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Home , Air Malta, Azur Air (Germany), EasyJet, Eurocontrol, Helsinki Airport, Milan Malpensa Airport

8 July 2021

COVID 19 IMPACT ON Comprehensive Assessment EUROPEAN

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 1 Headlines Traffic Situation Daily flights (including overflights) . 21,567 flights (62% of 2019 levels) on Wed 7 July 2021, increase (+19%) over 2 weeks. . Renewed traffic increase (2-digit) since early July—after the first jump early June. Record number on 2 July with Traffic over the last 7 days is 23,772 (since March 2020). . , busiest operator, with about 1,000 additional flights per day since start of June. easyJet added extra Compared to capacity over the last two weeks. Low cost are now operating 54% of 2019 flight volumes. equivalent days in 2019 . High increase for many States over the last two weeks, flows between North-West and Southern Europe 38% intensify: (+27%), (+26%), (+29%), (+21%), (+29%) and (+35%). . Domestic flows are still dominating in terms of traffic volumes (France, Italy), noticeable increases on flows between Germany and Turkey as well as Russian Federation and Turkey. . Domestic traffic vs 2019: Europe (-47%), US (-19%), (-7%) (situation easing after lockdown in the Guanghzou area), Middle-East (-31%)

2 2 Top 10 Busiest 7-day average Dep/Arr flights on 1-7 July, compared to 2019

Average flights per day Average flights per day Top 10 Airports (week 1-7/7) (week 1-7/7) vs 2019 Market Segments 900 -40% On 7 July, compared to 2019 IGA 891 -29% 854 -44% /Charles-De-Gaulle 816 -46% 46% 47% 9% Low cost Traditional Business Madrid/Barajas 736 -42% Aviation 695 -26% 659 -29% Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen 637 -5% 16% 5% Non-Scheduled/ All Cargo Athens 636 -23% Charter 605 -44% Economics Passengers Traffic Flow (02 July 2021) (17 June 2021) On 7 July, the intra-European traffic flow was Fuel price 2.4 million pax 17,232 + 20% -38% -5.4 million 191 vs. 2019 flights over past Compared Cents/gallon 2 weeks to 2019 compared to 189 cents/gallon on 25 June 2021 (-69%) Source: IATA/Platts Source: ACI 3 Overall traffic situation at network

21,567 flights on Wednesday 7 July. +19% with +3,469 flights over 2 weeks (from Wednesday 23 June). +10% with +1,909 flights over 1 week (from Wednesday 30 June).

60% of 2019 traffic levels.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 4 Current traffic evolution

The traffic has clearly been increasing over the last 8 weeks with significant accelerations on 1st June and 1st July (2 digit increases). After having been stable since January at around -64% compared to 2019, the traffic has now reached -38% over the last week.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 5 Current situation compared to the latest EUROCONTROL traffic scenarios

Flights at 62% on 1-7 July 2021 compared to 1-7 July 2019.

This is in line with the latest EUROCONTROL traffic scenarios published on 1 June 2021.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 6 Market Segments

On 7 July 2021, compared to 2019:

All-cargo and Business Aviation are the only segment above 2019 levels with +5% and +9% respectively.

Charter decreased to -16% and catching since early June.

Traditional and Low-Cost have consistently increased over the last month to reach respectively -47% and -46% vs 2019.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 7 Aircraft operators (Daily flights) Top 10 Positive change in the ranking Rank Top 10 Aircraft Operators on Wed 07-07-2021 over 2 weeks for easyJet, evolution Wizzair and SAS. over 2 D over 2 % over 2 Aircraft Operator Flights % vs 2019 weeks weeks weeks 2-digit increase for all the top  Ryanair 1655  +323 +24%  -36% 10 airlines, 3-digit for easyJet.  1144  +197 +21%  -20%  804  +148 +23%  -41% Highest increase over 2 weeks  682  +157 +30%  -58% for easyJet (+158%), 1/3 due  KLM 637  +188 +42%  -32% to domestic French flows  easyJet 628  +385 +158%  -65% followed by domestic flows in  523  +179 +52%  -22% UK and Italy.  Pegasus 493  +80 +19%  -0% Ryanair is the 2nd 425  +78 +22%  -41% adding the highest number of  SAS 366  +111 +44%  -54% flights to the network (+323) after easyJet (+385). Pegasus reached equivalent flight volumes as in 2019.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 8 Aircraft operators (Daily flights) Top 40 – Latest operations

