JANUARY 2020 RENEWABLE ENERGY MARKET BRIEFING JAPAN
Authors: Kae Takase, Senior Manager, CDP-Japan Masaya Ishida, Senior Manager, Renewable Energy Institute (REI), Japan Shailesh Telang, Technical Manager, Renewable Energy, CDP RE100 RENEWABLE ENERGY MARKET BRIEFING JAPAN CHAPTER 01 CONTENTS ELECTRICITY 01 SECTOR LANDSCAPE Japan’s electricity journey started in 1887 Japan generated 18% of its electricity from 01 ELECTRICITY SECTOR LANDSCAPE 03 when Tokyo Electric Lighting, Japan’s renewable energy sources, including 8% first electric power company, started hydropower, mainly from large hydropower (>100 MW). However, coal and natural gas supplying electricity to the public. 1.1 Institutional structure of the electricity market 05 still contribute heavily to the overall electricity Japan is now the fifth largest consumer mix, with a 34% and 36% share respectively. of electricity with a consumption per 1.2 Market Liberalization Status 06 After the Fukushima nuclear accident in capita of 7,819 kWh (2014, World Bank). March 2011, Japanese nuclear power plants stopped their operations until new safety 1.3 Power grid availability and network 07 Japan has experienced substantial growth regulations were adopted. As of April 4th, in electricity consumption over the last five 2019, nine nuclear power plants with 9.1GW2 of decades.. After the implementation of a capacity are under operation compared to 55 02 RENEWABLE ELECTRICITY MARKET LANDSCAPE 09 feed-in tariff (FiT) scheme for renewables in nuclear power plants prior to the accident. 2012, there has been a significant increase in installed renewable energy capacity. The In order to reduce power sector greenhouse gas 03 RENEWABLE ELECTRICITY SOURCING OPTIONS 11 FiT scheme accelerated capital investment (GHG) emissions and achieve energy security in renewables, with installed capacity for the country, Japan adopted a new Strategic growing by 41,480 MW1 from the launch of 3 3.1 Onsite generation: 12 Energy Plan in 2010. The plan sets the country’s the scheme until the end of March 2018. energy policy until 2030 with objectives to double
3.2 Green electricity products: 13
3.3 Energy Attribute Certificates: 15 FIGURE 1: % ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY SOURCES IN JAPAN (FY2018)
3.3.1 Green Energy Certificates (GEC) 16 Natural Gas Wind Petroleum & Waste Solar 1.10 3.3.2 J-credits (renewable source) 17 Renewables Geothermal Nuclear 6.30 Bioenergy 3.3.3 Non-Fossil Fuel Certificates (NFC) 18 36.3 Coal 6 Hydropower
3.4 Comparison of renewable electricity sourcing options 19 0.20
3.5 Renewable Electricity Uses Claims 20 2.80 18.1 3.5.1 Compliance with RE100 criteria 20
04 RENEWABLE ELECTRICITY SOURCING BARRIERS 24 7.80 6 05 OPPORTUNITIES AND RECOMMENDATIONS 27 33.6
[Renewable Energy Institute, Japan]
1 https://www.jepic.or.jp/pub/pdf/epijJepic2019.pdf 2 Japan Nuclear Safety Institute 3 In October 2003, the Government formulated the First Energy Plan, and it publicized the Second Plan in March 2007 and the Third Plan in June 2010.
