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The Economic and Social Research Institute ATTITUDES IN THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND RELEVANT TO THE NORTHERN IRELAND PROBLEM’ VOL. I Descriptive Analysis and Some Comparisons with Attitudes in Northern Ireland and Great Britain E. E. DAVIS and R. SINNOTT Paper N o. 97 September, 1979 THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE COUNCIL a978-1979 ~:T. K. WHITAKER, M.SC. (E~ON.), D.ECON.SC., LL.D., President of the Institute. *J. F. MEENAN, M.A., B.L., Chairman of the Council. R.D.C. BLACK, PH.D., Professor, Department of Economics, The Queen’s University, Belfast. F. B. CHUB B, M.A., D. PH I L., Professor, Department of Political Science, Trinity College, Dublin. SEAN CROMIEN, B.A., Second Secretary, Department of Finance. G. DEAN, M.D., F.R.C.P., Director, Medico-Social Research Board. N.J. GIBSON, B.SC. (ECON.), PH.D., Professor, Department of Economics, The New University oAr Ulstel; Coleraine. PATRICK A. HALL, B.E., M.S., DIP.STAT., Director of Research, Institute of Public Administration. *W. A. HONOHAN, M.A., F.I.A. TIIE MOST REV..]AMES KAVANAGH, M.A., S.T.L., Bishop of Zerta. :’~KIERAN A. KENNEDY, M.ECON.SC., B.PHIL., PH.D., Director of the hzstilute. IVOR KENNY, M.A., Director General, Irish Management Institute. MICHAEL J. KILLEEN, B.A. (MOD.), B.COMM., D.P.A., Managing Director, Industrial Development Authority. T. P. LINEHAN, B.E., B.SC., Director, Central Statistics Office. ’~P. LYNCH, M.A., M.R.I.A., Professor of Political Economy, University College, Dublin. CHARLES MCCARTHY, B.L., Chairman, Human Sciences Committee. ’:’EUGENE MCCARTHY, M.SC.(ECON.), D.ECON.SC., Federated Union of Enlployers. *M. D. MCCARTHY, M.A., PH.D., D.SC. JOHN J. MCKAY, B.SC., B.COMM., M.ECON.SC., D.P.A., Acting C.E.O. City of Dublin Vocational Education Committee. "C. H. MURRAY, LL.D., Governor, CentralBank. J. C. NAGLE, M.COMM. D. NEVIN, Assistant General Secretaly, h’ish Congress of Trade Unions. THE MOST REV. J. NEWMAN, M.A., D.PH., Bishop of Limerick. TADHG O CEARBHAILL, Secretary, Department of Labour. REV. E. F. O’DOHERTY, M.A., B.D., PH.D., Professor, Department of Logic and Psychology, University College, Dublin. D. I~. O’MAH O NY, M.A., PH.D., B.L., Professor, Department of Economics, University College, Cork. LABHRAS O NUALLAIN, D.ECON.SC., Professor of Economics, University College, Galway. *W. J. L. RYAN, M.A., PH.D., Professor of Political Economy, Trinity College, Dublin. REV. L. RYAN, M.A., D.D., L.PH., Professor, St. Patrick’s College, Maynooth. T. WALSH, D.SC., Director, An Foras Tal6ntais. *REV: C. K. WARD, B.A., S.T.L., PH.D., Professor, Department of Social Science, Univer.qty College, Dublin. ’:’NOEL WHELAN, B.COMM., M.ECON.SC., PH.D., Secretary, Department of Economic Planning and Development. *Members o1" Executive Committee ATTITUDES IN THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND RELEVANT TO THE NORTHERN IRELAND PROBLEM" VOL. I Descriptive Analysis and Some Comparisons with Attitudes in Northern Ireland and Great Britain Copies of this paper may be obta!ned from The Economic and Social Research Institute (Limited Company No. z8269). Registered Office." 4, Burlington Road, Dublin 4. Price £5.00° (Special rate for students £2.5 o) E. E. Davis is a Research Professor and Head of the Department of Social Psychology and Sociology at tile Economic and Social Research Institute. Richard Sinnott was formerly a Research Fellow at the Economic and Social Research Institute and is presently an Assistant Lecturer in the Department of Politics at University College, Dublin. The paper has been accepted for publication by the Institute which is not responsible for either the content or the views expressed therein. ATTITUDES IN THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND RELEVANT TO THE NORTHERN IRELAND PROBLEM" Vol. i. Descriptive Analysis and Some Comparisons with Attitudes in Northern Ireland and Great Britain E. E. DAVIS and R. SINNOTT © THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE DUBLIN, 1979 ISBN o 707° oo~6 ACKNO WLED GEMENTS Tile first phase of this research was greatly f~tcilitated by a grant from the Committee for Social Science research in Ireland (formerly the Committee for tile Administration of the Ford Foundation Grant for Social Science Research in Ireland). A major proportion of the entire costs, including field work and support for the first author, has been borne by The Economic and Social Research Institute. We would also like to acknowledge the assistance of the staff and the.use of the facilities of the Computer Centre,University College, Dublin. We acknowledge with gratitude these sources of funding and support. The views expressed in this paper, however, reflect those of the authors and not necessarily those of either the above named Committee or The Economic and Social Research Institute. We would particularly like to record our indebtedness to E. P. Moxon- Browne of Queen’s University Belfast for his contributions made in the course of the preparation