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AVRASYA İNCELEMELERİ MERKEZİ CENTER FOR EURASIAN STUDIES

ARMENIA: ARREST FOR SMUGGLED MISSILE ROILS ELECTION CAMPAIGN

- 23.03.2017

Eurasianet March 23, 2017

Emil Sanamyan

Screenshot from a video released by 's National Security Service, purporting to show an Igla missile smuggled by , a former security forces leader and key member of an opposition bloc.

The Armenian parliamentary election campaign took an unexpected turn on March 22, when agents from the National Security Service arrested Samvel Babayan, a former de facto defense minister of Nagorno Karabakh and a key ally of , one of the leading candidates. The NSS accused Babayan and two other Armenian citizens of smuggling a surface-to-air shoulder- fired Igla missile system from Georgia. A video released by NSS showed what appeared to be a missile packaged neatly and stacked behind some boxes in a garage.

Babayan is a member of the pre-election bloc led by Ohanyan, who replaced Babayan as Nagorno Karabakhs defense minister in 1999 before serving as Armenias defense minister from 2008 until last October. The arrest comes amid increased tensions between the Ohanyan bloc and allies of President , suggesting that the arrest may be politically motivated.

Last week, the Ohanyan bloc held a campaign event in the village of Jrarat in Armenias Armavir province. The village chief attempted to call off the rally, brandishing a handgun, but was disarmed and roughed up, ending up at the hospital. Adding to the intrigue, this wasnt just any village mayor, but a brother of General Levon Yeranosyan, the commander of Armenias police forces and known for his rough-and-tumble style when it comes to critics of the president.

Days after the clash, the two jailed leaders of last years armed insurrection in , in which three policemen were killed, and Varujan Avetisyan released a letter endorsing the Ohanyan bloc. The blocs number three, former foreign minister returned the favor and praised the group, known as Sasna Tzrer, as patriots. In the middle of this, Artur Sargsyan, who had became a kind of folk hero after breaking through a police cordon last summer to deliver food to Sasna Tzrer insurgents, died shortly after being released from custody. The death sparked brief, but emotional street protests.

Babayan has a long personal history with Sargsyan, first clashing with him when both were senior leaders in the war in Nagorno Karabakh in the 1990s. After spending several years in , Babayan returned to Armenia after the April 2016 escalation in Karabakh and been sharply criticizing Sargsyans security and foreign policies. Babayan is also believed to be close to former president , another important Sargsyan critic. It is not too farfetched to suspect that that Armenias top security officials have become a little worried about the election and decided to preemptively remove Babayan from scene until after the vote.

There are plenty of precedents of Armenian governments arresting potentially troublesome veterans of the military and security services prior to elections. In fact, while serving as Levon Ter- Petrossyans security chief, Sargsyan personally handled the pre-election sweeps of suspected opposition supporters before the 1995-96 elections. Before the 2008 elections, several senior members of the veterans union, who were supporting Ter-Petrossyans presidential bid, were detained on weapons charges.

The surface-to-air missile, though, does bring an added twist to the story. In November 2015, Armenian authorities arrested an armed group that, among other things, was accused of planning an attack on the presidents plane. (Their weapons cache, however, did not include an Igla.) A former deputy defense minister, Vahan Shirkhanyan, was also arrested in connection to that case. Sasna Tzrers Sefilian and Avetisyan are also former military veterans. Babayans popularity remains strong among many of his former subordinates, particularly in Nagorno Karabakh.

That's a lot of veterans angry at President Sargsyan.

Kaynak/Source: