The Brady-Johnson Program in Grand Strategy Yale University 0Bstudies
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1 Politics Of
POLITICS OF WAR Political Science 343 Portland State University, Spring 2018 David Kinsella Department of Political Science Hatfield School of Government Office: Urban Center Building, room 650L 503.725.3035 | [email protected] Office Hours: Monday & Wednesday 1:00-2:00 Description Issues of war and peace have long been of central importance to world politics. War seems to be an enduring feature of international history and is the subject of constant analysis and commentary. Peace is less frequently analyzed than war, perhaps because its universal value seems to be taken for granted. But how much to we really know about war and peace? The course examines how conflict is manifest in world politics. We take up the subject of violent conflict and its causes: the roots of aggression, weapons proliferation, interstate and civil war, and terrorism. We also consider forces restraining war, including the laws and ethics of war. Throughout the term we will focus on both practical and theoretical issues—historical overviews of specific wars as well as theories and moral arguments pertaining to the recurrence of violence in the international. Learning Objectives The general objective of this course is to develop the student’s capacity to critically examine problems in international conflict and cooperation, consider the range of possible solutions to those problems, and communicate this analysis to others. This is to be accomplished by exposing students to relevant literature from the fields of international politics and foreign policy. By the end of the term, students should be able to: show a familiarity with a wide range of substantive issues in war and peace; interpret historical and contemporary wars and military interventions using appropriate theoretical frameworks; and articulate normative positions on key ethical dilemmas arising from conflict between and within states. -
Good Strategy, Bad Tactics: Limits, Challenges and Opportunities For
LIMITS, CHALLENGES, AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR MODERN COUNTERINSURGENCY by Natasha Schlenoff A thesis submitted to Johns Hopkins University in conformity with the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts in Global Security Studies Baltimore, Maryland August 2015 © 2015 Natasha Schlenoff All Rights Reserved ABSTRACT The overall goal of this thesis is to draw some conclusions about the kinds of strategies and tactics that those engaging in irregular warfare should employ. Given the increasing number of intrastate conflicts and future U.S. involvement in counterinsurgency, it is important for policy makers and strategists to be clear-eyed about viable ways to engage in irregular war. Thus, this paper’s analysis of previous counterinsurgency and stability operations, and estimate of the U.S. military’s institutional capacity to adapt to irregular warfare could serve as a useful guide for future force planning. The first and second chapters of this thesis examine divergent strategies in counterinsurgency and stability operations. Chapter One assesses whether indiscriminate force is strategically effective in national counterinsurgency campaigns. The findings of this chapter indicate that while indiscriminate force may be tactically effective in the near-term, indiscriminate force alone does not produce long-term success. Chapter Two assesses conditions for conflict and stability in Iraq, and why, despite similarly low levels of development and proximity to violence, some areas of Iraq are more stable than others. My research found the examined Shi’a and Kurdish communities in Iraq maintained stability as a result of ethnic homogenization and a capable local security force, rather than COIN and international development efforts. -
Insights from the Second Lebanon War
CHILDREN AND FAMILIES The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that EDUCATION AND THE ARTS helps improve policy and decisionmaking through ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT research and analysis. HEALTH AND HEALTH CARE This electronic document was made available from INFRASTRUCTURE AND www.rand.org as a public service of the RAND TRANSPORTATION Corporation. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS LAW AND BUSINESS NATIONAL SECURITY Skip all front matter: Jump to Page 16 POPULATION AND AGING PUBLIC SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Support RAND Browse Reports & Bookstore TERRORISM AND HOMELAND SECURITY Make a charitable contribution For More Information Visit RAND at www.rand.org Explore the RAND National Defense Research Institute View document details Limited Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law as indicated in a notice appearing later in this work. This electronic representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for non-commercial use only. Unauthorized posting of RAND electronic documents to a non-RAND website is prohibited. RAND electronic documents are protected under copyright law. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of our research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please see RAND Permissions. This product is part of the RAND Corporation monograph series. RAND monographs present major research findings that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors. All RAND mono- graphs undergo rigorous peer review to ensure high standards for research quality and objectivity. All Glory Is Fleeting Insights from the Second Lebanon War Russell W. Glenn Prepared for the United States Joint Forces Command Approved for public release; distribution unlimited NATIONAL DEFENSE RESEARCH INSTITUTE The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Joint Forces Command Joint Urban Operations Office. -
