National Tracking Poll
Project: 180211 N Size: 1989 Registered Voters Margin of Error: 2% Topline Report February 15-19, 2018 Question Response Frequency Percentage P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 795 40% Wrong Track 94 60% Q172 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Strongly Approve 455 23% Somewhat Approve 440 22% Somewhat Disapprove 269 4% Strongly Disapprove 747 38% Don’t Know / No Opinion 78 4% Q172NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve 895 45% Total Dissaprove 06 5% Don’t Know / No Opinion 78 4% P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues 565 28% Security Issues 378 9% Health Care Issues 330 7% Senior’s Issues 36 6% Women’s Issues 97 5% Education Issues 27 6% Energy Issues 64 3% Other 2 6% POL5 Based on what you know, do you support or oppose a bill of widespread changes to the tax system recently signed in to law by President Trump? Strongly support 44 22% Somewhat support 457 23% Somewhat oppose 265 3% Strongly oppose 44 22% Dont Know/No Opinion 385 9%
Page | 1 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL6 Have you noticed an increase in your paycheck amount in the past several weeks as a result of the new tax law? Yes 490 25% No 02 5% Dont Know/No Opinion 477 24% POL7_1 And does this increase in your take-home pay make you more or less likely to support each of the following? The tax bill that was recently signed in to law by President Trump (N=490) Much more likely to support 28 45% Somewhat more likely to support 97 20% No more or less likely to support 96 20% Somewhat less likely to support 5 3% Much less likely to support 4 8% Don’t Know/No Opinion 23 5% POL7_4 And does this increase in your take-home pay make you more or less likely to support each of the following? President Trump (N=490) Much more likely to support 8 37% Somewhat more likely to support 02 2% No more or less likely to support 94 9% Somewhat less likely to support 24 5% Much less likely to support 67 4% Don’t Know/No Opinion 23 5% POL7_5 And does this increase in your take-home pay make you more or less likely to support each of the following? Republicans in Congress who voted for the bill (N=490) Much more likely to support 57 32% Somewhat more likely to support 26 26% No more or less likely to support 07 22% Somewhat less likely to support 9 4% Much less likely to support 52 % Don’t Know/No Opinion 29 6% POL7_6 And does this increase in your take-home pay make you more or less likely to support each of the following? Democrats in Congress who did not vote for the bill (N=490) Much more likely to support 72 5% Somewhat more likely to support 70 4% No more or less likely to support 20 25% Somewhat less likely to support 52 % Much less likely to support 49 30% Don’t Know/No Opinion 26 5%
Page | 2 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_4 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Mitch McConnell Total Favorable 457 23% Total Unfavorable 862 43% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 670 34% indPresApp_5 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Paul Ryan Total Favorable 686 35% Total Unfavorable 872 44% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 430 22% indPresApp_6 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Nancy Pelosi Total Favorable 582 29% Total Unfavorable 987 50% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 420 2% indPresApp_7 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Charles Schumer Total Favorable 492 25% Total Unfavorable 728 37% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 769 39%
Page | 3 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_8 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Mike Pence Total Favorable 839 42% Total Unfavorable 830 42% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 320 6% indPresApp_9 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Donald Trump Total Favorable 876 44% Total Unfavorable 028 52% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 86 4% indPresApp_10 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Republicans in Congress Total Favorable 695 35% Total Unfavorable 046 53% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 248 2% indPresApp_11 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Democrats in Congress Total Favorable 762 38% Total Unfavorable 982 49% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 245 2%
Page | 4 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_12 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Melania Trump Total Favorable 958 48% Total Unfavorable 658 33% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 372 9% indPresApp_13 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Ivanka Trump Total Favorable 828 42% Total Unfavorable 777 39% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 384 9% indPresApp_14 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Jared Kushner Total Favorable 49 2% Total Unfavorable 793 40% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 777 39% indPresApp_15 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Steve Bannon Total Favorable 265 3% Total Unfavorable 996 50% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 728 37%
Page | 5 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_16 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Hope Hicks Total Favorable 265 3% Total Unfavorable 448 23% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 276 64% indPresApp_17 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Gary Cohn Total Favorable 24 2% Total Unfavorable 453 23% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 295 65% indPresApp_18 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Kellyanne Conway Total Favorable 494 25% Total Unfavorable 783 39% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 72 36% indPresApp_19 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Jeff Sessions Total Favorable 443 22% Total Unfavorable 856 43% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 690 35%
Page | 6 Question Response Frequency Percentage indPresApp_20 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Robert Mueller Total Favorable 630 32% Total Unfavorable 575 29% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 785 39% indPresApp_21 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” Oprah Winfrey Total Favorable 085 55% Total Unfavorable 693 35% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 2 % indPresApp_22 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark “Heard Of, No Opinion.” If you have not heard of the person, please mark “Never Heard Of.” National Ri e Association (NRA) Total Favorable 880 44% Total Unfavorable 854 43% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 255 3% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated for registered voters with demographic post-strati cation weights applied.
