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PRR 2019 Performance Review Report An Assessment of Air Traffic Management in Europe during the Calendar Year 2019 Performance Review Commission June 2020 Background This report has been produced by the Performance Review Commission (PRC). The PRC was established by the Permanent Commission of EUROCONTROL in accordance with the ECAC Institutional Strategy 1997. One objective of this strategy is “to introduce a strong, transparent and independent performance review and target setting system to facilitate more effective management of the European ATM system, encourage mutual accountability for system performance…” All PRC publications are available from the website: www.eurocontrol.int/air-navigation-services-performance-review Notice The PRC has made every effort to ensure that the information and analysis contained in this document are as accurate and complete as possible. Only information from quoted sources has been used and information relating to named parties has been checked with the parties concerned. Despite these precautions, should you find any errors or inconsistencies we would be grateful if you could please bring them to the PRU’s attention. The PRU’s e-mail address is [email protected] Copyright notice and Disclaimer © European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation (EUROCONTROL) This document is published by the Performance Review Commission in the interest of the exchange of information. It may be copied in whole or in part providing that the copyright notice and disclaimer are included. The information contained in this document may not be modified without prior written permission from the Performance Review Commission. The views expressed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views or policy of EUROCONTROL, which makes no warranty, either implied or express, for the information contained in this document, neither does it assume any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness or usefulness of this information. Printed by EUROCONTROL, 96, rue de la Fusée, B-1130 Brussels, Belgium. The PRU’s e-mail address is [email protected]. FOREWORD At the time of writing the Performance Review Report 2019, European air traffic had just finished its fifth year of continued growth and the review focus was on possible solutions for addressing the persisting en‐route capacity crisis and how to reduce the environmental impact of aviation in view of the significant growth predicted for the industry over the coming years. Although there were signs of weakening traffic towards the end of 2019 because of an economic slowdown in Europe, nobody was prepared for the unprecedented crisis emerging from the outbreak of the new SARS‐CoV‐2 virus in Wuhan, China in late December 2019. As a result of COVID‐19, the number of flights operating daily in the EUROCONTROL area declined in March‐May by up to ‐90% compared to the same period in 2019 with dramatic consequences for the entire industry. Even though there are fragile signs of slowly growing traffic levels in June 2020, the road back to normality will be long and painful; the Performance Review Commission (PRC) welcomes and supports the measures taken by EUROCONTROL and the Member States to help the industry survive the COVID‐19 crisis until traffic levels recover. Given the challenges facing aviation because of COVID‐19, the PRC decided not to make recommendations based on the past performance in 2019 but instead to use its analytical expertise and resources to support the aviation industry with up to date and relevant data and information on the impact of the COVID‐19 crisis. In coordination with the EUROCONTROL Agency, the PRC has developed several online tools to monitor, for example, the revenues from en‐route charges or the number of grounded aircraft. The PRC will continue to make relevant information available on the redesigned Aviation Intelligence Performance Portal @ www.ansperformance.eu. The goal is to provide a single, user‐friendly entry point for all air traffic management related performance areas (operations, economics, etc.) in support of the entire European aviation industry. For instance, the economic data from the newly released ATM Cost‐Effectiveness (ACE) Benchmarking Report, which will be relevant as a reference on the way to recovery, is available online from the ACE dashboard. Next year, the ACE report will focus on the impact of the COVID‐ 19 crisis on ANSPs cost‐effectiveness performance. Despite the PRC’s increased focus on online publications and an entirely changed situation in 2020, there are some takeaways from the review of the 2018/19 capacity crisis in PRR 2019, which will remain relevant and serve as a reference when traffic builds up again. The COVID‐19 crisis once again underlines the need for close cooperation and coordination and the importance of a proactive, harmonised network wide approach. PRR2019 