States in Mind Anthony C. Lopez, Rose Mcdermott, and Michael
States in Mind States in Mind Anthony C. Lopez, Rose McDermott, and Evolution, Coalitional Psychology, and Michael Bang International Politics Petersen One of the most com- monly studied puzzles in international politics is the recurrence of coalitional competition and aggression between political groups such as states. Indeed, this pattern constitutes an enduring and central feature of all politics. Yet de- spite the tragic endurance of this leitmotif throughout history, its manifestation varies through time and space. Some wars are fought for honor or revenge, whereas others are ignited for mere opportunism or as a consequence of vari- ous misperceptions, whatever their source. We argue that evolutionary theory provides a theoretical framework that can explain both the stubborn endur- ance and dynamic diversity of coalitional behavior. Debate on the relevance of “human nature” and biological factors for explaining political behavior is not new.1 Yet the comprehensive value of evo- lutionary theory for explaining important aspects of international politics has not been adequately explicated. As we discuss below, this has in part been a consequence of general skepticism about the validity and scope of evolution- ary theory for explaining political behavior. We argue, however, that evolu- tionary psychology can generate falsiªable ex ante predictions that are of central interest to the study of international politics, and we offer several hy- potheses derived from this model to illustrate the depth of this approach. Evo- lutionary psychologists have already generated a large body of work that suggests that the human brain contains webs of psychological mechanisms, or adaptations, each designed to operate in domains relevant to modern politics, and which emerged as a product of natural selection. -
“One China” Policy—Key Statements from Washington, Beijing, and Taipei
China/Taiwan: Evolution of the “One China” Policy—Key Statements from Washington, Beijing, and Taipei Shirley A. Kan Specialist in Asian Security Affairs August 17, 2009 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov RL30341 CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress China/Taiwan: Evolution of the “One China” Policy Summary Despite apparently consistent statements in almost four decades, the U.S. “one China” policy concerning Taiwan remains somewhat ambiguous and subject to different interpretations. Apart from questions about what the “one China” policy entails, issues have arisen about whether U.S. Presidents have stated clear positions and have changed or should change policy, affecting U.S. interests in security and democracy. In Part I, this CRS Report discusses the “one China” policy since the United States began in 1971 to reach presidential understandings with the People’s Republic of China (PRC) government in Beijing. Part II documents the evolution of policy as affected by legislation and articulated in key statements by Washington, Beijing, and Taipei. Taiwan formally calls itself the Republic of China (ROC). This report will be updated. Policy on the “one China” concept covers three major issue areas: sovereignty over Taiwan; PRC use of force or coercion against Taiwan; and cross-strait dialogue. The United States recognized the ROC government in Taipei until the end of 1978 and has maintained an official relationship with Taiwan after recognition of the PRC government in 1979. The United States did not explicitly state the sovereign status of Taiwan in the three U.S.-PRC Joint Communiques of 1972, 1979, and 1982. -
What Causes War?
What Causes War? August 1, 2017 By Kori Schake Kori Schake is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution and teaches "Thinking About War" at Stanford University. Schake is the editor, with James Mattis, of the book Warriors and Citizens: American Views of Our Military. Her history of the Anglo-American hegemonic transition is forthcoming from Harvard University Press. This article is reprised from a lecture given at the Foreign Policy Research Institute’s History Institute for Teachers, March 2017, at the First Division Museum, Wheaton, IL, on “Why Does America Go to War?” She is grateful to Sean O’Grady, her terrific research assistant and Stanford University classics major, for thinking about this with her. Abstract: What causes war? Thucydides thinks fear, honor, and interest—those fundamental human motivations that persuade us beyond caution—cause wars. Clausewitz tries to leach those passions out of the process and distill a calculus of political aims as the cause of war. Geoffrey Blainey has a simpler discriminator: states choose war when they think they will win. Barbara Tuchman has the simplest explanation of all: human folly. Azar Gat believes scarcity drives warfare, and, therefore, prosperity is making it obsolete. The author analyzes the contributions of these five writers in addressing this perennial question about war. ar is the scourge of civilization. It destroys prosperity and kills an enormous number of people—combatants and civilians both are swept W into its maw. And yet, war is a constant across all human societies and eras; it is at least as prevalent as peace. It up-ends existing order, often serving the purpose in international relations that earthquakes perform in the natural world, releasing pressure and redistributing territory. -
