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EcosystemEcosystem--SocietySociety InteractionsInteractions inin thethe NorthernNorthern AtlanticAtlantic

HumanHuman DimensionsDimensions ofof FisheriesFisheries CollapseCollapse LawrenceLawrence C.C. HamiltonHamilton UniversityUniversity ofof NewNew HampshireHampshire NorthNorth AtlanticAtlantic ArcArc projectproject ---- NAArcNAArc

Physical system change

Biological system change

Human activities FourFour casecase studiesstudies

‹ Major changes have affected longstanding fisheries across the Northern Atlantic. ‹ These changes involve interactions between physical (ocean/climate), biological and human systems. ‹ Despite local differences, strong patterns emerge. and , West

##

GREENLAND SEA

BAFFIN BAY ## Illoqqortoormiut

# ## ICELAND

#

# # # ## # # # # # SEA # # Disko # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # Bay # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # CANADA # # # # # # # # # # # # # # # e # # # l # # c # r #i # # C# # # c # ti# # # Sisimiut # c # r # # # # A # # # # # # # # # # # # # ## ## # # ## ## ## ### ## ########### ICELAND # ## #

NUUK Fylla ## Bank Paamiut

# Irminger LABRADOR Current ## SEA

## ##

Irminger # Current ## North Atlantic Cape Farewell Current

Temperature,Temperature, codcod && shrimpshrimp catchcatch

Fylla Bank temp (smoothed) Subarea 1 cod catch Subarea 1 shrimp catch

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Year SisimiutSisimiut benefitedbenefited fromfrom thethe transitiontransition

‹ PioneeredPioneered GreenlandGreenland shrimpshrimp fishery,fishery, whenwhen thatthat resourceresource waswas foundfound mainlymainly inin thethe north.north. ‹ BuiltBuilt upup shrimpshrimp catchingcatching andand processingprocessing capacity.capacity. ‹ ReachedReached southwardssouthwards asas shrimpshrimp werewere discovereddiscovered therethere too.too. ‹ HumanHuman populationpopulation grew,grew, economyeconomy diversified.diversified. PaamiutPaamiut declineddeclined duringduring thethe transitiontransition

‹ InitialInitial developmentdevelopment specializedspecialized inin codcod fishing.fishing. ‹ ShrimpShrimp werewere notnot availableavailable nearby.nearby. ‹ WhenWhen moremore shrimpshrimp werewere discovered,discovered, otherother portsports alreadyalready hadhad catching/processingcatching/processing capacity.capacity. ‹ HumanHuman populationpopulation declined,declined, economyeconomy struggled.struggled. AA taletale ofof twotwo citiescities Sisimiut 14 5 12 10 shrimp 8 Sisimiut 6 4 4 2 cod 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 Paamiut 14 3 12 cod 10 Paamiut 8 Landings in thousands of tons Landings in thousands 6

4 Greenland-born population in thousands 2 2 shrimp 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 Siglufjörður, North Iceland Traditional 1965—66

2 Degree Isotherm at 50 M 2 Degree Isotherm at 50 M Herring Feeding Area Herring Feeding Area

73° 73°

GREENLAND GREENLAND SEA SEA

68° ICELAND 68° ICELAND SEA SEA

Siglufjordur Siglufjordur

# # Seydisfjordur Seydisfjordur

# #

63° 63° NORTH NORTH ATLANTIC FAROE ATLANTIC ISLANDS SHETLAND SHETLAND ISLANDS ISLANDS 0 200 400 600 Kilometers 0 200 400 600 Kilometers

20° 14° 8° 2° 20° 14° 8° 2°

After Vilhjalmsson1997

“The“The herringherring yearsyears werewere special,special, indescribable.indescribable. AndAnd theythey willwill nevernever comecome again.”again.” Siglufjörður resident

Siglufjörður in March 2003 HerringHerring catchcatch andand salinity,salinity, 19051905––20002000 1 600 35.

