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Delivering Met to the Military User

Andy Kirkman Defence Business Manager ECMWF MOS Workshop - November 2007 © Crown copyright 2006 Page 1 Delivering Met to the Military User

This Presentation Will Cover:

ƒ Met Office Defence Services How the Met Office supports military decision makers. ƒ Changes in Defence Requirements How will the needs of the defence user evolve. ƒ The Met Office Response Plans for a new way to exploit and deliver Met information.

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 2 The Met Office

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 3 The Met Office

Links to Defence:

ƒ The UK National Met Service - founded in 1854.

ƒ Part of the UK Ministry of Defence – part of the since 1919.

ƒ A owned by the Secretary of State for Defence.

ƒ Employs over 1,600 people – 300 in Defence.

ƒ Vision: “Making our forecasts essential to everyone, every day”

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 4 The Met Office

Main Customers & Services: Services to Government ƒ Public Weather Service (PWS) ƒ Defence ƒ Climate Research ƒ Civil Sector Services (CSS) Services to Business ƒ Transport (Road, Rail, Marine, Civil Aviation) ƒ Utilities ƒ Media ƒ Retail ƒ Legal ƒ Consulting

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 5 The Met Office

Defence Service Types: ƒ Forecast Services: - Forecasts, One-to-One briefings, Advice and Guidance - UK and Overseas stations, MMU - Includes data, infrastructure, systems, staff

ƒ Data: - Raw NWP, Guidance and Products.

ƒ Research & Development: - Defence-specific techniques and technologies. - Capability development - Pull-through to operational services - Defence Climate Research Programme

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 6 The Met Office

The Mobile Met Unit (MMU):

In theatre support to defence: ƒ MMU: - Met Office civilian staff; - First RAF Sponsored reserve unit. - Some 60 staff

ƒ Deployments: - Iraq (Basra); - Afghanistan (Kabul, Helmand); - Multiple exercises

ƒ Direct contact with tactical users of military Met.

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 7 Changes in Defence

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 8 Changes in Defence

Key Drivers for Change: ƒ Doctrine – The Way Wars are Fought Rapid Response, effects based, coalition.

ƒ NEC – Network Enabled Capability Rapid analysis, dissemination and exploitation of information utilising common networks.

ƒ REP – Recognised Environmental Picture Providing a common context for decision-making at all levels: - Political / Strategic - Operational -Tactical

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 9 Support for Decision Making

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 10 Support for Decision Making

The Value of a Weather Forecast:

ƒ Information, however accurate, has no intrinsic value… ƒ …unless it can be used to make decisions that benefit the end user.

Or put another way… “You don’t get points for predicting rain. You get points for building Arks.” Lou Gerstner (Former CEO of IBM)

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 11 Support for Decision Making

Meteorological relevance to military activities:

ƒ Personnel

ƒ Weapons

ƒ Equipment

ƒ Sensors

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 12 Dust Forecasting

Dust Monitoring by Satellite:

Dust Plumes

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 13 Dust Forecasting

Forecasting Dust Storms:

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 14 Military Decision Support Tools

Forecasting Sensor Performance:

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 15 Heat Stress Forecasting

Forecasting the Impact of Weather on the Human Body:

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 16 Probabilistic Products

Significant Wave Height:

100%

Prob

0%

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 17 New Delivery Systems

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 18 The Point of Use

Delivering Met Data to Users and Systems:

ƒ Subject Matter Expert Expert interpretation for the educated user

ƒ Planning Applications Data & products to improve situational awareness and plan missions

ƒ Direct Data Ingestion Data direct to weapons or systems

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 19 Met Office Technology Projects

Future Product Generation and Delivery: ƒ SWIFT – New Forecaster Workstation Expert interpretation of Met Data and Production

ƒ MOMIDS – Met Display System Met Information for the Aviation user

ƒ JEDDS – Met Information and Web Services Development of a Met Database

ƒ SOA Foundation Project Project convergence.

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 20 The Swift Project

New Forecaster Workstation:

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 21 The MOMIDS 2G Project

Supporting the Expert User:

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 22 The JEDDS Project

A Prototype Met Data Server utilising Web Services:

User requests information to Data request support a decision submitted Interpret request Met. data for data and displayed return response integrated Data with other data returned

User Client System JEDDS

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 23 Future Systems

The Future Product Generation and Distribution System:

Visual Weather “JEDDS” Server / Server SWIFT

System User Workstation Deployable Workstation Browser Application Services Expert Forecaster Tactical Forecaster Expert User Other SOA systems

Increasing Reach and Integration – Decreasing functionality

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 24 Realising the Benefits

Advantages to the User: ƒ Interoperability through OGC Web Services Integration with existing systems using common standards ƒ Fusion with other data sources Enabling the generation of products that includes contextual data, including other environmental information ƒ Rapid prototyping and product generation Reducing cost and increasing flexibility and the potential to innovate. ƒ Flexible use of Bandwidth Reducing Provides the right information to the right level of detail when and where ever the user needs it.

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 25 Under Development…

Watch this space…:

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 26 Thank you

Andy Kirkman [email protected] 01392 886590

© Crown copyright 2007 Page 27