research & Education | Maxwell AFB, Montgomery AL | Phone: 334.953.7538 | Fax: 334.953.7530 (Return to Articles and Documents List) Press TV – Iran Iran Wraps Up 2nd Intl.