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The Impact of Oil Exports on Economic Growth – the Case of Libya
Czech University of Life Sciences Prague Faculty of Economics and Management Department of Economics The Impact of oil Exports on Economic Growth – The Case of Libya Doctoral Thesis Author: Mousbah Ahmouda Supervisor: Doc. Ing. Luboš Smutka, Ph.D. 2014 Abstract The purpose of this thesis is to evaluate and measure the relationship between oil exports and economic growth in Libya by using advancement model and utilize Koyck disseminated lag regression technique (Koyck, 1954; Zvi, 1967) to check the relationship between the oil export of Libya and Libyan GDP using annual data over the period of 1980 to 2013. The research focuses on the impacts of oil exports on the economic growth of Libya. Being a developing country, Libya’s GDP is mainly financed by oil rents and export of hydrocarbons. In addition, the research are applied to test the hypothesis of economic growth strategy led by exports. The research is based on the following hypotheses for testing the causality and co- integration between GDP and oil export in Libya as to whether there is bi-directional causality between GDP growth and export, or whether there is unidirectional causality between the two variables or whether there is no causality between GDP and oil export in Libya. Importantly, this research aims at studying the impact of oil export on the economy. Therefore, the relationship of oil export and economic growth for Libya is a major point. Also the research tried to find out the extent and importance of oil exports on the trade, investment, financing of the budget and the government expenditure. -
Th« JW.HALC COM I N British Take Tripoli As Axis Rear Guard
CTilW tiiii iTinn V f RIDAT, JANtTABT tS. liM# jSatirtofltifr See That the **Mile of Dimes** Gets Good Start Today employees of the Pioneer Para cal Red CroM Is working with the ' chute Company have signed w Hartford Service to try to get the Manchester Blood Donors give blood, and Manchester CTap- new mobile unit hers to take care Pitkin Hurt of these workers right at the fac The Weather ter of the Red Cross is certainly HALE'S SELF SERVE ATcragfl Doily Circalation Date Book grateful tor this fine expression of tory. They will not be able to take For tha Meath e< OeeamhOT. 16U Fniwcaat of D. 8. Weather Bnieaa Still Needed patriotism, as the government hM care of any others on that day. The Original In New England! In Accident therefore it is hoped people who <fte Mm n U f eannlttM t t th« ToU ght Just asked for 2,000,000 more pints - ehib wfll Bi«*t to- o f blood for the armed forces. can go to Hartford will make ap 7 ,8 5 8 end tonight; Zoning Board of Appeals, Muni pointments for January 27. CMl a t aUfiA o^doek at the bom« Manchester Day in Hart Due to the fact that many of the Moftbar a t the Aadlt Road Foreman's Arm cipal building at 8. i Red Cross headquartera *pboae Now, As Never Before, It Pays ^naflk* IW Waat Oan* Tomorrow workers at the Pioneer would be ford Next Wednesday!^ unable to get to Hartford, the lo 6637. Don’t delay! Barma at OhrnahrtlDfta And Hand Is Caught Opening Mile of Dimes cam- Manchester-^A City of VUlage Charm p a l^ . -
Africa 1952-1953
SUMMARY OF RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS IN AFRICA 1952-53 Supplement to World Economic Report UNITED NATIONS UMMARY OF C T ECONOMIC EVE OPME TS IN AF ICA 1952-53 Supplement World Economic Report UNITED NATIONS DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC AFFAIRS New York, 1954 E/2582 ST/ECA/26 May 1954 UNITED NATIONS PUBLICATION Sal es No.: 1951\..11. C. 3 Price: $U.S. $0.80; 6/- stg.; Sw.fr. 3.00 (or equivalent in other currencies) FOREWDRD This report is issued as a supplement to the World Economic Report, 1952-53, and has been prepared in response to resolution 367 B (XIII) of the Economic and Social Council. It presents a brief analysis of economic trends in Africa, not including Egypt but including the outlying islands in the Indian and Atlantic Oceans, on the basis of currently available statistics of trade, production and development plans covering mainly the year 1952 and the first half of 1953, Thus it carries forward the periodic surveys presented in previous years in accordance with resolution 266 (X) and 367 B (XIII), the most recent being lIRecent trends in trade, production and economic development plansll appearing as part II of lIAspects of Economic Development in Africall issued in April 1953 as a supplement to the World Economic Report, 1951-52, The present report, like the previous ones, was prepared in the Division of Economic Stability and Development of the United Nations Department of Economic Affairs. EXPLANATION OF SYMBOLS The following symbols have been used in the tables throughout the report: Three dots ( ... ) indicate that data -
LONCHENA-THESIS-2020.Pdf