Late-1960s herring 35 500 collapse coincided 9 ns with arrival of o 400 Arctic-origin Great 34. Salinity Anomaly 8 y 34. t 1000 t i n h, li 7 c 300 t a Sa 34. ng c 6 i r 200 r e 34. H 5 100 34. 4

0 34. 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Iceland herring catch Siglunes salinity Biomass,Biomass, catchcatch andand mortality,mortality, 19501950––20002000

14000

12000 Herring biomass 3 was declining 10000 from overfishing y 1000t t i h, long before GSA al c t t 2 r

a 8000 o ng m i

and c 6000 h s s i as F

4000 1 om i B 2000

0 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Biomass Catch Fishing mortality ages 0-14 PopulationPopulation ofof SiglufjSiglufjöörrððurur,, 18901890––20002000

3000

2000 n o i t a l u p Po

1000 Siglufjörður population declined as N Iceland herring declined and the fishery needed less labor.

0 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Faroe Islands, Northeast Atlantic

0 400 800 Kilometers N Iceland

FAROE Norway ISLANDS Torshavn

Norwegian North Sea Atlantic Ocean

United Kingdom 080160Kilometers FaroeseFaroese landingslandings ofof demersaldemersal fishfish fromfrom homehome waters,waters, 19611961--20002000 Plateau cod Haddock Saithe

60

50

40

30 1000 tons

20

10

Fisheries crisis ca. 1985-95. 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

FaroeFaroe IslandsIslands totaltotal populationpopulation 19701970--20002000

48

46

44

42 Faroes population 13% lower than pre-crisis trend Population in thousands

40

38 1970 1980 1990 2000

FaroeFaroe IslandsIslands codcod catchcatch andand netnet migrationmigration 19801980--20002000 Net migration Codfish catch, tons

500 80000

70000 0

60000 -500

50000

-1000 Net migration

40000 Codfish catch, tons

-1500 Net migration follows cod catches, with lag 30000 of 1-2 years, 1982-96 -2000 20000 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year FaroeFaroe IslandsIslands populationpopulation byby ageage group,group, 19791979--20002000

0 to 19 years 20 to 39 years 40 and over

20

18

16

14

12

10

8 Children (0-19) and young adult (20-39) 6

Population in thousands age groups decrease. Older adults 4 increase and become a larger fraction of the population. 2

0 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000

PercentPercent femalefemale amongamong 2020--3939 yearyear oldsolds byby municipalitymunicipality population,population, 1/20011/2001

60

50

40

30 Percent female increases with community size. Percent female age 20-39 Percent female age This analysis resembles findings from 20 Norway, Iceland, Greenland, Newfoundland and Alaska.

10 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 Population NetNet migrationmigration byby sexsex andand ageage group,group, crisiscrisis yearsyears 19891989--9595

Males Females

0

-100

-200

-300

-400

-500 Crisis-years net migration: -600 more men than women

Net migration -700 leaving, ages 25 and higher. More women than men -800 leaving, ages 15-24. -900

-1000

-1100 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 Age in 5-year groups Newfoundland,Newfoundland, EasternEastern CanadaCanada

N

5

LABRADOR 5 W

QUEBEC Northern (Northern Peninsula Cod)

50N Northern Gulf of St. Lawrence

St. John's

Avalon Peninsula

0 200 400 Kilometers

LandingsLandings valuevalue byby speciesspecies typetype inin 33 NewfoundlandNewfoundland regions,regions, 19861986--19981998

60 Northern Peninsula 60 South Coast

40 40

20 20 dollars

0 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 0 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 199 8 1998

of 60 Burin Peninsula Shellfish 40 Demersal Millions

20 Pelagic other types/products

0 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 NW Newfoundland and the Northern Gulf of St. Lawrence

Max. ice area

Min. C IL tem p. N. Gulf cod catch total and Canada

Mean weight per fish, 8 indicator species

N. Peninsula population

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 GeneralGeneral patternspatterns TimeTime plotsplots showshow “killer“killer spikes”spikes” ofof overfishingoverfishing followedfollowed byby steepsteep declines.declines.