Highest increase for easyJet (+158%), Norwegian (+134%), Swiss (+103%) and Sun Express (+71%). Ryanair 1st, easyJet 6th, 18th, Air France 3rd, Lufthansa 4th. Traffic levels ranging from -80% () to +7% () compared to 2019. SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 9 Aircraft operators Latest news European airlines Worldwide airlines Air France-KLM issues €800 million of senior notes with coupons of 3%/3.875%. resuming/increasing services to a number of European Air operates first service to Libya since 2014. destinations. to convert a 777 back into passenger Group added 6 aircraft (net) in May to its fleet, reaching 340 operations; reports booking of 96,000 passengers on flights to Greece aircraft; to resume operations to in July. in July/August. ANA plans to operate 19% of its planned international schedules in Austrian Airlines expands digital COVID-10 document verification August and 20% in September & October; plans to operate 8 more A380 service to cover 13 countries. sightseeing flights in August. plans to operate this summer services to over 70 resuming A380 operations on services to Washington, LA, destinations from Düsseldorf and around 60 destination from . Toronto, & Zurich. Lufthansa to resume temporarily the deployment of five A340s from Federal Express exercises options to buy 20 Boeing 767-300F aircraft in summer 2022, prior to their replacement with A350s. FY2024 & FY2025. Ryanair returning to Airport from where it will operate 29 JAL Group reports May passenger numbers down 93.5% (international) departing flights per week to 9 destinations. and 72.3% (domestic) compared to 2019. Ryanair reports June passenger numbers down 60.7% on 2019 (load places orders for 200 MAX and 70 A321neo factor at 72%); responds to Malta, and Palma being put on the UK aircraft; sees a ‘huge acceleration’ in business travel in the past few green list by adding 200,000 extra seats in July/August/September weeks. (easyJet adding >50,000 seats). Wizz Air adding fifth aircraft to Tirana base, launching new routes to Barcelona & Cologne and increasing other Tirana frequencies; reports June passenger numbers down 56.9% on 2019 (load factor at 64%); opens new base at Fiumicino with 4 A321s and 32 new routes. SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 10 States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights) Top 10 2-digit increase for all of top 10 States over 2 weeks. Increase in the ranking over 2 weeks for the . Highest increase for Greece (+35%) mainly driven by Ryanair and easyJet especially on flows from/to Germany, Italy and on domestic flows . High increases for Turkey (+29%) and Italy (+29%). France is the State where most flights have been added (+710) over 2 weeks, closely followed by Spain (+683).

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 11 States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights) Latest traffic situation

Strong increases for (+59% over 2 weeks), (+40%), Greece (+35%) and (+34%) as well as for (+62%) and (+55%), both owing to Wizz Air. Traffic levels ranging from -70% () to -9% (), compared to 2019. SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 12 Associations, Authorities and States

IATA and ACI Europe make recommendations to EU states on the practicalities of implementing the EU Digital COVID Certificate. approves ‘neighbourhood’ aviation agreements with , and . opens an in-depth investigation into the proposed acquisition of by IAG; reported to be proposing a tax on aviation fuel on intra-EU flights. DGAC reports that May passenger numbers in France were 80.6% down on 2019 (within Metropolitan France: -56.9%). reports that it has developed a drone to replace half of the calibration flights that were previously performed by a specially equipped, manned, aircraft.

Portugal introduces €2 carbon tax on airline tickets. USA to propose new rules requiring carriers to refund fees for significantly delayed bags; US airports handled over 2.1 million passengers on 5 July (Monday after the Independence Day weekend), 21% down on 2019.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 13 Traffic flows (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)

The main traffic flow is the intra-Europe flow with 17,232 flights on Wednesday 7 July, which is increasing (+20%) over 2 weeks. Intra-Europe flights are at -38% compared to 2019 while intercontinental flows are at -47%.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 14 Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights) Top 10

8 of the top 10 flows are domestic. Highest increases for Germany-Turkey (+77%), owing to Sun Express, Corendon and Turkish Airlines, Germany-Spain (+38%) mainly due to Ryanair, Eurowings and Lufthansa Domestic Italy (+19%) owing to easyJet, , Ryanair and . Domestic France saw the biggest change over two weeks (+140 flights).