The Strategic Assessment Model (STRATAM): Studying and Preventing Strategic Failure
Publications 2014 The Strategic Assessment Model (STRATAM): Studying and Preventing Strategic Failure Hans-Joachim Klaus Ruff-Stahl Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://commons.erau.edu/publication Part of the Military History Commons Scholarly Commons Citation Ruff-Stahl, H. K. (2014). The Strategic Assessment Model (STRATAM): Studying and Preventing Strategic Failure. Journal of Military Studies, 5(2). https://doi.org/10.1515/jms-2016-0192 Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal. This Article is brought to you for free and open access by Scholarly Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Publications by an authorized administrator of Scholarly Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. 1 Hans-Joachim Klaus Ruff-Stahl, LtCol in the Political Directorate at the German Ministry of Defence and Asst. Professor at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University THE STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT MODEL (STRATAM) STUDYING AND PREVENTING STRATEGIC FAILURE Keywords Operational art, strategy, organizational failure Abstract The purpose of this study is to introduce the Strategic Assessment Model (STRATAM), a model designed to assist in the prevention of strategic failure. STRATAM aids firstly in the assessment of a strategy, as well as its crafting and evolution; secondly, it aims to enable and possibly streamline civil-military strategic debates on military operations. It is argued that strategic blunders in many cases result from latent organizational failures on one’s own side. -
On the Commander-In-Chief Power
Georgetown University Law Center Scholarship @ GEORGETOWN LAW 2008 On the Commander-In-Chief Power David Luban Georgetown University Law Center, [email protected] Georgetown Public Law and Legal Theory Research Paper No. 1026302 This paper can be downloaded free of charge from: https://scholarship.law.georgetown.edu/facpub/598 http://ssrn.com/abstract=1026302 81 S. Cal. L. Rev. 477-571 (2008) This open-access article is brought to you by the Georgetown Law Library. Posted with permission of the author. Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarship.law.georgetown.edu/facpub Part of the Constitutional Law Commons ON THE COMMANDER IN CHIEF POWER ∗ DAVID LUBAN BRADBURY: Obviously, the Hamdan decision, Senator, does implicitly recognize that we’re in a war, that the President’s war powers were triggered by the attacks on the country, and that [the] law of war paradigm applies. That’s what the whole case was about. LEAHY: Was the President right or was he wrong? BRADBURY: It’s under the law of war that we . LEAHY: Was the President right or was he wrong? BRADBURY: . hold the President is always right, Senator. —exchange between a U.S. Senator and a Justice Department 1 lawyer ∗ University Professor and Professor of Law and Philosophy, Georgetown University. I owe thanks to John Partridge and Sebastian Kaplan-Sears for excellent research assistance; to Greg Reichberg, Bill Mengel, and Tim Sellers for clarifying several points of American, Roman, and military history; to Marty Lederman for innumerable helpful and critical conversations; and to Vicki Jackson, Paul Kahn, Larry Solum, and Amy Sepinwall for helpful comments on an earlier draft. -
Charles Hill Papers
http://oac.cdlib.org/findaid/ark:/13030/kt809nd82d Online items available Register of the Charles Hill papers Finding aid prepared by Grace Hawes Hoover Institution Library and Archives © 2007 434 Galvez Mall Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305-6003 [email protected] URL: http://www.hoover.org/library-and-archives Register of the Charles Hill 89004 1 papers Title: Charles Hill papers Date (inclusive): 1898-2006 Collection Number: 89004 Contributing Institution: Hoover Institution Library and Archives Language of Material: English Physical Description: 157 manuscript boxes, 6 oversize boxes, 9 card file boxes, 1 cubic foot box, 2 envelopes(70.9 Linear Feet) Abstract: Collection includes correspondence, speeches and writings, dispatches, memoranda, reports, notes, printed matter, memorabilia, and photographs, relating to international relations and diplomacy, American foreign policy during the presidential administration of Ronald Reagan, and the Chinese Cultural Revolution. Also contains speeches and writings of Secretary of State George Shultz. Digital copies of select records also available at https://digitalcollections.hoover.org. Creator: Shultz, George Pratt, 1920- Creator: Hill, Charles, 1936- Hoover Institution Library & Archives Access "Boxes 39-51 closed. The remainder of the collection is open for research; materials must be requested at least two business days in advance of intended use." Publication Rights For copyright status, please contact the Hoover Institution Library & Archives Acquisition Information Materials were acquired by the Hoover Institution Library & Archives between 1989 and 2011. Preferred Citation [Identification of item], Charles Hill papers, [Box no., Folder no. or title], Hoover Institution Library & Archives Alternate Forms Available Digital copies of select records also available at https://digitalcollections.hoover.org. -
1 the Association for Diplomatic Studies and Training Foreign Affairs Oral History Project STEPHANIE SMITH KINNEY Interviewed By