2 3 4 RE100 RENEWABLEENERGYMARKETBRIEFINGJAPAN
INSTALLED ELECTRICITY GENERATION CAPACITY (BY FUEL, GW) 0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 350.0 IUE 2: FIGURE expanding renewable energy in the grid mix. mix. grid the in energy renewable expanding for and resources fossil and power nuclear on dependency reducing for policies the outlined plan The 2014. April in 2030 for Plan’ Energy ‘Strategic 4th the established Japan of Government the 2011, March in accident nuclear Fukushima to the response In sector. industrial the in productivity energy improve and emissions, CO2 reduce self-sufficiency, energy 1 1 1 1 1 GW) FUEL, (BY CAPACITY GENERATION ELECTRICITY INSTALLED 1 0 Thermal Nuclear Hydropower 1 1 Renewables &others 1
Includes generationcapacityfromgeneralutilities,IPPs,andself-generation,butexcludes plantsunder1000kW. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 energy sources such as wind energy. energy. wind as such sources energy renewable other covering years 20 for support with 2012 in launched was tariffs high with scheme aFiT Subsequently, years. 10 for installations PV solar to support 2009 in launched was scheme AFiT years. five past the over sources, energy solar from particularly non-fossil fuel-based electricity generation, in growth asignificant been has there but market electricity the dominate still fuels Fossil 1 1 1
[EDMC/The InstituteofEnergyEconomics,Japan,2019] 1 1 1 1 000 001 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 010 011 01 01 01 01 01 01
ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY SOURCES (TWH) 0.0 200.0 400.0 600.0 800.0 IUE 3: FIGURE 4 ceased in 2005 in ceased which 2000 in started process liberalization agradual until utilities, regional 10 of monopoly a was market electricity Japanese The MARKET OF ELECTRICITY THE STRUCTURE 1.1 INSTITUTIONAL the establishment of the Electricity Market Market Electricity of the establishment the 2015); (OCCTO) April (in Operators Transmission Organization for Cross-regional Coordination of the of establishment the include reforms The respectively. 2020 April in and 2016 April 2015, April in phases three in (1964) Act Business Electricity the in regulations the amending via reforms market electricity the reinitiated
were regulated sohadto purchase electricityfrom oneofthe10regional utilities dependingonwhere you live. followed by deregulating high-voltage customers to choosesuppliersin2004and2005.Until2016, low-voltage customers The deregulation process started in2000, first by enablingextra-high voltage consumers to choose electricsuppliers, 2010 ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY SOURCES (TWH/YEAR, INCLUDING NON-UTILITY GENERATION) GENERATION) INCLUDING NON-UTILITY (TWH/YEAR, SOURCES BY GENERATION ELECTRICITY 4 . The Government of Japan Japan of Government . The 2011 [Agency forNaturalResourcesandEnergy,MinistryofEconomy,Trade,Industry,Government ofJapan] 2012 2013 Coal Nuclear Natural Gas Energy Department under ANRE/METI. Renewable and Conservation Energy the by governed are schemes support other and scheme aFiT including policy energy Trade and Industry (METI). Renewable Economy, of Ministry the within (ANRE), Energy and Resources Natural of Agency the by overseen is market and policy Electricity 2020. April in implemented to be set also is verticals transmission and generation power of separation The 2016). April (in sales retail electricity of liberalization full of implementation the and 2016; April in (EGC) and Gas Market Surveillance Commission Electricity to the renamed was which 2015), (in September Commission Surveillance 2014 PV Hydro Oil, etc. 2015 2016 Biomass Geothermal Wind CHAPTER 01 2017 5 RE100 RENEWABLE ENERGY MARKET BRIEFING JAPAN CHAPTER 01
FIGURE 4: OVERVIEW OF JAPANESE ELECTRICITY MARKET STAKEHOLDERS FIGURE 5: HISTORY AND PLAN FOR DEREGULATION OF THE JAPANESE ELECTRICITY MARKET
ELECTRICITY AND GAS MARKET SURVEILLANCE COMMISSION (directly under the Minister of METI) APRIL 2015 SEPT 2015 APRIL 2016 APRIL 2017 APRIL 2020 OCCTO EGC FULL OPEN LEGAL UNBUNDLING AGENCY FOR NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENERGY (ANRE), ESTABLISHED ESTABLISHED LIBERALIZATION PROCUREMENT OF RETAIL OF BALANCING REGULATED RETAIL MINISTRY OF ECONOMY, TRADE AND INDUSTRY (METI) MARKET POWER TARIFF CAN Renewable energy policy: Energy Conservation and Renewable Energy Department BE ABOLISHED Market structure: Electricity and Gas Industry Department
OCCTO Organization for Cross-regional Coordination of Transmission Operators 1.3 POWER GRID AVAILABILITY AND NETWORK
