New in 1989- THEORETICAL POLITICS

A New Quarterly Political Science Journal

Edited by Richard Kimber University of Keele, Jan-Erik Lane University of Umea and Indiana University

The Journal of Theoretical Politics is a major new international journal, one of the principal aims of which is to foster the development of theory in the study of the political processes. It will provide a forum for the publication of original papers seeking to make genuinely theoretical contributions to the study of politics. The journal will include rigorous analytical articles on a range of theoretical topics. In particular it will focus on new theoretical work which is broadly accessible to social scientists and contributes to our understanding of political processes. It will also include original sysntheses of recent theoretical developments in diverse fields. The journal will not favour any specific theoretical perspective, but will emphasise the general importance of theory in political science. It will also encourage articles which evaluate the relative merits of competing theories to explain empirical phenomena.

The Journal of Theoretical Politics will be published quarterly in January, April, July and October

Subscription Rates, 1989 Institutional Individual one year £48.00($72.00) £22.00($33.00) two years £95.OO($I42.5O) £44.00($66.00) single copies £13.00(519.50) £6.00($9.00)

SAGE Publications Ltd, 28 Banner Street, London EC IY 8QE SAGE Publications Ltd, PO Box 5096, Newbury Park, CA 91359, USA Cambridge Cambridge Texts in the History of Political Thought Edited by RAYMOND GEUSS, QUENTIN SKINNER and RICHARD TUCK This major new series will make available to students and teachers all the important texts required for an understanding of the history of political thought. As well as the texts traditionally regarded as 'central' to western political theory the series will include a number of less well-known works, in particular those needed to establish an adequate intellectual context for the study of the major thinkers. • The first comprehensive coverage of texts in political thought within one series • Many major new translations • All texts based on the best available versions • Introductions by leading international experts reflecting the latest scholarship • Important contextual material on the authors of the major texts • Up-to-date guide to further reading in the secondary literature • Chronology of important personal and historical events The first six titles Machiavelli: The Prince Bentham: A Fragment on Edited by QUENTIN SKINNER and Government RUSSELL PRICE Edited by J. H. BURNS and f 17.50 net He 0 521 34240 6 H. L A. HART £ 4.95 net Pb 0 521 34993 1 With an introduction by ROSS HARRISON Locke: Two Treatises of £17.50 net He 0 521 35054 9 Government £ 4.95 net Pb 0 521 35929 5 Edited by PETER LASLETT Aristotle: The Politics £25.00 net He 0 521 35448 X Edited by STEPHEN EVERSON £ 5.95 net Pb 0 521 35730 6 £17.50 net He 0 521 35449 8 £ 4.95 net Pb 0 521 35731 4 Constant: Political Writings Edited by BIANCAMARIA Leibniz: Political Writings FONTANA Edited by PATRICK RILEY £25.00 net He 0 521 30336 2 £25.00 net He 0 521 35380 7 £ 8.95 net Pb 0 521 31632 4 £ 8.95 net Pb 0 521 35899 X Cambridge University Press The Edinburgh Building, Cambridge CB2 2RU Washington, Westminster and Whitehall WALTER WILLIAMS In this provocative book Walter Williams draws on his extensive experience of central government management in the United States to recommend structural change in the organisation of government in Britain. £25.00 net 0 521 35185 5 240 pp. The Central American Security System Edited by PETER CALVERT This study focuses on the concept of security in Central America and the Caribbean and the differing perceptions of political independence, economic well-being, national security, and regional stability. £25.00 net 0 521 35132 4 218 pp. Ford/Southampton Studies in North-South Security Relations OPEC: Twenty-five Years of Prices and Politics IAN SKEET This history of OPEC, and the political and economic events that have shaped the organisation since its creation in 1960, describes its strengths and weaknesses as a major international organisation. £25.00 net 0 521 33052 1 274 pp. Cambridge Energy Studies The Scottish Political System Fourth Edition JAMES C. KELLAS In the fourth edition of this classic textbook Professor Kellas updates the work to take into account developments since 1983, including the General Election of 1987. £32.50 net He 0 521 36319 5 320 pp. £12.95 net Pb 0 521 36864 2 The Political System Matters Social Psychology and Voting Behavior in Sweden and the United Nations DONALD CRANBERC and SOREN HOLMBERC How does the political system affect the behaviour of individuals? This book analyses the interaction between political context and social psychological processes. £27.50 net 0 521 36031 5 264 pp. European Monographs in Social Psychology Co-publication with the Maison des sciences de I'Homme Cambridge University Press The Edinburgh Building, Cambridge CB2 2RU Addressing the crucial issues that dominate today's headlines... and your work

