COVID-19 Update

Series: 03

MINISTRY OF PLANNING, INVESTMENT AND Somalia as of 23rd June ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT MINISTRY OF PLANNING, INVESTMENT AND 2020 ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT COVID-19 cases: 2835 Directorate of National Statistics

Deaths: 90 Directorate of National Statistics Recoveries: 829

Recoveries: 486

Number of confirmed cases per state:

 Somaliland: 682

 Puntland: 282  Hiirshabelle: 24 CORONOVIRUS (COVID-19) Update

 South West: 142 Reported period 10th June – 23rf June, 2020  Galmudug: 118  Jubaland: 176

 Benadir: 1411

Key Summary Indicators

There are 2835 confirmed cases in Somalia with 90 deaths and 829 recoveries 50% of the confirmed COVID 19 cases in the country are in Benadir Regional Administration 72% of the confirmed COVID 19 cases are Hotline Numbers for COVID-19 males, and 28% are females

Please call if you are in: COVID-19 has claimed the lives of 3 persons

for every 100 confirmed cases in Somalia Galmudug: 449 Somaliland:988 Puntland: 343 Jubaland: 466 Benadir: 449 Southwest:449

Ministry of Planning, Investment and Economic Development Directorate of National Statistics

Number of confirmed cases, FIGURE 1: COVID-19 EVENTS Actives cases, Recoveries, NUMBER OF CONFIR M ED CASES , ACTIVES CASES, and Deaths in Somalia RECOVERIES, AND DEATHS IN SOM ALIA As of 23rd of June 2020, the 2835 number of confirmed cases

are 2835 with 829 recoveries and 90 deaths. In addition, 1916 the active cases are 1916 as shown in Figure1 829 90

CONFIRMED ACTIVE CASES RECOVERIES DEATHS CASES

Percentage Distribution of COVID 19 Figure 2: Percentage distribution of confirmed cases by State Confirmed Cases by State Hiirshabelle Galmudug Jubaland 1% Approximately 50 percent of the confirmed 4% COVID-19 cases in the country are in 6% Banaadir Region whereas the remaining (24 South West percent) are from Somaliland, Puntland (10 5% percent), Jubbaland (6 percent), South West (5 percent), Galmudug (4 percent) and Hirshabelle State (1 percent) as shown in Benadir (Figure 2). Somaliland 50% 24% Banaadir COVID-19 cases remain the highest although there was a decrease from 56 percent last update to 50 percent. However the percentage confirmed cases in Puntland Somaliland has increases from 19 percent 10% last update to 24 percent.

Comparison of confirmed cases by States

From 26th May to 23rd June 2020, the number of confirmed cases in Benadir has decreased at 66th percent on 26th May to 50 percent on 23rd June, while Somaliland confirmed cases also increased at 13 percent on 26th May to 24 percent on 23rd June 2020.

Figure 3: Comparison of confirmed cases by States 26 May - 9 June 2020 100

80 66 56 60 50

40 24 19 20 9 10 13 8 5 5 5 6 7 6 1 1 1 1 4 4 0 Benadir Puntland Somaliland South West Jubaland Hiirshabelle Galmudug

26-May 9-Jun 23-Jun

Sex Distribution of COVID-19 Figure 4: Sex Distribution of COVID-19 Confirmed Cases Confirmed Cases Figure 4 shows that majority of Female confirmed cases are males (2052) 28% constituting 72%. Since the first COVID-19 confirmed case, males are the highest compared to the females. Male 72%

Comparison of Somalia with its Neighboring Countries Figure 5: COVID-19 EVENTS Figure 5 shows that Kenya has reported the Comparison of Somalia with its Neighboring Countries highest number of confirmed COVID-19 cases (4797) followed by Ethiopia (4663)

75 Ethiopia 1297 Djibouti was ranked the third among its 4663

neighboring countries (4599), whereas the least 90 Somalia 829 confirmed COVID-19 cases was reported by 2835 Somalia (2835). 125 Kenya 1680 4797 On the other hand, it has been observed that 48 Somalia and Kenya has the highest number of Djibouti 3952 4599 deaths (90 and 125) respectively, whereas the lowest number of deaths was in Djibouti (48 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 deaths). Deaths Recoveries Total cases

Case Fatality Rates of the COVID-19 pandemic 8 Figure 6: Case Fatality Rates Of COVID-19 The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is the ratio between confirmed deaths and confirmed cases. 7 6 Based on the comparison of CFR in Somalia and 5 its neighboring countries, Kenya reported 4% highest at 4% deaths per 100 confirmed cases 4 3% followed by Somalia 3% while Djibouti was the 3 lowest only 1% per 100 confirmed cases as 2 2% shown in Figure 6. 1% 1 As of 23rdjune, 2020, almost 3 persons die in 0 every 100 confirmed COVID-19 cases in Somalia. DJIBOUTI KENYA SOMALIA ETHIOPIA

Figure: 7 illustrates information on the trend of weekly confirmed COVID19 cases by Federal Member States, Somaliland and Benadir Regional Administration. Overall, Benadir region no significant from third week of June to First week of July (from 22 to 22 cases per week) and, while Somaliland cases Increased the 4th week of June to 1st week of July from 31 cases per week to 57 cases per week.

Figure 7: Trend of confirmed COVID-19 Cases by State 300

Banadir Somaliland 250 244 Puntland 234

Jubaland 200 196 South West 200

172Galmudug

150 Hirshabelle 147 143 129 117 116 100

78 82 66 70 56 50 50 54 52 51 51 46 43 34 38 35 25 27 23 19 1922 20 22 18 11 15 1112 1215 9 5 8 7 5 0 3 23 32 13 4 2 1 2 402 04/13 04/20 04/27 05/04 05/11 05/18 05/25 06/01 06/08 06/09 06/22

Figure 8 shows changes in the Figure 8: COVID-19 case trends in Somalia number of weekly covid19 cases in Somalia. 366 345 It has been observed a sharp 333 327 increase in the number of confirmed cases from 13th April to 18th May 276 274 2020 and it peaked at 366 cases per 243 234 week. Thereafter, it has dropped to 234 cases on the last week of May, 177 however, the cases increased again 170 to 345 per week on 8th June 2020.

04/13 04/20 04/27 05/04 05/11 05/18 05/25 06/01 06/08 06/15 06/22

References:

JHU. (2020, June 8). Johns Hopkins University. Retrieved from Mortality Analyses : https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/mortality

MOH. (2020, June 8. Ministry of Health and Social Care of the Federal Republic of Somalia . Retrieved from COVID-19 Situation Briefings: https://moh.nomadilab.org/