Establishing a Regional Planning Framework for Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAV)
Joseph M. Bovenzi, AICP GTC Planning Committee – Rochester, New York April 12, 2018
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Key Takeaways: Terms and Definitions
Understanding differences in terminology: “connected” vs. “autonomous” vs. “automated” Regional Planning
Understand issues, concerns, and ongoing activities at the regional (i.e., MPO) scale to account for advanced transportation technologies Municipal Planning
Understand what municipal governments can begin doing to capture the benefits of these technologies for their communities
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Definitions Connected Vehicles
Wireless Communications – Vehicle to Vehicle (V2V) – Vehicle to Infrastructure (V2I) – Vehicle to “Everything” (V2X) Automated Vehicles
No driver input
Differing levels of automation Autonomous Vehicles
“Self-Driving”
No external connections
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Definitions Connected Vehicles
Wireless Communications – Vehicle to Vehicle (V2V) – Vehicle to Infrastructure (V2I) – Vehicle to “Everything” (V2X) Automated Vehicles
No driver input
Differing levels of automation Autonomous Vehicles
“Self-Driving”
No external connections
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Definitions Connected Vehicles
Wireless Communications – Vehicle to Vehicle (V2V) – Vehicle to Infrastructure (V2I) – Vehicle to “Everything” (V2X) Automated Vehicles
No driver input
Differing levels of automation Autonomous Vehicles
“Self-Driving”
No external connections
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Levels of Automation
© 2014 SAE International
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Future of Transportation – Autonomous?
Source: Google
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Planning for Connected and Automated Vehicles Autonomous Vehicle “Environment”
Vehicles operate on existing infrastructure
No two-way communications
Asset maintenance is critical – Signage, striping, lighting, etc.
Data – Privately held?
Must still consider – Safety improvements – Changing travel patterns Source: University of Texas at Austin – Changing access and mobility
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Future of Transportation – Connected?
Source: USDOT
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Planning for Connected and Automated Vehicles Connected Vehicle “Environment”
Integrated Two-Way Communications – Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V) – Vehicle-to-Infrastructure (V2I) – Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X)
Infrastructure Retrofits
Safety
Mobility and Accessibility
Data – Publically available?
Cybersecurity
Greatest Benefits (in theory…) Source: USDOT
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Timing Dependent on:
Technology
Driver acceptance Long Range Planning Horizons
20 year minimum forecast period
Automation levels
Travel Demand Source: USDOT Modeling Uncertainty
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo History 1980s/90s
Parallel research trends Source: Carnegie Mellon – Autonomous vehicles – Connected highways
Bundeswehr University – Prototype autonomous vehicles Source: E. Dickmanns Carnegie Mellon University – NavLab vehicles
Demo ’97 – Connected highways/vehicles – Demonstrated range of applications
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo History 2000s
Defense Advanced Research
Projects Agency (DARPA) Source: DARPA “Grand Challenges”
2004 – 15 vehicles competed on a 150-mile desert course; none finished
Source: Stanford University 2005 – 23 vehicles competed on the desert course; five finished
2007 – Urban Challenge – 11 teams competed on a 60-mile urban course; six finished Source: U.S. Dept. of Defense
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo History 2010s
Commercialization
Traditional auto makers, tech companies, and Source: Waymo transportation network companies – General Motors – Cruise – Ford – Argo – Google Self-Driving Car Project – Waymo – Tesla – Autopilot – Uber & Lyft Source: Uber
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo History 2010s
Commercialization
Traditional auto makers, tech companies, and Source: Waymo transportation network companies – General Motors – Cruise – Ford – Argo – Google Self-Driving Car Project – Waymo – Tesla – Autopilot – Uber & Lyft Source: Uber
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo History 2010s
Commercialization
Traditional auto makers, tech companies, and Source: Waymo transportation network companies – General Motors – Cruise – Ford – Argo – Google Self-Driving Car Project – Waymo – Tesla – Autopilot – Uber & Lyft Source: Uber
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo History 2010s
Commercialization
Traditional auto makers, tech companies, and Source: Waymo transportation network companies – General Motors – Cruise – Ford – Argo – Google Self-Driving Car Project – Waymo – Tesla – Autopilot – Uber & Lyft Source: Uber
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Some Current Examples University of Michigan
Driverless Shuttles Source: U. Michigan
Deployed Fall 2017 Colorado DOT
Summer 2017 – deployed Autonomous Impact Protection Vehicle Source: Colorado DOT Domino’s Autonomous Pizza Delivery Car
Partnership with Ford
Experimenting with customer interaction Source: Ford
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Regional Planning Framework – MPO Perspective
1. Long Range Transportation Plans 1.A. Infrastructure 1.B. Services
2. Congestion Management Process 3. Goods Movement 4. Travel Demand Modeling 5. Transportation Source: SWRI Improvement Program
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Long Range Plans – Infrastructure
Define and Articulate: Community development goals Transportation system management and operations goals Operations Traffic management and communications networks Adaptive reuse Infrastructure Signage, striping, lighting, etc.