JOURNAL OF POLICY ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT Editor: David L. Weiiner University of Rochester

Published for the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management (APPAM)

In an era of industrial cutbacks, Each issue helps you to take more deregulation, and fiscal restraints, the effective action as it helps you to JOURNAL OF POLICY ANALYSIS determine: AND MANAGEMENT replaces myth with the hard facts you can work with. • the impact of deregulation of specific industries If you want to make confident policy • when incrementation or more decisions that are based on economic radical methods of change are and political realities, this publication needed illustrates how to maximize your • ethics in decision making resources and minimize the resulting • research in development of policy conflicts. analysis and management

JPAM is written by the professional, for the professional, to better evaluate and use the tools of your trade and to find policies that work as hard as you do.

VOLUME 8,1989 Quarterly US Rates: Outside U.S Rates: Institutions: $85 Individuals: $60 Institutions: $116 Individuals: $80

To order or to request a [ms sample copy, write to:

John Wiley & Sons, Inc.; Att: L. Lee 605 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10158-0012 WILEY For faster service, call TOLL-FREE 1 -800-526-5368 or in New Jersey, call collect 201-342-6707. Journal of Political Science Volume 19

Editors: Ivor M. Crewe and Robert E. Goodin

Editorial Board James Alt David Miller Malcolm Anderson Michael Moran Carole Pateman Hugh Berrington Nelson W. Polsby Samuel Brittan Austin Ranney Archie Brown David Sanders Monica Chariot Steven Smith Morris P. Fiorina Daniel Tarschys Peter Flora Albert Weak Anthony King Graham K. Wilson Rudolf Klein

Editorial Assistant: Heather Bliss

The nj/ii «/ the Uniterm) of Cambridge to print and lell all manntr of booki HUi grunted frv Hmry fill in IIH. Tht Untttnity hoi printtd and published Cttnlinuouily lince U64.

1989 INDEX TO AUTHORS

ACOCK. A. C, 551 JONES, P., 69 ALMOND, C, 237 ATKINSON, M. M., 47 LEWIS-BECK, M. S., 146 LOCKERBIE, B., 97 BALL, D., 303 LOVENDUSKI, J., 106 BARNUM, D. G., 136 BELL, D., 515 MCKEOWN, T. J., 353 BORRELLI, S. A., 97 MERELMAN, R. M., 465 MlSHLER, W., 211 CAMMACK, P., 261 CHHIBBER, P. K. 191 MULLER, E. N., 329 CLARKE, H. D., 551 COLEMAN, W. D., 47 NORRIS, P., 106 CRIDDLE. B., 515 PATEMAN, C, 445 PETROCIK, J. R., 191 DOUGLAS, J., 399 RAE, N.C., 126 EAGLES, M., 115 ERFLE, S., 115 SELIGSON, M. A.,329 SKALABAN, A., 146 FINKEL, S. E., 329 SNIDERMAN, P. M.,25 FITZGERALD, S. E., 211 SULLIVAN, J. L., 136 SWADDLE, K., 537 GALBRAITH, J. W., 126 GIBSON, J. L., 562 TETLOCK, P. E., 25 GLASER, J. M.,25 GLAZER, A., 154 URBAN, M. E., 1 GOODMAN, D. S. G., 425 USLANER, E. M.,495 GREEN, D. P., 25 GROFMAN, B., 154,291 WALKER, R., 161 WRIGHT. G.C., 381 HEATH, A., 537 HOSKIN. M.,211 HOUT, M.,25

Published by the Press Syndicate of the University of Cambridge The Pitt Building, Trumpington Street, Cambridge CB2 I RP 40 West 20th Street, New York, NY 10011, USA 10 Stamford Road, Oakleigh, Melbourne 3166, Australia

