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PICES-2014 Toward a Better Understanding of the North Pacific

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PICES-2014 Toward a Better Understanding of the North Pacific PICES-2014 Toward a better understanding of the North Pacific: Reflecting on the past and steering for the future North Pacific Marine Science Organization October 16-26, 2014 Yeosu, Korea Table of Contents Notes for Guidance � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � v Meeting Timetable � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �vi Keynote Lecture � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 1 Schedules and Abstracts S1: Science Board Symposium Toward a better understanding of the North Pacific: Reflecting on the past and steering for the future � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 5 S2: BIO Topic Session Strengths and limitations of habitat modeling: Techniques, data sources, and predictive capabilities � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 15 S3: BIO/MEQ Topic Session Tipping points: defining reference points for ecological indicators of multiple stressors in coastal and marine ecosystem � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 25 S4: BIO/MONITOR/TCODE Topic Session Use of long time series of plankton to inform decisions in management and policy concerning climate, ecosystems and fisheries � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 41 S5: FIS Topic Session Ecosystem considerations in fishery management of cod and other important demersal species � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 49 S6: FIS/FUTURE Topic Session Climate change impacts on spatial distributions of marine fish and shellfish � � � � � � � � 63 S7: FIS/TCODE/FUTURE Topic Session Recent assessments of climate change impacts on marine ecosystems � � � � � � � � � � � � � 73 S8: MEQ Topic Session Marine debris in the Ocean: Sources, transport, fate and effects of macro- and micro-plastics � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 87 S9: POC/MONITOR Topic Session Variability in advection and its biological consequences for Subarctic and Arctic ecosystems � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 105 S10: POC/TCODE/FUTURE Topic Session Regional climate modeling in the North Pacific � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 115 S11: MarWeb Topic Session Ecological and human social analyses and issues relating to Integrated Multi-Trophic Aquaculture � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 129 iii BIO Contributed Paper Session � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 135 FIS Contributed Paper Session � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 149 MEQ Contributed Paper Session � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 157 POC Contributed Paper Session � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 167 General Poster Session � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 187 W1: FIS Workshop Dynamics of pelagic fish in the North Pacific under climate change � � � � � � � � � � � � 199 W2: FIS Workshop Linkages between the winter distribution of Pacific salmon and their marine ecosystems and how this might be altered with climate change � � � � � � � � � � � � � 207 W3: MEQ Workshop Mitigation of harmful algal blooms: Novel approaches to a decades long problem affecting the viability of natural and aquaculture fisheries� � � � � � � � � � 213 HAB Section Meeting � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 221 W4: MONITOR Workshop Networking ocean observatories around the North Pacific Ocean � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 225 W5: POC Workshop SOLAS into the Future: Designing the next phase of the Surface Ocean-Lower Atmosphere Study within the context of the Future Earth Program � � � � � � � � � � � � � 233 Registrants, Observers, PICES � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 235 Author Index � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 263 Abstracts for oral presentations are sorted first by session and then by presentation time. Abstracts for posters are sorted by session and then by paper ID number. Presenter name is in bold-face type and underlined. Some abstracts in this collection are not edited and are printed in the condition they were received. iv Notes for Guidance The North Pacific Marine Science Organization (PICES) announces its 2014 Annual Meeting to be held October 16-26, 2014, at the Expo Hall in Yeosu, Republic of Korea. The meeting is hosted by the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries (MOF), in coordination with the PICES Secretariat. Local arrangements are made by Yeosu City, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology (KIOST), and the National Fisheries Research and Development Institute (NFRDI). Presentations In order to allow the sessions to run smoothly, and in fairness to other speakers, please note that all presentations are expected to adhere strictly to the time allocated. All authors should designate at least 5 minutes for questions. Authors can download their presentations straight to the computers where the session/workshops will be held. Important: Please rename your files - time-name.ppt e.g.