Page | 7 Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary
Respondent Demographics Summary
Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemAll Registered Voters 989 00% xdemGender Gender: Male 927 47% Gender: Female 062 53% N 989 age5 Age: 18-29 36 6% Age: 30-44 498 25% Age: 45-54 365 8% Age: 55-64 385 9% Age: 65+ 425 2% N 989 xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 677 34% PID: Ind (no lean) 654 33% PID: Rep (no lean) 658 33% N 989 xpidGender PID/Gender: Dem Men 30 5% PID/Gender: Dem Women 376 9% PID/Gender: Ind Men 292 5% PID/Gender: Ind Women 362 8% PID/Gender: Rep Men 335 7% PID/Gender: Rep Women 323 6% N 989 xdemTea Tea Party: Supporter 507 25% Tea Party: Not Supporter 475 74% N 982 xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 650 33% Ideo: Moderate (4) 488 25% Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 65 33% N 789 xeduc3 Educ: < College 307 66% Educ: Bachelors degree 442 22% Educ: Post-grad 240 2% N 989 xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k 09 55% Income: 50k-100k 62 3% Income: 100k+ 278 4% N 989 Continued on next page Page | 8 National Tracking Poll #180211, February, 2018 Respondent Demographics Summary
Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage
xdemWhite Ethnicity: White 620 8% xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic 78 9% demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 256 3% demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other 3 6% xrelNet Relig: Protestant 532 27% Relig: Roman Catholic 405 20% Relig: Ath./Agn./None 547 28% Relig: Something Else 290 5% N 775 xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 30 2% xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical 560 28% Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 587 30% N 47 xreligion3 Relig: All Christian 47 58% Relig: All Non-Christian 838 42% N 984 xdemUsr Community: Urban 509 26% Community: Suburban 890 45% Community: Rural 59 30% N 989 xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector 630 32% Employ: Government 42 7% Employ: Self-Employed 70 9% Employ: Homemaker 67 8% Employ: Student 76 4% Employ: Retired 522 26% Employ: Unemployed 42 7% Employ: Other 40 7% N 989 xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes 396 20% Military HH: No 593 80% N 989 xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 795 40% RD/WT: Wrong Track 94 60% N 989 Continued on next page
Page | 9 Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary
Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage
Q172 Strongly Approve 455 23% Somewhat Approve 440 22% Somewhat Disapprove 269 4% Strongly Disapprove 747 38% Don’t Know / No Opinion 78 4% N 989 xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 565 28% #1 Issue: Security 378 9% #1 Issue: Health Care 330 7% #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 36 6% #1 Issue: Women’s Issues 97 5% #1 Issue: Education 27 6% #1 Issue: Energy 64 3% #1 Issue: Other 2 6% N 989 xsubVote16O 2016 Vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton 705 35% 2016 Vote: Republican Donald Trump 754 38% 2016 Vote: Someone else 95 0% N 655 xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 867 44% 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 555 28% 2012 Vote: Other 99 5% 2012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 459 23% N 98 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 363 8% 4-Region: Midwest 469 24% 4-Region: South 739 37% 4-Region: West 48 2% N 989 Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated with demographic post-strati cation weights applied.
Page | 10 National Tracking Poll #180211, February, 2018
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