American Intelligence Journal Vol 34
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AMERICAN INTELLIGENCE JOURNAL THE MAGAZINE FOR INTELLIGENCE PROFESSIONALS The Cyber Threat: The Future of Intelligence in a Wired World __NMIF__________________________ Vol. 34, No. 1, 2017 American THE MAGAZINE FOR INTELLIGENCE PROFESSIONALS Intelligence Journal Vol. 34, No. 1 2017 ISSN 0883-072X NMIF Board of Directors LTG (USA, Ret) Mary A. Legere, Chair Col (USAF, Ret) John Clark, President Col (USAF, Ret) William Arnold, Vice President Col (USAF, Ret) Michael Grebb, Treasurer Col (USAF, Ret) Carla Bass, Director LTC (USA, Ret) Steve Iwicki, Director Mr. Don Bolser, Director Dr. (Col, USAF, Ret) Eva S. Jenkins CDR (USNR, Ret) Calland Carnes, Director Capt (USNR, Ret) Stephanie Leung, Director Mr. Dennis DeMolet, Director Kel McClanahan, Esq., Director Lt Col (USAF, Ret) James Eden, Director Brad Moss, Esq., Director COL (USA, Ret) Michael Ferguson, Director Capt (USNR) Rick Myllenbeck, Director Col (USAF, Ret) Owen Greenblatt CDR (USNR) Louis Tucker, Director COL (USA, Ret) David Hale, Director COL (USA, Ret) Gerald York, Director Editor - COL (USA, Ret) William C. Spracher, Ed.D. Production Manager - Ms. Debra Hamby-Davis Brig Gen (USAF, Ret) Scott Bethel, Director Emeritus Dr. Forrest R. Frank, Director Emeritus MajGen (USMC, Ret) Michael Ennis, Director Emeritus LTG (USA, Ret) Patrick M. Hughes, Director Emeritus Col (USAF, Ret) William Huntington, Director Emeritus The American Intelligence Journal (AIJ) is published by the National Military Intelligence Foundation (NMIF), a non-profit, non-political foundation supporting American intelligence professionals and the U.S. Intelligence Community, primarily through educational means. NMIF believes in the power of the intelligence mission to inspire young people to join the intelligence profession as a career of service to the nation. NMIF continuously engages current and future intelligence professionals, organizations, industry, and academic institutions to contribute to the overall sustainment of the U.S. military intelligence workforce. Authors interested in submitting an article to the Journal are encouraged to send an inquiry—with a short summary of the text—to the Editor by e-mail at <[email protected]>. Articles and inquiries may also be submitted in hard copy to Editor, c/o NMIF, 256 Morris Creek Road, Cullen, Virginia 23934. Comments, suggestions, and observations on the editorial content of the Journal are also welcomed. Questions concerning subscriptions, advertising, and distribution should be directed to the Production Manager at <[email protected]>. The American Intelligence Journal is published semi-annually. Each issue runs 100-200 pages and is distributed to key government officials, members of Congress and their staffs, and university professors and libraries, as well as to NMIF donors, Journal subscribers, and contributors. Contributors include Intelligence Community leaders and professionals as well as academicians, research fellows, students, and others with interesting and informative perspectives. Copyright NMIF. Reprint and copying by permission only. American Intelligence JournalPage i Vol 34 No 1, 2017 AMERICAN INTELLIGENCE JOURNAL Table of Contents President's Message ..................................................................................................................................................................... 1 Editor's Desk ................................................................................................................................................................................. 3 Black Hats Attack by Paul Milton Hobart ................................................................................................................................................... 6 U.S. Cyber Command: An Overview by CDR (USN) Catherine S. Deppa ............................................................................................................................. 12 Alleged Chinese Cyberspies: An American Dilemma by Dr. William E. Kelly ................................................................................................................................................. 16 Social Media, Publicly Available Information, and the Intelligence Community by COL (USA) Steven C. Henricks.............................................................................................................................. 21 Social Media and Intelligence by Nicole A. Softness................................................................................................................................................... 32 Darknet Markets: A Modern Day Enigma for the Law Enforcement and Intelligence Communities by Sarah R. Heidenreich and Dr. Dennis A. Westbrooks II ......................................................................................... 38 NANOKRIEG: Attaining Global Net Superiority by James Carlini............................................................................................................................................................ 45 The Specter of Cyber in the Service of the Islamic State: The Zeros and Ones of Modern Warfare by Troy E. Smith ........................................................................................................................................................... 54 Persistent Operational Intelligence: An Intelligence Strategy for Joint Force 2020 by COL (USAR) Reid W. Webber ................................................................................................................................ 59 Strategic Intelligence Officers at DIA’s Integrated Intelligence Centers by MAJ (USA) Michael Hein ........................................................................................................................................ 69 Renaissance Women: A Perfect Match for Science and Technology Intelligence Education by Kimberly Reubush, Maria-Kristina Hayden, and Dr. Brian T. Holmes .................................................................... 73 Five Years Later: Women, Combat Operations, and Revisiting "The Other Fifty Percent" by WO1 (ARNG) Kailah M. Murry .............................................................................................................................. 78 Depicting Female Suicide Bombers: Understanding the Radicalization Process by Dr. Bina Patel ........................................................................................................................................................... 83 Expanding Integrated Coalition and NGO ISR to Better Support HA/DR Operations by Maj (USAF) Jesse Winkels ..................................................................................................................................... 97 U.S. Intelligence and Cross-Strait Relations: Intelligence Failures and U.S. Policy Toward the "Two Chinas" by Alex Herkert ........................................................................................................................................................... 102 Rebalancing the Intelligence Analyst Career Cycle by Dr. (LTC, USAR, Ret) John A. Gentry ................................................................................................................... 111 Vol 34, No 1, 2017 Page ii American Intelligence Journal AMERICAN INTELLIGENCE JOURNAL Table of Contents (Continued) Assessing Assessments: How Useful Is Predictive Intelligence? by Warrant Officer Class 2 John Hetherington and Wing Commander Keith Dear ................................................... 116 Technology in Foreign Intelligence Gathering by A1C (USAF) Candace N. Stevens ......................................................................................................................... 123 A Sunk Cost Well Spent: Powering Interagency Remote Sensing Through Civil Applications by Daniel W. Opstal ................................................................................................................................................... 131 Up Close and Personal: Cultural Awareness and Local Interaction as Experienced by U.S. Military Personnel during Deployment Overseas by Dr. Rad Malkawi .................................................................................................................................................... 136 In My View... Signal Pollution: The Unseen Threat by H. Anthony Smith ................................................................................................................................................. 142 Profiles in Intelligence series... Walsingham’s Entrapment of Mary Stuart: The Modern Perspective of a Deception Analyst/Planner by R. Kent Tiernan ..................................................................................................................................................... 146 NMIF Bookshelf Yudhijit Bhattacharjee’s The Spy Who Couldn’t Spell: A Dyslexic Traitor, an Unbreakable Code, and the FBI’s Hunt for America’s Stolen Secrets reviewed by Mark W. Cleveland ................................................................................................................................ 157 Jamie Bisher’s The Intelligence War in Latin America, 1914-1922 reviewed by Dr. Russell G. Swenson .......................................................................................................................... 158 Yoram Schweitzer & Omer Einav’s (eds.) The Islamic State: How Viable Is It? reviewed by CDR (USN) Youssef Aboul-Enein ........................................................................................................