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1983-84 Bank Indonesia Annual Report.Pdf NOTES, SYMBOLS AND SOURCE OF DATA r Rivised figures * Provisional figures ** Incomplete figures (i.e. compiled from incomplete data) . Data not yet available - - Nil or less than the last digit ( ) Partial data x Break in comparability before and after the symbol $ United States Dollar Source of data : Bank Indonesia, unless mentioned otherwise. iii INTRODUCTION During 1983/84, the last year of the Third Five- and the mobilization of funds. Under this policy, Year Development Plan (Pelita III), the Indonesian bank credit essentially no longer depended on li- economy faced difficult challenges particularly as quidity credit from Bank Indonesia which contained a consequence of the world recession and unfa- subsidies, but rather on the ability of banks to mo- vorable developments in the oil market. However, bilize funds from the public. In addition, credit the economy performed satisfactorily as displayed policy using a system of ceiling enacted since by the higher growth rate and the significant im- 1974 was discontinued. In line with this policy, provement in the balance of payments. The bal- since June 1, 1983 state banks were free to de- ance of payments, which in the previous year termine their own interest rates both for lendings showed the largest deficit ever experienced, in the (except for high priority credits) as well as for de- reporting year reversed to a substantial surplus. posits mobilized from the public. The June 1, 1983 Similarly, deficit in the current account was sub- Monetary Policy succeeded in enhancing the ca- stantially reduced, while the surplus in the bal- pability of mobilizing funds and simultaneously ance of trade recorded a considerable increase. contributed positively to monetary stability, which In step with economic growth and improved bal- since June 1, 1983 had been carried out princi- ance of payments, development in domestic pally through the use of indirect monetary instru- prices were kept at a manageable level. ments, such as reserve requirements, open mar- ket operation through the issuance of the Bank The satisfactory economic performance in the Indonesia certificates (or Sertifikat Bank Indone- reporting year was primarily due to a series of ad- sia -- SBI), discount facilities and moral suasion. justment policies implemented by the Government The new tax reform and the reduction in subsidy as well as efforts to encourage domestic produc- as well as the more stringent routine government tion. In addition, improvements in the world expenditures also contributed to monetary stabil- economy, particularly since the second semester ity. of 1983, contributed towards positive development in the economy. Adjustment in the currency in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in real terms, form of a devaluation of the rupiah implemented used to measure the growth of the economy, ex- towards the beginning of the reporting year and perienced an increase of 4.2% in 1983 compared various efforts to promote nonoil and non-gas ex- with only 2.2% in the previous year. This improve- ports (non-oil exports) succeeded in improving the ment was primarily due to a substantial growth in competitiveness of the Indonesian economy and agriculture, particularly food crops and smallholder increasing rate of growth of non-oil exports. More- plantations. In addition, the better performance of over, the rephasing of various large government the trade and industrial sectors also contributed projects in May 1983 contributed to the efforts to to this higher growth rate. save foreign exchange. Agriculture, which still occupied the top list in Along with the policies which directly contrib- the contribution to the GDP, in 1983 showed an uted to improving the balance of payments, the increase in value added of 4.8% compared with June 1, 1983 Monetary Policy which constituted a only 2.1% in the previous year. The manufactur- deregulation in the banking sector contributed to ing sector, recording only a slightly higher increase initiating fundamental changes in the field of credit than the previous year, showed a decline in its iv share in the composition in the GDP. Mining, which ing year the combined export value of those three in the previous year recorded a negative growth of commodities went up by 68.8% compared with 12.1 %, in 1983 reversed to an increase of 1.8%. 