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The Indonesian Population Census 2020 Highlights

BPS – Statistics

United Nations Expert Group Meeting, 9-12 February 2021 INTRODUCTION PC2020 is the 7th Legal Basis Population Census • UU No. 16 Tahun 1997 tentang Statistik • UU No. 23 Tahun 2006 tentang Administrasi Kependudukan • UU No. 52 Tahun 2009 tentang Perkembangan Kependudukan dan Pembangunan Keluarga • UU No. 24 Tahun 2013 tentang Perubahan atas UU No. 23 Tahun 2006 tentang Administrasi Kependudukan • PP No. 51 Tahun 1999 tentang Penyelenggaraan Statistik

United Nations Recommendation 2017 Population and Housing Census 2020

Perpres No. 39 Tahun 2019 Satu Data Indonesia

“Documenting Indonesia toward ONE Perpres No. 62 Tahun 2019 POPULATION DATA for Advanced Indonesia” Strategi Nasional Percepatan Administrasi Kependudukan untuk Pengembangan Statistik Hayati 3 SENSUSPOPULATION PENDUDUK CENSUS 20202020

GOALS BASIC IMPROVEMENTS

Provides data on number, composition, COMBINED METHOD distribution, and characteristics of Indonesian The use of relevant administrative data (data managed by the ministry of home toward ONE POPULATION DATA IN INDONESIA affairs) completed by sample survey u Completed in 2020

DATA COLLECTION MODE Provides demographic parameters (fertility, Online population census, drop off pick up (DOPU), and interview mortality, and migration) as well as other individual characteristics for ppopulation projection and SDGs indicators. u Will be conducted in September 2021

4 POPULATION CENSUS DURING COVID-19 PANDEMIC Challenges dan responses from various countries conducting population census

Challenges Responses of countries

31 countries delayed or extended the period of Implementation of strict health protocols: population census ü Reduce face-to-face interaction § Indonesia ü The use of PPE is a must – for countries § USA conducting census § , etc 13 countries conducted census as scheduled or Budget reallocation for health and utilizing administrative data or switched to economic recovery register-based census § § Korea § Finland, etc

Source: UNSD Survey (https://www.unescap.org/sites/default/files/Session2_Programme_support_2020_Round_Po pulation_Housing_Censuses_UNSD-Workshop_SDG_PHC_CRVS.pdf) 5 Adjustments made in Population Census 2020

FIELD ACTIVITIES Initial plan: JULY 2020 ONLINE POPULATION CENSUS Delayed to: SEPTEMBER 2020 15 February – 31 March 2020 Extended untill 29 May 2020 FIELD VERIFICATION

INDIVIDUAL ENUMERATION DEVELOPING POPULATION DESK VERIFICATION • Two modes data collection REGISTER/LIST OF POPULATION REGISTER/LIST Initially CAPI and PAPI, adjusted to DOPU and PAPI • Field enumerator workload increases

ENUMERATORS TRAINING Initially planned to be face- OUTPUT: to-face, adjusted into online ü Population count and distribution training ü Sex ENUMERATOR’S GEARS ü Age structure Rapid test, PPE (face shield, face ü Residential status: usual residence vs , disposable gloves), ID card, registered residence. office supplies, and vest 6 PC2020 RESULTS Population of Indonesia (Million)

270,20 237,63 2,31% 206,26 2,10% 1,98% 179,38 147,49 119,21 97,02 1,44% 1,49% 1,25%

SP1961 SP1971 SP1980 SP1990 SP2000 SP2010 SP2020 Population (million) Population growth (percent)

ü Population of Indonesia based on PC2020 (September 2020): 270,20 million ü With the total land area about 1,9 mill km2, the population density in Indonesia: 141 people/km2 ü For the period of 2010-2020, the everage population growth in Indonesia: 1,25 percent

8 Population of Indonesia Based on Synchronization of PC2020 and Administrative Data

Administrative PC2020 Data 270,20 271,35 million million (September 2020) (December 2020)

rSep’20-Des’20 = 0,14%* At the national level, the population of Indonesia based on PC2020 is in line with the synchronized administrative data. At the regional level, the difference in population data between PC2020 and administrative data indicates the number of people who have migrated, whether for work, school, or other reasons. Note: *Estimated growth rate per month (September-December 2020) 9 Population of Indonesia by Island, 2020

56,10% (151,6 mill)

56,10 % (151,6 million) of Indonesian 21,68% (58,6 mill) are living in

Java 7,36% 6,15% (19,9 mill) 5,54% 3,17% (16,6 mill) (15,0 mill) (8,6 mill)

Java Sumatera -Nusa Tenggara -

10 Population of Indonesia by Island, 1971 - 2020

1,69 1,76 1,96 2,04 2,59 3,17 5,55 5,40 5,27 5,39 5,50 5,54 4,32 4,58 5,09 5,49 5,80 6,15 7,15 7,08 7,01 7,25 7,31 7,36

17,46 19,07 The trend 20,44 21,00 21,31 21,67 continues...

