National Tracking Poll 180124
National Tracking Poll
Project: 180124 N Size: 1987 Registered Voters Margin of Error: 2% Topline Report January 30 - February 01, 2018 Question Response Frequency Percentage P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 90 46% Wrong Track 077 54% Q172 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Strongly Approve 49 25% Somewhat Approve 440 22% Somewhat Disapprove 223 % Strongly Disapprove 742 37% Don’t Know / No Opinion 9 5% Q172NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve 93 47% Total Disapprove 966 49% Don’t Know / No Opinion 9 5% P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues 598 30% Security Issues 356 8% Health Care Issues 380 9% Senior’s Issues 273 4% Women’s Issues 6% Education Issues 27 6% Energy Issues 73 4% Other 69 3% POL1 How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following?Special counsel Robert Muellers intention to interview President Trump as part of the Department of Justice investigation into Russias in uence on the 2016 presidential election A lot 569 29% Some 720 36% Not much 352 8% Nothing at all 347 7%
Page | 1 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL2 Do you think Russia in uenced the results of the 2016 presidential election, or not? Yes 8 4% No 734 37% Dont Know/No Opinion 442 22% POL3 How likely is it that Russia will try to in uence the 2018 midterm elections for the House of Representatives and some Senators? Very likely 456 23% Somewhat likely 399 20% Not too likely 355 8% Not likely at all 343 7% Dont Know/No Opinion 434 22% POL4 And, if Russia does try to in uence the 2018 midterm elections, do you think they are more likely to help: Republican candidates 837 42% Democratic candidates 282 4% Dont Know/No Opinion 868 44% POL5 How likely is it that Russia will try to in uence the 2020 presidential election? Very likely 496 25% Somewhat likely 403 20% Not too likely 302 5% Not likely at all 304 5% Dont Know/No Opinion 482 24% POL6 And, if Russia does try to in uence the 2020 presidential election, do you think they are more likely to help: Donald Trump 85 43% Donald Trumps opponent 279 4% Dont Know/No Opinion 857 43% POL7 As you may know, special counsel Robert Mueller has indicated the intention to interview President Trump as part of the Department of Justice investigation into Russias in uence on the 2016 presidential election. Which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if none are exactly right? President Trump should be interviewed by the special 274 4% counsel President Trump should be interviewed by the special 92 46% counsel under oath President Trump should not be interviewed at all 436 22% Dont Know/No Opinion 357 8%
Page | 2 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL8 Do you think the Department of Justice investigation into Russians in uence on the 2016 presidential election has been handled fairly or unfairly? Very fairly 378 9% Somewhat fairly 400 20% Not too fairly 338 7% Not fairly at all 358 8% Dont Know/No Opinion 54 26% POL9 Do you think President Trumps campaign worked with Russia to in uence the outcome of the 2016 presidential election? Yes, I think President Trumps campaign worked with 777 39% Russia to in uence the outcome of the 2016 presidential election No, I dont think President Trumps campaign worked 795 40% with Russia to in uence the outcome of the 2016 presidential election Dont Know/No Opinion 45 2% POL10 And do you think President Trump has tried to impede or obstruct the investigation into whether his campaign had ties to Russia? Yes, I think President Trump has tried to impede or 86 43% obstruct the investigation into whether his campaign had ties to Russia. No, I dont think President Trump has tried to impede 732 37% or obstruct the investigation into whether his campaign had ties to Russia. Dont Know/No Opinion 394 20% indPresApp_4 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Mitch McConnell Total Favorable 472 24% Total Unfavorable 836 42% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 679 34%
Page | 3 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_5 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Paul Ryan Total Favorable 73 37% Total Unfavorable 792 40% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 464 23% indPresApp_6 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Nancy Pelosi Total Favorable 599 30% Total Unfavorable 926 47% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 463 23% indPresApp_7 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Charles Schumer Total Favorable 540 27% Total Unfavorable 694 35% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 754 38% indPresApp_8 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Mike Pence Total Favorable 879 44% Total Unfavorable 757 38% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 35 8%
Page | 4 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_9 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Donald Trump Total Favorable 90 46% Total Unfavorable 976 49% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 02 5% indPresApp_10 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Republicans in Congress Total Favorable 76 38% Total Unfavorable 982 49% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 244 2% indPresApp_11 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Democrats in Congress Total Favorable 756 38% Total Unfavorable 965 49% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 265 3% indPresApp_12 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Melania Trump Total Favorable 950 48% Total Unfavorable 64 32% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 396 20%
Page | 5 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_13 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Ivanka Trump Total Favorable 840 42% Total Unfavorable 779 39% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 368 8% indPresApp_14 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Jared Kushner Total Favorable 470 24% Total Unfavorable 778 39% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 739 37% indPresApp_15 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Steve Bannon Total Favorable 298 5% Total Unfavorable 974 49% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 75 36% indPresApp_16 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Hope Hicks Total Favorable 249 3% Total Unfavorable 425 2% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 32 66%
Page | 6 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_17 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Gary Cohn Total Favorable 295 5% Total Unfavorable 40 20% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 29 65% indPresApp_18 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Kellyanne Conway Total Favorable 52 26% Total Unfavorable 756 38% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 79 36% indPresApp_19 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Jeff Sessions Total Favorable 490 25% Total Unfavorable 804 40% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 692 35% indPresApp_20 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Robert Mueller Total Favorable 633 32% Total Unfavorable 578 29% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 776 39%
Page | 7 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_21 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Oprah Winfrey Total Favorable 069 54% Total Unfavorable 676 34% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 243 2% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated for registered voters with demographic post-strati cation weights applied.
