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Estadísticas Anac 2015-2019.(Pdf)

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Estadísticas Anac 2015-2019.(Pdf) 2015 - 2019 DEPARTAMENTO DE ESTADÍSTICA Mercado Doméstico Valores [miles] 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2003 - 2015 2015 - 2019 Brasil Pax Domésticos 26.870 30.550 36.509 39.504 41.638 47.825 55.727 67.862 80.607 87.150 87.818 92.476 93.193 85.371 86.903 91.150 90.663 11% -1% Población 182.482 184.738 186.917 189.012 191.027 192.979 194.896 196.796 198.687 200.561 202.409 204.213 205.962 207.653 209.288 210.868 212.746 1% 1% Pax / 100 Hab 15 17 20 21 22 25 29 34 41 43 43 45 45 41 42 43 43 10% -1% Chile Pax Domésticos 3.198 3.379 4.096 4.771 5.058 5.975 7.025 8.335 9.473 9.814 9.897 10.835 11.598 13.454 15.750 12% 12% Población 15.268 15.420 15.572 15.724 15.876 16.027 16.179 16.331 16.483 16.635 16.822 17.010 17.198 17.386 17.574 17.768 17.964 1% 1% Pax / 100 Hab 21 21 26 30 31 37 43 50 56 58 58 62 66 76 88 11% 11% Colombia Pax Domésticos 7.439 7.698 7.764 8.354 8.785 8.993 10.168 13.247 13.828 16.130 18.947 20.123 22.317 23.198 22.451 23.349 26.425 10% 4% Población 40.075 40.772 41.468 41.991 42.513 43.035 43.558 44.080 44.602 45.125 45.647 46.169 46.692 47.214 47.736 48.258 48.825 1% 1% Pax / 100 Hab 19 19 19 20 21 21 23 30 31 36 42 44 48 49 47 48 54 8% 3% Perú Pax Domésticos 2.311 2.535 2.707 2.947 3.656 4.055 4.271 5.460 6.170 7.221 8.290 8.950 10.005 10.794 11.708 12.711 13.592 13% 8% Población 26.626 27.025 27.423 27.822 28.221 28.522 28.824 29.126 29.427 29.729 30.031 30.332 30.634 30.936 31.237 31.556 31.878 1% 1% Pax / 100 Hab 9 9 10 11 13 14 15 19 21 24 28 30 33 35 37 40 43 12% 7% Prom. Pax / 100 Hab 15 16 18 20 21 23 27 32 37 41 42 44 45 43 43 46 47 Argentina Pax Domésticos 4.442 5.108 5.139 4.951 4.991 5.259 6.184 6.663 6.254 7.328 8.194 9.012 10.168 10.763 12.404 14.044 16.050 7% 12% Población 38.312 38.726 39.140 39.554 39.968 40.382 40.799 41.224 41.657 42.097 42.540 42.982 43.418 43.847 44.271 44.689 45.087 1% 1% Pax / 100 Hab 12 13 13 13 12 13 15 16 15 17 19 21 23 25 28 31 36 6% 11% vs AVG LATAM -21% -18% -29% -37% -40% -44% -43% -50% -60% -57% -54% -52% -48% -43% -35% -31% -24% En el período 2003 – 2015, el promedio de crecimiento de los Mercado Doméstico totales, así como la relación con el total de la población en Argentina, estuvo muy por debajo del resto de los países de la región. El desfasaje máximo se alcanzó en 2011, un 60% por debajo del promedio regional en pasajeros cada 100 habitantes. Del 2015 a esta parte, Argentina, por el contrario, creció más que la mayoría (en línea con Chile), comenzando a revertir la situación. NOTAS: . Datos Brasil: https://www.anac.gov.br/assuntos/dados-e-estatisticas .2019 estimado a partir de los datos disponibles hasta agosto. Datos Chile: http://www.jac.gob.cl/estadisticas/ 2019 estimado a partir de los datos disponibles hasta septiembre. Datos Colombia: http://www.aerocivil.gov.co/atencion/estadisticas-de-las-actividades-aeronauticas 2019 estimado a partir de los datos disponibles hasta agosto. Datos Perú: https://portal.mtc.gob.pe/transportes/aeronautica_civil/estadistica/pasajeros.html 2019 estimado a partir de los datos disponibles hasta agosto. Datos Argentina: 2019 estimado a partir de datos disponibles hasta noviembre. DEPARTAMENTO DE ESTADÍSTICA Mercado Doméstico Pax Doméstico / 100 Hab 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2004 2007 2009 2010 2012 2015 2017 2018 2003 2005 2006 2008 2011 2013 2014 2016 2019 Brasil Chile Colombia Perú Argentina Hasta el 2010, Argentina sin crecimiento significativo en término de pasajeros por habitantes. Esta situación se revierte a partir de 2011 y tiene un nuevo punto de inflexión, acelerándose, desde 2016 en adelante. De mantenerse el ritmo de crecimiento, en los próximos 4 años se convergería a niveles de Perú o Colombia. NOTA: a modo de referencia, en países como Estados Unidos o Australia, hay entre 250 y 300 Mercado Doméstico por cada 100 habitantes. DEPARTAMENTO DE ESTADÍSTICA Mercado Doméstico Market Share Doméstico - Brasil Market Share Doméstico - Chile 