Canadian Journal of Political Science (2021), 1–22 doi:10.1017/S0008423921000470 RESEARCH ARTICLE/ÉTUDE ORIGINALE Eurosphere or Anglosphere? Canadian Public Opinion on Brexit and the Future of Transatlantic Relations Achim Hurrelmann1* , Frédéric Mérand2 and Stephen E. White1 1Carleton University, Department of Political Science, 1125 Colonel By Drive, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6 and 2Université de Montréal, Département de science politique, 3150, rue Jean-Brillant, Montréal, QC H3T 1N8 *Corresponding author. Email:
[email protected] Abstract Close relations with Europe, especially but not only with the United Kingdom, have long been a consensual tenet of Canadian foreign policy, which has supported European inte- gration since the 1970s. The UK’s withdrawal from the European Union threatens to upset this consensus. While Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has consistently cast Brexit in a negative light, Conservative leaders Andrew Scheer and Erin O’Toole have commented positively on the UK’s leaving the EU. Did their polarized views resonate in the popula- tion? To answer this question, this article analyzes the results of an original survey of vot- ing-age Canadians. Findings show a strong degree of correspondence between positions expressed in party discourse and preferences in the Canadian population. This raises the possibility that the difference between two models of transatlantic relations, which we call Eurosphere and Anglosphere, could emerge as a new fault line in Canadian foreign policy. Résumé Maintenir des relations étroites avec l’Europe, en particulier mais pas seulement avec le Royaume-Uni, constitue un principe consensuel de la politique étrangère canadienne, qui soutient l’intégration européenne depuis les années 1970.