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Doss36 AAE Future-Of-European Quel avenir pour l’industrie aéronautique et spatiale européenne ? Les questions à examiner sous l’éclairage de la politique industrielle intégrée exprimée par la Commission européenne What future for the European aeronautics and space industries? Questions raised in the light of the integrated industrial policy issued by the European Commission Dossier 36 - 2013 © Académie de l’air et de l’espace, 2013 Tous droits réservés / All rights reserved Imprimé par / Printed by Evoluprint Parc Industriel Euronord - 10 rue du Parc - 31150 Bruguières www.evoluprint.fr ISBN 2-913331-52-1 ISSN 1147-3657 Dossiers récents / Recent Dossiers: n°35 Trafic aérien et météorologie, 2011 Air Traffic and Meteorology, 2011 n°34 Une stratégie à long terme pour les lanceurs spatiaux européens, 2010 Long-term Strategy for European Launchers, 2010 n°33 Les Aéroports face à leurs défis, 2010 Airports and their Challenges, 2010 n°32 Prise de risque : conclusions et recommandations, 2009 Risktaking: Conclusions and Recommendations, 2009 n°31 Pour une approche européenne à la sécurité dans l’espace, 2008 For a European Approach to Security in Space, 2008 n°30 Le Rôle de l’Europe dans l’exploration spatiale, 2008 The Role of Europe in Space Exploration, 2008 n°29 Le Transport aérien face au défi énergétique, 2007 Air Transport and the Energy Challenge, 2007 n°28 La Sécurité des compagnies aériennes, 2007 Airline Safety, 2007 n°27 L’Europe de l’Espace ; enjeux et perspectives, 2006 Space; a European Vision, 2006 n°26 Compagnies de transport aérien à bas prix, 2006 Low-fare Airlines, 2006 n°25 La Révolution des drones, 2005 The UAV Revolution, 2005 n°24 L’Impact du trafic aérien sur l’environnement, 2004 Impact of Aviation on the Environment, 2004 n°23 La Menace balistique : quelle politique pour la France et l’Europe ?, 2004 The Ballistic Threat: What should be the policy of France and Europe?, 2004 n°22 L’Europe et les débris spatiaux, 2003 Europe and Space Debris, 2003 n°21 Retour d’expérience dans l’aviation civile, 2003 Feedback from Experience in Civil Aviation, 2003 n°20 Formation des pilotes, 2002 Pilot Training, 2002 TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword................................................................................................................8 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The aerospace industry: a strategic, thriving export sector ................................10 The civil aviation industry ....................................................................................12 The military aviation industry ..............................................................................16 The main space industry programmes ................................................................18 The European Preference Rule ..........................................................................20 INTRODUCTION....................................................................................................22 1- THE EUROPEAN CIVIL AERONAUTICS INDUSTRY Overview..............................................................................................................26 Prospects for world air transport by 2050 ..........................................................28 Consequences for European civil aeronautics manufacturing ............................30 2- THE MILITARY AVIATION INDUSTRY A necessary reinforcement of Europe's defence sector......................................40 4 A concerted industrial policy between European governments ..........................42 3- THE SPACE INDUSTRY Introduction..........................................................................................................50 Space programmes and the European space industry ......................................52 The rule of fair geographical return ....................................................................54 Towards a European Union industrial policy for space programmes..................54 The European preference, a policy that remains to be implemented ................60 4- CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 1- Research, technology and innovation in the aviation industry........................62 2- Maintaining aerospace skills ..........................................................................64 3- Competition ....................................................................................................64 4- Economic conditions and financial resources ................................................64 5- Legal structures and governance....................................................................66 6- European defence markets ............................................................................66 7- The main space industry programmes ..........................................................68 8- The European preference rule ........................................................................68 TABLE DES MATIÈRES Avant-propos ........................................................................................................9 RÉSUMÉ OPÉRATIONNEL L’industrie aéronautique et spatiale : un secteur stratégique ..............................11 L’industrie aéronautique civile ............................................................................13 L’industrie aéronautique de défense ..................................................................17 Les grands programmes de l’industrie spatiale ..................................................19 La règle de préférence européenne....................................................................21 INTRODUCTION....................................................................................................23 1- LA CONSTRUCTION AÉRONAUTIQUE CIVILE EUROPÉENNE Panorama général ..............................................................................................27 Les perspectives du transport aérien mondial à l’horizon 2050..........................29 Les conséquences pour la construction aéronautique civile européenne ..........31 2- L’INDUSTRIE AÉRONAUTIQUE DE DÉFENSE Une nécessaire relance de l'Europe de la défense ............................................41 Une politique industrielle concertée entre les gouvernements européens ........43 5 3- L’INDUSTRIE SPATIALE Introduction..........................................................................................................51 Les programmes spatiaux et l'industrie spatiale européenne ............................53 La règle du juste retour géographique ................................................................55 Vers une politique industrielle de l’UE pour les programmes spatiaux ..............55 La préférence européenne, une politique qui reste à mettre en oeuvre ............61 4- CONCLUSIONS ET RECOMMANDATIONS 1- Recherche, technologie et innovation dans l’industrie aéronautique ......................63 2- Maintien des compétences aérospatiales ......................................................65 3- Concurrence....................................................................................................65 4- Conditions économiques et ressources financières........................................65 5- Structures juridiques et de gouvernance ........................................................67 6- Marchés de défense en Europe......................................................................67 7- Les grands programmes de l’industrie spatiale ..............................................69 8- La règle de préférence européenne................................................................69 APPENDICES Appendix 1: Main economic data ........................................................................70 Appendix 2: Aspects specific to civil aircraft construction ..................................72 Appendix 3: Competition in civil aircraft industry outside Europe ......................74 Appendix 4: Prospects for air transport within a 2050 timeline ........................100 Appendix 5: General rules of management for space programmes ................108 Appendix 6: Good practices in the customer/vendor partnership......................114 Appendix 7: Classification of tiers in the aeronautical industry ........................118 Presentation of the Air and Space Academy ....................................................120 Publications List ................................................................................................124 6 ANNEXES Annexe 1 : Principales données économiques ..................................................71 Annexe 2 : Les spécificités de la construction aéronautique civile ....................73 Annexe 3 : La concurrence de l'industrie aéronautique civile hors Europe ........75 Annexe 4 : Perspectives du transport aérien à l'horizon 2050..........................101 Annexe 5 : Règles générales de conduite des programmes spatiaux..............109 Annexe 6 : Bonnes pratiques dans les relations donneur d'ordres-fournisseur115 Annexe 7 : Définition des niveaux dans l'industrie aéronautique ......................119 Présentation de l'Académie de l'air et de l'espace............................................121 Liste des Publications........................................................................................124 7 FOREWORD The Air and Space Academy is delighted to note that since 2010, Europe’s industrial policy has become a major concern of the European Commission. The wish to strengthen industrial competitiveness inevitably raises the question as to what actions to take in terms of industrial policy on a level of Europe
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