FAILED STATES: DEFINING WHAT A FAILED STATES IS AND WHY NOT ALL FAILED STATES AFFECT UNITED STATES NATIONAL SECURITY by Timothy Andrew Lonchena A thesis submitted to Johns Hopkins University in conformity of the requirements for the degree of Masters of Global Security Studies Baltimore, Maryland May 2020 2020 Timothy Lonchena All rights reserved Abstract: Failed States have been discussed for over the past twenty years since the terrorist attacks of the United States on September 11th, 2001. The American public became even more familiar with the term “failed states” during the Arab Spring movement when several countries in the Middle East and North Africa underwent regime changes. The result of these regime changes was a more violent group of terrorists, such as the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL). This thesis will address how to define failed states to ensure there is an understood baseline when looking to determine if a state could possibly fail. Further, this thesis will examine the on-going debate addressing the question of those who claim failed states can’t be predicted and determine if analytic modeling can be applied to the identification of failed states. The thesis also examines the need to identify “failed states” before they fail and will also discuss the effects certain failed states have directly on United States national security. Given this, the last portion of this paper and argument to be addressed will determine if there are certain failing states that the United States will not provide assistance to, as it is not in the best interest of our national security and that of our allies. -
Libya the Politics of Power, Protection, Identity and Illicit Trade
United Nations University Centre for Policy Research Crime-Conflict Nexus Series: No 3 May 2017 Libya The Politics of Power, Protection, Identity and Illicit Trade Tuesday Reitano Deputy Director, Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime Mark Shaw Director, Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime This material has been funded by UK aid from the UK government; however the views expressed do not necessarily reflect the UK government’s official policies. © 2017 United Nations University. All Rights Reserved. ISBN 978-92-808-9044-0 Libya The Politics of Power, Protection, Identity and Illicit Trade 2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Post-Revolution Libya has fractured into a volatile plethora of political ecosystems and protection economies, in which access to resources has become critical to survival. The struggle for control over illicit flows has shaped Libya’s civil conflict and remains a decisive centrifugal force, actively preventing central state consolidation. Illicit flows exposed the deep fissures within Libyan society, divisions that the Gaddafi regime had controlled through a combination of force and the manipulation of economic interests in both the legitimate and illicit economy. The impact of illicit flows, however, has been different in different parts of the country: in a perverse resource triangle, coastal groups, while linked to the illicit economy (particularly through the control of ports and airports), have been paid by the state, while also relying on external financial support in a proxy war between competing interests centered in the Gulf. In the southern borderlands of the country, by contrast, control of trafficking, and the capture of the country’s oil resources, have been key drivers in strengthening conflict protagonists. -
Crisis Committee
CRISIS COMMITTEE Lyon Model United Nations 2018 Study Guide Libyan Civil War !1 LyonMUN 2018 – Libyan Civil War Director: Thomas Ron Deputy Director: Malte Westphal Chairs: Laurence Turner and Carine Karaki Backroom: Ben Bolton, Camille Saikali, Margaux Da Silva, and Antoine Gaudim !2 Director’s Welcome Dear Delegates, On behalf of the whole team I would like to welcome you to LyonMUN 2018 and this simulation of the Libyan Civil War. It is strange to feel that such an important topic that we all remember happening is already over 7 years old. Therefore, we felt it would be a good time to simulate it and think about the ways it could have gone. As delegates you will each be given characters to play in this crisis. These were real people who made a difference within the actual Civil War and have their own objectives and goals. You are tasked with advancing the goals of your character and making sure that they end up doing well out of this crisis. Every action will have consequences, everything you do will have ramifications, and mistakes can be deadly. Your chairs will be there to help but they will also be representing characters and have their own interests, meaning they may not be fully trustworthy. Behind the scenes you will have a backroom which will interpret your directives and move the plot forward. We will be there to read what you say and put it into action. However, a word to the wise, the way your wish may be interpreted may not be ideal. -
