Lotte Confectionery (004990 KS)
February 28, 2011 Korea-Equity Research Lotte Confectionery (004990 KS) Food & Beverage Woon-mok Baek +822-768-4158 wm.baek@dwsec.com Amy Lee +822-768-3066 amy.lee@dwsec.com Chinese business to take off in 2011 Buy (Maintain) Bloomberg: 004990 KS Target Price (12M, W): 1,850,000 Raise TP to W1,850,000; Maintain Buy rating Share Price (02/25/11, W): 1,370,000 Despite stable domestic operations, Lotte Confectionery’s share price has moved in line Expected Return (%): 35.0 with the KOSPI due to the sluggish performance of its overseas operations (especially Sector: Food Products in China). However, things will likely change, as the company’s Chinese subsidiary is Sector Rating: Neutral expected to show sales growth and swing to positive in 2011 following the completion of EPS Growth (11F, %): 13.2 restructuring. In light of this bright outlook for its Chinese operations, we maintain our Buy rating. Furthermore, we raise our target price to W1,850,000 (from W1,700,000) Market EPS Growth (11F, %): 24.2 because we revised up our 2011 earnings forecasts for the company. P/E (X): 12.7 Market P/E (02/25/11F, x): 9.6 Chinese operations to get back on track in 2011 Market Cap (Wbn): 1,947 Shares Outstanding (mn): 1 Until the end of 2010, Lotte Confectionery invested W500bn in its overseas business, but to no avail. The company’s overseas business only showed stagnant sales and Avg Trading Volume (60D, '000): 1 suffered an operating loss. Avg Trading Value (60D, Wbn): 2 Margin Balance ('000 sh): 0 However, the company’s sales in China are likely to turn upward in 2011, driven by: 1) the liquidation of its non-performing bonds and ailing customers in 2010, 2) localization, Dividend Yield (11F, %): .3 3) the expansion of direct operations, and 4) product portfolio diversification.
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