33.5% in the previous year. Accordingly, their share The reversed trend was due primarily to better in the total value of non-oil exports rose from 7.5% output performance of oil, gas, coal and bauxite. to 9.2%. It may be added that the decline in the value of palm oil exports was directly connected In the reporting year the growth of domestic with the policy of the Government to ensure ad- production was also accompanied by the improve- equate domestic supply while declines in the ex- ment in trade and favorable developments in bal- ports of tin and copper were due to prevailing slug- ance of payments. Overall balance of payments gish world demand. experienced a surplus of $ 2,070 million compared with a deficit of $ 3,280 million in the preceding The decrease in the value of oil exports was year. Accordingly, the amount of the official for- attributable to the decline in prices, by 15.6% to $ eign exchange reserves in the Central Bank rose 29.15 per barrel, although the volume was up by from $ 3,074 million at the end of March 1983 to $ 16.4% over the previous year. Similarly, the vol- 5,144 million at the end of the reporting year. Simi- ume of LNG exports in the reporting year rose by larly, deficit in the current account which in the 15.0%, however the value was down due to a previous year amounted to $ 7,039 million, de- 15.1% price decline. clined significantly to $ 4,151 million, whereas the For the first time in fifteen years, in the report- surplus in the balance of trade improved remark- ing year the value of total imports (f.o.b.) declined ably, from $ 176 million to $ 3,512 million. by 11.9% to $ 16,304 million. This reversed trend Total exports reached $ 19,816 million, or an occurred both in the imports of oil and LNG com- increase of 6.1 % from the previous year. This panies as well as non-oil imports, respectively performance was due to the rapid growth of nonoil down by 20.1 % and 9.3%. exports, by 36.6%, while oil and LNG exports con- The decline in imports of oil companies was tinued to experience declines, by 1.9% and 2.5%, due to the smaller import bills of fuel oils and crude respectively. oil (ALC), by 29.2% and 21.5%, respectively. The decline in non-oil imports occurred in imports fi- The considerable improvement of non-oil ex- nanced by general foreign exchange, foreign as- ports was due both to the stronger world demand sistance as well as foreign investment. It may be following the economic recovery in the industrial- added that the decline in value of imports in the ized countries as well as the result of policies and reporting year was closely associated with the efforts to encourage those exports. In the report- rupiah- devaluation towards the beginning of the ing year the export value of almost all important reporting year, the rephasing of large government commodities were up, except for palm oil, tin and projects as well as the June 1, 1983 Monetary copper. Large increases were recorded in the ex- Policy which indirectly dampened the propensity ports of processed wood, rubber, coffee, tea, to import. nickel, aluminium, textiles, electrical appliances, handicrafts, urea fertilizer as well as cement. Ob- The surplus in the balance of payments expe- serving the various export commodities, it should rienced in the reporting year had an expansionary be noted that manufactured products, specifically effect on the money supply which in the previous textiles, handicrafts and electrical appliances con- year was contractionary. Another rather substan- tinued to show significant increases. In the report- tial expansionary effect was connected with loans v to companies and individuals, though at a lower due to the rupiah devaluation on March 30, 19$3. level than that of the previous year. These expan- The quite rapid escalation in government rev- sionary effects were in part offset by a contrac- enues in the reporting year was primarily due to tion in the government sector, which in the previ- higher proceeds from corporate tax on oil, income ous year was expansionary, as well as the rapid tax, sales tax, import levy, tariffs and export taxes. rise in quasi money, bringing forth an increase of Corporate tax on oil, which constituted one of the only 9.2% in money supply compared with 8.9% largest sources of domestic revenues (66.0%), in the preceding year. The rapid rise in quasi showed an increase of Rp 1,350 billion (16.5%) money namely 58.2% compared with 25.&% in compared with a decline of Rp 458 billion (5.3%) the preceding year, resulted in a rather high in- in the preceding year. Similarly, tariffs and export crease in the domestic liquidity in the reporting taxes which in 1982/83 respectively showed de- year. Domestic liquidity, consisting of currency in clines of 2.6% and 36.4%, in the reporting year circulation and quasi money (principally time de- rose by 6.7% and 26.8%, whereas income tax, posits and savings), in the reporting year rose by sales tax, and import levy rose by 38.1%, 20.5% 28.7% compared with only 14.5% in the preced- and 10.8%, respectively. It should be added that ing year. It may be added that the rapid increase to meet the ever increasing financial requirements in quasi money in the reporting year was primarily for development programs, the Government con- due to the upward trend of the rupiah time depos- tinued to utilize foreign assistance, which in the its as a consequence of the June 1, 1983 Mon- reporting year amounted to Rp 3,882 billion.
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