2.1 Libya Port Assessment Port Assessment Overview
2.1 Libya Port Assessment Port Assessment Overview There are four main commercial seaports in western Libya: the port of Tripoli, the port of Al Khoms, the port of Misratah and the port of Zwarah. In eastern Libya there are two main seaports: Benghazi and Tobruk. The Port of Tripoli is the principal port in Tripoli, the capital of Libya, and one of the oldest ports in the Mediterranean. It is managed and operated by the "Libyan Ports Company", and handles different types of products including containerized and bulk cargoes, livestock, chemical and oils, etc. The port is protected by two breakwaters of 2000 and 700 meters, and the harbour covers about 500 hectares, and can accommodate vessels up to 190 meters long with maximum draft of 10.5 meters. The port’s maximum annual capacity is about 4 M Tons. Al Khoms Port is a small port for bulk carriers, general containers, livestock, car carriers, and oil and chemical items. It has an entrance channel of 16 meters depth, and an anchorage with a depth of 10.5 to 11.5 meters. The port itself consists of nine medium sized berths (numbers 12 to 19) with lengths ranging from 75 to 530 meters, and maximum drafts ranging from 10.5 to 11.5 meters depending on the berth. The port is well organized, functioning, and had no security breaches reported in 2018. Misratah Port is connected directly to the main motorway by a heavy transportation road (that does not cross the city centre). The port is under development and has a target to add more berths with total lengths of 2,250m, and drafts of 13m, in order to receive 4 million containers per year. -
The Libyan Maze
THE LIBYAN MAZE THE PATH TO ELECTIONS AND THE FUTURE OF THE RECONCILIATION PROCESS Edited by Lorenzo Marinone 1 Libya at crossroads: between elections and instability by Lorenzo Marinone (Ce.S.I)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..3 Will the December elections succeed in bringing together a divided country like Libya? By Rhiannon Smith (Libya-Analysis)…………………………………………………………12 Why Europe struggles to develop a concerted approach to Libya? By Lisa Watanabe (Center for Security Studies, ETH)……………………………………………………….14 Can economy be the key to revive the Libyan reconciliation process? By Tim Eaton (Chatham House)……………………………………………………………………………………… .16 What’s the impact of smuggling networks on local communities in Libya? By Max Gallien (London School of Economics and Political Science)....……………………..18 Divided we stand – the position of the Tebu vis-à-vis potential elections in Libya By Floor El Kamouni-Janssen, Fransje Molenaar, Al-Hamzeh Al-Shadeedi (Clingendael)…………………………………………………………………………………………..……………20 How will the Salafi-jihadi threat in Libya evolve? By Simon Engelkes (Konrad Adenauer Stiftung)……………………………………………………………………………………………..23 Biographies………………………………………………………………………………………………………..25 2 Libya at crossroads: between elections and instability By Lorenzo Marinone (Ce.S.I.) Since August 26, Tripoli has witnessed violent clashes between rival militias until UN brokered a fragile ceasefire on September 4. The dynamics and root causes of these clashes effectively sum up the main vulnerabilities of the Libyan reconciliation process. In -
Key Actors, Dynamics and Issues of Libyan Political Economy
www.gsdrc.org [email protected] Helpdesk Research Report Key actors, dynamics and issues of Libyan political economy Emilie Combaz 27.04.2014 Question Identify the key actors, power dynamics and issues of Libyan political economy after the Qadhafi regime. Contents 1. Overview 2. Significant actors 3. Major dynamics and issues 4. References 1. Overview With the 2011 uprisings and the fall of the Qadhafi regime, Libya has experienced significant social and economic changes, with a shift from a centralised and personalised rule to a multitude of actors, both armed and non-armed. Identifying the major actors, dynamics and issues of the new Libyan political economy remains fraught with difficulty and uncertainty1. Who are the key players? What are they contesting? What is driving the contestation? The scene of actors in Libya since 2011 is highly fragmented, localised and fluid, with connections and overlap between localities, regions, tribes, ethnicity, interests and ideology. Overall, the main division seems to have been between forces that support continued changes (‘pro-revolution’) and others that do not (‘anti-revolution’), although this may be changing. Key actors have been as follows. 1 The characterisation of events taking place in Libya since 2011 remains debated. In this report, ‘uprisings’ refers to the civilian and armed mobilisation in 2011 that protested and put an end to the Qadhafi regime. The changes produced by the uprisings and the developments since are described as ‘the revolution’. Community actors: - Geographic communities. Beyond general differences between the three main regions (Cyrenaica, Tripolitana, Fezzan), local communities have been the fundamental actors since 2011. -