Preservation and maintenance Source: USDOT
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Long Range Plans – Infrastructure
“Infostructure” Digital (Transportation) Infrastructure Complete Streets & Universal Design Policies Review and update to include CAV Parking Parking location and supply Applicable Federal Regulations Regional ITS Architecture (RITSA)
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Long Range Plans – Infrastructure
Parking CAV technology may “Decouple” land use from parking Open up more land for redevelopment Prioritize mobility and access over parking supply
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Long Range Plans – Services Source: USDOT
Agency Awareness Technical Training Peer-to-Peer Roundtables Mobility-as-a-Service Ensuring Options vs. “One-Size-fits-All” Approach Availability Equitable access to ride-sharing services “Last Mile” Applications Navigation and Wayfinding
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Long Range Plans – Services
Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) VMT Increase or Decrease? VMT Decrease Growth in ride-sharing Decline in personal auto ownership VMT Increase Decreased Travel Costs Increased Travel Flexibility Increased Demand for Services Population Growth
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Long Range Plans – Services
Changing Access to Automobiles Transportation-/Mobility-as-a-Service (T/MaaS)
― Vehicle Access – Ownership vs. Service Models Transportation Network Companies (TNC)
― Entity licensed to operate in NYS that exclusively uses a digital platform to connect passengers to drivers for prearranged trips Early evidence indicates that TNCs increase VMT
― “Fare Choices” Report by the Boston Metropolitan Area Planning Council
― Survey found that ride-hailing increases auto trips
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Congestion Management Process (CMP)
Identify and Monitor Congested Locations Data Generation and Management Travel Demand Model
Travel Time Predictability Reliability
Shift Travel Patterns and Times Maximize Road Usage
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Goods Movement
Decentralized Distribution Networks Delivery Infrastructure
Impacts on land use, Source: Nuro zoning, facility design, etc. Flexibility Truck Platooning Enhanced Just-in-Time Delivery Autonomous Delivery
Roaming Stores Source: Peloton Technology
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Travel Demand Modeling
Integrate CAV in Travel Demand Models Puget Sound Regional Council – Increased Capacity – Increased Capacity and Value of Time Changes – Increased Capacity, Value of Time Changes, and Reduced Parking Costs – Per-mile Auto Costs Increased Model Calibration and Validation Planning Coordination
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo Transportation Improvement Program
Review and Revise Project Selection Criteria Link with Long Range Transportation Plan policies Coordinate with community development goals Technology integration vs. stand-alone deployments Maximize investments – “Future-proof” infrastructure assets
Source: USDOT
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo The Big Question
How do we ensure that CAV technologies support community development goals? Safety Mobility Accessibility Reliability Efficiency Goods Movement Emergency Management
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo The Big Question
How do we ensure that CAV technologies support community development goals? Safety Land Use Mobility Urban and Street Design Accessibility Housing Reliability Social Equity Efficiency Aging/Disability Services Goods Air Quality Movement Information Technology Emergency Workforce Development Management
www.gtcmpo.org 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112, Rochester NY 14614 @gtcmpo GENESEE TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 50 West Main Street-Suite 8112 Rochester, NY 14614 www.gtcmpo.org @gtcmpo
Thewww.gtcmpo.org Metropolitan Planning50 West Main Organization Street-Suite for 8112, the RochesterGenesee -NYFinger 14614 Lakes @gtcmpo Region