Page | 8 National Tracking Poll #180124, January-February, 2018 Respondent Demographics Summary
Respondent Demographics Summary
Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage
xdemAll Registered Voters 987 00% xdemGender Gender: Male 927 47% Gender: Female 060 53% N 987 age5 Age: 18-29 353 8% Age: 30-44 460 23% Age: 45-54 357 8% Age: 55-64 393 20% Age: 65+ 424 2% N 987 xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 682 34% PID: Ind (no lean) 638 32% PID: Rep (no lean) 667 34% N 987 xpidGender PID/Gender: Dem Men 302 5% PID/Gender: Dem Women 380 9% PID/Gender: Ind Men 306 5% PID/Gender: Ind Women 332 7% PID/Gender: Rep Men 39 6% PID/Gender: Rep Women 348 8% N 987 xdemTea Tea Party: Supporter 508 26% Tea Party: Not Supporter 467 74% N 975 xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 654 33% Ideo: Moderate (4) 458 23% Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 680 34% N 792 xeduc3 Educ: < College 306 66% Educ: Bachelors degree 44 22% Educ: Post-grad 240 2% N 987 xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k 07 54% Income: 50k-100k 649 33% Income: 100k+ 267 3% N 987 Continued on next page Page | 9 Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary
Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemWhite Ethnicity: White 68 8% xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic 78 9% demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 255 3% demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other 3 6% xrelNet Relig: Protestant 53 27% Relig: Roman Catholic 405 20% Relig: Ath./Agn./None 506 25% Relig: Something Else 325 6% N 766 xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 49 2% xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical 567 29% Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 584 29% N 5 xreligion3 Relig: All Christian 5 58% Relig: All Non-Christian 83 42% N 98 xdemUsr Community: Urban 48 24% Community: Suburban 906 46% Community: Rural 600 30% N 987 xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector 658 33% Employ: Government 44 7% Employ: Self-Employed 63 8% Employ: Homemaker 78 9% Employ: Student 74 4% Employ: Retired 462 23% Employ: Unemployed 49 7% Employ: Other 59 8% N 987 xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes 37 9% Military HH: No 66 8% N 987 xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 90 46% RD/WT: Wrong Track 077 54% N 987 Continued on next page
Page | 10 National Tracking Poll #180124, January-February, 2018 Respondent Demographics Summary
Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage
Q172 Strongly Approve 49 25% Somewhat Approve 440 22% Somewhat Disapprove 223 % Strongly Disapprove 742 37% Don’t Know / No Opinion 9 5% N 987 xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 598 30% #1 Issue: Security 356 8% #1 Issue: Health Care 380 9% #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 273 4% #1 Issue: Women’s Issues 6% #1 Issue: Education 27 6% #1 Issue: Energy 73 4% #1 Issue: Other 69 3% N 987 xsubVote16O 2016 Vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton 704 35% 2016 Vote: Republican Donald Trump 785 40% 2016 Vote: Someone else 70 9% N 659 xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 827 42% 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 580 29% 2012 Vote: Other 04 5% 2012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 475 24% N 985 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 363 8% 4-Region: Midwest 469 24% 4-Region: South 738 37% 4-Region: West 48 2% N 987 Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated with demographic post-strati cation weights applied.
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