also illustrates the importance of balanced performance objectives and the need for improved scalability of the ATM system to adjust to changes in operations. Furthermore, the challenge to reduce aviation’s impact on the environment through improved efficiency will remain after the crisis. These are turbulent times for the aviation industry but the road back to normality is also an opportunity to make our ATM system better, to deliver improved performance when traffic returns. Although recovery will be challenging, the aviation industry has shown its strength and resilience before. It will, without a doubt, resume its important role in reconnecting families and business after the COVID‐19 crisis. Should you wish to comment on any aspect of the report, or to contact the PRC, please send an email to pru‐[email protected]. Marc Baumgartner Chairman Performance Review Commission From left to right Dr D. Rhodes Mr J‐M Cordero Dr J. Malawko Mr M. Baumgartner Mr M. de Jong Mr L. Hlinovský Mr A. Buchan PRC Focal Point for PRC Focal Point for PRC Focal Point PRC Chair, PRC Focal Vice‐Chair, PRC PRC Focal Point for PRC Focal Point Environment ANSP/Management for Airports Point for ATC/OPS Focal Point Safety Economics for Airlines The PRC can be contacted via: pru‐[email protected] DOCUMENT IDENTIFICATION SHEET DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION Document Title Performance Review Commission Performance Review Report covering the calendar year 2019 (PRR 2019) PROGRAMME REFERENCE INDEX: EDITION: EDITION DATE: PRC Performance Review Report Final 18‐June‐2020 This report of the Performance Review Commission analyses the performance of the European Air Traffic Management System in 2019 under the Key Performance Areas of Safety, Capacity, Environment and Cost‐efficiency. Keywords Air Traffic Management Performance Measurement Performance Indicators ATM ANS Performance Review Unit, EUROCONTROL, 96 Rue de la Fusée, CONTACT: B‐1130 Brussels, Belgium. Tel: +32 2 729 3956, E‐Mail: pru‐[email protected] Web: http://www.eurocontrol.int/ansperformance DOCUMENT STATUS AND TYPE STATUS DISTRIBUTION Draft General Public Proposed Issue EUROCONTROL Organisation Released Issue Restricted INTERNAL REFERENCE NAME: PRR 2019 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Executive Summary TRAFFIC GROWTH (FLIGHTS) BY AREA CONTROL CENTRE (2019) Traffic growth 2019 vs 2018 DUB <-3.0% BREM LON TC AMS -2.9% - -1.0% BOD BRU LAN -0.9% - 0.0% TAM STO MUN 0.1% - 1.0% OSL+STV 1.1% - 2.5% TAL SCO Lower Airspace 2.6% - 5.0% MAL RIG COP VIL 5.1% - 7.5% SHA LON MAA WAR 7.6% - 10.0% KIE KAR LVO DNI >10% PRA REI BRAT CHI BRE WIE BUD ODE TBI PAR ZUR BUC YER GEN PAD LJU BOR MIL ZAG BEO SOF MAD KOS MAR SKO ANK TIR LIS BRI BAR ROM SEV ATH+MAK NIC MAL TEL CAS+AGA CAN IST PAL IST Lower Airspace Lower Airspace SHARE OF EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAYED FLIGHTS BY AREA CONTROL CENTRE (2019) % of en-route delayed flights (2019) DUB No delay BREM less than 2.5% LON TC AMS BOD BRU 2.5%-5.0% LAN TAM 5.1%-7.5% STO MUN 7.5% - 10% OSL+STV TAL SCO Lower Airspace >10% MAL RIG COP VIL SHA LON MAA WAR KIE KAR LVO DNI PRA REI BRAT CHI BRE WIE BUD ODE TBI PAR ZUR BUC YER GEN PAD LJU BOR MIL ZAG BEO SOF MAD KOS MAR SKO ANK TIR LIS BRI BAR ROM SEV ATH+MAK NIC MAL TEL CAS+AGA CAN IST PAL IST Lower Airspace Lower Airspace HORIZONTAL EN-ROUTE FLIGHT EFFICIENCY - ACTUAL TRAJECTORY (2019) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY i PRR 2019 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ATM Performance in 2019 ‐ Synopsis Key Performance Indicator Data & commentary ECAC IFR flights Variation Actual and forecast IFR traffic evolution (ECAC area) area 14 Feb. 2008 STATFOR (Oct. 2019) 13 forecast 7‐year forecast 2019 11.1 M + 0.8% 12 Feb. 2011 Air traffic in the ECAC area continued to grow for the sixth forecast consecutive year in 2019, but with contrasted (and even negative) (Millions) 11 Feb. 2014 growth rates at State level. On average IFR flights increased by 0.8% forecast TRAFFIC 10 over 2018 which was below the low scenario forecast (1.2%) by flights 9 IFR STATFOR in the February 2019 forecast. 8 Because of the COVID‐19 outbreak and the resulting unpredictable challenges for the aviation industry in 2020 and beyond no new 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 traffic forecast was available for this report. Accidents with direct ANS Eurocontrol Variation contribution area 2019 (preliminary) 0 ‐ 1 There were no reported accidents with direct ATM or indirect ATM contribution in 2019 (P). There were 62 333 ATM‐related incidents, reported through the EUROCONTROL AST mechanism, out of which SAFETY 44 613 were operational and 17 720 were technical. In 2019 (based on preliminary data), Separation Minima Infringements (SMI) and Unauthorised Penetration of Airspace (UPA) rates, in the EUROCONTROL area, were approximately 13.39 and 34.65 per 100 000 flight hours respectively.