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Varig / VRG LATAM Rio Sul Vasp GOL Azul Avianca Trip Webjet Resto LATAM Sky Airline JetSMART Pal Airline Aerolíneas del Sur / Air Comet Resto Market Share Doméstico - Colombia Market Share Doméstico - Perú 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Aero Continente LATAM Peruvian TACA (Avianca) Viva Air Sky Avianca SAM Colombia ACES Aires (LATAM) Viva Air Satena Easyfly Aerorepública (Copa) Resto LC Peru Aero Condor Aviandina TANS Star Peru DEPARTAMENTO DE ESTADÍSTICA Mercado Doméstico Market Share Doméstico - Argentina 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 ARSA LATAM Andes Flybondi Norwegian JetSmart Avianca Dinar LAPA SOL Southern Winds Otros A partir del 2009 aproximadamente, los mercados de los distintos países comenzaron a madurar, asentándose las empresas presentes en la actualidad. En la Argentina, el mercado estuvo cerrado y concentrado a lo largo de todo el período 2005 a 2015. DEPARTAMENTO DE ESTADÍSTICA Mercado Doméstico Noviembre 2015 Noviembre 2019 Andes JetSMART Andes 1% Norwegian 5% 1% 6% LATAM 24% Flybondi 9% LATAM 17% Aerolíneas Aerolíneas Argentinas Argentinas 62% 73% A partir del 2009 aproximadamente, los mercados de los distintos países comenzaron a madurar, asentándose las empresas presentes en la actualidad. En la Argentina, el mercado estuvo cerrado y concentrado a lo largo de todo el período 2005 a 2015. DEPARTAMENTO DE ESTADÍSTICA Mercado Doméstico Índice de Herfindahl - Doméstico 9.000 8.000 7.000 6.000 5.000 4.000 10.000 = Monopolio =Monopolio total 10.000 3.000 Concentración Concentración de Mercado 2.000 1.000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2019 2003 2004 2005 2006 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Brasil Chile Colombia Perú Argentina Históricamente, Argentina fue un mercado mucho más concentrado que otros países de la región como Brasil, Colombia y Perú. Desde el 2017, con el ingreso de las low cost, el mercado comenzó a atomizarse, convergiendo a niveles regionales (situación que también se dio en Chile con el ingreso de JetSmart en el 2016). NOTA: el índice de Herfindahl índice se calcula elevando al cuadrado la cuota de mercado que cada empresa posee y sumando esas cantidades. DEPARTAMENTO DE ESTADÍSTICA Mercado Doméstico Pax Doméstico / km2 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Brasil Chile Colombia Perú Argentina Evaluando los Mercado Doméstico en relación a la superficie de cada país, es evidente que Argentina tiene aún mucho potencial para crecer y seguir conectando las distintas provincias. Duplicando sus pasajeros, alcanzaría el promedio para la región. DEPARTAMENTO DE ESTADÍSTICA Mercado Doméstico e Internacional Pax Doméstico / Internacional 5,0 4,5 4,0 3,5 3,0 2,5 2,0 1,5 1,0 0,5 0,0 2018 2019 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Brasil Chile Colombia Perú Argentina En 2011, Argentina alcanzó su mínimo histórico en la relación Mercado Doméstico / internacionales, en 0.55. En 2019, el mercado doméstico volverá a superar al internacional luego de 20 años. En Brasil, el mercado doméstico cuadriplica al internacional. En el resto de los países de la región es, en promedio, 45% superior. DEPARTAMENTO DE ESTADÍSTICA Sección II Mercado Argentino DEPARTAMENTO DE ESTADÍSTICA DEPARTAMENTO DE ESTADÍSTICADE DEPARTAMENTO . NOTAS: Datos 2001 Datos 1988 el mercado doméstico volverá a superar al internacional 20 años. luego de internacional superar al a doméstico volverá mercado el 0.55. en internacionales, / Doméstico Mercado relación la en histórico mínimo su alcanzó Argentina 2011, En Mercado e InternacionalDoméstico – – 2019: 2019: fuente ANAC 2000: provisorios INDEC Pasajeros 1998 - 2019 18,0 16,0 14,0 12,0 10,0 8,0 6,0 Pasajeros[millones] 4,0 2,0 0,0 1988 1991 1992 1993 1995 1996 1997 1999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2008 2009 2012 2013 2016 2017 1989 1990 1994 1998 2002 2003 2006 2007 2010 2011 2014 2015 2018 2019 Cabotaje Internacional En 2019,En Mercado Doméstico Rutas y Conexiones Domésticas 160 Entre 2003 y 2015, el número de rutas domésticas no varió.
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