© Cambridge University Press, 1989, unless otherwise stated

Filmset by Eta Services (Typesetters) Ltd, Beccles, Suffolk Printed and bound in Great Britain at The Bath Press Contents

PART 1—JANUARY 1989

Articles page MICHAEL E. URBAN, Centralization and Elite Circulation in A Soviet Republic 1 PAUL M. SNIDERMAN, PHILIP E. TETLOCK, JAMES M. GLASER, DONALD PHILIP GREEN and MICHAEL HOUT, Principled Tolerance and the American Mass Public 25 MICHAEL M. ATKINSON and WILLIAM D. COLEMAN, Strong States and Weak States: Sectoral Policy Networks in Advanced Capitalist Economies 47

Review Article PETER JONES, Re-Examining Rights 69

Notes and Comments BRAD LOCKERBIE and STEPHEN A. BORRELLI, Getting Inside the Beltway: Perceptions of Presidential Skill and Success in Congress 97 and JONI LOVENDUSKI, Women Candidates for Parliament: Transforming the Agenda? 106 MUNROE EAGLES and STEPHEN ERFLE, Community Cohesion and Voter Turnout in English Parliamentary Constituencies 115 JOHN W. GALBRAITH and NICOL C. RAE, A Test of the Importance of Tactical Voting: Great Britain, 1987 126 DAVID G. BARNUM and JOHN L. SULLIVAN, Attitudinal Tolerance and Political Freedom in Britain 136 MICHAEL S. LEWIS-BECK and ANDREW SKALABAN, Citizen Forecasting: Can Voters See into the Future? 146 AMIHAI GLAZER and BERNARD GROFMAN, Must Liberals Always Vote for Liberals and Need the More Competent Candidate Always be Preferred? 154

PART 2—APRIL 1989

A r tides RACHEL WALKER, Marxism-Leninism as Discourse: The Politics of the Empty Signifier and the Double Bind 161 PRADEEP K. CHHIBBER and JOHN R. PETROCIK, The Puzzle of Indian Politics: Social Cleavages and the Indian Party 191 WILLIAM MISHLER, MARILYN HOSKIN and ROY FITZGERALD, British Parties in the Balance: A Time-Series Analysis of Long-Term Trends in Labour and Conservative Support 211 Review Articles , The International-National Connection 237 PAUL CAMMACK, Bringing the State Back In? 261

Notes and Comments BERNARD GROFMAN, The Comparative Analysis of Coalition Formation and Duration: Distinguishing Between-Country and Within-Country Effects 291

PART 3—JULY 1989

Articles DESMOND BALL, Controlling Theatre Nuclear War 303 STEVEN E. FINKEL, EDWARD N. MULLER and MITCHELL A. SELIGSON, Economic Crisis, Incumbent Performance and Regime Support: A Comparison of Longitudinal Data from West Germany and Costa Rica 329 T. J. MCKEOWN, The Politics of Corn Law Repeal and Theories of Commercial Policy 353 GERALD C. WRIGHT, Level-of-Analysis Effects on Explanations of Voting: The Case of the 1982 US Senate Elections 381

Review Articles JAMES DOUGLAS, The Changing Tide—Some Recent Studies of Thatcherism 399 DAVID S. G. GOODMAN, Political Change in China—Power, Policy and Process 425

PART 4—OCTOBER 1989

Articles CAROLE PATEMAN, 'God Hath Ordained to Man a Helper': Hobbes, Patriarchy and Conjugal Right 445 RICHARD M. MERELMAN, On Culture and Politics in America: A Perspective from Structural Anthropology 465 ERIC M. USLANER, Looking Forward and Looking Backward: Prospective and Retrospective Voting in the 1980 Federal Elections in Canada 495

Review Article DAVID BELL and BYRON CRIDDLE, The Decline of the French Communist Party 515 Notes and Comments KEVIN SWADDLE and ANTHONY HEATH, Official and Reported Turnout in the British General Election of 1987 537 HAROLD D. CLARKE and ALAN C. ACOCK, National Elections and Political Attitudes: The Case of Political Efficacy 551 JAMES L. GIBSON, The Structure of Attitudinal Tolerance in the United States 562 Notes for Contributors