63,83 62,12 60,23 58,83 57,49 56,10

SP1971 SP1980 SP1990 SP2000 SP2010 SP2020

Jawa Sumatera Sulawesi Kalimantan Bali, Nusa Tenggara Maluku, Papua

11 Population of Indonesia by Residential Status, 2020

91,32%

246,74 million 8,68% Usual residence = registered residence 23,47 million Usual residence ≠ registered residence

Note: registered vs usual residence at neigbourhood area level 12 Jawa Barat 48,27 Jawa Timur 40,67 Jawa Tengah 36,52 Sumatera Utara 14,80 11,90 DKI 10,56 Sulawesi Selatan 9,07 Population of Indonesia by 9,01 Sumatera Selatan 8,47 Province, 2020 6,39 Sumatera Barat 5,53 Kalimantan Barat 5,41 Nusa Tenggara Timur 5,33 Nusa Tenggara Barat 5,32 ü The most populated province in 5,27 Bali 4,32 Papua 4,30 Indonesia is : Kalimantan Selatan 4,07 Kalimantan Timur 3,77 DI Yogyakarta 3,67 48,27 million 3,55 Sulawesi Tengah 2,99 Kalimantan Tengah 2,67 ü The least populated province in Sulawesi Tenggara 2,62 Sulawesi Utara 2,62 Indonesia is : Kepulauan Riau 2,06 2,01 0,70 million Maluku 1,85 Kepulauan Bangka Belitung 1,46 Sulawesi Barat 1,42 Maluku Utara 1,28 Registered Residence ≠ Usual Residence 1,17 Registered Residence = Usual Residence2 Papua Barat 1,13 Kalimantan Utara 0,70

13 POPULATION BY SEX

50,58% 49,42% MALES FEMALES 136,66 million 133,54 million 50,58% 49,42%

14 SEX RATIO OF INDONESIA, 1971-2020

102 99 101 101 97 99

SP1971 SP1980 SP1990 SP2000 SP2010 SP2020

15 Papua 114 Kalimantan Utara 112 Papua Barat 111 Kalimantan Timur 109 Kalimantan Tengah 108 Kepulauan Bangka Belitung 106 Kalimantan Barat 106 SEX RATIO by Province in Sulawesi Tengah 106 Lampung 105 Indonesia, Riau 105 Maluku Utara 105 2020 Bengkulu 105 Sulawesi Utara 105 Sumatera Selatan 104 Kepulauan Riau 104 Jambi 104 ü The highest sex ratio: Banten 104 Jawa Barat 103 Provinsi Papua à 114 Sulawesi Barat 103 Sulawesi Tenggara 103 Maluku 103 ü The lowest sex ratio: Kalimantan Selatan 103 Indonesia DKI Jakarta 102 DI Yogyakarta à 98 Gorontalo 102 102 Sumatera Barat 101 Bali 101 Jawa Tengah 101 Aceh 101 Sumatera Utara 101 Nusa Tenggara Timur 100 Nusa Tenggara Barat 100 Jawa Timur 100 Sulawesi Selatan 99 DI Yogyakarta 98 16 Age Distribution of Indonesia, 1971-2020 (Percent)

l The proportion of persons aged 0- 70,72 14 years decrease from 44.12 66,09 65,03 percent in 1971 to 23.33 percent 59,58 55,84 53,39 in 2020 44,12 l The working age group (15-64 40,91 36,65 years) increase from 53.39 percent to 70.72 percent 30,44 28,87 23,33 l The proportion of person aged 65 years and over increase from 2.49 percent to 5.95 percent 5,04 5,95 2,49 3,25 3,77 4,53

SP1971 SP1980 SP1990 SP2000 SP2010 SP2020

0-14 Tahun 15-64 Tahun 65+ Tahun

Notes for PC2020: 1) N.A. data is not included in the calculation 2) Age data derived from administrative data 1717 Indonesia is dominated by Millenials and Gen Z

u Born: 2013 and later Pre-Boomers Post Gen Z 1,87% Post Gen Z u Est current age: up to 7 yrs 10,88% u Born: 1997-2012 Gen Z u Est current age: 8-23 yrs Baby Boomers 11,56% u Born: 1981-1996 Millenials u Est current age: 24-39 yrs

u Born: 1965-1980 Gen X Gen X u Est current age: 40-55 yrs 21,88% Gen Z u Born: 1946-1964 27,94% Baby Boomers u Est current age: 56-74 yrs Millenials u Born: before 1945 25,87% Pre-Boomers u Est current age: 75+ yrs

Notes for PC2020: 1) N.A. data is not included in the calculation 2) Age data derived from administrative data Source of classification : William H. Frey analysis of Census Bureau Population Estimates (25 June, 2020)

18 Follow up in 2021: PC2020 Long Form Enumeration

When VARIABLES ü September 2021 (105 Questions)

Individual Disability SAMPLE SIZE (15 questions) (12 questions) ü 3,5% of total family (3,05 million families) equal to 268 thousand census Fertility and Mortality Education blocks (26 questions) (5 questions) ü Level of estimation: sub-regional level Migration Housing DATA COLLECTION (19 questions) (20 questions) Data collection mode: Labor related CAPI (Computer Assisted Personal Interviewing) (8 questions)

PAPI (Pencil and Paper Interviewing)

19 Thank you

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