PREDATORY ECONOMIES in EASTERN LIBYA the Dominant Role of the Libyan National Army
PREDATORY ECONOMIES IN EASTERN LIBYA The dominant role of the Libyan National Army A REPORT BY NORIA RESEARCH JUNE 2019 Predatory economies in eastern Libya The dominant role of the Libyan National Army Report by Noria Research JUNE 2019 Cover photo: Al-Sharara oilfield, Libya; Javier Blas/Wikimedia Commons © 2019 Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the Global Initiative. Please direct inquiries to: The Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime WMO Building, 2nd Floor 7bis, Avenue de la Paix CH-1211 Geneva 1 Switzerland www.GlobalInitiative.net Contents Executive summary ............................................................................................................................ 1 Methodology ...................................................................................................................................... 2 A brief introduction to the LNA ................................................................................................... 3 The LNA’s use of force: Racketeering, extortion and misappropriation of public funds ...................................................................................................................................... 4 Urban warfare and militia-like behaviour in Benghazi, 2014 to 2017 ..................................... 4 Misappropriation of state funds and access to cash .................................................................. -
STRATEGIC TRENDS 2019 Key Developments in Global Affairs
Center for Security Studies STRATEGIC TRENDS 2019 Key Developments in Global Affairs Editors: Jack Thompson, Oliver Thränert Series Editor: Andreas Wenger Authors: Michael Haas, Jeronim Perović, Jack Thompson, Lisa Watanabe CSS ETH Zurich STRATEGIC TRENDS 2019 is also electronically available at: www.css.ethz.ch/publications/strategic-trends Editors STRATEGIC TRENDS 2019: Jack Thompson, Oliver Thränert Series Editor STRATEGIC TRENDS: Andreas Wenger Contact: Center for Security Studies ETH Zurich Haldeneggsteig 4, IFW CH-8092 Zurich Switzerland This publication covers events up to 1 March 2019. © 2019, Center for Security Studies, ETH Zurich Images © by Reuters ISSN 1664-0667 ISBN 978-3-905696-66-0 CHAPTER 4 Russia’s Renaissance in the Arab World Lisa Watanabe In order to secure its status as a major external powerbroker in the region, Russia is reviving Soviet-era ties with a number of countries in the Middle East and North Africa, as well as forging new ones. Moscow lacks a clear strategy – its approach is pragmatic, engaging a variety of regimes and employing a range of policy instruments. Yet it lacks the economic clout and desire to take on great power responsibilities in the region. Russia is likely to boost its regional profile through economic and military cooperation, as well as through diplomacy, capitalizing on the West’s absence or missteps. Russian President Vladimir Putin welcomes Syrian President Bashar al-Assad during their meet- ing in Sochi, May 17, 2018. Mikhail Klimentyev / Sputnik via Reuters 65 STRATEGIC TRENDS 2019 Russia is returning to the Middle Not surprisingly, much attention to- East and North Africa (MENA). -
Cyrenaica Author(S): JW Gregory Source
Cyrenaica Author(s): J. W. Gregory Source: The Geographical Journal, Vol. 47, No. 5 (May, 1916), pp. 321-342 Published by: geographicalj Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1779632 Accessed: 08-05-2016 02:29 UTC REFERENCES Linked references are available on JSTOR for this article: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1779632?seq=1&cid=pdf-reference#references_tab_contents You may need to log in to JSTOR to access the linked references. Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at http://about.jstor.org/terms JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Wiley, The Royal Geographical Society (with the Institute of British Geographers) are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Geographical Journal This content downloaded from 155.69.24.171 on Sun, 08 May 2016 02:29:06 UTC All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms The Geographical Journal. Vol. XLVII. No. 5. May 1916. CYRENAICA. J. W. Gregory, D.Sc, F.R.S., Professor of Geology in the University of Glasgow. I. The Problem of Cyrenaica. II. The Ito Expedition of 1908. III. Economic Geography of Cyrenaica. (a) Relations and Structure. (b) Water Supply, Wells, and Rainfall. \c) Soils. (d) Conditions of Deposition of the Cyrenaican Limestones.