1 All contributions should be sent to: The Editors, British Journal of Political Science, University of Essex. Wivenhoe Park, Colchester, Essex CO4 3SQ. They should not be sent to the Cambridge University Press. 2 Articles submitted to the Journal should in general be between 5,000 and 12,000 words (or equivalent in tables and figures) in length. An abstract not exceeding 120 words is required. 3 Notes and Comments are welcome. A Note should contain a body of original information, a new method for doing something or a new idea (speculation, argument, proof, etc.) presented in a brief and unadorned form without inessential commentary. Comments containing criticisms of articles published in the Journal and additional thoughts on them will be considered for early publication, especially if they are short say, under 1,000 words. 4 Most issues of the Journal contain a Review Article either a detailed discussion of a single book or a review of the state of some area of the discipline. Review Articles submitted without prior consultation will be considered for publication, but in their own interest contributors would be well advised not to prepare a Review Article specially for the Journal without first getting in touch with the Editors. 5 Contributors should note the Journal's editorial policy, which is as stated inside the front cover. 6 Authors of articles and Review Articles receive twenty-five free offprints. Additional copies may be bought if they are ordered at proof stage. 7 Submission of an article is taken to imply that it has not been previously published and is not being considered for publication elsewhere. In the interest of authors, copyright is normally assigned to the Cambridge University Press. 8 Authors should submit FOUR COPIES of their articles. Contributions must be typed and may be reproduced in any clearly legible form. The preferred size of paper is A4 (8J x 11J in), but quarto (8 x 10 in) or Ihe US standard size (8J x 11 in) will also be accepted. Because of postage costs, manuscripts not accepted for publication are not normally returned to the author unless their return is specifically requested. 9 The entire material of any article, including footnotes, quotations, appendices, etc., should be double spaced, with left-hand margins of at least 1J in. The preferred treatment of footnotes is that they should be numbered consecutively in the text and typed double spaced all together at the end, beginning on a fresh page. 10 Anyone who is preparing a manuscript for submission to the Journal is urged to follow the Journal's style sheet, which covers a number of detailed points concerning footnotes, punctuation, spelling, etc. Copies of the style sheet can be obtained from the Editor. Footnote references should always contain, in the case of books, the name of the author as it appears on the title page, the full title including any subtitle, the place of publication, the name of the publisher and the date of publication, and. in the case of articles, the name of the author, the full title, the name of the journal, the volume number, the year and the page reference (number of first and last page). 11 First proofs may be read and corrected by contributors provided that they can give the Editor an address through which they can be reached without delay and can guarantee to return the corrected proofs to the Editor, by air mail where appropriate, within ten days of receiving them. The master proof will always be sent directly to the Editor by the printer; contributors will receive duplicates.

COPYING This journal is registered with the Copyright Clearance Center. 27 Congress St., Salem, Mass. 01970. Organizations in the USA who are also registered with C.C.C. may therefore copy material (beyond the limits permitted by sections 107 and 108 of US copyright law) subject to payment to C.C.C. of the per copy fee of $05.00. This consent does not extend to multiple copying for promotional or commercial purposes Code 0007-1234 89 $5.00 + .00 B.J.Pol.S. 19.4

British Journal of Political Science VOLUME 19 PART 4 OCTOBER 1989 page ARTICLES 445 CAROLE PATEMAN "God Hath Ordained to Man a Helper': Hobbes, Patriarchy and Conjugal Right 465 RICHARD M. MERELMAN On Culture and Politics in America: A Perspective from Structural Anthropology 495 ERIC M. USLANER Looking Forward and Looking Backward: Prospective and Retrospective Voting in the 1980 Federal Elections in Canada

REVIEW ARTICLE 515 DAVID BELL and BYRON CRIDDU-: The Decline of the French Communist Party

NOTES AND COMMENTS 537 KEVIN SWADDLE AND ANTHONY HEATH Official and Reported Turnout in the British General Election of 1987 551 HAROLD D. CLARKE and ALAN C. ACOCK National Elections and Political Attitudes: The Case of Political Efficacy 562 JAMES L. GIBSON The Structure of Attitudinal Tolerance in the United States

© Cambridge University Press 1989 unless otherwise stated

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