( 0900-Smith.ppt, 1530-Kim.ppt). If complications occur due to incompatibilities between PCs and Macs, Macintosh owners may use their own computers to make presentations. Posters Posters on general interest to the PICES Scientific Committees, including those not necessarily matching the themes of the Topic Sessions, are welcome. Posters will be on display from October 21 (a.m.) until the end of the “Wine and Cheese” Poster Session on the evening of October 23, when poster presenters are expected to be available to answer questions. Internet access Internet access via wireless LAN will be available. A few desktop computers will also be available for participants. Social activities Monday, October 20 (18:30-21:00) Welcome Reception The Welcome Reception for all participants (and registered guests). Tuesday, October 21 (18:30-21:00) Sport Event This year the sport event is Volleyball at Jinnam Gymnasium, Yeosu. Four teams can play at the same time on two indoor courts. About 60 people can play and many cheering attendees are welcome. Bus transportation will be arranged. Participants, please bring clean sports shoes! After the volleyball game, Korean style fried chicken and beer will be served. Please sign up for participation at the Registration Desk. Thursday , October 23 (18:00-20:30) Wine & Cheese Poster Session Reception The wine & cheese Poster Session at the meeting venue will allow participants to roam around the poster displays and chat with presenters while sipping beer or wine and nibbling on hot and cold hor d’oevres. v Meeting Timetable Wednesday, October 15 14:00 PICES- NOWPAP SG 18:00 Meeting Thursday, October 16 09:00 WG-30 12:30 W1 MAFF PST PICES-NOWPAP SG WG-27 Meeting Day 1 Meeting* Meeting Meeting 14:00 Day 1 18:00 Friday, October 17 09:00 W4 WG-28 12:30 W1 WG-29 AP-MBM MoE PST W2 W3 Meeting 14:00 Day 2 Meeting Meeting Meeting W5 Day 1 18:00 18:00 AP-CPR WG-30 20:00 Meeting Meeting, Day 2 Saturday, October 18 09:00 S-CC WG-28 12:30 SG-SEES SG-BC Meeting S-HAB WG-31 Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting 14:00 S-CCME Day 2 AP-CREAMS 18:00 Meeting Meeting Sunday, October 19 09:00 12:30 Joint FUTURE AP Meeting Science Board Meeting 15:30 14:00 16:00 AP-AICE AP-COVE AP-SOFE BIO FIS MEQ MONITOR POC TCODE S-HD 08:00 Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting 20:00 Day 1 Day 1 Day 1 Day 1 Day 1 Day 1 Day 1 Monday, October 20 09:00 Opening Session 10:00 10:30 Science Board Symposium (S1) 18:00 18:30 Welcome Reception 21:00 for all participants and registered guests Tuesday, October 21 09:00 S3 S9 S10 17:30 18:00 Sport Event 21:00 Wednesday, October 22 09:00 S7 S5 S11 MEQ-Paper F&A Meeting* 12:30 Day 1 Day 1 BIO FIS MEQ MONITOR POC TCODE S-HD 14:00 Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting 18:00 Day 2 Day 2 Day 2 Day 2 Day 2 Day 2 Day 2 Thursday, October 23 09:00 S5 S7 BIO-Paper 12:30 Day 2 Day 2 S8 14:00 POC Paper Session S2 FIS-Paper 18:00 Day 1 18:00 “Wine and Cheese” Poster Session** 20:30 vi Meeting Timetable (continued) Friday, October 24 POC-Paper Session 09:00 S6 S4 Day 2 12:30 Closing Session*** 14:00 15:00 Science Board Meeting* 18:00 18:30 Chairman’s Reception* 21:00 [by invitation only] Saturday, October 25 09:00 Science Board Meeting* Governing Council Meeting* 18:00 Sunday, October 26 13:00 Governing Council Meeting* 18:00 * Closed meetings ** Poster presenters are expected to be available to answer questions. *** Award-winning scientists (Best Oral/Poster presentations) will be announced during the Closing Session vii Sessions/Workshops S1 Toward a better understanding of the North Pacific: Reflecting on the past and steering for the future S2 Strengths and limitations of habitat modeling: Techniques, data sources, and predictive capabilities S3 Tipping points: defining reference points for ecological indicators of multiple stressors in coastal and marine ecosystem S4 Use of long time series of plankton to inform decisions in management and policy concerning climate, ecosystems and fisheries S5 Ecosystem considerations in fishery management
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