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Abstract Book.Pdf Executive Committee Motoyuki Suzuki, International EMECS Center, Japan Toshizo Ido, International EMECS Center, Governor of Hyogo Prefecture, Japan Leonid Zhindarev, Working Group “Sea Coasts” RAS, Russia Valery Mikheev, Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Russia Masataka Watanabe, International EMECS Center, Japan Robert Nigmatullin, P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology RAS, Russia Oleg Petrov, A.P. Karpinsky Russian Geological Research Institute, Russia Scientific Programme Committee Ruben Kosyan, Southern Branch of the P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology RAS, Russia – Chair Masataka Watanabe, Chuo University, International EMECS Center, Japan – Co-Chair Petr Brovko, Far Eastern Federal University, Russia Zhongyuan Chen, East China Normal University, China Jean-Paul Ducrotoy, Institute of Estuarine and Coastal Studies, University of Hull, France George Gogoberidze, Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Russia Sergey Dobrolyubov, Academic Council of the Russian Geographical Society, M.V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, Russia Evgeny Ignatov, M.V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, Russia Nikolay Kasimov, Russian Geographical Society, Technological platform “Technologies for Sustainable Ecological Development” Igor Leontyev, P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology RAS, Russia Svetlana Lukyanova, M.V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, Russia Menasveta Piamsak, Royal Institute, Thailand Erdal Ozhan, MEDCOAST Foundation, Turkey Daria Ryabchuk, A.P. Karpinsky Russian Geological Research Institute, Russia Mikhail Spiridonov, A.P. Karpinsky Russian Geological Research Institute, Russia Ivica Trumbic, UNESCO-IHP, Croatia Eric Wolanski, James Cook University, Australia Tetsuo Yanagi, Kyushu University, International EMECS Center, Japan EMECS 11 – Sea Coasts XXVI, August 22-27, 2016, St Petersburg, Russia Table of Contents Plenary Talks 4 Oral presentations 9 Poster presentations 142 SSP meeting presentations 244 Author Index 267 2 PLENARY TALKS EMECS 11 – Sea Coasts XXVI, August 22-27, 2016, St Petersburg, Russia PT1 SHORT-TERM VARIABILITY OF COASTAL ZONE HYDRODYNAMICS UNDER AN EXTERNAL FORCING: OBSERVATIONS AT THE BLACK SEA RESEARCH SITE OF SIO RAS Andrey Zatsepin1, Sergey Kuklev2, Alexander Ostrovskii1, Vladimir Piotoukh1, Oleg Podymov2, Ksenia Silvestrova1, Dmitry Soloviev1,3, Sergey Stanichny1,3 1P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS (SIO RAS), Moscow, Russia, 2Southeren Branch of the P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS (SIO RAS), Gelendzhik, Russia, 3Marine Hydrophysical Institute RAS, Sevastopol, Russia. [email protected] Since 2010, the P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology RAS (SIO RAS) in Gelendzhik maintains the research (observational) site for year round multi-disciplinary studies and monitoring of the marine environment in the coastal zone. Analysis of the data obtained at the observational site revealed the existence of well pronounced short-term variability of coastal zone hydrodynamics at time scales from 1-3 days to 1-2 weeks. The paper examines the role of external forcing (including the impact of adjoined open sea dynamics and wind stress) in the short-term variability of hydrodynamics and upper mixed layer evolution. 4 EMECS 11 – Sea Coasts XXVI, August 22-27, 2016, St Petersburg, Russia PT3 TOOLS AND SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS FOR POLICY MAKERS BASED ON THE RESULTS OF THE PERSEUS EU PROJECT Evangelos Papathanasiou1, N. Streftaris1, L. Giannoudi1 1Hellenic Centre for Marine Research, Greece [email protected] PERSEUS (Policy-oriented marine Environmental Research in Southern EUropean Seas) was a large-scale, four-year EU project (2012-2015) involving 53 partners from 21 countries and 300+ scientists that assessed the combined effects and impacts of human and natural pressures on the Mediterranean and Black Seas and used the objectives and principles of the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD) to achieve its goal. PERSEUS was a first-of–its-kind, marine environmental research project that targeted a large part of its activities at creating science-based governance tools for policy makers and supported them in developing adaptive policies for the achievement of Good Environmental Status (GES) across the Mediterranean and Black Sea. Scientific findings from PERSEUS showed that pressures on both the Mediterranean and the Black Sea are still increasing. In addition, and related to knowledge-based policy it seems that there is a lack of data accessibility and long time series, while in many cases poorly constrained processes cannot really support policy making (e.g. ecosystem functioning, climate change, fisheries management, etc.). Resource exploitation, industrial pollution, tourism and transportation affect their ecosystems, but can also have negative effects on socio- economic activities. Working closely with the Regional Conventions of Mediterranean and the Black Sea, and providing a set of tools for the policy makers, PERSEUS enhanced the understanding of the true added value of the policy-science interface. 