The Association for Diplomatic Studies and Training Foreign Affairs Oral History Project STEPHANIE SMITH KINNEY Interviewed by: Charles Stuart Kennedy Initial Interview Date: March 25, 2010 Copyri ht 2012 ADST TABLE OF CONTENTS Background Born in Florida rowing up in Florida Race relations Vassar College% University of Madrid, Spain Harvard raduate School of Education (H SE, Teacher and lecturer Charles Merrill Marriage Southern racial integration Foreign Service -.ives Seminar/ Me0ico City, Me0ico1 Spouse of Foreign Service Officer% Teacher, 123251235 American school (Colegio Americano, Student body Threats and kidnappings Terry 8eonhardy President 8uis Echeverria Anti5Americanism Husband9s Consular duties Violence Partido Revolutionario Institutionalizado (PRI, Kissinger .ashington, D.C.% Spouse of Foreign Service Officer 123551236 Discomfort as Foreign Service wife Family 8iaison Office (F8O, Pregnancy Common Cause Dorothy Stansbury Seeking changes for Foreign Service .ives Hope Myers 8eslie Dorman 1 Association of American Foreign Service .ives (AAFS., Report re concerns of FS Spouses and Families (1236, David and Jean Newsom Birth of daughter Entered the Foreign Service 1236 State Department1 Bureau of Cultural Affairs (CU,% Fulbright Officer 1236 State Department1 Office of the Director eneral% Policy Coordination Team 12365 1232 Family 8iaison Office (F8O, Carol 8aise Purpose and function .omen9s Action Organization (.AO, Allison Palmer John and Cynthia Thomas Jane Dubs Declaration on Spouses (1231, AAFS. and Capitol Hill Jean -
Israeli Intellectual and Modern Focus 43
Israeli Intellectual and Modern Focus 43 Chapter 2 Israeli Intellectual and Modern Focus In this chapter it is argued, first, that throughout the years the IDF has suffered from lack of intellectualism, which has sometimes had a detrimental effect on its performance. From the 1990s to 2006 the IDF emulated an RMA-inspired American doctrine, which has come at the expense of its originality and inno- vation, and Israeli military thinking has been affected by false intellectualism and intellectual pretense. These negative trends, however, have been balanced, at least to some extent, by a number of positive aspects, such as vibrant mili- tary thinking during Israel’s formative years; the relative popularity of military history; the existence of great debates on operational and buildup issues; intel- lectual efforts to understand attrition; and a more critical attitude toward American thought after 2006. Second, it is argued that as far as the modern focus of Israeli military thought is concerned, the IDF has been late to adapt to LIC challenges; it has had a strong tactical orientation, although since the 1980s/early 1990s it has eventu- ally recognized the importance of the operational and the grand-strategic levels; it has developed a cult of technology; its traditional force multipliers have been eroded; and logistics has been ascribed a different logic. Finally, moral and legal considerations have become an integral part of Israeli military thought, something that has been typical of the Western world in general. Intellectual Weakness Symptoms of Poor Intellectualism in the Military After having attributed Israeli commanders’ successes during the War of Independence to their intellectual skills, among other factors,1 Prime Minister and Defense Minister David Ben-Gurion expressed his concern in the 1950s about the lack of “intellectual openness” among IDF commanders.2 And indeed, symptoms of anti-intellectualism in the IDF could be detected through- out the years. -
Middle East Security Issues in the Shadow of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation
Middle East Security Issues In the Shadow of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation Editor BARRY R. SCHNEIDER Air University Press Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama December 1999 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Middle East security issues: in the shadow of weapons of mass destruction prolifera- tion/Barry R. Schneider, editor. p. c.m ISBN 1-58566-077-0 1. Middle East—Strategic aspects. 2. Weapons of mass destruction—Middle East. 3. National security—Middle East. 4. United States—Military policy. I. Schneider, Barry R. UA832.M5225 1999 355’.033056—dc21 99-0588978 Disclaimer Opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or implied within are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of Air University, the United States Air Force, the Department of Defense, or any other US government agency. Cleared for public release: distribution unlimited. ii Contents Chapter Page DISCLAIMER . ii PREFACE . v 1 NBC and Missile Proliferation Issues in the Middle East . 1 Lawrence Scheinman 2 Recent Military Developments in the Persian Gulf . 27 Anthony H. Cordesman 3 Arab Perspectives on Middle Eastern Security . 61 Ibrahim A. Karawan 4 Regional Security and Arms Control in the Middle East: The Nuclear Dimension . 77 Avner Cohen 5 The Egyptian-Israeli Confrontation over the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty . 109 W. Andrew Terrill CONTRIBUTORS . 135 iii THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK Preface The Middle East is an international flashpoint, a place where open warfare could erupt at any time. It is the home of numerous countries possessing some combination of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) (nuclear, biological, or chemical weapons), and is an area where states are developing an increasing capability to deliver such WMD by missiles and/or aircraft.