* Japan’s power grids have no international OCCTO has been working to manage existing 10 UTILITIES’ HOLDING COMPANIES connections. There are 10 general electric interconnection lines between utilities. utilities which build, operate and manage their However, these interconnection lines have transmission lines independently. Interchange limited capacity, even after the application of 10 UTILITIES’* 10 UTILITIES’ 10 UTILITIES’ of electricity between nine transmission areas a better power grid management process. In (the Okinawa islands are excluded) occurs GENERATION COMPANIES TRANSMISSION COMPANY RETAIL COMPANIES addition, the local power grids in areas where only for limited purposes and situations. renewable resources are abundant are likely to OTHER OTHER have limited transmission capacity available. INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS POWER RETAIL COMPANIES
*For Okinawa Electric Company, unbundling of the transmission company is not mandatory, and will not happen. FIGURE 6: JAPAN ELECTRIC POWER EXCHANGE (JEPX)
The role of the Electricity and Gas Market transmission and distribution from generation COMPETITION IN WHOLESALE MARKET Surveillance Commission (EGC) is to strengthen and retail is expected to be legalized and some and monitor the energy market reform and of the dominant, vertically integrated electric the role of the Organization for Cross-regional utilities5 are expected to be broken up. JAPAN ELECTRIC POWER EXCHANGE Coordination of Transmission Operators The regulated retail tariff was planned to be (OCCTO) is to facilitate better use and planning abolished in 2020. The purpose of regulating of cross-regional electricity transmission prices is to protect consumers in less competitive operations. OCCTO is a membership areas from unreasonably high prices compared organization for electricity generation, with those in competitive areas. However, due POWER GENERATION POWER GENERATION transmission and distribution, as well as POWER GENERATION to the status of competition in the electricity (EX-IPP, J-POWER ETC) (NEWCOMERS) retail companies. market, it is likely to be postponed6. GENERATION MINISTER OF
COORDINATE ECONOMY, TRADE Currently, the power system has three AND INDUSTRY 1.2 MARKET sectors: generation, transmission and distribution (regional monopoly under ELECTRICITY MARKET LIBERALIZATION STATUS SURVEILLANCE license/concession) and retail. SURVEILLANCE TRANSMISSION , DISTRIBUTION & GRID CONTROL SURVEILLANCE The liberalization of the retail sector was UTILITIES COORDINATE COMMISSION completed in April 2016 and since then, all According to METI, deregulation of the electricity consumers including household electricity market has the three key aims of: customers can choose their power retail 1) securing stable energy supply; 2) cutting MARKETING ELECTRIC RETAIL ELECTRIC RETAIL company for the delivery of electricity. electricity prices; and 3) expanding business RETAIL & SALES COMPANIES EX-PPS COMPANIES (NEWCOMERS) Following the open procurement of balancing opportunities for operators and the range of ORGANIZATION FOR power in April 2017, a number of new market choices for consumers. The liberalization of COORDINATE CROSS-REGIONAL COORDINATION OF the market will allow increased competition entrants obtained retail licenses for the power TRANSMISSION business. From 2020 onwards, unbundling of from many new market entrants. OPERATORS (OCCTO) CUSTOMERS COORDINATE
5 Tokyo Electric Company has already unbundled its generation department, transmission & distribution department, and retail department in 2016. COMPETITION IN RETAIL MARKET 6 http://www.emsc.meti.go.jp/english/info/public/pdf/180122.pdf
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FIGURE 7: JAPAN’S ELECTRICITY MARKET DEREGULATION PROCESS RENEWABLE ELECTRICITY
TRANSMISSION NO CHOICE CUSTOMERS GENERATION RETAIL & DISTRIBUTION REGULATED PRICES (Extra-high voltage, BEFORE high-voltage, low-voltage) 10 UTILITIES MARKET LANDSCAPE
DEREGULATION 02
Deregulated since 2000 Japan has set long-term targets for A FiT for rooftop solar PV was introduced in 2009. A further FiT for all types of renewable EXTRA-HIGH VOLTAGE 2030 for self-sufficiency, electricity prices and greenhouse gas emissions. energy sources for 20 years was introduced CONSUMERS in 2012, right after the Fukushima nuclear The Government plans to leverage TRANSMISSION accident in 2011. The FiT scheme, coupled GENERATION RETAIL Deregulated since 2004/2005 renewable energy sources such as solar, & DISTRIBUTION with the fact that rooftop solar PV plants 10 UTILITIES wind, hydropower, geothermal, and have a short lead time for construction, has HIGH VOLTAGE CONSUMERS biomass to reduce its reliance on nuclear stimulated rooftop solar PV implementation11. process) Wheeling power. Electricity retailers are required Since 2005, the annual growth rate of the CURRENT STATUS 1995~ price Deregulated since 2016 to have 44% or more of their sales (showing deregulation (showing RETAILERS renewable energy market has been 5%, until it GENERATION (IPPS) from non-fossil fuel sources by 2030. jumped to 29%12 after the introduction of the LOW VOLTAGE CONSUMERS The Government of Japan supports renewable FiT in 2012. This sharp rise demonstrates the energy market development. In the 1980s, it strong support that the FiT provided in further rolled out a loan scheme with low interest rates expanding renewables in Japan. Renewable for households to install rooftop solar heating electricity penetration is increasing significantly systems. It was very successful, with more each year and the market is changing to facilitate TRANSMISSION access to renewable electricity for all consumers. GENERATION RETAIL than 2.7 million households implementing solar & DISTRIBUTION heating systems under this scheme8. In 1992, However, Japan’s overall 2030 renewable energy 2020:LEGAL UNBUNDLING WITH CHOICES CUSTOMERS electric utilities started their voluntary net- target is relatively low at 22-24% of generation. UNREGULATED PRICES* (Extra-high voltage, high-voltage, low-voltage) metering scheme for rooftop PV, and in 1994, An auction scheme started in 2017 for large scale a subsidy was introduced to top-up the initial Wheeling solar PV and in 2018 for biomass (liquid and GENERATION investment. The subsidy significantly contributed FINALIZED PLANNED price timber woods, separately). The auction for solar
DEREGULATION IN 2020 RETAILERS (IPPS) to the introduction of rooftop PV in Japan PV started with a minimum size of over 2MW but ended in 2006 after renewable portfolio for plants but expanded to include plants over standards (RPS) were implemented in 2003, 500kW in 2019. The latest auction resulted in a * Regulated prices should remain until surveillance authority considers enough competition exists, for regulation not to be needed. requiring utilities to procure a fixed percentage minimum price of 10.5 yen/kWh, which is much Regulated prices were due to be abolished by 2020, but the authority is likely to extend this until the end of the year. 9 of renewables . The RPS scheme set an less than the FiT price for the same scale solar obligatory renewable energy target for electricity retailers of 1.6% of total electricity sales in 201410. As per the Electricity Business Act, existing METI is seeking to implement a more flexible power plants e.g. nuclear and coal-fired power grid operation policy (called “connect-and- plants are given priority in Japan (“first- manage”) to utilize existing transmission lines come basis”). The grid connectivity rule limits better and increase grid capacity to connect opportunities for renewable energy producers. renewables. TEPCO has started a pilot project The key issue faced by renewable energy for the connect-and-manage in Chiba, but producers in Japan is inadequate transmission most of other 10 utilities are reluctant to infrastructure to accommodate the growing implement connect-and-manage operations. renewable energy capacity and the high cost associated with grid connectivity. METI sets the “connectable amount” for each of the utilities, which further translates into generation limits 8 (Source: METI, History and Future of Renewable Energy, 2018.2.01, https://www.enecho.meti.go.jp/about/special/tokushu/ on renewable energy producers leading to saiene/saienerekishi.html) curtailment. In October 2018, the first curtailment 9 (Source: Japan For Sustainability, History of Solar PV in Japan, 2008.7.01, https://www.japanfs.org/ja/news/archives/news_ of solar power plants took place in Japan7. id027197.html) 10 (Source: METI, RPS Website, https://www.rps.go.jp/) 11 https://www.enecho.meti.go.jp/about/special/tokushu/saiene/saienerekishi.html 12 http://www.emsc.meti.go.jp/english/info/public/pdf/180122.pdf 7 https://www.renewable-ei.org/en/activities/column/REupdate/20190409.php
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FIGURE 8: TARIFF LEVEL IN 2019
45 RENEWABLE ELECTRICITY
40 SOURCING OPTIONS 35 03
30 The demand for renewable electricity Companies in Japan have the following options to source renewable electricity: h 25 is growing among corporate consumers (Industrial and commercial), as 1. Onsite generation;
YEN/KW 20 they have started recognizing the 2. Green electricity products (which can benefits of renewable electricity 15 include contracts similar to PPAs); consumption from an environmental Energy Attribute Certificates. and economic standpoint. 3. 10 Corporates in Japan are proactive in adopting 5 renewables, as shown by the growing number of Japanese companies joining the RE100 initiative and committing to source 100% renewable