of comparable questions for the Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland surveys and for permission to use the material contained in his 1979 mimeographed report. Tile authors were assisted in the conduct of Pilot Interviews in various parts of the country by Noel Sheehy, Agnes Breathnach and Teresa Brannick. Their participation in this phase of the study and other inputs which they made to the development of the pretest instrument were very valuable and we would like to record our thanks to them here. Geraldine Moane has provided invaluable assistance of both a technical and conceptual nature throughout all phases of tile main study, including analysis and interpretation of the data and the preparation of the present manuscript. We should also like to express our thanks to Dr. M. Fine-Davis for her very valuable comments on an earlier draft of tile manuscript and other assistance in preparing the paper in its present form. Valuable comments on an earlier draft of the manuscript wei~e also made by Brendan R. Dowling, Professor Robert O’Connor and BrendanJ. Whelan of the Economic and Social Research Institute, Dr: John Whyte, Professor John Blacking, Brian Farrell, John Bowman, Peter Feeney, and Dr. Patrick Honohan as well as by a number of other colleagues and persons knowledgeable about the subject matter of this study..We are grateful to all of these for their contributions while absolving them of any responsibility for .remaining imperfections. We are also grateful to Irish Marketing Surveys Ltd., Social Surveys (Gallup Poll) Ltd., Radio Telefis Eireann and the British Broadcasting Corporation for permission to use data collected by them or on their behalf. We should like to express our great appreciation to Mary O’ Malley fbr the dedicated and efficient manner in which she has prepared vast quantities of materials throughout all phases of the project, including the present manuscript. We are extremely indebted to all of the staff of the Survey Unit of The Economic and Social Research Institute for sampling, field work and preparation of the data. We wish particularly to express appreciation to Brendan J. Whelan, Head, and E. M. Colbert-Stanley, Operations Manager of the Suwey Unit. We are also very grateful to Bernadette Payne and Mary McElhone for their expert editorial assistance in preparing this manuscript in its final form. Finally, we should like to express our very sincere thanks to Professor Kieran A. Kennedy, Director of The Economic and Social Research Institute, |br his unwavering support throughout all phases of this project. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page General Summary by Geraldine Moane 16 INTRODUCTION a8 A. Background 18 B. The O.uestion’of Relevance 19 Relevance of Research on Attitudes in the Republic to Policy Making in the Republic 2. Relevance of Research on Attitudes in the Republic to the Overall Search for a Solution to the Northern Ireland Problem C° Scope of this Report II. METHOD A. Preparatory Work: Literature Review and Pilot Interviews B. Structured Pretest C. Main Study Questionnaire Format and Techniques Samples (a) Nationwide Representative Sample (b) "Extra Border" Sample (c) "Extra Protestant" Sample 3. Data Collection III. RESULTS: PART I--SOLUTIONS AND POLICIES A. Choice of Solutions in the Republic of Ireland 1. Outline of Solutions First Choice Solution 3. Comparison of First and Second Choice Solutions 4. Choice of Solution by Selected Demographic Variables 5. Time Perspective and Perceived Difficulty of United h’eland Solution 5o B. Comparison of Choices of Solutions in the Republic of Ireland, Northern Ireland and Great Britain 53 :. Comparisons with Northern Ireland 53 ~. Comparisons with Great Britain 60 C. Policy Preferences in the Republic of Ireland 63 Articulation of the Goal of Reunification by the Irish Government 63 Constitutional Change in the RepublicofIreland 64 3. British Withdrawal: Policy Preference and Expected Consequences 7° 4. Security Policy 77 (a) General Security Policy 77 (b) Judicialand Penal Policy 80 (c) Political Policy 81 D. Comparison of Policy Preferences in the Republic of Ireland, Northern Ireland and Great Britain 83 1. Comparison of Preferences Regarding Constitutional Change in the Republic of Ireland 83 ~. Comparison of Preferences and Expectations Regarding British withdrawal 85 3. Comparison of Preferences and Perceptions Regarding Irish Government Security Policy 89 IV. RESULTS: PART II--ATFITUDES AND THEIR RELATIONSHIPS TO SOLUTIONS AND POLICIES 94 A° Attitudes Relevant to Northern Ireland 94 B. Relationships between Attitudes and Social and Demographic Characteristics 1 o :. Sex :o~ ~. Rural/UrbanBackground xo3 3. Age :o4 4. Occupational Status :o6 5. Education 107 6. Religion lo9 7. Border/Non-Border Residence 110 C° Attitudes and Degree and Type of Political Attention and involvement 114 Degree of PoliticalAttention and Involvement 115 Newspaper Readership 117 3. Party Affiliation 1’21 D° Relationship between Attitudes and Choice of Solution and Policy Preferences 1.