‹ DramaticDramatic spikesspikes markmark thethe arrivalarrival ofof internationalinternational trawlertrawler fleets.fleets. ‹ NWNW AtlanticAtlantic cod,cod, andand NENE AtlanticAtlantic herring,herring, areare amongamong keykey resourcesresources thatthat sufferedsuffered multimulti--decadedecade collapsecollapse (>99%(>99% biomass).biomass). ‹ ManyMany otherother fishfish reachreach historicalhistorical lowslows asas well.well. DeclinesDeclines oftenoften involveinvolve interactionsinteractions betweenbetween fishingfishing pressurepressure andand environmentalenvironmental variations.variations.

‹ NN AtlanticAtlantic alwaysalways aa variablevariable environment.environment. ‹ LongLong--livedlived speciesspecies havehave adaptedadapted toto decadedecade--scalescale variationsvariations (NAO).(NAO). ‹ FisheriesFisheries removeremove olderolder fish,fish, leavingleaving aa smaller,smaller, lessless robustrobust populationpopulation behind.behind. FisheriesFisheries transformtransform theirtheir ecosystems,ecosystems, forcingforcing aa shiftshift toto newnew targets.targets.

‹ OverfishingOverfishing ofof predatorspredators removesremoves constraintsconstraints onon preyprey species.species. ‹ OverfishingOverfishing ofof forageforage fishfish removesremoves foodfood ofof largerlarger fish,fish, mammalsmammals andand birds.birds. ‹ InvertebratesInvertebrates growgrow moremore abundantabundant asas bonybony fishfish decline.decline. ‹ FisheriesFisheries turnturn toto crustaceans:crustaceans: shrimp,shrimp, crabcrab andand lobster.lobster. NewNew fisheriesfisheries havehave differentdifferent socialsocial andand economiceconomic characteristics.characteristics.

‹ DepletionDepletion ofof traditionaltraditional resourcesresources drivesdrives thethe fishery:fishery: ––FartherFarther offshoreoffshore ––ToTo exploitexploit newnew speciesspecies ––InIn worseworse weatherweather ‹ Larger,Larger, expensiveexpensive vesselsvessels required.required. ‹ DistantDistant marketsmarkets controlcontrol demand,demand, setset conditions.conditions. ‹ FishingFishing becomesbecomes moremore capitalcapital--intensive,intensive, lessless laborlabor--intensive.intensive. AsAs ecosystemsecosystems change,change, therethere areare winnerswinners andand loserslosers onon land.land.

‹ NewNew fisheryfishery mightmight notnot supportsupport thethe samesame peoplepeople andand places.places. ‹ WealthWealth tendstends toto concentrateconcentrate ---- acrossacross individuindividuals,als, familiesfamilies anandd communities.communities. ‹ ThereThere areare newnew advantages,advantages, disadvantages,disadvantages, requirements.requirements. SmallSmall placesplaces seesee outmigrationoutmigration andand demographicdemographic change.change.

‹ NetNet migrationmigration isis aa sensitivesensitive indicator.indicator. ‹ YoungYoung adultsadults firstfirst toto leave.leave. ‹ BirthBirth ratesrates declinedecline too.too. ‹ Older,Older, lessless educatededucated populationpopulation remains.remains. ‹ TransferTransfer--paymentpayment dependencydependency grows.grows. ‹ RegionalRegional centerscenters expand.expand. SocialSocial factorsfactors influenceinfluence thethe differentialdifferential outcomesoutcomes amongamong peoplepeople andand places.places.

‹ EconomicEconomic diversificationdiversification isis aa difficultdifficult goal.goal. ‹ NewNew fisheriesfisheries riskrisk depletion,depletion, likelike thethe old.old. ‹ TourismTourism isis “Plan“Plan B”B” everywhere.everywhere. ‹ GovernmentGovernment investmentsinvestments areare vital,vital, butbut oftenoften fail.fail. ‹ SomeSome communitiescommunities areare moremore cohesive,cohesive, effectiveeffective thanthan others.others. THE END