Somalia Somalia Security and Justice Sector PER
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Report No: AUS8353 . Federal Republic of Somalia Somalia Security and Justice Sector PER Public Disclosure Authorized . January 2017 . GMF07 AFRICA . Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized . Standard Disclaimer: . This volume is a product of the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/ The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Copyright Statement: . The material in this publication is copyrighted. 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All other queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to the Office of the Publisher, The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA, fax 202-522-2422, e-mail [email protected]. i Somalia Security and Justice Public Expenditure Review United Nations Assistance Mission in Somalia and the World Bank January 2017 The Security and Justice Sector Public Expenditure Review for Somalia was written by a joint team of World Bank and United Nations Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNSOM) staff in collaboration with the Federal Government of Somalia and representatives of the existing and emerging federal member states. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this volume do not reflect the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank, the governments they represent, nor the members of the United Nations. Although this is a joint report, in line with their respective institutional mandates, the UN led on the technical content of Chapters 2, 3 and 4, and World Bank led on the technical content of Chapters 5 and 6. Acknowledgements The Somalia Security and Justice Sector Public Expenditure Review (SJPER) was co-led by Paolo Zacchia and Bernard Harborne from the World Bank, and Jeff Sims from the United Nations Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNSOM). The core team of the World Bank included Geoff Handley, Harun Dogo, Alex Berg, Leonard Matheka, Bernhard Metz (geospatial work), Zoe Weinberg, and Paul Bisca (editing), and the core team of the UN included Thorodd Ommundsen, Sanjeev Joshi, Brian O’Sullivan, Anthony Howie, William Kendall, Christoph Buik, Hans Wanderstein, Gerard Smith, Eric Brandenburg, Soumitra Deodhar, Sodhi Bidevinder, Mitch Dufresne, Stephanie McPhail, Damian Klauss, Virginie Blanchard, and Steve Cox. A large number of experts and consultants contributed to substantive sections of the report including Ariella Viehe, Michael Gunzburger, Amanda Brockbank, Elizabeth Margolin, Giuseppe Manzillo, Nicole Ball, and Christine Wallich. A large number of key stakeholders were consulted, primarily through a Somalia Reference Group, on these final reports as well as background papers and made substantive comments and contributions. This included Hodan Osman, Senior Advisor from the Ministry of Finance in the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS), who was the lead FGS counterpart and guided the team to ensure relevance and alignment with government objectives. The Permanent Secretary of the Ministry of Internal Security and FGS Lead in the Peacebuilding and Security Working Group (PSG2), Col. Mohamed Jama, chaired the SJPER Reference Group, which facilitated consultation throughout the process. Adil Garane, the PSG2 Focal Point in the FGS Aid Coordination Unit, supported Reference Group meetings and PSG2 engagement. Other colleagues who provided general guidance to the whole process included from the World Bank: Bella Bird, World Bank Country Director, Hugh Riddell, World Bank Country Representative, Debbie Isser, Winston Cole, John Randa, and Catherine Ngumbau. From UNSOM Raisedon Zenenga, Deputy Special Representative of the UN Secretary General, and Wally Very/ Staffan Tillander, Directors Rule of Law & Security Institutions Group (ROLSIG), provided invaluable guidance throughout. Salome Aganda, Janerose Lubisia, and Aidah Makokha provided invaluable administrative and logistical support throughout the process. The Security Sector Reform Unit within the United Nations Department of Peacekeeping Operations provided invaluable support and guidance through its partnership with the World Bank on security sector public financial management. Students and faculty of the Defence Analysis Department at Naval Postgraduate School contributed important perspectives on the report. Photo Credits United Nations Mission in Somalia (UNSOM), https://www.flickr.com/photos/unsom/sets/72157675193151674 i Contents Acknowledgements ................................................................................................................................................ i List of Figures ........................................................................................................................................................ iv List of Tables ......................................................................................................................................................... vi List of Boxes .......................................................................................................................................................... vi Glossary ............................................................................................................................................................... vii Executive Summary .............................................................................................................................................. ix Current Context ....................................................................................................................................................... ix Going Forward ......................................................................................................................................................... xi Policy Options ......................................................................................................................................................... xii 1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................................................... 2 1.1 Security and Development .......................................................................................................................... 2 1.2 Rationale, Scope, and Objectives ................................................................................................................. 3 1.3 Process and Methodology ........................................................................................................................... 5 2. Historical and Sectoral Context ......................................................................................................................... 7 2.1 Historical Context ........................................................................................................................................ 7 2.2 Sector Context and Sources of Conflict ....................................................................................................... 9 2.2.1 Violence and Conflict: Key Flashpoints .............................................................................................. 9 2.2.2 The Challenge of Al-Shabaab .......................................................................................................... 13 2.2.3 Countering AS and expanding the FGS ............................................................................................. 16 2.2.4 The Political Settlement and a Federal Governance Framework ........................................................ 17 2.2.5 Interpersonal Violence and Organized Crime ................................................................................... 18 2.2.6 Maritime Security and Piracy .......................................................................................................... 19 2.3 Regional Context ........................................................................................................................................ 20 2.4 International Context ................................................................................................................................. 20 2.5 Macroeconomic Context ........................................................................................................................... 22 2.5.1 Domestic Expenditures .................................................................................................................. 24 2.5.2 Domestic Revenues and Debt ........................................................................................................