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 15 Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights) Latest traffic situation

Flows recording the biggest increases over two weeks: • Greece-Italy (+118%) owing to Ryanair, easyJet. • -Turkey (+98%) mainly thanks to , , Norwind Airlines, . • France-Greece (+89%) thanks to easyJet and Air France for the main operators.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 16 Outside Europe

USA Bookings are improving but demand for corporate and long-haul international air travel are lagging. On 6 July, US passenger airline departures were 21% below 2019 levels with domestic down 19% and international down 37%. The domestic US load factor is closing in on pre-pandemic levels to around 89%. In June 2021, airfares were around 16% below pre-pandemic levels and remain depressed owing partly to lack of business and long-haul international travel.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 17 Outside Europe

Middle East China On 6 July Intra-Middle-East traffic recorded 1,912 flights On 5 July, domestic traffic recorded 11,087 flights (-7% (-31% compared to Feb 2020). compared to January 2020 levels). International traffic from and to Middle-East recorded 1,564 International flights and overflights remain suppressed, they flights (-48% compared to Feb 2020). were stable on previous weeks with 1,264 and 357 flights respectively (-69% and -78% vs 1 Jan 2020). Overflights recorded 308 flights (-28% compared to Feb 2020).

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 18 Airports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)

Top 10 and latest news Positive change for 4 of the top 10 airports over last 2 weeks. Highest increases in flights for: • Antalya (+46%): mainly Sun Express, Turkish Airlines and Pegasus. • Palma De Mallorca (+38%): mainly Ryanair and Jet2.com, mostly flights from/to Germany and UK as well as domestic flights. • Amsterdam (+35%): mainly KLM and . Flows from to UK, Spain, Germany and France. • Barcelona (+28%) owing to Vueling and Ryanair.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 19 Airports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights) Latest operations

Largest increase for Copenhagen over 2 weeks (+61%), Dusseldorf (+59%), Antalya (+46%), Nice (+46%) and Zurich (+44%). Traffic levels ranging from -90% (Gatwick) to -26% (Athens) compared to 2019.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 20 Airports Latest news Atlanta Airport expecting to handle 80% of pre-pandemic passenger traffic in July. June passenger numbers 80% down on those at Schoenefeld and Tegel in June 2019. Airport expecting up to 40k passengers a day in July. reopens check-in area for Lufthansa Express Rail passengers. 11 German airports receive €400 million as compensation for maintaining operational service during 2020 lockdown. German Airports Association reports May passenger numbers down 85.3% to 3.3 million compared to May 2019. /Halle Airport reports May cargo up 25.4% on 2019, to 134,080 tonnes. Heathrow begins phased re-opening of Terminal 3. Malpensa Airport May passenger numbers down 81.9% in May, compared to 2019. commits to achieving carbon neutrality by 2030 with an investment of €150 million.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION Passengers

ACI recorded just below 2.4 million passengers on 17 June 2021*, a loss of 5.5 million passengers compared to the equivalent day in 2019 (i.e. - 69%).

* Latest available data from ACI

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 22 Vaccination updates

By 5 July, most of the Member States of EUROCONTROL have reported that more than 30 people (per 100 people) were fully vaccinated with Malta, , UK, , , , Spain and having at least 40 people (per 100 people) fully vaccinated (i.e. have received 2 doses of the main vaccines). Six Member States of EUROCONTROL have fully vaccinated less than 10 people (per 100 people).

The graph is showing data for the 41 Member and 2 Comprehensive Agreement States of EUROCONTROL.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 23 Economics

Jet fuel prices have started to rise since last Autumn, from around 100 cts/gal in October 2020 to 191 cts/gal on 2 July 2021.

The jet fuel prices have now reached pre-COVID levels.

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 24 To further assist you in your analysis, EUROCONTROL provides the following additional information on a daily basis (daily updates at approximately 7:00 CET for the first item and 12:00 CET for the second) and every Friday for the last item:

1. EUROCONTROL Daily Traffic Variation dashboard: www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficVariation (or via the COVID-19 button on the top of our homepage www.eurocontrol.int) • This dashboard provides traffic for Day+1 for all European States; for the largest airports; for each Area Control Centre (ACC); and for the largest airline operators.

2. COVID Related-NOTAMS with Network Impact (i.e. summary of airspace restrictions): https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html • The Network Operations Portal (NOP) under “Latest News” is updated daily with a summary table of the most significant COVID-19 NOTAMs applicable at 12.00 UTC.

3. NOP Recovery Plan. https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html • This report, updated every Friday, is a special version of the Network operation Plan supporting aviation response to the COVID-19 Crisis. It is developed in cooperation with the operational stakeholders ensuring a rolling outlook. © EUROCONTROL - July 2021 This document is published by EUROCONTROL for information purposes. It may be copied in whole or in part, provided that EUROCONTROL is mentioned as the source and it is not used for commercial purposes (i.e. for financial gain). The information in this document may not be modified without For more information please contact [email protected] prior written permission from EUROCONTROL. www.eurocontrol.int

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 25