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FINAL EVALUATION of the UNDP/GEF Project “Lake Balaton Integrated Vulnerability Assessment, Early Warning and Adaptation Strategies” (Project 48480 - PIMS 3334) Final Report Submitted by: Jean-Joseph Bellamy ([email protected]) April 9, 2010 TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ................................................................................................................................................................. II LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ............................................................................................................ III ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ................................................................................................................................................. IV EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................................................................... V 1. INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................................................... 1 2. THE PROJECT AND ITS DEVELOPMENT CONTEXT .......................................................................................... 3 3. FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS .............................................................................................................................. 5 3.1 PROJECT FORMULATION .................................................................................................................................... 5 3.1.1 Development priorities at the national and regional level ....................................................... 5 3.1.2 Analysis of the Log-Frame ............................................................................................................ 6 3.1.3 Stakeholder participation ............................................................................................................... 7 3.1.4 Country ownership/Driveness ...................................................................................................... 8 3.1.5 Cost-effectiveness .......................................................................................................................... 8 3.1.6 UNDP comparative advantage ..................................................................................................... 8 3.1.7 Management arrangements .......................................................................................................... 9 3.1.8 Replication approach ..................................................................................................................... 9 3.2 PROJECT MANAGEMENT .................................................................................................................................... 9 3.2.1 Implementation approach ............................................................................................................ 10 3.2.2 Use of the Log-Frame as a management and M&E tool ....................................................... 13 3.2.3 Financial Planning and Management........................................................................................ 14 3.2.4 Fund Leveraging / Co-financing ................................................................................................. 14 3.2.5 Monitoring and Evaluation .......................................................................................................... 15 3.2.6 Management Support Provided by UNDP ............................................................................... 17 3.3 PROJECT RESULTS ........................................................................................................................................... 17 3.3.1 Achievement of Project Outcomes ............................................................................................ 17 3.3.2 Contribution to Capacity Development ..................................................................................... 23 3.3.3 Attainment of Project Objective .................................................................................................. 23 3.3.4 Global Environmental Benefits ................................................................................................... 25 3.3.5 Sustainability of Project Achievements ..................................................................................... 25 3.3.6 Synergies ....................................................................................................................................... 27 3.3.7 Replication of Project Results .................................................................................................... 28 4. CONCLUSION / RATINGS SUMMARY .................................................................................................................. 28 5. LESSONS LEARNED ................................................................................................................................................. 30 6. RECOMMENDATIONS ............................................................................................................................................. 30 ANNEX 1: TERMS OF REFERENCE .............................................................................................................................. 33 ANNEX 2: EVALUATION MATRIX ............................................................................................................................... 52 ANNEX 3: LIST OF DOCUMENTS REVIEWED ........................................................................................................... 58 ANNEX 4: EVALUATION MISSION AGENDA ............................................................................................................ 60 ANNEX 5: LIST OF PEOPLE INTERVIEWED .............................................................................................................. 61 ANNEX 6: CO-FINANCING TABLE ............................................................................................................................... 62 ANNEX 7: COMPONENTS OF THE LAKE BALATON MONITORING SYSTEM ................................................... 63 ANNEX 8: LIST OF PROJECTS FUNDED BY THE SMALL GRANT SCHEME ...................................................... 64 ANNEX 9: LIST OF CLIMATE CHANGE RELATED PROJECTS SUBMITTED BY LBDCA ................................ 73 ANNEX 10: RATING TABLES ........................................................................................................................................ 77 Final Evaluation of the UNDP/GEF Project “Lake Balaton Integrated Vulnerability Assessment, Early Warning and Adaptation Strategies” Page i List of Tables Table 1: Summary of Risks at Project End ................................................................................................... 12 Table 2: UNDP/GEF Fund Disbursement Breakdown .................................................................................. 14 Table 3: Co-financing from Project Partners ................................................................................................ 15 Table 4: List of Performance Indicators Used to Monitor the Project ............................................................ 16 Table 5: Achievement of Project Outcomes ................................................................................................. 17 Table 6: Attainment of Project Objective ...................................................................................................... 23 Table 7: Status of Objective/Outcome Delivery as per Measurable Indicators ............................................. 77 Table 8: Project Ratings ............................................................................................................................... 78 Final Evaluation of the UNDP/GEF Project “Lake Balaton Integrated Vulnerability Assessment, Early Warning and Adaptation Strategies” Page ii List of Abbreviations and Acronyms ALM Adaptation Learning Mechanism APF Adaptation Policy Framework APR Annual Progress Report CLIME Climate Impacts on Lake Ecosystems CD Capacity Development DEWA Division of Early Warning and Assessment EEA European Economic Area EIA Environment Impact Assessment EU European Union EURURALIS A Scenario Study on Europe’s Rural Areas GEF Global Environment Facility GDP Gross Domestic Product GEO Global Environment Outlook GIS Geographical Information System GRID Global Resource Information Database GPRS Global Positioning Resource System HUF Hungarian Forint IISD International Institute for Sustainable Development IMS Internet Map Server IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change KEP Development of Regional Sustainable Development Indicators Project (Hungary) LBDC Lake Balaton Development Council LBDCA Lake Balaton Development Coordination Agency LED Light Emitting Diode NCCS National Climate Change Strategy NEX National Execution NGO Non-Governmental Organization PIR Project Implementation Review PRODOC Project Document PMB Project Management Board PSC Project Steering Committee QCS Quarterly Consultant Schedule QPS Quarterly Partner Schedule RBEC Regional Bureau for Eastern and Central Europe RBM Result-Based Management SMART Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, Time-bound SWAT Soil, Water Assessment Tool TOR Terms of Reference TPR Tri-Partite Review UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNEP United Nations Environment Programme USD United States Dollar
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