5 EMECS 11 – Sea Coasts XXVI, August 22-27, 2016, St Petersburg, Russia PT5 WATER DIVERSION AND SEA-LEVEL RISE: POTENTIAL THREATS TO FRESHWATER SUPPLIES IN THE CHANGJIANG RIVER ESTUARY Chen Zhongyuan1, Li Maotian2 1State Key Lab. for Estuarine and Coastal Research, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China, 2East China Normal University, China [email protected] The densely-populated mega-city of Shanghai relies increasingly on freshwater from the Changjiang estuary (70% now). However, this strategy is facing potential threats due to extensive water diversion in the lower basin and future sea-level rise. The present study evaluates the ability of Shanghai to source its water from the estuary, especially in the dry season. Flow <15,000 m3 s-1 ca. 50% for dry seasons, represents the threshold for salinity 0.45 psu (chloride 250 mg/L) above which the estuary is unusable for freshwater. Correlating discharge and salinity, maximum salinity and related time duration, and taking the future water diversions and sea-level rise into consideration, we extrapolated salinity events into the future at intervals of 10 years until 2040. We estimate that water diversions of 56.2x109m3 (1800 m3s-1), 59.2x109m3 (1900 m3s-1) and 61.3x109 m3 (2000 m3s-1) will occur in 2020, 2030 and 2040, and a rise of sea level of 0.12 m by 2040 (from 2010), equivalent 506 m3s-1, ca. 19.4% of the total reducing discharge of 2040 into the estuary (ca. 28% projected to the worst case of February of 2040). Based on scenario building, the pattern of salinity distribution would remain >0.45 for 20-65, 75-90 and 120-128 days (in 2020, 2030, and 2040, respectively), for extreme low-flow conditions. These periods exceed the present 68-day maximum freshwater storage in Qingcaosha reservoir, which is meant to secure freshwater for Shanghai in the future. 6 EMECS 11 – Sea Coasts XXVI, August 22-27, 2016, St Petersburg, Russia PT6 HISTORY OF TOTAL POLLUTION LOAD CONTROL AND POSSIBLE FUTURE COASTAL MANAGEMENT IN JAPAN Osamu Matsuda1 1International EMECS Center, Hiroshima University, Japan [email protected] Environmental management system of coastal seas in Japan differs between enclosed coastal seas and other coastal seas. Among 88 officially designated enclosed coastal seas, Total Pollution Load Control (TPLC) system in terms of COD, Total Nitrogen (TN) and Total Phosphorus (TP) has been applied to special 3 areas which were Tokyo Bay, Ise Bay and the Seto Inland Sea including their watershed. TPLC has given significant effects on the reduction of pollutants load and on the improvement of water quality in these three designated areas. Present status of Tokyo Bay and Ise Bay requires further reduction of pollutants load. On the other hand, the Seto Inland Sea except Osaka Bay does not require further reduction of TN and TP load because TN and TP concentration in sea water of the area has been already satisfied with environmental standards of TN and TP. Accordingly, the Seto Inland Sea except Osaka Bay are now entering into new phase of TPLC system which can be said to be post-TPLC age. In that sense, the Seto Inland Sea is a kind of top runner of environmental management in Japan. However, holistic environmental condition of the Seto Inland Sea is not so good as desirable level because biological habitat such as sea grass bed and tidal flat, biological diversity and living resources are so deteriorated. Possible future coastal management in this area is requested to include active conservation such as restoration of biodiversity, biological productivity, habitat and well balanced nutrient cycle between land and sea. Holistic approaches such as ecosystem-based management (EBM), integrated coastal management (ICM) should also be incorporated. Governmental basic plan for the environmental conservation of the Seto Inland Sea and the Seto Inland Sea Law were recently revised in 2015 towards new direction. Although the revised new system has not fully worked yet partly because action plan of each prefecture level has not yet consolidated. However, new management policy of the Seto Inland Sea will contribute to the future coastal management of all coastal seas around Japan. 7 EMECS 11 – Sea Coasts XXVI, August 22-27, 2016, St Petersburg, Russia ORAL PRESENTATIONS 8 EMECS 11 – Sea Coasts XXVI, August 22-27, 2016, St Petersburg, Russia O1. DEVELOPMENT OF COASTAL MANAGEMENT METHOD TO REALIZE THE SUSTAINABLE COASTAL SEA Tetsuo Yanagi1 International EMECS Center, Japan [email protected] The Ministry of Environment,
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